₦airaland Forum

PHILipu1:
.

You make me laugh because you reason one side and don't reason the other side.
It is two way traffic and not one way.
Even in Jonathan Bayelsa state in 2015,there were people that voted for Buhari and APC and don't expect that the whole of Katsina ought to be PDP when we have yaradua family there too that are strong PDP members.

Also know that Politics is all about the money,people are paid to print those posters,people are paid to post them and drivers are paid to drive those vehicles with this politicians posters.
Do you want those Katsina people to turn down such opportunity to make money and probably own those cars after elections?

Saraki,Dogara,Tambuwal,Dino etc knows that majority of them rode on the SAI BABA mantra to be where they are today and leaving Buhari party will be the end of their careers.

Saraki and dogara are still young not like Atiku and they can wait for Buhari to complete the north 8 years and then south will go for 8 years and then they can contest when it is the north turn again and i don't see them leaving APC before 2019 Instead they will wan to build a base in APC.

Do you think that there are no Christians in the north and kano that will vote APC and Buhari just because of Osinbanjo?

****

Do you know that about 40% of Katsina indigenes are Christian? You won't believe because it is a core sharia state. Those Christians voted heavily for Buhari in 2015. But I can assure you it won't happen again unless you have not been to Katsina and attend their church for full 3 weeks. In all my stay in Katsina, only 1 Christian said something favorable about APC.

Aside these Christians, PDP has large followership among the Muslim population. Thanks to the Yar'Adua family, Shema and Tata. You won't believe currently this Tata, Governorship Aspirant has better positive rating than the sitting Governor, Masari.

Katsina has sizable Shia population muslims.

Yes! Buhari will win Katsina in a free and fair election, but not with a landslide like in 2015.

You listed all these without Patience Jonathan? Sorry, it is trash.

Jesusloveyou:
nobody can win in kano, kaduna and katsina without the influence of buhari, even when buhari was not a president then, kwakwaso could not win when buhari support shekarua, and shekarau also failed when buhari supported kwakwaso.

That was before Buhari was demystified. He doesn't have such following again, especially among the Christians Hausas and Shia muslims.

I am telling you this based on experience.

Atiku, you are bad, but far better than APC. Since you are the lesser evil, we shall Atikulate in 2019.

Spartcus1 so this is the devilish party you want us to vote? Thunda faya yhu and Sarrki.

spartacus11:
Who cause d insecurity PMB or pdp, whose tenure did d insecurity start. who liberated the north east PMB or pdp. Stop fooling urself



So southern kaduna is now the entire kaduna abi? Ask those same people d horrors they had gone through for d past 16 years under pdp in d hands of el-zazaki who bcame a god unto himself



Ur stupidity of dis marginal vote has not stop olodo, dey is nothing like marginal vote



who liberated NE from Boko Haram PMB or pdp, who reclaim captured territory under Boko Haram PMB or pdp



Olodo, who freed d chibok girls PMB or pdp, who sent them to school PMB or Pdp or Atiku, who is paying their fees PMB or Atiku or pdp
Is it d same girls pdp said never got missing, is it same girls pdp said were fake and a mirage



Just keep deceiving urself if dat makes u sleep well at night, dasuki, diezani, fuel subsidy scam, sharing of dollars by gej during election to obas, still fresh in our minds


So Atiku is not fulani, and what is moderate about atiku



100 of atiku can not defeat Osibanjo not to talk of PMB

It is a pity a supposed Political Analyst doesn't know what margin means. APC won SW with a margin of 500k votes. Anambra rendered that margin useless by giving PDP 98% of their votes (600+ votes). Go back to your Secondary school for a refund.

There is still insecurity in the NE. Recently Adamawa, Atiku's State threatened to leave Nigeria for Cameroun.

Sorry, there are about 5 Million shittes and they will vote for Atiku heavily. Shittes, Southern Kaduna and Zaria, heavily populated by Christians and Shia Muslims will make Kaduna a hell for APC to win.

Freed them or not. The truth is they are undergoing rehabilitation in Atiku's school by Atiku's staffs.

Yes! We elected Buhari to put an end to all those corruptions, yet he failed. So we are testing new person.

Yes! We see Atiku as a Moderate.

Sorry, Atiku will decimate APC.

PHILipu1:
Can 10000 of Atikus and Kwankwosos divide the votes in the north with Buhari?
Stop dreaming.

