₦airaland Forum

So, the below image is what I'll explain. It's 100% the same in all the previous 3 cycles, and so far, 90% accurate in this cycle and we're waiting for the remaining 10%, which I feel will be accurate again for the 4th time in 15+ years.

1. Red horizontal line (Jan to August of relax year)
2. Blue arrow (Aug-Sept of relax year to Feb-March of sell year)
3. Green curve (April's bottom to July's bottom of sell year)
4. Yellow horizontal line (June top or bottom to Sept-Oct's top or bottom of sell year)
5. Yellow arrow (Sept-Oct to No-DJ of sell year)

You don't need to understand this, I'll find time to explain. This pattern repeated in every cycle and it's only 2021 that number 3, the curve turned red and it's because it's a downward sell year — meaning the low of July is below the low of April. If it's upward, the low of July will be above the low of April.

Yes, some of you might be confused, so I'll explain better later, but just know that we're waiting for number 5, yellow arrow.

GRACEGLORY:
When will BTC top, iLegendd? Do you have an idea, sir❓❓❓

First top has already happened in December 2024/January 2025 called yellow top at 108k.

It's the second coming that we're waiting for in November or December and I'm rooting for 155k max, but if there are lots of shorts to liquidate at 170k, it'll sharply go for it to give the people projecting 200k or more hope.

In that case, the universe will be euphoric, then it dashes their hopes and instantly dumps to 100k. It consolidates and starts going up to 110-120k and everyone FOMOs in hoping for 200k and it dumps to 85k. Just like that and we get to the bottom of bear market.

I have my own day and date in mind, but some newbies reading this are too aggressive and vindictive when things don't work out 100% as predicted, so let me keep shut in being exact to avoid being held responsible for any mistakes they make.

Sometimes, I wonder where I get my creativity from. It always seem childish at first, but it ends up always being good at last.

The lecture I delivered about ReSeBuBum, I decided to plot it on my chart and it looks too colorful, but I'm beginning to see why I must have it on my chart forever.

I'll explain it later. Don't worry, I won't bore you with epistle. I'll keep it short.

Since I posted ETH and SOL, BTC got jealous, so I decided to post this one.

We almost hit a good target.

For Sol, it's simple. It's not by graph, but at least, everything shows on the chart if you pay attention. Sadly, Nigerians don't have that patience or long attention span.

I don't use trendline, I use parallel channel to have 3 options, which at least 1 must happen. I don't use lower timeframe and if I do, 1 day is the lowest.

Eth

Big money is made in chaos and only those who build their strategies around it will benefit. This is why billionaires sponsor war around the world.

Why did I sell at 117k+? Because there must be at least 5k, 7k, 12k etc. difference from where I bought and where I sold. And also, this is a B+ setup, so I just leave early.

Bought at 123k and sold at 117k+ and that is a difference of 6k. Why didn't I wait for 10% dump or to sell on Saturday as usual?

Because it's time to consolidate within the range of 115k+ to 121k. Why the consolidation?

To disorganize people and make them not to know the next direction, then boom, we'll find ourself in 130k and bears will be trapped once again till October and some of them will panic-sell at loss.

When they've sold, October will dump to 98k (if September stays stagnant). And immediately, the real parabolic stage starts. This, I have seen. Let's watch and see if the market makers will switch to a different agenda. Even if they do, there won't be much difference with what I said.

Will I close my 123k short since BTC is at 119.5k? No. Why? I have a target.

What if it goes back to 123k, then 130k? Who cares? And that's exactly what it should do. It's only money I'll lose, not my life.

Be principled and you'll succeed.

If you want Back Turner to deliver a lecture on futures trading, click share. If you know he's incapable of delivering a lecture, click like.

DaemoLee:
This story don dey long ilengd! Fine we should look forward to a market blood bathe in September/October ok.

Is alt season starting after cos alts are still in their extreme lows, or are we entering another bear market like after 2021?
Cos normally as regards the 4 years BTCee/Alt season cycle, this year ought to have been the one that alt make parabolic moves to the upside. However, only B tcee did which is unusual...

