₦airaland Forum

RE–SE–BU–BUM Cycle and Careful Months to Watch Out For

Preamble...

Note: This lecture will be deleted because it's my secret, so you better read it now and pay close attention to every word as if your life depends on it. E get why.

If you've been following me, I developed a system to track the 4 year cycle and I call it Re-Se-Bu-Bum for short and it means

Relax year,
Sell year,
Buy year and
Buy more year.

Relax year mean you've already bought in buy year, so you have to relax and allow the market to grow without interference, but sadly, in this relax year, there are two ugly months called August or September that always witness a dump, hence you might want to buy some to add up to what you already have or if you haven't bought yet.

Sell year means you're waiting for November or December to sell what you bought all these years and get ready for bear market. Also, this sell year has 2-4 ugly months that dump usually happens before the top and those months are April, May or June and occasionally July, but this July reverses immediately and starts pumping. So, you might want to buy some in those months I mentioned above and sell in November or December or even January, the following year.

Buy year means November or December of bear market — which is the best time to load your account with BTC and top 10 altcoins.

Buy more year means you buy extra if you see a dump that is lower than the ones you bought in November or December of buy year.

Now, let's start exposing the secret of ReSeBuBum.

About to post an open secret I discovered on the chart that I never shared. If the number of likes I get surpasses the share, I'll post it. First of all, I'll click the share button myself.

Important video to watch about copper and gold ratio. Just watch.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qXc6h2S8OLc?si=Kaaxwou9z_TqxDPx

We are so close to touching the purple line and that is bad for the strategy I shared earlier. If the wick touches it, then that candle is invalidated.

Let me go waste 1 hour of my life on Tiktok.

harry2sexy:
10 Steps to Profitable Trading:
1. Build your system and watchlist
2. Wait
3. Wait
4. Wait
5. Entry
6. Wait
7. Wait
8. Wait
9. Exit
10. Repeat Steps 1-9

💯

I shared an idea I had some months ago about using inverted chart, but realized a lot of people will be confused if I start teaching with it, so I dropped it.

Since I'll be done sharing tips in this group in 2025, I'll start the inverted approach for my personal use.

Talking about the inversion, bear market of 1 year will be my bull market (see the green channel in the image below) while bull of 3 years will be my bear.

In this 1 year of my new bull market, I'll trade because I know the movement will be inside that green channel, but in 3 years of my bear market, I'll enter multiple positions in BTC and top 10 and forget it for 3 years. You do nothing, but will make more money than most.

This method will save me so much time. I won't be bothered with news, FOMC, crash, etc. After 3 year of bear market (your bull market), I sell and switch to 1 year of MY bull market (your bear market). Rinse and repeat till I leave this world. Learn to simplify your life.

Why am I sharing this? I want you to know that being a contrarian is not a crime — in fact, it's a sign that you're capable of thinking outside the box.

I wish everyone the best as we await the final or double top for this cycle.

There is money in patience.

Look at the post here...

https://www.nairaland.com/6318352/crypto-currency-investors-thread/4605#136320080

I posted something about this "weekly candle" going above this purple line and not touching the line. And I said whenever it does, sell the follow week. It has just done it, but the week still has 6 days left.

If it sustains it and doesn't touch the purple line on the 14th, then from 15th to 21st, being the following week, sell some BTC because there'll be a decline, then a crash in September.

Finally, from October to December, we'll hopefully have our alt season if the US government cuts rate and starts QE.

Who remembers the purple line post? I made some days ago? Let me look for it.

harry2sexy:
How do i find these news?

When market pumps or dumps, you open your Google and search: "Crypto liquidation today" and you'll see lots of news posted some minutes or hours ago relating to liquidation on that day.

Or "Crypto short squeeze liquidation today."

There is 18 billion or more short to be liquidated if BTC goes to 130k. The BTC that I know will actually love to liquidate them — very heartless coin. It's just 7-8k away from achieving it.

With this info, I'm 100% sure 130k will happen this week.

Do these politicians see Nigerians as fools or what? Don't they know that everyone knows they're all the same with different clothing?

I just noticed daily volume is not measuring up to something I call twice as tall. This isn't nice. Maybe, it'll get to TAT before evening, else there is problem.

Temporary

All targets met except POI (Point of Interest) at 123.2k.

After that, we need to cool off and decide if the pump will continue or a dump. I'll short at POI.

If nobody talks about you, you're a nobody.

No, I'm not saying what is in the photo below will happen immediately — I'm just calculating ahead of time. Also, if it happens in August or Sept, then we'll dump and come back for the purple line again in November or December at a higher price of 155k or more.

The price of BTC as at the time of typing this is 121.5k.

Everyone should watch this and save the video as a reminder. It's common knowledge about money, but I love the presentation and humor.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ybj_K8CmBYQ?si=QQ92PclIpRr1OwtK

psalm68:
Clear breakout

Also don't forget the opposite of breakout is fakeout.

psalm68:
illegend, the FT aka only fans😀
Keep up the great sacrifice.
Sir, can you help draw out the channels on the public TV account you gave out,

Appreciated

Did long time ago, but reduced the color, but have brighten it now.

