₦airaland Forum

Peter Obi's victory lies with Christian voters, and he must leverage on that..

Atikulooters and Urchins can wail till thy kingdom come..

Ttalk:
I think Edo state should be one of the state where any serious candidate among the three presidential candidate can pull a surprise with the right bargain and promise which I think Tinubu is good at.

Traditionally Edo state has been voting alongside SW party for so many reasons and since those factors are still accessible, it is possible for Tinubu to penetrate Edo South and Central to complement Edo north that is already in the kitty of APC

2015 SW voted APC, Edo voted PDP.. Same thing happened in 2019.. So you are wrong to say Edo state always vote alongside SW..

My opinion is that Tinibu can only win 6 out of 17 in Southern Region, no more no less.

What he can do is to at least 25% in 4 of the remaining 11 states of southern Nigeria.. That's achievable in CRS, Delta, Edo and maybe Ebonyi..

80k votes is achievable here.. Go Guys, and hit the street for Obi-Datti...

We would be glad to take @least 10% here..

@Penguin2
Obi can't win NC, reason is that, there isn't any state in the region that Obi can boast of a landslide victory, as the case in SE and some SS states..

From all Indications, he is winning Benue, FCT and maybe Plateau.. But can he do that with 50% and above..? I don't think so.. PDP and APC will each, take 25% here..

This is where Tinibu would beat him.. Emilokan is sure of 60% upwards in Kwara, 50% in Kogi,
40% in Niger, and more than 25% in the remaining states of Benue, Plateau, Nasaarawa and FCT.
Obi can't get 25% in all the states of NC but Tinibu can..
Atiku has lesser chance here. Man is now a regional candidate of NE&NW, just like Buhari pre-2015

Kyase:
I can't analyse for PDP but Atiku can't come third behind obi in NC

Tinibu is winning NC, but Obi is closely following him..

Obi is the holder of the bag that contains the 11 million votes Atiku was boasting about during the build up to PDP primaries..

garfield1:
Which state is atiku sure of in nc apart from maybe plateau

How can Atiku win Plateau..? It's between Tinibu and Obi..

Niger state is his closet bet in NC..
The highest number of state Atiku can win in the north is 6
Adamaw, Taraba, Gombe, Kebbi, Jigawa, Sokoto. In the south, only 2 from (Delta, Aks amd Bayelsa)

Kwankwoso will take 1st or 2nd in Bauchi.

Akinwumi Adesina's doing..

Dear Nairalanders, today is my 30th Birthday Day.. Please pray for me....

All those that conspired to kill her will be punished by the Mother Earth in no distant time..

Above all, May the Almighty bless her soul and grant her eternal rest in His kingdom. Amen.

Dry campaign

Nice one..

Let her bring the loot, we will chop and vote for Tony Nwoye of LP..

Obi took away the organic support Atiku had in 2019..

QuotaSystem:
They are warning you to build bridges first to avoid shutting yourselves out from the Presidency for the next 16 years (with the attendant agitations, self-inflicted marginalization and other opportunity costs) because of the obvious fact that an Obi win is a mathematical impossibility.


This can only be understood and appreciated however, if you take off your emotional lens.

For 16 years that Ndigbo align with PDP cum other regions, what did they gain...?

I know you are APC apologist and would say Ndigbo should align with Tinibu, but then again we want to build bridges within ourselves first..

So Obi is our negotiating power for the future..

I told people that Phalga, Obalga and Oyigbo determines who win what in Rivers state..

Some people argued that Obi won't win Rivers because he is unpopular in rural areas, they failed to realized that greater percentage of Rivers voters are in urban areas... Obi votes will in Rivers state will double that of Atiku and Tinibu combine..

As per guber election, SIM has no opposition..

Ttalk:
For the sake of Igbo race don't you think such effort would have been rewarding if he had declared under APGA, tomorrow Obi may not be in control of LP and he would lose all his supporters base he has built.

As it stand Obi cannot negotiate presidency for Igbo through LP, and can't form any alliance that would benefit the SE through LP.

Obi took the wrong step. He would have remained in PDP or moved to APGA and begin to build a political future, but he was to motivated by his personal and selfish ambition

For how long will Ndigbo keep salving for PDP...? Use your common sense.

No, region has given PDP support more than SE since 1999...., 2023 was the time of PDPshit to pay back, but they didn't..