Not unusual. Things are just delayed based on macroeconomics delays too.

To answer you, yes, alts will go up after that dump in Sept or Oct, but won't pump as expected until QE starts so that money will circulate and some of them will come into risk assets like BTC. Simple.

harry2sexy:
In 2013, volume after October's pump was red but market didn't bottom that much.

Can we say the volume indicator was rendered invalid in this scenario?

Circle the volume you're referring to and repost let me see.

A lot of secrets to share, but too much of anything is bad.

If you want me to share more secrets in the future, click like, but if you don't want, click share. Majority wins.

I created new images for the relax year lecture I gave, where I talked about January's top is where August's bottom always lands in every relax year.

So, here is a cleaner representation. If you look at the red parallel channel, it has 3 lines of top, dotted middle and bottom.

I used the measurement of 2012's January to August for the rest of them, so the parallel channel is equal in height for all 4 images below.

They yellow circle is January while the blue is August.

When to buy in August of relax year? It's when the dump in August touches the first line of the red parallel channel. Why? It might only stop there and not go to the middle or last line as it did in 2012. For me, I buy in first line and below dotted line. I don't care about the last line.

March, The Most Confused Month

In every year—Relax, Sell, Buy, and Buy-More Year—March has two proper behaviors just the same way September has in Sell Year, but for March, that behavior is every year and they are:

Option 1: Dump.
Option 2: Stay stagnant.

If March refuses to dump, it should at least stay stagnant with minimal movement, just like Sept. of sell year. But if it defies both and chooses to pump (as it did in 2013, 2015, 2021, 2024, that pump is always short-lived. Whatever gain March makes, it will lose ALL or more than half in April.

So, if March of any year (except bear market years) dumps hard, buy. If it stays stagnant, wait till it dumps, but if it pumps sharply without you and without dumping, then ambush it in April to buy.

Historically, March is stubborn—it often pumps when it should not — forgetting its main job is dump or stay stagnant. Yet every time it pumps, April acts as the reset button, taking back all the gains or more than half, but ALL in most cases.

It's the month BTC dumped in 2020 called COVID crash and it's also the month BTC pumped abnormally in 2013, but later lost more than half of the profit in April as usual. In fact, just know that March MUST do something strange and unexpected excluding its normal behavior of dumping or staying stagnant, so he aware of it. You might hedge it if you don't want to mess with uncertainty.

April will always do the opposite of March.

* If March pumps, which it's not supposed to, but stubbornly does at times, April reverses it.

* If March stays stagnant till 31st (buy), April will pump, but if the April is in sell year, it'll dump.

* If March dumps, April will pump and just as I said above, if that April is sell year, it dumps more. Refer to April's behavior in sell year.

Tip for Bears: Short the top of March in every bear market because April will dump. If you're brave enough, long the bottom of April in bear market after you've sold your March short, but sell the April's long as early as possible before May and subsequent months dump on you since it's bear market (as it did in 2022). In bear market, price has never gone above the top of March, so use it as a support.

Now, I believe you finally understand the mysterious March and its relationship with April.

Continuation of my lecture.


3. Bu – Buy Year
(2014, 2018, 2022, 2026)

Careful months: None critical — just buy dips in No-DJ months (Nov, Dec.)
*Accumulate aggressively; foundation year for the bull market.

Note: In Buy Year, don't worry about what other months do (be it pump or dump) — just focus on No-DJ months entry.

4. Bum – Buy-More Year
(2015, 2019, 2023, 2027)

Careful months: Only if dump is deeper than Buy Year’s low - as it did in 2015, which is lower than 2014's Nov & Dec bottom.
*Mostly hold and ride; load up only if that rare deep retracement appears.

Note: In Buy-More Year, don't worry about what other months do (be it pump or dump) — just focus on buying more only if the dump is lower than the ones you bought in Buy Year, else, ignore and move on.

Based on the last image above, there are two prices. 110k for Sept. dump or 98k for Oct. dump. One of them will happen.

