₦airaland Forum

garfield1:
A Southern Ijaw chieftain, Prof Barango Opukumo Matthew Wenke, Jnr, has resigned his membership in the People’s Democratic Party (PDP). In a two-page letter addressed to the chairman, Ward 1, Constituency II, he noted that this decision became necessary following the crisis in the party.

Prof Wenke, Jnr, noted that he was unhappy with the maltreatment given to Governor Nyesom Wike despite all his contributions to keeping the PDP afloat thus far.


Stressing that those who maltreated Governor Nyesom Wike of Rivers State did the same to Dr Goodluck Ebele Jonathan in 2015 thwarting his second-term ambition, he stated: “This is a disrespect to the Niger Delta Region politically.”

Read also: Road to 2023: Group urges Benue APC to select deputy governor candidate from Apa/Agatu
“Therefore, as a foot soldier and strong supporter of Dr Goodluck Ebele Jonathan and Governor Wike, I can no longer tolerate this disrespect for the Oil Rich Region and her leadership.

“Following this continuous use and dump style of the PDP, I, therefore, see the flagrant disrespect for my godfather as disrespect for me and the Niger Delta Region at large.



“I, hereby, formally resign my membership of the PDP, because I want to be obedient and useful to my fatherland Nigeria.”

The letter was dated July 19, 2022. He controls over 10,000 party members across Bayelsa State.
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.sunnewsonline.com/southern-ijaw-chieftain-quits-pdp-over-wike-and-gej-ill-treatment-with-10000-followers/&ved=2ahUKEwjgiYmLp4f5AhWawYUKHeizDgsQFnoECAQQAQ&usg=AOvVaw12i0QWcZ98nhMR9RgVXwJA



Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Penguin2
Vicdom
Jewelofhell
Satanically
Frowland
Chrixxx
Okoroawusa
Ojuntana
Kyase
Bayelsaowei
Esseite
Famology
Indispensable85
Obuksbayelsa
Aaa569

Bayelsa is one state that will produce a shocker next year.

God bless peter obi. He's doing a great job for Tinubu.

oluwadabira111:
I think you are right with most of ya point...but I think Atiku should win the North Central...Atiku might win the general election with a slight margin....Forget all this OBI brouhaha noise...Atiku will surely win SS...Might flip SE...but it will be evenly divided between him and obi...Even Southwest might not deliver block vote for Tinubu if he goes on with his Muslim Muslim ticket...place like Ondo Ekiti might not vote in bloc for him if the Muslim Muslim ticket persist....A.P.C should surely win Northwest....though KwanKanso might pinch some vote here or there...I expect atiku deliver Northeast...without much ado...So the battle will be in the northcentral...any candidate that win that region with a very good margin would be declare the next Nigerian president...

I agree substantially with this submission but I'm dead sure that the South West will most definitely give Tinubu a solid bloc vote. The issue of Muslim Muslim ticket is just a propaganda. Tinubu made it clear in Ekiti that the Vice President position belongs to the north east and a christian.

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://www.vanguardngr.com/2022/06/apc-vp-slot-tinubu-condemns-rumour-on-muslim-muslim-ticket/amp/&ved=2ahUKEwiauLXnrcP4AhUMx4UKHdG1ClkQFnoECAMQAQ&usg=AOvVaw0yot59fkswAvJeQ5_2Hsaw

Yes anybody that wins the north central with good margin will most likely win the presidential election.

Abati and Rufai are obviously ignorant. The influence of the diaspora in Nigeria elections these days can not be overemphasized. In the last Edo State election,the diaspora campaigns was even stronger than at home. Rallies were held for obaseki in Canada and parts of Europe. Edos in diaspora flew down in their numbers to cast their votes and influence their families back home. It was massive!

The ignorant duo of Abati and Rufai should not forget that the Apc and pdp have chapters abroad. What's their function if they're not advertising their parties to Nigerians in diaspora who can in turn influence decisions of those they cater for back home? Hatred can sometimes make you sound foolish.