Buhari on life support will defeat this guys with landslide here in the north.
Any northerner that even want to contest with Buhari will be tag as an enemy of the north.
Watch out and see

PDP is gathering momentum in Katsina, Buhari's home state.
Go to Katsina and ask about Tata.
In Katsina, you won't believe there are more cars with Kwankwanso's sticker than Buhari. After Buhari, then Abacha.
Shekarau, Kwankwanso, Kano Christians and Southerners living in Kano will deliver about half of Kano to PDP if they walk together.

Kwankwanso has the 2nd highest followership in NW after Buhari. APC won't even allow him to leave but he is leaving if he ever wishes to be President.

Dogara and Saraki will both decamp with time. It is certain. This will be towards the election time, because decamping now is too early and it will make them lose their elected seats.

Buhari will be buried in 2019. It is certain.

spartacus11:
Ur level of reasoning is just so low


[What is surprising me with ur calculation is that, u think SS/SE will give their total vote to pdp and SW/NW/NE/NC will be so stupid to split their vote to both parties

U think other regions are blind?

U think they didn't see how u people voted, u think they will be willing to make that same mistake ]


When SW/NW/NE/NC know say una for SS/SE nor go split una vote, why do you think they will split theirs, abi na only SS/SE sabi give block vote? You think they are so dumb and blind

U can't be selfish with your vote and expect other region to be generous with theirs

Oga 2015 was a wake up call, and it was clear SS/SE is a pdp dead zone, and other region are waking up to this reality why do u think pdp have been losing more state in other region compared to SS/SE, don't expect NW to split their vote for Atiku it won't happen

I don't see Atiku winning 25% of 2/3 of 36 states including FCT SS/SE don't have that numbers 11 states which we know for sure minus Edo which has become an APC strong hold

I don't see Atiku winning Borno, Kano, Kaduna, Lagos, Osun, Edo, Ogun, Katsina, Sokoto

Even more pdp are going to decamp to APC from SW to across the North, take it or leave it, pdp has lost the mobilizing power, they can only attack APC what what will they show nigerians that they have done for the past 16 years

What are they going to market? If you really don't understand nigeria politics u should sit down and learn, for the past 16 years pdp have been loosing out in election in Nigeria
Why did u think OBJ adopted the rigging formula, do u think his party would have lasted 16 years in power?

We all know SS/SE to be pdp dead zone bcus d share d money formula is still in their blood, if Delta/PortHarcourt/Akwa Ibom resources had been utilize well Johannesburg, Casablanca won't compete with the level of infrastructure in those state not to talk of Lagos or Ogun

But today Lagos/Ogun stands out why PH/Delta can not even cough

Ok. Till 2019 then.

Campaign never start enjoy it till then. Wait till 2018 we shall see.

You think Buhari has done well with Security? Don't worry, you shall know soon.

You think Buhari will win Kaduna effortlessly? Sorry, go to Zaria and Southern Kaduna and ask.

SW is not a threat because Anambra alone can take care of the marginal votes.

If you think NE, Taraba, Yobe, Gombe and Adamawa precisely and even Borno that is ravaged by BH will still stick to APC sorry. Recently part of Adamawa threatened to leave Nigeria for Cameroun. Do you think they are happy the way APC is fighting the war against terror? Maybe you don't equally know the Chibok girls are current students of Atiku university. Take it or leave it, Atiku will win NE.

When campaign starts, every 'gates' in this administration will be reopened. CBNGate, MainaGate, NNPCGate. MainaGate alone can destroy this administration's credibility.

As a result Herdsmen atrocities in the NC and heavy presence of Christians there, Atiku who is seen as a moderate will clear that region.

In a free and fair election, Atiku will win.

hostine316:
So you mean to tell me that the education sector is a place you can cut cost from. I think our youths are already going insane these days. The education sector should be the main driving force of any country. That is why Nigeria and Africa as a whole can never move forward in terms of science and technology. USA, Germany and many other developed countries allocates more than 10% of their annual budget to education and that is why they are shaking the world with discoveries. it's just a pity that sufferness and hardship have taken over your sense of reasoning.

You are truly informed.

I love that!

igbodefender:
The Arewa Youths Consultative Forum recently asked Buhari not to contest for a second term in 2019. Zikist Movement’s Reaction to AYCF: You cannot just be picking and discarding presidents when Igbos are waiting to have their own turn in 2023.

If President Buhari is not performing, call him and advice him, and even offer constructive critisism. But you don’t have the luxury of picking and discarding at this late hour.

Besides, it is Buhari’s constitutional right to stand for a second term if he so wishes. It is your right to vote him out if you can.