So far, option A is leading...

bellocity:
First and second line!! Are you referring to double top? If yes, at what price do u expect BTC to be at the first top?




.

You always ask me a question and when I reply, you don't follow up — making me look stupid for even bothering to reply.

I want to share a certain info I have been keeping to myself because it's too good to be shared, but felt I should.

After bull market comes a one year bear market. There is more money to be made in bear market than in bull market.

If you look at the image below, where the arrows are pointing, you'll see two green channels. Yes, they are bear market top and bottom range. Using the 1 week TF, no candle ever closes below or above the two channels.

Every pump and dump must happen within the channel. If you know how to draw it ahead of time before bear market starts, you'll know when to long or short in any bear season.

It took me some brain work to calculate how to draw it ahead of time.

For 2013 Top

The first line starts from July, 2013 (top red line) to December 2014 (bottom red line).

The second line starts from the month the market topped, mostly November or December to July 2015.

For 2017 Top

The first line starts from July, 2017 (top red line) to December 2018 (bottom red line).

The second line starts from Nov. or Dec. 2017 to July 2019.

For 2021 Top

The first line starts from July, 2021 (top red line) to December 2022 (bottom red line).

The second line starts from Nov. or Dec. 2021 to July 2023.

For 2025 Top

The first line starts from July, 2025 (top red line) to December 2026 (bottom red line).

The second line starts from Nov. or Dec. 2025 to July 2027.

If you're a newbie, this info might not be for you cuz you may not get it.

If you understand it, click like. If you don't, click share so I can explain again.

While everyone is focused on bull market, I'm already plotting graph for bear market even though it's in 2026. It's good to think ahead.

Why do I use a parallel channel for my trendline?

It's because it gives me 3 points to buy or sell. Best buy or sell is at the middle, the dotted line. If you're patient enough, you can wait for the last line, but are you sure it'll get there?

To avoid regrets, I take action at the first point or the middle.

Some of you are still using single trendline. That's old fashion.

Lots of lessons here. Picture yourself in this situation. I can already feel how it felt.


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HTL5Csb-Q-o?si=SVn66NUMN3mZL8zt

Hmmm

Eth my guy. It's time to short you sha. If you liquidate me, I short again and again.

If you want me to draw this ETH chart on our general Tradingview account, click like.

Team option A, but more prepared for option B. I don't want be caught in a black swan unaware.

Prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Your personal decision in crypto is more important than what any guru on YouTube or Twitter will tell you.

Softmirror:
You mean you are a superfacial person hence the color of Google's logo used to make you laugh? Not that it used to be dysfunctional?

Your reply isn't articulate.

Softmirror:
Everytime I hear ADC me sha I always start laughing. 😂😂😂😂

Whenever I see Google logo back then, I used to laugh. It looked too colourful = childish. But today, Google is among top 10 companies in the world and if you check my phone now, you'll see at least 5 apps owned by Google.


I'm not in support of any party, but I just wanted to let you know.

There is one thing people that hate on me don't understand about me when it comes to crypto.

I was deep in fundamental, macros, on chain analysis, technical analysis and day-trading.

One day, after years of research, I realized those who buy and die are richer than those who are desperately trading.

Imagine how rich all the dead people who bought BTC in 2010 or 2013 would be.

Also, I realized keeping up with American news is a waste of my energy and MB, hence, I decided to simplify BTC for a 7 year old to understand.

Does FOMC report move the market? Yes, but looking at weekly and monthly chart, knowing the season of the cycle we're in and how they behave while factoring in black swan in all you do is what you need. And yes, patience!

There is a quote I once heard and it's along the line of, "In times of crisis or panic, institutions don't respect trendline."

But does this mean we should ignore it? No.

The image I posted above, in fact, let me post a new one. The first line is 127k with dot (remember I spoke about this some weeks ago), the middle line is 135k and the top line is 142k. These are good places to short if it breaks the purple line above.

Are we going to hit those three spots? I wish we do, but let's get to 127k first before I'll up my wish.

monikulapo:
Which projects asides BTC are you holding or trading ?

GLEBOSS

For other alts, it's few and I have abandoned them in exchanges for long. I don't even know if they've been delisted. I'm only proud of talking about BTC and top 10. Any other thing, I don't like mentioning them again.

Looking at this image below, even the blind can see that we're heading to the yellow dot at the top this month, then down to the one at the bottom next month.

That monthly hammer head candle is now looking like a dragonfly doji and it's a sign there is an upward momentum.

So, heading to the upper yellow seems more feasible, but as we all know, I don't control the market, hence things can change based on global tussles or pandemic like chikungunya, ebola, COVID, etc.

Do some of you ever check the 1 month TF?

For me, I have a top and bottom trend line which helps with this year's local top and bottom. The image below is my personal Tradingview BTC chart. The two ascending yellow lines are important in knowing all the local and final tops, especially the one above.

I decided to replicate that monthly trendline in the Tradingview account I created for public use. Though, I used green at the top and red at the bottom.

When you login, select BTC and change it to 1 month TF and you'll see the bigger picture of the market.

Dwelling in lower TF (1min to 1hr) is a sign of desperation except you're scalping. I used to do it, so don't get me wrong.