A friend in France threatened his parents and siblings with withdrawal of financial benefits if they don't vote for obaseki in the last guber election in Edo State. It was that intense.

colestephan86:
As I said before, kwakwanso is more than likely to strike a deal with who he presumes will win the general election.
I am confident that he won't merge with obi cos it will be futile effort to do that.

Absolutely!

Prinxzona10:
I want to respond to you because you didn't used any abusive words on my message buh we need to be truthful to ourselves at least for once..
Firstly,don't put words in my mouth because I didn't said that Peter Obi will win 100% buh the truth is that in the whole of South and North Central with the way things are going now,Peter Obi will likely win if the momentum keeps on going higher and Peter Obi supporters should also derive a means to curtail any rigging or vote buying....
Nigeria is not affecting me and it will never affect me buh the reason i'm trying to help for a better candidate is for the poor masses,the downtown and the less privileged...( people are really suffering and it hurts so bad to see them hungry,crying and dying especially since the APC government came into power,if we can be truthful to ourselves)
Just travel outside the country and see what's obtainable everywhere,it's only a tribal bigot,religious fanatic,ethnic extremist, an unexposed,illiterate and hungry people that still supports Tinubu or Atiku because they got absolutely nothing to offer and every sane mind knows that..
Even if you guys hate Igbos buh my hate on Igbo politicians supersede the hatred you guys have for an ordinary Igbo person...
My anger skyrocketed immediately they denied Yemi Osibanjo the ticket buh we shouldn't rely on the past rather we face the future and Peter Obi have some similarities with Yemi Osibanjo..
Sir,I love Tinubu's political genuity and sagacity more than you buh I wouldn't use because of them and jeopardize the lives and future of over 200 million people,it's wickedness and evil and hope you guys understand and retrieve your steps before it's too late....
These Igbo and Yoruba hatred starts and ends here and not in outside world because I do my business and keep friends more with Yorubas..
I wish I made some sense and I also wish you have a rethink...a word is always enough for the wise.... I rest my case..Gracias!!!!

Firstly, nobody denied Osinbajo the Apc ticket, he was roundly defeated in a free and fair contest. He didn't even finish second,so Tinubu was never his problem because in his absence Amaechi would've been the candidate.

Secondly, I don't hate Obi or any ibo, my analysis is dispassionate and realistic. The bitter truth is that Obi does not have what it takes to win a national election just yet especially in a narrow party like LP.

Finally, this is democracy and we should all learn to respect the rights of one another to make choices. Have a great day.

tycoolest:
i know you support obi but try to realistic with urself the only region certain for obi is SS&SE obi will not win a single state in the north and you must be joking about southwest, you think southwest will vote obi after you make the election tribal, i can sure you tinubu is getting nothing less than 70% vote in southwest, i will urge you to go check voting pattern whenever southwest has a major candidate on the ballot.
the vote obi will get in southwest is from igbo living there and few yorubas, tinibu is getting block vote, the election is now tribal, any good observing mind will know this movement is tribal

100%

Penguin2:
Lol.

Don’t make me laugh. It’s too early in the day for a smiling face.

With what is happening around Obi right now and what is to come, Obi doesn’t really need someone as popular as Kwankwaso. Just someone who can guarantee some fraction of the votes from the core north.

Now talking about structure in Kano and other Northwest states, you remember Anambra and Edo elections?

APC was still the ruling party when they lost these states because the people didn’t want them.

Kano people don’t want APC anymore. They don’t want Tinubu and they don’t even like Buhari again.

So, how will structure deliver a disenchanted people?

Let me quickly correct you about Edo State because that's my state. Obaseki left Apc with more than half of the party structure and went into the pdp with an equally formidable structure in the state. PDP is very strong in Edo State. They've always won the general elections in Edo. Their only problem was the state election.

Let's not delude ourselves bro. If Buhari is on the ballot for 2023 he'll still win Kano handsomely. We thought they were disenchanted in 2019 but baba still got over a million votes in Kano and swept the entire north west again. All the federal lawmakers in the north that left Apc for pdp never returned except Dogara from bauchi. Bros leave Buhari matter oooo.