EXTRA INFO FOR SEPT-OCT. SELL YEAR:

If the dump happens in Sept. → target = June’s high (top wick on June monthly candle) → that’s the September entry point.

If Sept. stays stagnant, the dump will happen in Oct. → target = June’s low (bottom wick on June monthly candle) → that’s the Oct. entry point.

What I'm essentially saying is:

> The month of June in a sell year acts as the “reference range.” If September is the dump month, price respects June’s high as support; if October is the dump month, it seeks June’s low as support. This has been 100% true for more than 15 years of BTC existence. See 4 images below.

harry2sexy:
Thanks for sharing. It's a beautiful piece. Follow up question though.

Now it is advisable to take a position with a high leverage in this month of august? Like say 10× seeing that we may have a pump in this August of a sell year?

August has already moved. You'll have to wait for Sept or Oct.

harry2sexy:
Thanks for sharing. It's a beautiful piece. Follow up question though.

Now it is advisable to take a position with a high leverage in this month of august? Like say 10× seeing that we may have a pump in this August of a sell year?

Asking ChatGPT this question.

Tell me the percentage increase for each and rerank them from best percentage to worst.

August 2025 from $111.8k to $123k August 2021 from $37.2k to $50.2k August 2017 from $2.7k to $4.6k August 2013 from $90 to $135

Answer

Aug 2025
Old = 111,800
New = 123,000
Increase = $11,200
And that is 10.02%

Aug 2021
Old = 37,200
New = 50,200
Increase = $13,000
And that is 34.95%

Aug 2017
Old = 2,700
New = 4,600
Increase = $1,900
And that is 70.37%

Aug 2013
Old = 90
New = 135
Increase = $45
And that is 50.00%

Ranking from best % to worst %

1️⃣ Aug 2017 → 70.37%
2️⃣ Aug 2013 → 50.00%
3️⃣ Aug 2021 → 34.95%
4️⃣ Aug 2025 → 10.02%


My opinion from GPT's output.

So, if you look at it in descending order, you'll see it always skipped 10. That is, 70% skipped 60% and the next was 50%. 50 skipped 40 and the next was 30+% and finally, 30+ skipped 20 and the next was 10% in 2025.

If we're judging by this, we can say August has pumped. It's from $111.8k bottom to $123k top and that is 10% increase.

I was projecting 127-130k+ and there were lots of liquidations there, but most of them have closed their positions, so I don't know if it's viable for market makers to go for 130k+ again. Maybe, they will if more short squeeze accrue on that place and also because our purple line in USDT dominance hasn't been tapped yet.

I shorted again at 123k and I'll leave it to see what Sept-Oct. has to offer. If August continues and gets to 125k, I'll hedge because that is a sign it's going for 130k+.

For me, August has done well even though it's the worst increase of all Augusts of sell year. Half a loaf of bread is better than none.

AIT1:
Thanks for the info boss. For the Sell year, is the September situation dependent on what happens in August?

50/50

The thing is, August of Sell Year must pump or at least stay uptrend whether there is war in China, Russia, Ukraine, etc.

That uptrend scares September, so it says, "Hold it, I'm not sure this is healthy, so I won't join the bandwagon." This is why September of Sell year either stays stagnant or dumps because it's unsure it has the power to carry on.

Summary: Kind of, but not totally.

To others reading, the characteristics of the August we're talking about here only applies to Sell Year.

For Relax year, August dumps like crazy.

Click like if you want me to post for buy year and buy more year? Click share if you're not interested. For me, I'll click share.

Reply this post if my previous post is confusing to you and also ask your questions if you have any.

2. Se – Sell Year
(2013, 2017, 2021, 2025)

Careful months: April, May, June and partially July.
*April, May, June (Q2) = heavy correction (April usually deepest while May & June is slow and dramatic recovery, but in 2021, June-July were the deepest for the first and only time.)
*July = instantly pumped; July's low has never gotten to April's low (assuming April had a giant dump like in 2013 and 2025).

Note: In Sell Year, don't worry about what other months do (be it pump or dump) — just focus on April and maybe July's minor fake out, for entry. 