In as much as we are unhappy with some aspects of President Buhari’s approach to the farmer-herdsmen crisis, nuclear energy, it is wrong to blame Buhari for everything going wrong in the economy today.

President Buhari on his part should do more to show Nigerians that he feels their pains, especialy in the area of providing top class medical facillities in the country, providing jobs and cheaper food for the masses.

Signed: Prince Charles Offokaja, President, Zikist Movement

His brothers rejected him and you want us to support him. You are a fool.
Take this to the bank, Rochas, Kalu can never rule this country.
Sorry, 2023 APC is fielding Tinubu. That is if Buhari wins. But if Nigerians Atikulate in 2019, APC will field Kwankwanso who will decamp from PDP back to APC.

rajiraymond:
I would like to clear this straight away, I am a Yoruba man not an Igbo man and I must tell you the fact that, no single reason that would make Igbo presidency not to realised in 2023.

Forget about who would rule, when the time comes we would know who is who.

Mind you, I would even be happy if PDP can present someone from SE as 2019 presidential candidate since you don't like the Igbo men in APC.

Try to reason well, Nigeria is comprised of Yoruba, Hausa and Igbo even before Ijaw or whatever.

Thanks and remain blessed.

Sorry, all Nigerians are equal.

Reference:
With all your 'Tinubanlaysis' what makes you think Tinubu won't run for President himself since you say the 'party machinery' will be handed over to him. What makes you think the Igbo presidency is a possibility under the APC when the east is the defacto stronghold of present day political opposition, it is dominated by opposition parties and will not vote APC in any way, shape or form. Even the north will be scared sh.itless to 'give' the east the captain's bridge so soon after the secession battles...

Oga please help me tell this to that Igbodefender. I don't know who is advising him politically.

Tinubu will run for APC's President in 2023 with a NC.

In 2031, NE with SE will run for President under APC.

SE will start dragging the Presidency with SS in 2039. That is if APC survives it to then.

But under PDP, SE VP is 70% sure and President 90% sure in 2027.

PDP offers a better route to the Presidency.

mikolo80:
which wan is marginal vote again. 1 man 1 vote

Marginal is an adjective of Margin. Now, use your dictionary and check what margin means.

spartacus11:
What is surprising me with ur calculation is that, u think SS/SE will give their total vote to pdp and SW/NW/NE/NC will be so stupid to split their vote to both parties

U think other regions are blind?

U think they didn't see how u people voted, u think they will be willing to make that same mistake

Oga think again

So you think SS/SE will split their votes, then SW/NW/NE/NC wouldn't split their votes.

So you are saying Buhari will win with over 90% of the votes?

You need to be schooled in Nigerian politics.

spartacus11:
Illiterate ur F9 go plenty, no wonder una dey blame PMB for hardship una stupidity dey cause

I am really sorry for you.

Alkanoicacid:
Marginal? like how? did You even vote for APC in SS/SE at all? except Edo,Imo.?

Margin is the difference between two numbers. What I am saying is, APC's margin of victory in the SW is so small that Anambra alone can render their votes (choice of candidate) useless.

mikolo80:
where did you get this your 500 k votes figure from. buhari got nothing less than 3 million votes from sw

I said Marginal votes not total votes.
Even if they like they should give him 1 billion votes, Anambra will still render them useless.

My problem is that they will include that rubbish as Capital expenditure.
Sarrki, give me reason why I shouldn't Atikulate after this rubbish?

spartacus11:
Oga marginal igbo in North 11 million and una dey cry marginalisation

And islamization have d north Islamized d 11 million igbo in d north

It seens it is d igbos dat have be marginalizing other tribes, and also igbonizing the entire country

I don't understand Spanish. Please speak English.

Thanke you

spartacus11:
Oga u are even fooling urself, educationally u are wrong

“marginal” are especially common in economics and Election calculation is not economics, so go learn the right mathematical term u should have use

(difference )


Election is not economics that is how u people fail in school

You need help.

Marginal is the adjective of margin. Then go check what margin is.

Marginal is not limited to Economics. By the same, you don't calculate Election margin the same way you calculate a marginal variable e.g Marginal cost or Marginal utility.

Go back to school please.

spartacus11:
So pdp manipulated d election, election ur gej postponed bcus it was evident he was going to loss woefully, and after postponing d propaganda against PMB was totally hatch

Go learn politics

Jonathan lost not because he can't single handedly defeat the entire Northern establishment and their voting powers including the SW APC.

Jonathan lost because SS and SE were heavily undermined using card readers not be able to mobilize 67% of the same voters that voted in 2011. Rather 56% turned out in SS while SE turn out was 37%.

