₦airaland Forum

press9jatv:
😂😂😂 Tinubu ma lule piii Lekan siii. Osun State where he hailed from will serve him first breakfast in Yoruba Land before other Yoruba states serve him more breakfast. Tinubu is a goner.

The old man no wise, he should have endorsed Osinbajo instead of disgracing himself like this 😂

DadaHammed:
The urchins know ObiDATTi has won already, but they are still praying for a miracle and hoping against hope.

It's really a pathetic situation for them. I can feel their anguish 😂

9jii:
It was the 25% from the NW and NE that made GEJ to won 2011 election.
No wonder Kwankwaso said Nyamuri don't know politics.

Mr Ignoramus, 2011 was a two horse race, so anyone to win, the person must do well in all regions. However, 2023 is different, it's a horse race, getting 25% in 24 states with simple majority is all that is needed.

Obi can get 25% in 24 states and still win simple majority regardless of what happens in NW and NE.

Most of you urchins are totally dumb yet so arrogant in your ignorance.

[quote author=aylive02 post=121126536]PDP Internal Crisis: The leadership of the Middle Belt Forum has directed the people of that region to vote for Peter Obi during the presidential election.

- Adakole Ijogi, Political Economist, Member, PDP.

PDP Internal Crisis: The leadership of the Middle Belt Forum has directed the people of that region to vote for Peter Obi during the presidential election.

- Adakole Ijogi, Political Economist, Member, PDP#CTVTweets #2023Verdict pic.twitter.com/uBWcOk71iU

— Channels Television (@channelstv) February 22, 2023

, jungle just dey mature Wotowoto!!!

God bless all Nigerians working tirelessly to make this country a better place.

abdul23:
So we shouldn't go and vote again because you want to play God abi. We shall see. You should be mobilizing people to show up that day so this your permutations can work very well.

My brother, I'm mobilizing day and night! Seeing Nigeria work in my lifetime is my prayers!!!

I'm only saying this to boost confidence so that people will go all out to make it happen.

Pauldollars:
The North has two strong candidates. Even though one is weaker than the other.

The South also has two strong candidates. Although one is weaker, despite being in the ruling party

The middle belt vote cast will play a great role in determining the winner of the Presidential election

Only massive rigging or vote buying will stop Obi now.

Obi currently has same zones Jonathan used in winning 2011 election. Obi wins SE, SS and NC. He then comes a close second in SW.

On the other hand, Atiku, Kwankwaso and Tinubu will balkanize NW and NE votes. So, why is it so difficult for them to see that Obi is on his way to Aso rock? Except they have other sinister plans.

ahiboilandgas:
Southern Nigeria is supposed to present a single consolidated candidate if they really wanted power rotated back. You have to be strategic. If it is tinibu then he should lead to get the power on behalf of the south then rotate with the east or west . This strategy . But now the southern votes are divided tinibu banking on south west and far North and North east plus 2 north central .obi hoping on south east , South south and Christian North. This permutation cannot win .against ATIKU banking on Northwest ,North east ,South south and fragment of pdp strong hold in east and Christian North.

Are you a juvenile or just another ignorant adult?

Go and check INEC records for 2011 election results. Buhari won your NW and NE yet he lost against Jonathan!

Obi currently has same zones Jonathan used in defeating Buhari in 2011. To even make matters worse for you, Kwankwaso, Atiku and even Tinubu will now split same areas into pieces😂😂

Lol, continue deceiving yourself. Saturday is just next two days!!!

[quote author=AcuraZDX post=121127542]The people of Ika Land are fully OBIDIENT!!!

After showing Ned Nwoko shege at the campus yesterday, they came to the streets to make their stand known!!

Watch the video below

This is the hometown of the governor of Delta State and vice presidential candidate of the PDP.

WE WILL NEVER VOTE FOR ATIKU, WE ARE NOT STUPID! pic.twitter.com/I8gw9E2OH0

— ./🌐EM♚♔🌐./ (@TheEbayMichael) February 22, 2023

bless them all!!!

This is where Okowa comes from yet these people refuse to do tribalism. They even disgraced Ned Nwoko and Okowa wife yesterday and told them to go away, Obi is who they want!!!

