₦airaland Forum

2017 Top

Exactly the same as 2013, but will 2021 do the same? Let's find out.

2013 Top

If you zoom the picture, you'll notice 2013's top came on the brown channel before the T3 lines turned red. As a smart person, would you wait for the red? No. The top channel is the final destination.

Talking about market top in my previous post and October 20th being the day to start paying attention, I want to complete the lecture or add extra info.

In the previous we used an indicator called Tillson T3 moving average by Ceyhun. Is that enough? Yes, but I said you'll need to pair it up with other things to give you confluence.

And two of those many things are

1. Bitcoin Logarithmic Growth Curves (Gab's Crypto) by Baltristangabriel
2. Crypto Fear and Greed Index by TIA_Technologies

Below is how they look and a simple explanation.

From Oct 20th to December, using the 1 WK timeframe, if any of the green or blue T3 lines turn red, SELLLLLLLL!

But what if it turns red late?

Then you'll need the other two indicators.

If the candle is at the top of that brown channel (see image below) and it's already beyond 20th of October, yet none of the T3 lines turned red, then SELL, specially if the second indicator called fear and greed is at 90% or even 95+.

I'll explain each top.

TON network will soon double bottom against BTC and you already know what that means.

I'll prepare myself to pick some when it does.

Define what a dip in the market is to you. Define the type of person you are in the market.

Are you a trader? Are you a degen? Are you confused on where to belong? Are you a Player? Are you an investor? Are you an opportunist?

Choose the one you think matches your personality or you'll benefit from the most. Then, define what a dip is to you in the market.

To me, a dip is only when Bitcoin dumps a minimum of 10-12% in a day.

Anything other than that is not a dip to me.

And this minimum of 10-12%, Bitcoin must lose a minimum of $10,000. That is a dip to me.

And the inverse is a pump. A minimum of 10-12% pump in a day and an increase of $10,000 minimum, especially when it touches the wall of China I posted earlier.

Define everything so that every drawdown doesn't look like a dip to you or make you panic.

Don't be over-invested in alts until there is a glimpse of hope on QE.

If you must invest in too many alts, do it with money you can easily forget and in an exchange you hardly use just as I did with Toshi. I even forgot I bought it many months ago. Else, stick with BTC and top 10 until QE starts.

One win can wipe away all your tears if you plan yourself well. So, be prepared, strategic and trade less.

Let me set the record straight. There are only three groups of people complaining in this crypto space:

1. Newbies who have not yet found their footing and are overly focused on alts while risking what they can't afford to lose.

2. Intermediate traders who have refused to study how the system works and are fixated on lower timeframes instead of the bigger picture, before lower timeframes.

3. Those who have neglected to incorporate macroeconomics into cryptocurrency trading. The only thing they care about is support and resistance on lower TF.

Quantitative easing hasn't even started, so BTC will still lead in every pump, while alts lead in every minor BTC dump. Most people neither know this nor care to know.

Some insult me for doing too much research, but they don’t understand its benefits. When they panic, I’m just laughing and documenting their emotional reactions.

The money we’re all going to leave behind one day is what you're stressing yourself over? Alright, go ahead. Just do it.

This post is not referring to anyone specifically—just my general overview.

By the way, the Wall of China I mentioned earlier also works in a bear market.

Whenever the weekly candle touches the fence, I short. When it gets to the middle of the fence, I short again. Finally, when it pokes its head slightly above the fence, I short for the third time. That’s as high as it can pump in a bear market.

People should develop at least three working strategies, specialize in one of them, and they’ll never remain the same.

I see people complaining like pilot students who want to fly to every country successfully after watching YouTube videos on how to fly. They forget it takes time, and experience matters.

We're still in a bull market, sell year for that matter, but some people are already preparing for shorting strategies in bear market. What does that tell you? Luck is when preparedness meets opportunity.

Sonnobax15:

The earlier Sowore realize that Nigerians aren't worth dying for,the better for him.....

But when Burna said he'd not die for any Nigerian, you people abused him.

@Valwezzy, with the above images, you'll have a clearer picture of the entire market and even be prepared for catastrophy that'll take us down to each of those EMAs.

The bigger picture is the deal. People who focus on the smaller pictures make lots of profit, but they end up losing everything to those with the overall image of the asset and its worst eventualities.

I trade those walls, but I prepare for prison breaks more. Do I even trade? No! I wait for opportunities. If you want the indicator, let me know so I can post it on the Telegram group.

Valwezzy:
You're buying? What's your entry price, please?

I have already bought in 2022. I'm only playing around now. I'll buy again in 2026 (Nov. Dec.) and 2027 (Jan, Feb and March)—by God's grace.

Let me give you some details. Someone may benefit from it.

I use a system I nicknamed The Wall of China. It's a wall built with Heikin Ashi candles with some well-positioned EMAs at crucial areas and it's extremely simple for anyone to use.

