₦airaland Forum

Truthisunique2:
Taraba would go with atiku that's how it has always been, not about emotions

Atiku has businesses in taraba and like a homeboy here

Taraba is a pure PDP state, so atiku has 4/6 here

Kwankwanso would step down for atiku that's why he doesn't have a politician as VP. So Atiku is picking Kano, Sokoto, Zamfara which apc bastardised, jigawa, and kaduna (don't forget kwanwaso would rally a massive block in this region before merging for atiku) 5/7 at least for atiku

The mistake you people keep making is to assume because people are christians they would all vote obi

If you look at historical antecedent and not emotions PDP is taking Benue, Plateau, Abuja, Kogi or nassarawa 4/6

I analyse realistically and don't see how tinubu would lose any south west state, however it would be about the margins which would be watered down to 60% max win

I know apc have no hope here but PDP would get at least 40% here at worst

Let's wait and see

Na emotions you dey use type it would shock you in SS/SE

By the way even if you give obi all the south east states what is the number strength when the full region can't cough 3M votes

South South at least you agree PDP and obi would be sharing it

Atiku to get 40% in SE...?
You must be high on cow dung..
If Atiku see 10% in SE, he shoube declared the winner.

tuzle:
I agree with everything u said except the average arsenal side. Do u know Henry played with one of the best arsenal teams ever. A team that had viera, Gilberto, pores, bergkham, Campbell and many more.

No Sir.. By 2006, players like Viera, Bechkamp and other have left..
So Arsenal was an average team 2005/2006 season.

raumdeuter:
Adamawa and Taraba - Atiku will get above 50% and Obi will not see 20%

Atiku 60% tinubu 25% obi 5% rabiu 10%

Taraba
Atiku 50% tinubu 25% obi 15% rabiu 10%

Gombe and Bauchi will be straight fight between Atiku and Tinubu
Gombe
Atiku 45 tinubu 40% obi 5% rabiu 10%

Bauchi
Atiku 35% tinubu 35% obi 15% rabiu 15%

Tinubu will win Yobe and Borno but those percentages are too high
Yobe
Atiku 25% tinubu 65% obi 2% rabiu 8%

Borno
Atiku 20% tinubu 70% obi 0% rabiu 10%

Sokoto and Kebbi will be tight with slight advantage to Atiku
Sokoto
Atiku 45% tinubu 40% obi 1% rabiu 14%

Kebbi
Atiku 42% tinubu 40% obi 5% rabiu 13%

Tinubu should win Zamfara with Atiku 2nd

Zamfara
Atiku 30% tinubu 50% obi 0% rabiu 20%

I think Buhari should still be able to tilt this for APC
Katsina
Atiku 35% tinubu 50% obi 0% rabiu 15%

Kano and Jigawa will be where Rabiu shows his power I expect him to win one of those states
Kano
Atiku 25% tinubu 30% obi 10% rabiu 40%

Jigawa
Atiku 35% Tinubu 33% obi 2% rabiu 30%

Atiku will be very competitive in Kaduna and get more than Obi

Kaduna
Atiku 35% tinubu 30% obi 15% rabiu 20%


Summary
Atiku wins Kaduna, Jigawa, Sokoto Kebbi Adamawa Taraba Gombe Bauchi
Tinubu wins Katsina Zamfara Yobe Borno
Rabiu wins Kano

Kwankwoso cannot score more votes than Obi in Adamawa that I've been in for more than 25years..

Obi will challenge Tinibu for second position here, most of Buharitists in 2019 are now Atilulated, while more than 40% of of those that were Atikulated in 2019 are now Obidient including my self and my family.. Tho is for both Adamawa and Taraba states..

But they just borrowed 350billion.

Ok

He is a a copycat, what Obi finished doing long ago and now back to do the real campaign is what Athiefiku is tryna do...

Dannyset:
The only thing that can change the voting pattern of the state is if the Governor ordered the PDP structure in the state to vote for LP. The people alone won't stick out their necks for it. That can only happen the SE for now.

Look at 2015 election results.
State Governors didn't stop the people sticking out their neck for their preferred candidate..

State Governors of Rivers, Imo, Edo, Anambra, Ondo, Kastina, Jigawa, Kaduna, Kebbi, Bauchi, Gombe, Benue, Nasarawa, and Niger states couldn't deliver their state to their party presidential candidate..

14 states... Same thing will more likely repeat itself next Year.

Penguin2:
In the North Central, Obi is winning Benue, Plateau and FCT; with good outing expected in Nasarawa and Kogi as well.

Do you speak with people on ground at all or you are basing your permutations on what happened in the past?

So you mean after the massacre of Plateau people by Fulani herdsmen, they will vote a Muslim-Muslim ticket?