However, some others want to vote for a criminal and a terrorist because he comes from their region.

All I know is that the just shall live by faith. History beckons and posterity will judge us all.

Softmirror:
YOU KNOW DEEP IN YOUR HEART THAT PETER OBI CANNOT WIN. HOW?!.

IF PETER OBI HAS A MIDAS TOUCH. IT WON'T BE ABOUT HIM. POLITICIANS WOULD HAVE DROPPED THEIR PARTY AND HEADED TO JOIN LABOUR SO THAT HIS WINNING AURA WILL PIVOT THEIR OWN WIN. TELL ME JUST ONE POLITICIAN THAT IS RELEVANT IN LABOUR PARTY
Maziaugment

Tinubu and Atiku are using money to buy over politicians to their side. Peter Obi doesn't do such rubbish!

Politicians know they can always join LP any time after the election. So, they only want to use this period to cash out.

Luckysbab:
He has just proven your head is filled with trash.

Lol, you're just a misguided urchin Tinubu is using as abobaku😂😂

Wasted generation!

Urheadmaster:
They look like bandits

More like jagaban urchins.

AmehTsaev:
I'm in Lagos now and every major roads from Mainland to Island you drive through you must see combat ready soldiers and army trucks everywhere, these soldiers no dey even respond to your greetings, very fierce-looking and business-like. I even saw a couple of them conducting drills around one of the busy roads , I suspect in preparation for the election this weekend...each time I see this proud men and women in uniform, I just smile and tell myself that dem no born any Tinubu and MC Oluomo miscreant to misbehave on election day, you do anyhow you go collect anyhow.

Yes, they're in Lagos for two reasons:

1. To prevent hoodlums from interfering with election.

2. To ensure law and order after Tinubu's disgrace at the polls 😂😂

computer0810:
Another mentally troubled person posting nonsense

Accepy condolences in advance because I know many urchins won't survive it.

YungMillionaire:
It has everything to do with it. If you're known for low iq submissions, why should any reasonable human being pay attention to any of your submissions?

It's only a matter of days. Even Tinubu is gradually accepting the fact that he can't win but urchins like you are still doing strong head.

You all will cry blood soon.

YungMillionaire:
Are you not one of those that said Buhari is dead and is now replaced by a Sudanese, El jubril? If your brain can concoct such nonsense, why should I read even a single line of your ipobic submissions?

Are you sure you're mentally okay? What has this trash you wrote got to do with anything?

Urchins on the loose.

yarimo:
You need to take your malaria drugs seriously

Sorry, you're the one suffering from cerebral palsy.

donbachi:
You no hear sey we no get party polling agents

You're not current my brother, LP currently has the highest polling agents after their merger.

This old phool is still wailing over Buhari's best policy in 8 years while Obi silently walks his way into Aso rock?

Many of these old rogues will die of heart attack on Saturday 😂

The fact that Kwankwaso didn't step down has made it easy for Obi to win on the first ballot, I will explain:

In 2011, Buhari won the NW and NE by wide margins yet he failed. However, virtually all the areas Goodluck won that gave him victory are now more or less in the bag for Obi. SE, SS & NC are likely to be won by Obi. Again, Obi is also likely to be a close second in SW.

On the other, NW and NE that gave their votes to Buhari in 2011 yet he failed are now going to be split by 3 major candidates! To worsen matters, the use of BVAS will drastically reduce those weird numbers NW used to churn out, coupled with Buhari's disappointment that will demoralize voters in this region, thus leading to aparty.

Lastest records released by INEC shows that all the SW states collected the least percentage of PVC. Without Lagos, SW and SE has roughly same voter population. Now, add the fact that most SE people collected their PVC while SW didn't, then you should know which region will experience the worst voter aparty. Also, SE is more homogeneous than SW, and while Igbos give block votes, SW votes are always split to irrelevance.

SS has far more voters than SW without Lagos. And yes, I keep putting Lagos aside because it's more or less a mini Nigeria with all ethnicities represented.

If at this point you can't see that Peter Obi is your next president, then I can't help you. You will be cleared on Saturday!

