We are saying the same thing. The estimated revenue is 4.48t not 5.78t. Hence, there is no money for the subsidy. Otherwise, the FG would need to cut current plans by 1.3t or borrow it. All are bad options. Still, there is potential money or deficit depending on whether the expected oil price of $90/bbl holds - my expectation is that it is likely to be lower than that, which makes things even worse for Nigeria.
toba: well im still not satisfied. we are being tricked and lied to.
The 1.3t was at least part of the 2011 budget of 4.43trillion naira meaning it was sourced from where the entire budget was sourced from. so where is the source of the 1.3 trillion to be saved? if they want to tell us its going to be sourced from same place as the budget then the 2012 budget = 4.48t +1.3t=N5.78 trillion.
we have bad accountants and economists in Ngr govt. simple
Good observation. They already spent the N1.3t that would have been used for subsidies on other things. That means there is nothing for all these refineries and other things they are promising to spend the savings on - in fact the current budget already includes a deficit.
The Nigerian government does not even have a good accountant
toba: we need to ask ourselves that where is the so called N1.3t going to come from? it wasnt included in the budget and so are they also going to borrow money to have the N1.3t to spend? we are simply fooling ourselves.
did GEJ tell us how much was budgeted in the yr 2010 fiscal yr for subsidy. was it as high as 1.3t ? how much was spent annually since he came to power with yar adua in 2007? how come just in 10month we spent 1.3t to cater for the 35million litres of PMS that we have been consuming since 1999?
under obj there was a time oil price rose up to $140/barrel yet we didnt spend 1.3t to subsidize. in 2011 oil price stood between $80-$105. how did they spend 1.3t ?
That is the misunderstanding right there. You cannot wait to observe the price effects alone before you move - the damage would be done already .
The only way prices would not rise, at least in the next 6 months, is if demand goes down dramatically - but that is saying the same thing as economic activity declining.
The government has to preempt the damaging effects on the economy, especially in the very short-run. Once the economy goes down the road of inflation or decline it might be too late to "catch" it.
Obiagu1: Agreed. Some of the savings will be used to cushion the effect which I call "indirect partial subsidy".
Where we have disagreement is that you are demanding for it "now and not later" like you said or you'll strike, demonstrate, etc. Assuming the government tells you 20% of the savings will be ploughed back to the economy to help cushion the effect and you agree but it turns out that they actually needed to plough back 40% to make it easier for Nigerians, who do you then blame? Go on strike again? Demonstrate, riot, whatever?
Government will handle the situation as it unfolds and prices might only rise to "near" affordable levels without any help from the government.
I hope this "lazy" strategy is not what GEJ has in mind. It amounts to kicking the can down the road like previous governments, which makes the situation even worse the next time it has to be dealt with.
A more delibrative and analytical approach would lead to full deregulation without "killing off" the citizenry. The end result would be shared sacrifice between government and the people in the short-run, and then we get the long-run benefits.
Looking at the long-run benefits without properly addressing the short-run difficulties mean that neither the short-run nor the long-run benefits will be gained by govt. and citizens.
toba: I think we misunderstood this whole policy implementation coupled with the strategy adopted by Ngozi, Gej and Sanusi.
They siad 'we would commence the removal of fuel subsidy from 2012/2015' meaning they didnt intend to do it at once.
Now just as the op said, we shd strike and protest, then the price will come to about N100 then in 2014, the price will get to say 130/140 final destination.
Its tactics as told by OBJ.
houvest: The way I see it the removal will not be done completely. Eventually there will be negotiations and government will pipe down and remove just some of the subsidy not all. No matter how painful or costly economically it is for GEJ, he will not want to fight so many battles at different fronts at the same time. By the time Labour cripples the economy, Government will come to negotiate as OBJ did. I think that Govt strategy is to aim at the sky and fall at the roof. The restlessness in the Nation coupled with the BH and other issues make it difficult for the govt to be rigid about this issue
Yes, my post pointed out that GEJ was going to remove subsidies no matter what. So, yes continuing the subsidies was going to make the government go broke - "the economy will collapse" is the way GEJ likes to put it.