If April, May and June refuse to dump, as it did in 2017, but pumps, then expect the dump to happen in July. 

If April's bottom to July's bottom is downward (meaning July's bottom is lower than April's own like 2021), expect a reversal to uptrend from July's bottom, but if April's bottom to July's bottom is upward (like 2017), then expect a crash in August, Sept or at least, October (if August and Sept. refuse to dump).

If the lowest happens in April (devastating crash), but May and June consolidates (they didn't make any high or low against April), then expect a fake out in July and instant pump (the fake out won't be as low as April like 2013).

Shocking Tip: Sept. of Sell year will be stagnant with a short indecision doji monthly candle or will experience a dump. That's exactly how it behaves every sell year. Stagnant or dump — only two choices. While staying stagnant, it'll make attempt to pump and go a little above August's top, but don't be fooled, it'll soon dump or go back to staying stagnant.

If it's stagnant, October will experience a sharp correction before instant pump.

If September isn't stagnant, but dumps, then October will start pumping immediately as if it's war time after a minor fake out.

Oh, sorry, when I spoke about April, May, June and maybe July, I said you should ignore other months, but I still NEED you to pay attention to August, September and October relationship.

-August must dump (first choice) or pump (second choice).
-September must stay stagnant (first choice) or do a fake upward move before dumping (second choice).
-October's action is determined by what September did. If Sept. stays stagnant, the Oct. will dump before it pumps, but if Sept dumps, then Oct. will only do a minor fake out and instant pump straight to December top.

One final tip about sell year is: August must be in an uptrend no matter the situation in of the market. The final problem is always Sept. or Oct. after we've escaped the one of April to July.

We have upward sell year (2013, 2017, and 2025) and downward sell year (2021).

*Upward sell year is when no following month's low goes below April's low like 2013, 2017 and 2025.
*Downward sell year is when July's low is lower than April's low like 2021.

Upward sell year MUST always have a correction in July and failure to do that, Sept. or Oct. will be bloody. So far, this year, 2025, being an upward sell year, July didn't have a significant correction, so we are waiting for blood in Sept. or Oct.

Though, June had a small correction, which is why July refused to correct since his sister had done it for him. Maybe, we'll pay the price in Sept. or Oct. for skipping our July dump tradition in sell year. I pray it doesn't get too bad when it happens, but bad enough for a good entry for the final parabolic move till Nov. or Dec. top.

See images of the 4 sell years we have so far (2013, 2017, 2021 and 2025).

After critically examining the 4 images, come back an reread so that the post will make more sense. I know this particular post is full of repetition and I did it intentionally for your good.

Verbtips:
boss I saw a post u made about 200ma
So I checked it it chatgpt instead of doing it manually, below is the results.i initially created it to detect the top,can I use both together or I just choose one

Together for confluence.

I'm the CEO of OF for a reason.

Are you following? If you are and you want me to continue with the second one called Sell Year, click like. If you're not interested, click share. Though, for me, I'll click share. If I see more likes than shares, I'll continue, else I quit.

1. Re – Relax Year
(2012, 2016, 2020, 2024)

Careful months: August–September
* If August pumps → September erases all gains and hits bottom.
* If August dumps → September won’t go below August low.
* From October, pump starts after acting funny, but don't panic (it's normal to scare weak hands.)

Note: In Relax Year, don't worry about what other months do (be it pump or dump) — just focus on August and September for entry. 

Shocking Tip: No matter how hard August or September of Relax year dumps, it can never go below the top of January of that same year. Switch on your Tradingview, put 1 month timeframe and check for 2012, 2016, 2020 and 2024 — these are relax years. Check the top of January monthly candle and the bottom of August-September dump and you'll see how it's 100% spot on in all the 4 years I mentioned above. I have images below to back it up.

Why This Info: The reason for mentioning this is so that you'll use January's monthly candle top as your gauge or entry in August or September dump of Relax Year. SIMPLE!

Look at the 4 images below. They are EXTREMELY IMPORTANT. Pay attention to the red and green arrows pointing the top of January and the bottom of August or September. Read the write-up too. You can't find that info anywhere online.