[quote author= post=121108469] [/quote]This is just dress rehearsal 🤣🤣

I pity urchins and agberos that will zuzu on Saturday, I see many of them being dumped in oke afa canal😂😂

Aboki99:
Peter Obi's supporters are cock-a-hoop about what they see as the highest chance of their hero winning Nigeria's presidency next Saturday.

Are their optimism and excitement factually/statistically justified?

Let's do the arithmetic.

PO's strongholds are the SE and the SS, two zones with the least number of votes!. Granted that PO can scavenge some votes in the SW, but it's crystal clear that Tinubu will carry the day in SW eventually.

In the north, the Obidients rely on pockets of votes from northern xtians. But are these enough? Not at all. Since 1999, the northern xtians have never voted along the same line as the Muslim core North. For example they have never voted for Buhari. Yet, in 2014 and 2019 Buhari was able to win signifying the political insignificance of this voting bloc to a candidate that can garner votes in the core north and other parts (Tinubu?). Similarly, PMB was able to win elections without the votes of the SE and SS in both 2014 and 2019, which also trivializes the importance of these two Obi's main strongholds in determining the ultimate presidential winner.

So, for Obi to win the presidential election, he would, as a matter of necessity, need votes from Muslim voters in the north. But does he look set to get it? The truthful but bitter answer for Obidients to accept is No with a capital N. Problem is, the Obidients want to market Obi in the day as a pan-Nigerian candidate but brandish the news of Obi's endorsement by popular pastors/Churches whose altars Obi has turned to campaign platforms. This, rightly so, confuses the average northern Muslim voter and makes them pause to ask some legitimate questions[ Imagine Buhari going to the mosques to campaigns in 2014 or even 2019, what with the reaction be like from voters in say the SE?)

Not even the votes in Plateau and Benue, two states Obidients have also placed high, convoluted hope on can do anything to offset the bloc northern muslim votes. Here, the Obidients will conveniently bring up the issue of Kwankwaso who, as they argue passionately, will magically divide these votes for them to conquer and win the race. In making this highfalutin assumptions, the Obidients forget two crucial facts: 1) the muslim northern voters are never known, throughout Nigeria's political history, to cultivate the habit of wasting their votes. The average northern voter might not have gone to school but they're the most sophisticated; 2) Despite pulling some intimidating crowds in a couple of states esp in the nroth, the truth is Kano is Kwankwaso's main sphere of influence. Even there, I can't bet a penny that he'll win a simple majority for reasons adumbrated above.

Now, my only concern is what the reaction of the Obidients will be when the bubble of their alternative reality finally bursts. I hope they'll peacefully pick up the pieces, lick their wounds, move on and say "better luck next time".

Personally, I do not see any credible candidate worthy of my votes among the current pack of wolfs, but I know for sure that this 2023 election is a contest between Tinubu and Atiku. Yet, while I know this for a fact, I also have to admit that the outcome of this contest is highly unpredictable. Tinubu has 22 APC governors behind his back, huge war chest, media control and so on. Atiku has the support of some powerful members of PMB's kitchen cabinet, considerable war chest, and some current public angst to latch onto.

If you press me hard to rate the chances of the major contenders, I'll come up with something like these:
1. Tinubu 35%
2. Atiku 34
3. Obi 20%
4. Kwankwaso 9%

May God choose the best candidate for us.

First of all, you're a dishonest person. Secondly, you're ignorant of facts on ground. Thirdly, you're an urchin don't disguising himself.

Lastest records released by INEC shows that all the SW states collected the least percentage of PVC. Without Lagos, SW and SE has roughly same voter population. Now, add the fact that most SE people collected their PVC while SW didn't, then you should know which region will experience the worst voter aparty. Also, SE is more homogeneous than SW, and while Igbos give block votes, SW votes are always split to irrelevance.

SS has far more voters than SW without Lagos. And yes, I keep putting Lagos aside because it's more or less a mini Nigeria with all ethnicities represented.

Buhari won NW and NE in 2011 yet Jonathan defeated him. Have you forgotten that, you North worshipper? That election was even one against one yet Goodluck won. Now compare to 2023 that has 3 major contestants splitting NW and NE votes among themselves while Obi more or less retains the same areas that gave Jonathan victory in 2011!