My point is that the alternative is not to make Nigerian's broke either, while making promises that will never be fulfilled like your "refineries might spring up" idea. Not only are the refineries not going to bring the price down they are untimely.
The whole point I am making here is that GEJ must provide immediate measures to cushion the effects on the average Nigerian. In other words, a large portion of those savings must go directly back to low- to middle- Nigerians.
A responsible government would not implement a policy with such far-reaching consequences for the common man's economic welfare without deep analysis and understanding of how it could damage the economy.
The sad part is that after damaging the common man, careless implementation of policies like this damage the entire economy - because the common man is the economy. GEJ is fond of banding out a growth rate of 7% - well this has the potential to cut that rate by half if good care is not taken - reductions in fuel consumption is equal to reductions in economic activity. It is as simple as that.
Obiagu1: Good, I agree it is our money but you wrote this:
What's the picture you portrayed in the above post look like? A country that is going broke! Get it.
When we no longer have Excess Crude Account because it was depleted to finance your subsidy, where do you expect future funding for the subsidy to come from? More taxation? Desolution of the government because they have no more money to work with?
The probabilities in my statement were in line with my position, government is not absolutely certain the extent of measures to help out her citizens in the eventual rise in prices but they know the measures to take. Get the difference.
Did you buy anything last week or take public transport or buy petrol? Estimate what you spent last week or last month, then calculate what you spend over the next week and month.
The difference is how much your well-being or effective income has been reduced by removing subsidies.
Now think of the common man who is barely eating one or two full meals, and has to get on the bus to work - add the difference above to how much money he doesn't have, then you will begin to get the picture.
ActiveMan: Please i really want to know the
EFFECT OF FUEL SUBSIDY ON THE COMMON MAN ON THE STREET
no big grammar. enlightening me and other Nigerians who want to know
As I said, you are either defending without understanding or being pretentious.
FYI information, it is not GEJ's money - it is Nigerias money. The citizens have the right to dictate how their funds are used - get that straight.
Just look at the things you proposed below:
1. "power supply will be deregulated so probably in the nearest future, you won't have to use those generators any more"
2. "Refineries, public or private, might spring up to take advantage of subsidy removal and the impact of subsidy removal will be minimized"
deregulation = won't have to use those generators? ; refineries might spring up?
You think powerplants and refineries grow out of the ground overnight? Are you kidding? Now, you are the one not making sense.
I am not interested in this sort of display or pretense or both.
I just hope this is not the state of knowledge GEJ & his advisers are operating from or banking on. Else, he would have just ruined the next 3 years remaining of his government.
Obiagu1: The two statements do not add up and do not make sense.
First of all, the essence of your OP was that the GEJ government should provide you palliative measures sooner than later. It's like trying to force someone to pay for your medical expenses "now" when you're not yet sick and have not gone to see a doctor.
So lets stick to the topic. Now the question is what do you want to get? Of course, prices will rise but to what level? No one knows. People still use generators at home but power supply will be deregulated so probably in the nearest future, you won't have to use those generators any more. Refineries, public or private, might spring up to take advantage of subsidy removal and the impact of subsidy removal will be minimized.
So in essence, you're asking for what you don't know yet and have not experienced.
Okonjo-Iwella has said that measures will be put in place to "cushion" any adverse effect that might come up due to subsidy removal. The extent of such measures is not yet known so you have to give the government the chance to manage the situation if things do not go well.
It is the right of people to protest (did you see riot in my write-up - mind the difference will you), go on strike (when salaries no longer covers your expenditures then you might as well down the tools).
Go and look at my other posts on this - SUBSIDY REMOVAL DOESN'T SAVE ANYTHING, IT IS MERELY A TRANSFER FROM CITIZENS TO GOVERNMENT. A huge tax, if you will - it forces the Nigerian people to pay for what the FG used to pay for.