Whenever the weekly candle touches that wall, I long. If it breaks the wall and enters inside the compound, I long. If it touches the red line, I  deploy more longs. It never goes below the first red or yellow line in a bull market. If it dares make attempt towards the 2nd red line, that will be a black swan event. So, that second yellow line is where the disaster of 2020 crash stopped, hence I called it that name.

This simple approach keeps me level-headed. Any dump that happens that doesn't touch that wall is not dumpy enough for me to take action except the trade is for fun or a trap.

Look at those yellow dots in the images below, those are the places I usually buy.

So, to answer your question, I'm playing around for now.

This is the simplest chart you can ever see, yet so powerful.

The market chose option B, so I followed.

maybet081:
Boss are we now waiting for October 20 for it to pump this year.

Because I really don't know again?

That is a period to "get ready" to take profit.

BannedUser:
Lol. One of my best decisions in life is going into crypto investment and trading.

2019: First exposure with no profit
2020: Big loss
2021: little profit
2022: small profit
2023: big profit
2024: Massive profit (i.e. Greater than the annual salary of my current 9-5 job)

The most important things needed to make it in crypto are using proper risk management, constant learning & research, and determination.

Approved

Unfortunately, we broke down, but not in tears. A symmetric triangle is always a 50/50 thing, but since it's a bullish one, continuation was the expected outcome, not a reversal.

FINDING THE BOTTOM WITH T3

Using the T3 indicator, 1 wk tf, in the bear market, the blue line stays red forever and serves as a resistance.

Anytime it turns blue, the bear market is over—it means one candle has gone above it, and that is your buy 1.

That is not the end. There will always be a retest on the blue line.

So it'll touch it the second time, and that is your buy 2. And after that, the bear is finally over.

But any year it refuses to double bottom on the blue line, there will be a crash, just as it happened in 2020 because 2018/2019 refused to double bottom on the blue line.

Don't forget, 1 week timeframe only.

Below are the bottoms of
1. 2014/2015,
2. 2018/2019 and
3. 2022/2023.

Take a look at how they had retest and their interaction with the line that just turned blue.

I have a video explaining this, but the audio quality is poor since it's done via phone. The file size is too big I had to compress it and also put it on x2 speed. This affected the quality, hence, I kept it for personal consumption.

This is the smoothest moving average in the world.

Voice to text using ChatGPT.

How to know the Top of BTC Using Oct 20th as Point of Contact In Sell Year.

Most Nigerians in crypto are too emotional, so I developed this system specifically for them because of its emotional attachment and this makes it automatically memorable.

On the 20th of October 2020, the Nigerian government killed some Nigerian youths. With this emotion, I this system can't be forgotten.

It'll automatically become your most important month in crypto.

You need one indicator called Tillson T3 Moving Average by Ceyhun. There are other ones, but use this particular one.

When you put on this indicator, click on its Settings, Input, then tick the option that says Tillson T3-20. This will help you activate the blue line.

Now put it on 1 week time frame. This is extremely important it's only on Bitcoin.

Scroll down to 2013. (BTC/USD from Bitstámp exchange on Tradingview).

Look for October 20th, 2013. From that day, anytime time green or blue line turns red, SELL!!!

That is the top. It doesn't matter which of the lines, the green line or the blue line. The moment you see a red color, the top is in.

Check 2017, starting from October 20th. The moment the red line appears in any of the lines, that is the top.

Check 2021, October 20th. Starting from that day, any red you see, that is the top of the market. Now, do you also want to know about the bottom with that same indicators?

People say you can't time the top of the market or the bottom, but with this indicator, you can or at least, 90% can.


Here is a confidence booster. Whatever pump or dump happens to BTC from the October 19th down, don't just bother yourself (it's manipulation), but the moment it's from 20th of October to December, in SELL YEAR, you should be bothered.

Yes, use this info with your other metrics, especially Total 3 Market Cap and BTC Market Cap becoming same or similar valuation.

Check below for the bottom, using the same indicator on 1 wk TF.

The market rewards a specialist.

One way of making money with peace of mind in crypto is by playing with money you can easily forget you even have.

I bought $Toshi last year at a cheap rate and forgot about it in my Bitmart account.

Today, I saw a popup that says it has pumped 100%. I logged in and smiled.

What I'm trying to say is, you make money in crypto when you can easily forget about money, but unfortunately, it's hard for most because money has a spirit and it's someotimes uncontrollable.

I didn't sell my Toshi. I logged out and started shorting it on my Bybit from $2. If it pumps to liquidate me, my Bitmart spot position will make up for it. If it dumps, I'll make profit from my short, then by 20th of October, dead bones shall rise again before they die.

Talking about 20th of October, I want expose a secret I found about the magic of 20th of Oct. that can't be found anywhere. It's a special day in crypto history, just the same way it's special to Nigerian youths.

Typing...

There are lots of FVGs and Order blocks below to fill, but...

Even if it ends up as a fake-out on Monday, at least we made some moves.


The name of the trendline indicator is: Trendline Breakouts With Targets [ChartPrime].

Whatever indicators can do, I don't do them manually anymore.