If you can't see that Tinubu has lost already then it shows you're absolutely ignorant.

Peter Obi is your next president.

killALIEN:
I was referring to the post, not yours actually. We on the same page, you missed that.

Accept my apologies bro, my bad!

pocohantas:
Worse when you remember that Payoneer would take a whooping $10 (N7500). Money wey you fit manage for 1 week. Very painful every time I see it happen to a beginner.

I thought payoneer takes only $3 or have they increased it?

phemmyfour:
Go school, you no gree

Even when North is divided, a division is still greater than the entire SE

Imagine this little rat, divide NW into 3 and tell me if one part is greater than SE. Obi is still ahead in SS and NC, while doing well in SW.

Nobody in your miserable family is half educated as me.

Atiku and his supporters are full of sh1t. This desperation and copy copy is becoming ridiculous. It was diaspora Obidients that started coming back to Nigeria to vote only for only for Atiku to start sponsoring this propaganda.

Obi also began international tour only for Atiku to copy and got stranded 🤣🤣.

Obi is just teaching these old men how to do play politics in a modern way.

peepydelano:
If na dis style dem wan use again, I trust the omoluabis to do a better version because they have more people living abroad than the nyamris

Almajiri, go school you refuse, now see how you're embarrassing yourself.

You think abroad Nigerians are foolish and petty like you? Over 95% of Nigerians (whether Igbo, Yoruba, Edo etc.) returning to vote are all voting for Obi. Nobody will pay for a return ticket only to come and vote for Tinubu or Atiku, except those hoping to gain personally.

I pity those that will try to buy votes because they will be lynched to death by angry youths.

coldFLARES1:
How about Kwankwanso steppping down for Atiku 2 days to the election? Of course it's the Joker these Northerners are holding.

Fortunately for the North, even though poverty is weaponized over there, they're most likely to exhibit the "herd" mentality especially if instructed by their respected clerics. The average northerner would elect a goat of northern extraction over a professor of Southern descent. Don't talk about the sufferings of the past years because they're always quick to dismiss it as the will of God.

So, if Buhari does his bit by hampering BAT's capacity to rustle the Northern herd through vote-buying and Kwankwanso is impressed upon to make the sacrifices of retaining the presidency in the North by stepping down; then all regions support their own while having the usual abysmal low voter turnout in the South, tell me how Atiku won't be declared winner by this time next week baring any postponement.

To be honest with you, the worst thing that can happen to Nigeria is Tinubu and Shettima winning the election. I still consider Atiku a less evil relative to Tinubu and his Boko Haram vice.

That said, even if Kwankwaso steps down for Atiku, it doesn't mean he will still win automatically. Getting 25% in 24 states remains his biggest challenge. Again, coming down so heavily on Tinubu and also frustrating Obi at the same time will only unite the South against the North which will threaten the existence of Nigeria.

However, I don't see Kwankwaso stepping down for Atiku because that will bury his ambition of ever ruling Nigeria. His best chance is to contest, lose, become North's most popular leader then contest against the Southern president in 2027.

conductor250:
See them. After voting Buhari in 2015 they fled to Texas with forged certificates to work as nurse.

They should be imprisoned and deported. All.

Someone should call Abike Dabiri, the yeye woman has been hiding since this news broke out 🤣🤣

hotwax:
I just pray Buhari deploy soldiers against MC oluomo boys in lagos...if that happens, Tinubu ti lule niyen

There are more than enough soldiers currently in Lagos even though more are still being deployed.

Agberos and Tinubu urchins are already feeling the heat. They either soji themselves or be wasted. The choice is theirs.

Pleasant01:
Lol....why should we remove Lagos from SW?.... and states in SW are not even up to 7 🤡🤡

It's common sense, Lagos is a mini Nigeria, just like Abuja. It's more or less neutral.

kingthreat:
So it is Abuja that is sending Igbos to kill fellow Easterners?
Only low-thinkers will value your cheap propaganda.

You're such a senseless and dumb re.tard! People on ground are telling you facts and you're here saying rubbish.

I watched a video where one of these gunmen caught alive confessed he was an indigene of Akwa Ibom.

Fools!!!