I am sure GEJ knows the impacts of the subsidies on welfare, as our most able Okonjo Iwealla has surely explained to him - and it will be substantial.
If you still don't get it, think about it this way. Assume for a minute that fuel consumption in Nigeria stays the same before and after removing the subsidies. What does that mean? You are basically asking Nigerians to pony up an extra N1.3+ trillion for fuel. If that is taking from the same income they currently have then those activities must decline by that amount. In reality, what would happen is that people will not consume the same amount of fuel, they will reduce it. That means the associated economic activies will be reduced as well, then count the effects of inflation on the "psyche" of the economy. The only savings from the removal of subsidy comes from eliminating those receiving subsidies, but supplying "phantom" fuels to the nation - but this unlikely to be a large proportion of the subsidy, contrary to what the FG would have us believe.
Obiagu1: @ koruji
Are you people bent on disrupting the government through riots, strikes, etc even when you have admitted that removal of fuel subsidy would save the Nigerian State from inevitable collapse?
Why put the cart before the horse? As it stands now, no one is absolute certain of what would be the immediate impact of fuel subsidy removal, so why "demonstrate how bad the removal of subsidy is to your welfare" when you've not yet felt anything yet? Why go out to demonstrate to "force GEJ to provide the palliative measures that he knows are needed SOONER THAN LATER" when some possible palliative measures were announced by Okonjo-Iwella some time ago?
Palliative measures will come in in phases as events unfold.
1. The allocation for subsidy in the 2011 budget was exhausted very early in the year.
2. Since then the FG has being using extra-budgetary sources to finance the subsidies. First, it was through the depletion of the Excess Crude Account, and then by October it was being deducted from the State Allocations. This is what forced the states to support subsidy removal.
Given the above, there is no way that GEJ was going to make provision for another N1.3+ trillion in the 2012 budget for subsidies. That would be allocating more than 25% of the budget to subsidies.
Thus, as I opined a couple of weeks ago GEJ's government was going to get rid of the subsidies come 2012, no matter what, since the states will successfully sue not only to block the deductions, but to recover what has been taken from their allocations.
The states are yet to receive their full October allocations as we speak.
So here is the fact: Gasoline Subsidy is gone in Nigeria at least for now.
The FG has been told in no uncertain terms that the jack-up in prices is unacceptable. GEJ has acknowledged this and made a vague promise not to impose "suffering on Nigerians". He has also said something to the effect that the benefits of subsidy removal will be seen within 6 months. In reality, it is not clear what he is talking about since none of the projects being promised to Nigerians will be completed within 6 months or 6 years for that matter.
So here is my interpretation.
GEJ has prepared a set of alternative palliative measures (like previous governments, that would include restoring the subsidies in some form).
However, he will only make this available DEPENDING on the fallout of the subsidy removal - including inflation, shortages, protests, strikes and so on.
He is obviously not being open about it. Some highly placed people have been taken into confidence, compromised or he is simply holding the card to his chest.
My advice to Nigerians are: Do not sit back. Protest loudly. Get on the airwaves. Go on strike. And otherwise demonstrate how bad the removal of subsidy is to your welfare.
Bottom-line: force GEJ to provide the palliative measures that he knows are needed SOONER THAN LATER.
He would not grant this unless he sees that NIGERIANS ARE NOT GOING TO TAKE THIS LYING DOWN.
That is reflected in the first item, but inflation tend to have a greater impact on the "psyche" of the economy that goes beyond market transactions. So, yes GEJ's government is on a slippery road downhill.
mikeansy: Koruji what about the impact this will have on inflation and goods pricing. You forget that everything depends on the cost of petrol in terms of transportation/energy cost?
This is a very dumb move!!! this Government will bear the brunt!!!
Sorry for you. Where is your bicycle going to come from? Abroad, imported.
You will still be competing for foreign exchange - nothing has changed except the government is going to keep more of the nation's revenue to support its frivolous spending.
stagger: Well, it has finally arrived.