I stopped reading when it was stated that "Obi presidential bid is a sabotage to Ndigbo"....
What effrontery.., Obi is our one and only candidate, Nobody can do anything about it..

mrksquare:
Evans Bipi cannot deliver Sim in Ogu Bolo and Okrika. Evans Bipi Influence is limited to Ogu. Beside, the person that is aspiring for House of Reps for Okrika/Ogu Bolo under APC is very popular. If the likes of Abiye Sekibo and George Sekibo partner together it will be dry vote for Sim.

Beside Okrika has always been carry go for PDP. But this time around it won't be uhuru for the PDP. Okrika people are not happy with the way Wike shelved mama peace aside.

In my ward of Port Harcourt, the votes will be shared amongst APC, SDP, Accord and PDP. I know PDP will resort to vote buying. Sim isn't popular. Beside, the perception out there ís that Sim is Wike's third term project. Rivers people are enlightened and detest a servitude.

What's your take in the presidential election..?
In Bonny, Votes will be shared between PDP, APC, Accord and SDP.. For guber..

As per President, Obi takes almost all votes..

Kayberg:


What kind of deception is this?

That code is for Ifediche Bundles and States eligible, with International Destinations.

Dial *131*12# and see for yourself, there you'd select 6 for Eligible States, and 99 for next, where you will find 7 for International Countries, to where you can use the bundles.

What I understand here, is that those states that pop up, are states where you can find Indigenous Igbos therein.. The Ifediche explains better..

Okoroawusa:
Ifele megbuo gi!....If you opening this thread can not visit your village. When I was warning your likes about Nnamdi Kanu did you listen?

Kita k'inacho omenala....

Igbo wannabe

OK..
The problem is that Tinibu makes gaffes at almost all his public speech.

He must surely drop another lyrics in his next outing...

Who go bet..?

Workch:
To be sincere, I do not see Peter obi getting 25% in any NE or NW state aside Taraba and Kaduna.
His best bet is Kogi, he needs to strike Kogi big time.
Kogi is very important

Kogi people are easier to convince than the chronic core northerners

Add Adamawa state, with little work, he can get 25%..
40% of the the Christians are with him, plus non indigenous voters like myself..

airsaylongcome:
Working for a “US Consult”? That’s a first. I’m 100% sure I ever said I am working “with one US consult like that…”

Regarding preparation, I have previously shared my advise on this

Alright, I will look it up..

airsaylongcome:
Have you been following the thread?

Partially, Yes..

I know you are once part of NLNG, and now working with one US consult like that..

You once mentioned about testing base on
Numerical reasoning
Verbal reasoning
Data checking..

Ngsooyaa:
How could we prepare? Please any links to practice questions?

@ airsaylongcome Sir, can you please respond to this..

doggedfighter:
Isn't this the man that was kidnapped during governorship elections ?





He became quiet afterwards.

It was his younger Brother that was kidnapped.

Munamoqel:
please proof otherwise . I wish to learn

Atikj can't get 25% in 6 SW states, 5 SE states and about 3 SS states.. Because Obi has taken the largest share of votes he got in 2019 in South Nigeria. That's 14 states already..

In the North, he will struggle to get it in Borno, Yobe, Kano(Kwankwoso has it here, Tinibu will get its share via Ganduje), Kaduna(Southern kaduna gave him almost all the votes he got here in 2019, now these people are aligning with Obi)..

Atiku has no path to victory..

tegrianonigltd:
Them no know say Christians dey there

Oh yeah.

They don't know what's going on..

iezeiyida:
Yes. But, you would have removed Adamawa and replaced it with Benue. Atiku's home state will fully vote for him

I will be voting in Adamawa state..
The Christian voting populace here are divided, 60% for Obi, 35% fot Atiku and 5% for others.

This 60% or votes will translate to about 150k to 200k votes.

Obi's votes in Adamawa, Gombe, Taraba and Bauchi will shock many..

Ihedioha should back Peter Obi NOW or kiss his ambition of becoming Imo state governor..

Wiked Wike..

Truthisunique2:
goal post don shift

You don't know the power of a governor, wike appointed 200,000 special advisers

If you believe umahi can't get 30% at least for his party then you are on a long thing

I am not even APC

And why did a PDP governor of Kwara state in 2019 failed to deliver Kwara to Atiku even with Saraki's influence..?

@garfield..

Another Likely 25% in Adamawa State.. This is the state I would be voting.

Babachir Lawal and Boss Mustapha are from Hong LGA, it has a majority Christian population, it's neighboring LGAs of Gombi, Mubi are also Christian dominated