My poser to you now is that: who's now that person that can deliver the fraction of northern votes you talked about for Peter Obi as a vice?

tycoolest:
you obviously dnt understand northwest is sealed for tinubu, apc has at least 14 state in the north if not more than that, he has been holding several meetings with those governors for more than 2yeras now while atiku was busy enjoying life in dubai and you think they will dump someone who has always shown interest in them for someone who dnt care about their interest.

This was the same thing we told them before the primary election but they never learn. When the results came out they started crying Tinubu bought delegates. I just dey laff

ArewaNorth:
Only fool will fail to understand this. A very interesting effort by the two parties to give us easy ride to Ask Rock

I don't know if they can't see this themselves. A divided opposition is no opposition. It would've been interesting if Obi/kwankwaso could form a merger. They're making it an easy ride because the both of them have succeeded in emasculating the pdp and atiku without knowing it.

tbarrister:
Their audacity baffles me o

Lol.......one of them up there said it's just remaining the NW and NE to be taken. All other regions have been captured already. Hahahahahahahaha.............laff wan kee me oooooo.

Crixxx:
Its okay to be mad you can also stay mad, you will comeback around when you're done sulking

Dunce!

Prinxzona10:
He's a paid Tinubu supporter,they are afraid because they never expected what's happening on Peter Obi as the Presidential candidate, they are analysing everything to suit their sentiments, so you shouldn't ve replied him,so that they will keep on fooling themselves and comforting their souls.
Mark my word,The only region that remain for Peter Obi is the 2 core Northern regions because the South East,the South South,the North Central and the Millions of enlightened South Westerners too..(The APC greatest mistake was to denied Yemi Osibanjo the ticket)
See, Tinubu will not even win South West because people's eyes are opening and many educated Yorubas will be eager to make a statement, forget what all these myopic simpletons are doing here,constituting nuisance in hyping their demi god Tinubu and the system of rigging or thugs will be curtail this time because people are tired and ready to deal with any miscreants , thugs or agberos this time...
If not for financial inducement, tribal or religious sentiment,how would a sane man especially the youths supporting APC,the same party and the same man that brought calamities in the Country,the same man that kept mute when the Fulani herdsmen murdered people in his own region just for his own selfish desire..person that prefer his ambition to a human life...damn..
Apart from that,he's sick,fragile,old,greedy and highly corrupt...
Oppressed defending their oppressors buh someday,their eyes will be opened and it will become a regrettable mark inside their souls.. I rest my case...Gracias!!!!

Okay we don hear sir. Obi will win everywhere in Nigeria 100%. Hope you're okay now? Byeeeeeeeeeeeee....... enjoy your delusion.

tamdun:
I've been saying this, pdp is the biggest loser because majority of those supporting kwankwaso and obi now were formerly pdp supporters

Absolutely!

pacesetting:
I don't know about others, but Benue is Obedient.

Lol...... Obi win in Benue State?

FalseProphet1:
I've bookedmarked this thread.

By December/January when all the cabals you're hoping to rig your Lord tinubu in the north have successfully decamped to other parties I'll quote you to remind you.

In the meantime enjoy your day.

Lol....u suppose dey comedy section

Olatunji1929:
you didn't see kwankwazo influence because buhari was on ballots you will see his influence now that his is on ballots I'm 100% sure kwankwazo will get more vote than obi because the guy is love by northerners

Valid point!
Like I said before he's only going to be a spoiler like Obi. Nothing more

tbarrister:
Ignorant analysis . who knows obi in north central?? Who cares about him? I'm from there and we will only vote PDP or apc or nnpp. We don't even know laborers

Those guys are just too infantile and unrealistic.

Crixxx:
This 1 I talk pain am because he knows it the truth

Take your idiocy off this thread. Like I said before it's not for kiddos. Now bounce!

Penguin2:
Let’s not be emotional like you said and be practical.