This week, I am heading to a sports shop to buy a sports bicycle to be riding around my neighbourhood and surrounding areas.
Nigerians, we need to readjust out mentality now and start riding bicycles to improve our physical fitness.
I am losing my pot belly in three months, and I am sure our ladies will find it attractive if their men follow suit. So let us stop complaining about the subsidy removal. I am one of those against subsidy removal 100%, but the fact is that by the time Nigerians stop using cars the way we use them, the demand for PMS will fall and the service station owners will be forced to crash prices to attract patronage.
People keep talking about money saved as if the payments for gasoline were not being made by someone already.
There are no real savings here, but merely a transfer of funds from the populace to government. The only potential true savings are from eliminating marketers that deliver "fanthom" fuels, but receive subsidies. Without data, it is hard to estimate how much of the subsidy is wasted this way, but it is unlikely to be large.
There are three types of real potential losses to the Nigerian economy: 1. With a more than doubling of the fuel price Nigerians will have to reduce their consumption of fuels and the associated economic activities. The multiplier effects will be even higher than the direct reduction.
2. If the reduction in consumption in Nigeria and other countries that are raising prices is significant enough this can reduce oil prices by a couple of dollars or more if other nations do not buy up the excess supply left on the market by these price increases. A loss for Nigeria's economy, which depends on oil exports.
3. The biggest loss will come from the fact that our officials will be jacking up their outlandish consumption over the next couple of years, while contributing zip to the economy. Your promised refineries, roads and bridges will take another 20 years to put together by which time the "saved" funds would be long spent.
There are a number of options to prevent these losses, but I dont see anything coming out of GEJ's Aso Rock.
Princek12: Even though I am somewhat on the fence on this issue, I am leaning towards in support of the removal of the fuel subsidy. While it appears on its face that ordinary Nigerians would suffer because of this move, I think the country would benefit from the subsidy on the long run (assuming the money saved would be used to develop our decayed infrastructure).
Although this action by the president is commendable this should have been done at the state level.
Those behind BH seem to be planning for a much wider war, and have stayed a step ahead of the government. Government must then take 2 giant steps in order to catch up and 3 to get ahead. That would have required a state-level emergency declaration, not the local government.
Still, it is my hope that this move succeeds - or expands quickly as needed to achieve success.
Beaf: [size=14pt]Nigerian cities in lockdown after emergency decree [/size] From: AFP January 02, 20121:59AM
NIGERIA began the new year Sunday under a state of emergency in areas targeted by Islamist attacks as soldiers flooded hard-hit cities in a bid to end spiralling violence in Africa's most populous nation.
Residents in the northeastern city of Maiduguri reported a sharp increase in patrols and checkpoints, with soldiers in pickup trucks and armed with rifles stopping vehicles and forcing drivers to exit while also questioning them.
In the central city of Jos, security agents took over local government headquarters and two helicopters hovered overhead, while intensified patrols occurred on the ground.
I hate it when people talk unrealistically about negotiations - or may be this is simply what they are supposed to be saying.
The question is how do you negotiate with a group that is looking to establish its own theocratic state? Where is the BH headquarter? Who is their leader, and where does he reside?
Beaf: [size=14pt]Nigerian cities in lockdown after emergency decree [/size] From: AFP January 02, 20121:59AM
Many of his previous pronouncements sought to minimise the attacks and reassure the country that the violence was only temporary and would soon be brought to an end despite near daily shootings and bombings.
While some welcomed the declaration, others raised concerns that it would provide legal cover for soldiers to carry out further abuses.
A military task force in Borno state has been accused in recent months of killing civilians and burning homes after bomb attacks, claiming residents collaborated with the extremists.
"The declaration of a state of emergency by the federal government will not stop or reduce the spate of violence across the affected areas, but will simply be a blank cheque for human rights violations by security agents," said northern-based rights activist Shehu Sani.
"Civilians will continue to be at the mercy of the military and the militants. Dialogue still remains the valid option to end this bloodletting."