We are saying the same thing Brother, Obi to win FCT, Benue and likely to win Plateau and Nasarawa.

Plateau has a lot of Hausa-Fulani there, plus the Governors influence.. The Muslims there have always agitated for @least a Muslim deputy gov, so I feel by supporting M-M of Tinibu, Tinibu will in turn help them in 2027.

Chinonye2022:
Then if you are a northerner supporting Obi what wil u b called? OBIdients are the reason Obi wil fail mark my word they don't know how to campaign i now ask again without north how can Obi penetrate?

Which north. ...?

I will be voting in the north, and Obi will sure garner lots of votes there..

Dsalvo:
You're a clown walahi. I bet you're married to a Hausa or Fulani woman and they have given you some cheap title where you're living and trading in the North.

That's why you can be stupidly shouting "power returns North" after 8 years of Buhari.

Nigeria is going to change for the better under Tinubu. Your Dubai candidate cannot win. Take that to the bank.

The guy you are quoting has nothing to do with Igbos..
He is an Hausa-fulani..

Nice One..

Same thing should be replicated in all the LGAs

Kwankwoso will do very well in NW and NE minus Taraba. The kwankwosiya movement is strong there.

You underate Peter Obi in NC, he will come either first or second there.

Tinibu may win Plateau, but it's gonna be very hard.
From my permutations Tinibu will just win the NC slightly above Peter Obi..
He has Kogi, Kwara for sure. Significant votes in the remaining 4 states +FCT might give him an edge.
Obi on the other Hand is sure winning Benue and FCT, plus significant votes in 4 other states minus Niger state.
Atiku has the chance of winning only Niger state.

Benue - Obi
Kogi - Tinibu
Kwara - Tinibu
Nasarawa - Any of the three can win here
Niger- Atiku
Plateau- Either Obi or Tinibu
FCT- Obi..

ACN had good outing in NC even before the formation of APC, look at the figures they pulled in 2011 in Benue even with an unpopular Nuhu Ribadu.

garfield1, Penguin2

Obi shouldn't allow Hausa-Fulani to control him. We don't need another GEJ pro-Max..

Visit SE/SS traditional ruler the more, the people of SE/SS also deserve to benefit from the campaign funds of Obidient, the south can't contribute for funds while you spend it in the north..

These people are good at politics, they are beginning to see the possible emergence of Obi, and as such have started positioning themselves for his eventual government.

Set your priority right.. Buhari serviced the North in the last 7years, its South's turn and so the next president (Peter Obi, God's willing) should service the South.

Penguin2:
Stop wasting your time on that guy.

Can’t you see he has suspended his brain?

His only hope is in Tinubu and his urchins rigging the election to “outmuscle” Obi. You can imagine

Abi oo..

Make I reserve my time for better people..
God Bless You Sir..

Bigleaf1006:
Obi cannot win rivers sir!! Rivers is beyond PH and bonny......those are the places you have sophisticated votes.....candidates of LP will be his greatest undoing.....those guys can and will be bought not to talk of poor illiterate votes themselves

The largest LGA in Rivers is not even PH. Its Obio Akpor, it has times two of Phalga voter number...

Obi wining just Obio Akpor, Phalga, Ikwere, Oyigbo. Will dust off any votes Tinibu and Atiku will get in the remaining 19LGAs.

I don't want to mention Etche, Opobo/Nkoro, Bonny, Ahoda East and West, Emohua, Omuma....
These are LGAs that has large population of Igboid groups..

Obi will sweep all these LGAs

Bigleaf1006:
Bonny is made up of many middle class,educated and enlightened people and will be identical to PH in voting pattern but this is just one of the creeks........2015 election is an example

Same thing is happening in other creeks. Finima, Opobo, Okirika, Omoku etc..

Obi will win Rivers state landslide..

muykem:
Atiku condolences message in respect of latest attack in Beune state is very unfortunate. I was shocked when I read it but I thought people might not read thesame meaning to it.

Atiku is a divider, nothing unifying about him.

I’m saddened by the sustained clashes between farmers and herders that led to the loss of lives, including those of police officers in Gbeji community, Ukum local government area of Benue State.

The continuous escalation of intercommunal violence does not bode well for our national unity and stability. Our diversity should not be a handicap but a significant strength if we endeavour to walk in love and brotherliness.

One way of harnessing our diversity is the envisaged constitutional reform that will emphasise inclusiveness. When our people are well integrated into communities where they live, work, pay taxes and raise their children, they'd be obligated to reciprocate the love and acceptance.

My deepest condolences to the families that may have lost a loved one and to the people and government of Benue State. -AA

This is what Atiku said about the killings..
The first bolded show where Atiku is calling a black white. Fulani herds went to a village and killed the people, Atiku said it was a farmer-herder clash...