You admitted Peter Obi frenzy is sweeping across Southeast and Southsouth. That’s about 90% of SE votes for Peter Obi and 70% SS for him. Whatever percentage that is left is for Atiku and Tinubu.

Now, you dubiously refused to recognize the fact that there was a 1 million man match for Peter Obi in Lagos and Ibadan. There may have been other states in Southwest but I’m sure of those two states. The implication is that SW is not completely immune from the Peter Obi frenzy like you wrongly painted.

Again if Tinubu ends up going with a Muslim Muslim ticket, more Christians in the Southwest will vote against him. You know this fact. Except you want to be emotional and sentimental.

At the end, Peter Obi is getting nothing less than 30% from Southwest. This could be more but let me be circumspect.

Now, in the north, Southern Kaduna is more OBIdient than Igbos sef. Same with Plateau, Taraba, Southern Gombe, Southern Bauchi, Benue, etc. Before you argue, remind me which state priest barred faithfuls from entering the church for not having PVCs. Who do you think they want the PVCs for? Atiku and Tinubu?

So in the end, we might see Obi winning Plateau, Taraba, Benue, Southern Kaduna, Southern Gombe, Southern Bauchi, etc. That will be about 60% of North Central votes. You know this, except you wanna be emotional.

Now, if the deal with Kwankwaso materializes or even if it doesn’t and Obi gets another popular northerner as Running Mate, that will give him a little chunk of the votes of the core north too.

Calculate the percentages and that’s victory for Obi.

Now, tell us, aside Southwest, where else is Tinubu sure of votes after Kwankwaso conquered northwest?

Don't forget,the north west is entirely Apc dominated with governors,senators,rep members,house of assembly members, LGAs chairmen, councillors, political appointees. They'll all work assiduously for the party at all levels. Buhari will be working for his party too in the zone don't forget. That's the structure we talk about.

There'll be no merger of Obi and kwankwaso. That's obvious, nobody will step down for anybody. I'm not sure Obi can find any northerner half as popular as kwankwaso from the north to deputize him.

Penguin2:
Let’s not be emotional like you said and be practical.

You admitted Peter Obi frenzy is sweeping across Southeast and Southsouth. That’s about 90% of SE votes for Peter Obi and 70% SS for him. Whatever percentage that is left is for Atiku and Tinubu.

Now, you dubiously refused to recognize the fact that there was a 1 million man match for Peter Obi in Lagos and Ibadan. There may have been other states in Southwest but I’m sure of those two states. The implication is that SW is not completely immune from the Peter Obi frenzy like you wrongly painted.

Again if Tinubu ends up going with a Muslim Muslim ticket, more Christians in the Southwest will vote against him. You know this fact. Except you want to be emotional and sentimental.

At the end, Peter Obi is getting nothing less than 30% from Southwest. This could be more but let me be circumspect.

Now, in the north, Southern Kaduna is more OBIdient than Igbos sef. Same with Plateau, Taraba, Southern Gombe, Southern Bauchi, Benue, etc. Before you argue, remind me which state priest barred faithfuls from entering the church for not having PVCs. Who do you think they want the PVCs for? Atiku and Tinubu?

So in the end, we might see Obi winning Plateau, Taraba, Benue, Southern Kaduna, Southern Gombe, Southern Bauchi, etc. That will be about 60% of North Central votes. You know this, except you wanna be emotional.

Now, if the deal with Kwankwaso materializes or even if it doesn’t and Obi gets another popular northerner as Running Mate, that will give him a little chunk of the votes of the core north too.

Calculate the percentages and that’s victory for Obi.

Now, tell us, aside Southwest, where else is Tinubu sure of votes after Kwankwaso conquered northwest?

Lol..... My guy you went overboard. The percentage you ascribed to Obi in South East and South South are not just possible let's be dispassionate about this. The pdp is still very strong in those regions.

We're talking about votes, you're talking about match. Anybody can do 1million match for anybody but that doesn't translate to votes. Most of these 1million man match are usually not upto 50,000 people. There's a 1million man match being organized for Tinubu later this month in the south east, but it won't translate to votes on the deal day.