The country was also facing the threat of protests, as regulators on Sunday announced the start of a controversial measure expected to lead to an increase in petrol prices.
Hundreds of people have been killed in 2011 alone in attacks blamed on Boko Haram, most in the northeast.
An early version of the group formed in 2004, though it has taken on different forms since that time. It launched an uprising in 2009 put down by a brutal military assault which left some 800 dead.
It is believed to have several factions, including those with political links as well as radical Islamist cells.
There has been intense speculation over whether it has formed links with outside extremist groups, such as Al-Qaeda's north African branch.
I have seen many videos like this. The problem is that even when they are supporting truth they tend to go overboard in the evidence they provide. However, in many cases both their claims and the evidences simply fly in the face of well-known history, and I might say science.
Which agenda did Buhari outline apart from saying that Nigeria will "live with the consequences", that chaos looms, and that he will not work with GEJ's govt?
Or does an agenda for Nigeria consist of what looks like an extract from a coup speech about cutting salaries and suspending foreign travel.
He campaigned and debated in 2010, and did not set out a vision strong enough - so I don't know what agenda you are claiming for him now.
The fact is that even kids know what needs to be done when there is a crisis situation - though they might have no idea on how to accomplish it.
The challenge of true leadership is to transform from the abscence of war to durable peace and on to unshakable prosperity.
So far, neither GEJ nor Buhari seem to have a good agenda for Nigerian prosperity, but I still prefer GEJ to Buhari.
As a reminder this is what Buhari stated:
Buhari - Chaos Looms Nuruddeen M. Abdallah 29 December 2011
Former head of state Muhammadu Buhari yesterday said the country is sliding into total breakdown of law and order because of injustice, bad governance and "massive and mindless" stealing of public resources.
In a bluntly worded statement he personally signed, in reaction to the Supreme Court judgment dismissing his party's petition against the presidential election, General Buhari said Nigeria was "now a fractured society, corruption everywhere, violence everywhere, a sense of helplessness and hopelessness nearly everywhere."
He said unless the leaders of the country move fast to arrest the situation, chaos would set in and there would be breakdown of law and order.
But he said it does not look like the leaders are concerned with the grave situation, as while "the country is sliding into this chaotic state, PDP governments at the centre and in the states are engaged in massive and mindless plunder of the country's resources in total disregard of the suffering masses."
"The country now is in an emergency situation. Law and order can break down at any time. Those in charge of the country should be warned that promises and sweet words are no substitute for practical action. To avert the looming chaos in the New Year, immediate steps should be taken to drastically reduce the cost of governance in the three tiers of government."
Buhari detailed the governance costs he wanted slashed: "Salaries and especially allowances should be drastically reduced; security votes should be abolished - not increased as the 2012 Budget has done. Votes for the Armed forces, Police and Security Services should be transparent and accountable; foreign travel and estacodes should be stopped for at least six months other than for the Presidency, Ministry of Foreign Affairs and medical emergencies. Government House expenses in all the states should be drastically reduced, foreign travel suspended for a while.
The National Assembly should give a lead in reducing their allowances substantially and stopping their foreign travels. These savings should be applied to education, infrastructure and agriculture with emphasis on youth employment through meaningful and practical emergency programmes. The public will see through any cosmetic or token gestures and will not tolerate a continuation of status quo. Corruption and plunder are the root causes of unemployment, insecurity, violence and unrest."
He added: "If all hands are on deck to help save our country from imminent collapse we should stabilize. When that happens Nigeria should take a close look at the country's structure in a calm and unemotional atmosphere. Hopefully we may come to a better form of government to see Nigeria through the next 50 years."
Buhari unsuccessfully contested for president in the April election on CPC's platform, and his party challenged the results at the tribunal, even though he personally refused to join the case. The Court of Appeal earlier dismissed the petition for failing to convincingly show that the elections were rigged, and yesterday the Supreme Court concurred.