The second blooded shows how Atiku is giving the the Indigenes conditions for them not to be attached by the Fulani herdsmen..

Penguin2:
Labour Party no get guber candidate?

Or why would Obidient be behind a known Tinubu supporter?

The woman is not serious..
Even Lulu Briggs of Accord would score more votes than her..
LP will clinch some National and State Assembly seats.

Obi is wining all LG here. 23/23..

I've stay in Rivers for the past 1year, and I have learn that their loyalty lies with Peter than Atiku or Tinibu.
It could have been a different thing altogether had it been Either or both Ameachi and Wike was on the ballot. Leaving the state next week though.. But I'm so glad that I contributed my little quota in Obifying some indigenes..

Bigleaf1006:
If magnus abe can pull this much weight and wike not being on atiku's side and pdp guber candidate is almost non existent.....bros apc will do very well in rivers......don't be deceived by all the obi noise in PH, there are more votes in the creeks than PH.......if you know Nigerian politics well, I need not say more

Bonny Island is part of the creeks you talking about..

I'm currently in Bonny. Obi will clear every votes here. Obi will score more two 65% in Rivers

Thinkam:
Obi you don't just wake up to run for presidency just 6 months to election, and you're running against career politicians with decades of ambition in NIGERIA.

OGA I await your withdrawal in December

Atiku is coming

You go wait taya

He was at Taraba state earlier today..

DaveDGreat:
Don't mind that mbaboy of a kid.

Such a poor mentality from Mikano boyz..

They have the mindset that good things should only come from them, if another does it then its hypocrisy.

Peter Obi leads, others are doing catch ups..

mbaboy:
commend nice gestures when you see one.

Did you guys commended Obi she he started visiting the flood victims..?

You guys insulted him and called him names just because he dared to do good to humanity.

Eye Service pro-Max according Reno Mockery wey Nugettsense.

Truthisunique2:
Impressive turn out

No "paid" straw today

Na just 40% is enough in SS

From 70% to 40%...?

Reality is gradually hitting you guys.
Just go to Gov. Obaseki Facebook page and see the comments of Edolites..

Incoming..

successmatters:
Journey into futility

Peter Obi is has the votes in Edo state and thr entire South south locked down.

Obaseki dey collect from Edolites in his Facebook page..

Edo was the first State to be Obified.

TinubuPikin:
Winners
RCCG
Salvation ministries
Deeper Life


Scammers in the name of Religion

Salvation Ministries will be exempted..

A Pan-Nigerian per excellence.

#ObiDatti

blancsn1:
This is not correct, I never said a little over 10K in Lagos. In fact, he pulled reasonable awareness level in Lagos Abuja n Benue, he can claim 100K vote in those places. I am just telling you about where is relatively unknown at all n where he is mistaken as PDP candidate.


You are not intelligent n lack comprehension as well.

Excuse Me Sir..

Obi will pull 100k votes and above in Plateau, Nasarawa, Kaduna, Taraba, Ondo, and Oyo states.

Will get 50k votes and above in Adamawa, Gombe, Kogi, Niger, Ogun and Kano states..

Lastly, there's no state in the Country where Obi will not surpass your 10k mark..

Brimstone77:
....

Before I start I want to make it clear that I'm a proud Igbo man and a supporter of peter obi,hence this post is not to criticize or bash the candidacy of obi..

I have been observing obi's movement, watching most of his interviews and his speeches,and I have come to a conclusion that obi may end up being another Goodluck Jonathan that spent all his time working for northerners just to please them but at long run got betrayed..

Since obi have been revealing his agenda for Nigeria I have never heard him talked about what he will do for ndi Igbo,or his plans to bring development and opportunities for Southerners,all he kept saying is how the vast land in the north will be industrialized and how he will establish commercial agriculture in the north..don't he have plans for the south??

Since he started his tour across the country meeting some political and traditional elites I have never seen him visit any governor or traditional leader in the east,it's either he is visiting his brother in the north or his friend in the west,all these are getting me worried,and I'm beginning to withdraw my support...

Flood have been ravaging anambra state (his own state) but when he decided to meet flood victims he started from benue a northern state...like what a fvck? I thought they said charity begins at home?

Obi Should asap tell the igbos how he planned to bring development and opportunities in South East if he eventually win or I will start a campaign against his candidacy across every social media..


I can't stand someone trying to please outsiders at the detriment of his own people..

I share in your sentiments 100%, Obi needs to prioritize Igbo land.
He needs to start visiting Igbo traditional rulers and these rulers should in turn ask him of his plans for SE..

But then, he has visited the Governors of Anambra, Abia and Enugu in recent times.. He needs to do more, visit every top traditional ruler in SE/SS. His advisers needs to let him know that his victory lies in how wide and deep he will win SE/SS, and this can be achieved by the amount of sincere promises he makes to us..