By the way, I don't subscribe to trendline (support and resistance) that much, I'm more into supply and demand. (Area of interest). I focus more on order blocks and volume.

iLegendd:
If you want to buy, wait for $32-22 range.

Picked up some Trump and his wife, but she's still doing her natural duty, bleeding.

I'll just abandon them for some months. I still want it to go to $15 or less.

My strategy is about buying at the right time and still praying for the coin to fall further. This way, I'm never anxious.

When most people buy, they want it to start pumping after a few minutes, but no, this industry doesn't work that way most times.

The more detached you are, the more you'll excel.

maybet081:
We wait boss

It almost started or should I say, it's warming up. I know people will give the credit to Trump, but no, it's not because of him.

Even if the president is Portable, that blue indicator is a blast. It's the one that usually turns $10 to $1000 in minutes with leverage. Then, $1000 to $10k and before you know it, you don blow or you blow by emotion and come back to square zero. Even with spot, it does wonder.

Did you see the pump few minutes ago from 101k to 110k? That's the power of the blue. E never even start. Does this mean BTC won't go down? It'll go down, but only to scare the weak hands and overleveraged, then pummmps!

We need to find a day and discuss the importance of funding rate. Some people don't really know its importance in futures trading. I wrote an unpublished post about it.

The indicator is 7-in-1. It's a combination of DMI, ADX, OBV, MACD, RSI+, AO, ADI, etc. It's all about volume, strength and direction. When it prints on the 1 week timeframe, it's never a false signal.

My secret weapon that has never failed printed blue and you know what it means? Fire!

The blue is currently at the bottom and that is a form of momentum gathering. The moment it moves to the top, just be ready to be rich.

I know what I'm doing is not good by giving you indicators that simplify trading and a analysis for you.

If you're a beginner, I urge you to learn what I'm about to post the traditional way, buy if you're an OG and you want something that'll give you an overview of all the supports and resistance range in a single table to get the bigger picture instantly, then use this one below.

When you change timeframe, it changes value and it's sorted by strength.

Currently, our resistance in 5 mins TF is 102700 to 103600 and you can see it in red on the table. Didn't this just save you time?

Life is about being efficient with technology and not being stuck in olden ages. Those of us that said we MUST marry virgins, we realized it was impossible in this modern age. Old things have passed away.

That is how I follow life now. Simple and efficient. Nowadays, I would've rather spend more time exercising than drawing every chart manually.

The name is Support Resistance Channels/Zones Multi Time Frame By LonesomeTheBlue. For the other ones, check the citNairaland Telegram group.

iLegend doesn't make calls. Who told you? Is 5 green day a joke to you? It has come again. I hope you bought or you want to wait for stage 2 and 3? Maybe, I should change the name to 5 plus day since people use different colours for their candles. In the image below only 5 coins have a + percentage sign in front.

Avax has become stronger and stubborn and you know what that means. When it moves, there won't be stopping.

armadeo:
If btc reach that 2nd level bear market don start again be that.

Every alt would die

No. You're probably new to the game. It's just 93k. That's too small. 48k will be considered bad.

Before I could finish my post, it got filled completely. What's next? Some ranging market or we go for the fib golden zone.

First FVG filled or almost. It'll come back for the second one, but maybe, not this month. Refer to the blue inside the yellow circle.

Tkovonah:
pls how can i trade on bybit with airtel, using DNS i have been trying but no breakthrough, someone should help pls

I don't use any of those. Has your country banned Bybit? In my country, Nigeria, I'm currently using Bybit as I type via Airtel. Update your app.

Oh, I'm using Airtel via Glo gateway. It's faster.

Entered Trump short and long at $68, then set my take profit for short at $40 and closed my app. Knowing where liquidity is or psychology of the market (or humans in general) will give you an edge.

Did a couple of profitable round trips and decided to quit even though I love a chaotic market. Though, I have a nakéd trap at $6-7 liquidation.

If it dares go there to liquidate us, I'll be so happy because that will present a great opportunity for better trades. Nothing is impossible in this game and it's a game of intentional sacrifice or emotional FOMO. You have to know where you belong.


If you want to buy, wait for $32-22 range.

Valwezzy:
Group link, please

Rilwayne001:
Like to the indicators please

citNairaland

The image above is Ethereum. After I opened it, I checked the strength/momentum of the daily, weekly and monthly with the second indicator to see what the RSI, CCI, MFI, ADX, StochRSI etc. is saying.

After getting an idea that it's undervalued (refer to the circled area), I checked the first indicator (you need to activate the weekly and monthly — it's not turned on by default), and realized there is a huge buy in the weekly and monthly, I knew there is a problem.

For monthly, it's 2.3M. This means before Eth must truly pump, it MUST go there to gather momentum. If it refuses, one bad news will make it crash just to go grab that liquidity.

I used a volume-based support & resistance indicator to spot where that liquidity is resting, which you can see where the arrow is pointing.

For those of you that want to have access to these 3 indicators, check the Telegram group.

Note, I didn't go in detail how powerful and advantageous this little info is.