On yesterday's judgement, Buhari said: "All who witnessed the conduct of the 2011 elections would know that this decision of the Supreme Court is politically motivated and has little judicial content."
He said, "This Supreme Court has proved no better than the Supreme Courts of 2003 and 2007" having toed a similar line of dismissing the election petition.
Buhari said this year's election "eclipsed all the other elections in the depth and scope of forgery and rigging."
He criticised INEC chairman Attahiru Jega, who he said "was touted as competent and a man of integrity. He has proved neither."
DuDelignc: They say Buhari did not win the election, Jonah did. Then why is Buhari calling the shorts, in fact, setting the agenda. A few days ago, after stating the obvious, that Nigeria is in a state of emergency, Buhari went further to outline his idea of the way forward for Nigeria. Suddenly, here it is two days later, Jonah has declared a state of emergency. Could it be that the "loser" is teaching the "winner" how to run a government without charging for the expert advice?
Ancient history cannot be constructed with certainty - even with the Bible being my prefered holy book, it is a fact that many of the non-witness accounts recorded in it are versions of human origin stories that were widespread around the world.
The book you quoted in your folow-up post called the Israelites neither black nor shemitic blacks, just shemites.
Ham was the son of Noah widely believed to be the progenitor of all black people. His descendants were historically the ones that occupied the African continent and its borders with the Middle East. Cush was a son of Ham, and blacks were generally known as Kushites or Ethiopians.
Similarly, Egypt is Mizraim, the brother of Cush. So, if the Bible's version of events is what we are following the ancient Egyptians, Kushites (Nubians), other black Africans (and perhaps other black people) were all Hamites.
By the way, the Israelites that left Egypt would have been in the 1000s, and nowhere close to millions.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mizraim Mizraim (Hebrew: מִצְרַיִם / מִצְרָיִם, Modern Mitzráyim Tiberian Miṣrāyim / Miṣráyim ; cf. Arabic مصر, Miṣr) is the Hebrew name for the land of Egypt, with the dual suffix -āyim, perhaps referring to the "two Egypts": Upper Egypt and Lower Egypt.
Ugaritic inscriptions refer to Egypt as Msrm, in the Amarna tablets it is called Misri, and Assyrian and Babylonian records called Egypt Musur and Musri. The Arabic word for Egypt is Misr (pronounced Masr in Egyptian colloquial Arabic), and Egypt's official name is Gumhuriyah Misr al-'Arabiyah (the Arab Republic of Egypt).
According to Genesis 10, Mizraim (a son of Ham) was the younger brother of Cush and elder brother of Phut and Canaan, whose families together made up the Hamite branch of Noah's descendants. Mizraim's sons were Ludim, Anamim, Lehabim, Naphtuhim, Pathrusim, Casluhim (out of whom came Philistim), and Caphtorim.
buzugee: First off, Happy new year. Now that we got that out of the way lets get down to business. If you think what i am saying is wrong why dont you offer the right representations of what happened ? logically, if i disagree with something, i would offer without it being requested of me, the right explanation. Or is it that you dont know the answers but feel the need to throw in your hollow 2 cents ? Prove me wrong. thats all i ask. you cant because my point is backed by numerous history books as well as the bible as well as all kinds of historic encyclopedic periodicals. PROVE ME WRONG. oh and there are many varieties of african black people all over the world but they all fall under shemetic or hamitic. this is the easiest way to know-dark skinned tall lanky caucasoid features, streamlined face and islamic is 99 percent more likely to be hamitic. the rest are shemetic
The below not only contains egregious errors, but flies in the face of historical, archaeological, biblical, oral and other types of evidence about human existence on planet earth.
The sad part is some people would read this and start attaching "meaning" to it, whereas it is really a load of rubbish.
How do you jump from Semitic blacks to 12 tribes of Israel? Even if one were to accept the Bible version of history the gap between Shem (Semitics) and Israel (12 tribes) were several hundred years and generations.
Also, there are not two kinds of black people, there are many many varieties of Africans & of black people.
etc.