By the way I love the fact that you can engage in intellectual debates with points. Others are just emotional and insultive. Lol.....

FalseProphet1:
Tinubu wasn't supposed to win that primaries, he easily bought the delegates and they voted for him, everyone knows that...

Elections is different, Peter Obi would even get sympathetic votes from northerners than tinubu.

When you listen to El Rufais son and some of Buhari's aids rants on tinubu you'll understand that what IBB did to Abiola that he vowed never to handover to him despite the fact that he's victory was free and fair would be a child's play compared to the betrayal tinubu would face from them.

Aren't you tired of spewing rubbish. Please try to engage the productive part of your brain sometimes.

hopman98:
Nice analysis bro. Another advantage BAT has is he belongs to the ruling party who are hellbent in keeping power unlike PDP who be mumu in 2015. Buhari, the cabals and APC governors will work hard so as to ensure that their political strength, weaknesses and acts are protected by another 8years of APC rule

Absolutely!

Jashub:
You're talking based on assumptions , especially in places like Benue ,Plateau. People in those regions are tired of being killed and they want something better

Politics is a science bro. My analysis is based on precedence and existing political structures in those areas. Just wait and see. Have you asked yourself why Apc keeps winning Lagos and PDP keeps winning Abia?

Factcheck0001:
obi will win every region 100%

Other candidates won’t even get 1 vote

Hahahahahahahaha..... that's what they want to hear.

Crixxx:
Maybe the dullards are making the analysis based on North West and South west have WEST in common

The analysis is too complex for your infantile brain to comprehend. It's actually not for your type- the emotional political neophytes.

sosanova:

Another confused South west Thief-nubu Amala and ewedu zombie spewing thrash analysis

You guys are incapable of any intellectual discourse, always emotional and senseless.
By the way I'm from South South. Edo State to be precise.

Olatunji1929:
I agree with you but don't forget that kwankwazo will cause serious damage to Tinubu votes in the North expecially in kano and katsina where apc use to get bloc votes

The president is expected to win his state handsomely for the APC. Don't forget Buhari influence will count in the north west too eventhough it has reduced drastically. And the North West APC governors will work for their parties too. I think the APC will still do well in the region. I do not expect kwankwaso to do too much damage outside Kano. How does he expect to take over from another north westerner? By the way I didn't see much of his influence in the North West for the PDP/Atiku in 2019. Although the PDP rallies were full of red caps but it didn't quite reflect in the votes from the region. He's an influential personality no doubt.

FalseProphet1:
Leave them let them keep dreaming.

What they don't understand is that the core North wouldn't support tinubu, they've already made it clear that they don't like him after his emi lokon outburst.

This decamping is just the beginning, by next January APC would become a regional party.

I still remember your infantile postulations about Tinubu before the Apc primary. Una nor dey ever learn. Mtcheeew

Crixxx:
Afonjastistics.
"Obi and Kwankwoso are helping tinubu in the sense Obi will pack the vote of the East & Kwankwoso will pack the vote of the North and Atiku will get the votes of SS which will help tinubu pack all the votes of the East, North, SS and SW which will make him our president of Irabiji cemetery yen yen yen"

Stupidity exists in certain people's lineage

It's easy to spot a lunatic

mesonet:
All these stewpid analysis. North Central is Obi 100%. A large junk of west will vote Obi. There are silent followers in core north.

We have only campaigned do 2 weeks and gathered this momentum. Next few months will give you a better picture.

Obi has free advertisers, volunteers not bought with money. This is priceless. How many politicians - Atiku, Tinubu, or even Kwankwaso will people volunteer for free? We have volunteers even in core North for Obi. How many free volunteers does Kwankwaso have in South and North Central? Zero

One of the emotional political neophytes

Hoelujohn:
Are you sure about this or you don't want kwankwanso to destroy the northwest votes for Tinubu? See sense oo. Don't worry. We want all of them to contest.

Kwankwaso highest votes will come from Kano. He'll only get some bites in other North West states.

I want all of them to contest too.