Let me start by saying that all 'black' people are not the same. We are not from the same seed. There are two kinds of black people. The Hamitic black people and the Shemitic black people.
Hamitic black people will encompass the hausas, fulanis, cushites (erritreans, somalians, sudanese, and ethiopians) and the ancient egyptians (not the ones who live their today. those are ishmaelites or arabs ). Hamitic black people though black skinned are almost always tall, lanky, stream-lined faces, aquiline noses and caucasian features. So next time a somalian or ethiopean person tells you that they are not negro, they are right, they are Hamitic people. Hamites are almost always muslims. Hamitic black people are from the seed of Ham. There is a biblical curse on them. The curse of ham. this is why everytime you turn around they are almost always in some severe pestilence such as severe famine etc etc.
Shemetic black people are the so called 'negros'. Your so called 12 tribes of israel. These are the ones that have been cursed for disobeying the lords laws. These people have been in one kind of slavery or another ever since we lost favor with God from being used as slaves in egypt to build the pyramids (our slave masters then were the hamitic black people. the ancient egyptians) to being rescued by moses and taken to israel, and then been enslaved in israel and taken into a 70 year exile in babylonia by nebucadnezer to being allowed to return back to israel and then to being invaded by the romans and kicked out of israel into all parts of africa to being enslaved in africa in the trans-atlantic slave trade. the yorubas and igbos fall under this group. shemetic black people have wide noses, wide faces and what you generally will refer to as 'negroid features'. they are almost always christians and still maintain their ancient hebrew tradition of circumcision of their male children before 8 days. shemetic black people are from the seed of shem
Hamitic and Shemetic black people are not the same and have different religions and the hamitic blacks (fulanis and hausas) have enslaved the shemetic blacks (igbos and yorubas) in the past. Our religion is also different and whenever you have a situation in which both types of black people exist in a country (such as in mauritania, sudan and nigeria), there is always violence and conflict. the hamitic blacks feel superior to the shemetic blacks and feel like they should rule over them. That in a nutshell is the framework and blueprint to the boko haram conflict.
I am now, more than ever convinced that this is not about western bruhaha to get oil. Heck, nigeria is the most subservient nation you would ever get on the planet. You dont need to bomb us for our oil. you can have all the oil you want. we, as a country are docile and peace-loving. we are not 'rogue nations'. this is not about oil. this is about weaponry. outside forces are stoking the flames of a traditional life-long disunity between hamitic and shemetic black people and in return they get to peddle billions of dollars of their weaponry. its all about the dollar dollar bill yall.
So now the President has moved as suggested below. Although quite late the President's move is still a good one. I hope the fact that the state of emergency is limited to a few local governments is based on knowledge of the sources of this virulent groups calling themselves BH.
Still, apart from putting down these groups where they are currently operating, there are two other objectives in the recommendations below. Preventing cross-border movements is one. However, the most important objective is to address the wack-a-mole nature of this group. That requires a line of defense in case they attempt to move around.
Given that, I hope that the president's SOE declaration and land border closure is only the visible part of his actions, and that a line of defense is also being established around the local governments where BH is known to be active.
koruji: I am sorry, but words mean nothing right now.
There should be a BH war room in Aso Rock by now. After the Xmas bombings, GEJ should have:
1. Closed all our land borders on the northern half of the country - for a month in the first instance. 2. Immediately establish a line of defence across the country from just above Abuja involving roads, river and air. 3. Declare a state of emergency in several northern states, replace their governors and put army generals in place.
The only consequence of rigging an election should have been a vigorous challenge at the courts - it seems that Buhari failed woefully, and that should be the end of the matter.
Underage voters were voting up north, people were stuffing ballots down south - so what is the basis for all this violence?
For much of our 50-year history the northern elite rigged, couped & otherwise forced themselves on us as rulers. So I ask again, what is the basis for such violence in this case?
IBB single-handedly cancelled the fairest election in our history, but did you hear of any bombings? So I ask, what is the basis for violence in this case?
A virtually dead man ruled this nation for almost 3 years, with his minions & wife taking over rulership, instead of the constitutionally designated official of the Federation, GEJ. Did you hear of any bombings? Or was that not grave enough for you? So again, what is the legitimate basis for violence in this case?
I hope you are merely providing excuses for this violence. However, if politics is the basis for Boko Haram then the north has something else coming - Nigeria ends in 2015.
I hope Beaf is not rejoicing over any of the above. I still think GEJ & his minions, like Beaf, have handled Nigeria badly over the last couple of years, but that does not change the above facts.
ndu_chucks: If Buhari, who condemned the dastardly acts of Boko Haram is not considered an elite, then you need to provide us with your definition of the word. I warned you of the obvious repercussions of rigging the presidential elections and you accused me of threatening GEJ. I hope you now see that my observations back then were spot on - you can continue to wallow in denial if you wish.
You should be ashamed of yourself for writing the bolded. Why are you prescribing brute force for the Boko Haram problem when your fellow terrorists, MEND, who also murdered innocent Nigerians in the name of freedom fighting, got amnesty and negotiations? olodo
BTW Negro_Ntns, is a sensible poster unlike you, whose objectivity has been compromised by blind loyalty. You don't need to label him as a terrorists because his opinion differs from yours.
A blast has rocked an area near a mosque in the restive north-eastern Nigerian city of Maiduguri.
Witnesses said four people were killed but a military spokesman said there were two deaths, in a shootout between robbers and security forces.
Another army spokesman told the BBC the Islamist group Boko Haram was behind a "major incident" in the city.
Maiduguri has been plagued by attacks from Boko Haram, which wants to impose strict Sharia law across Nigeria.
The group has said it attacked several churches on Christmas Day, killing at least 42 people.
"There was a loud blast near the mosque just after the Friday prayers as people were trooping out of the mosque," one Maiduguri resident was quoted by the AFP news agency as saying.
"Everybody scampered to safety, leading to a stampede."
Another witness said he had seen four bodies.
A military spokesman, Lt Col Hassan Mohammed said armed robbers had attacked a market near a mosque, killing two people and critically injuring a third.
Another military spokesman, Brig Gen Isa, told the BBC there had been a "major incident". He gave no details of casualties, but said the army was holding Boko Haram responsible.
The group has been accused in the past of carrying out robberies to raise funds.
Tens of thousands of people have fled their homes in Maiduguri and other cities which have been attacked by Boko Haram, especially in nearby Yobe state.
Earlier this week, Nigeria's main Christian group warned that the community may have to defend itself if the security forces could not protect it.
Analysts said the move raised the spectre of communal clashes in Africa's most populous nation, which is divided between a largely Muslim north and a mainly Christian and animist south.
On Thursday, Nigeria's President Goodluck Jonathan summoned his security chiefs to discuss the Boko Haram threat.
The leaders of Chad and Cameroon, which are close to Maiduguri, are reported to have held talks about how they can help prevent the violence spreading across their borders.
The group, which originated in Maiduguri, this year staged suicide attacks on the headquarters of the UN and the national police in the capital, Abuja.
It was also responsible for a string of bomb blasts in the central city of Jos on Christmas Eve 2010, as well as a New Year's Eve attack on a military barracks in the capital.
Unbridled capitalism destroys really fast, unbridled socialism destroys really slow. What Nigeria needs is to apply capitalist and socialist principles where appropriate.
There is no nation on earth that relies on pure capitalism or socialism.
The prepondarance of the evidence favors more of capitalism than socialism, but the slope to disaster on both ends are very steep.
There should be a BH war room in Aso Rock by now. After the Xmas bombings, GEJ should have:
1. Closed all our land borders on the northern half of the country - for a month in the first instance. 2. Immediately establish a line of defence across the country from just above Abuja involving roads, river and air. 3. Declare a state of emergency in several northern states, replace their governors and put army generals in place.