Do you know if there was level playing ground in the use and deployment of card readers and SE and SS were able to attain 67% like they did in 2011, Jonathan would have won by 500000 votes. Not even the Almajiris would have stopped that.

I'll advise to re-check the 2015 election statistics.

The election was heavily compromised.

spartacus11:
Bcus ur hatred for APC makes u people refuse to build strong base for APC in SS/SE if not how can u people be scared dat Tinubu will sweet d ticket to himself

U people should learn politics una nor gree

If u want to challenge Tinubu simply build a strong APC base in your respective states that is all it takes

Learn politics? Lol
SE has been smacking SW politically since God knows when.
2015 was their first time of getting it right, thanks to a heavily manipulated election.

spartacus11:
U are a liar and i will expose part of ur lies
SW statws APC won 5

OSUN 383,603 votes
OYO. 528,620 votes
OGUN. 308,290 votes
ONDO 299,889 votes
LAGOS. 792, 460 votes
Ekiti 120,331 votes
--------------------------------------------------------
Total = 2,433,193

SW gave PMB 2 million plus votes


Believe dis liar at ur oue peril

How many did Jonathan get?
Then subtract Jonathan's from Buhari's votes. The difference is what we call marginal (or net) votes.
It is about 500000 votes while Anambra cancelled that with over 600000 votes to Jonathan.
Thank me for contributing to your education.

Aboguede:
The 2019 election is here and will be deceided by the igbos and that is why you see every body licking igbo man's yansh including buhari and this time the igbos dominate all the southen nigeria.

While peter obi was predicted to be the king maker, he failed wolfly so i predict okorocha and obiano. Obiano hws taken the center stage in the nigeria's politics to the supprise of every body and he is also the owner and solo deceision maker of apga and he has vawed to win more states for apga.

Unforturnatly tinibu is no more relivant at all.

Nigeria is ruled by the unknown. No hody know obiano but he appeared from unknown place to become governor and even slapt his so colled master and git away with it.

Some times I laugh at our so-called political analysts.

One thing they don't know is that Ndi Igbo has so permeated the SW that Anambra alone can cancel the entire SW's marginal votes to any candidate.

One thing they don't know again is that in 2011, election turn out in SS and SE was 67% but in 2015, turn out was 56% and 37% respectively. Faulty card reader was blamed for this. If SS and SE were fully mobilized to 67% in 2015, Jonathan would have won by 500000 votes though with lesser number of states.

Atiku and Buhari understand this. If SE and SS fully mobilize for 2019 election, then Atiku will beat APC.

Igbos are spread heavily in all parts of the country. There are about 11 million of them in the North alone. This makes Ndi Igbo possess high electoral value than any region in the South.

Real politicians understand this.

[quote author=Danladi7 post=62821806][/quote]Fool!

Bede2u:
me too will atikulate. But em em..... yorubas gave apc over 2 million votes in 2015 not 500k. The good thing about sw votes is that its always divided. Except when they gave over 90% to abiola

I said marginal votes not total votes.

xnsandrxns:
This is a perfect illustration of how misinformed and ignorant you people are
The Southwest have APC 500,000 votes?
They just camp you guys in that godforsaken region and feed you lies
And being a herd of no brain swine that you are, you believe everything you hear
You wrote all these nonsense and it shows how you guys think

The Southwest that "hate" GEJ gave him a whooping 1.8m votes while you iboes that love him so much gave him just 2.4m votes

And just to educate your ignorant head, the Southwest gave APC close to 2.5m votes in 2015

Are you sure you understand what marginal means?

bakynes:
How can you say the whole SW gave APC a 500k votes in 2015. Which kind lie b this?

It is just a pity you don't know what 'marginal' means. Another evidence of APC's failed educational policy another reason we are Atikulating in 2019.

Alkanoicacid:
50k votes? The whole southwest? daaamn.. which cave did u just crawled out from?

It is just a pity you don't understand or read numbers.

500000 is not the same as 50K. Yes, the entire SW gave Buhari a marginal 500K votes, while Anambra cancelled that with over 600K votes.

Danladi7:
" Politicians scout SW because of their propagandist
machineries not voting power. If you need to be
projected, you need SW Media. Not that SW owns the
media, but all media houses are concentrated there."

I dont know how to describe those who liked your posts.It is full of lies and contradictions!

1.look at your statement in quote above.It doesn't make sense!

2.SW contributed nothing to Buhari victory.yet,you Igbo blame GEJ loss on Tinubu and SW everyday!

3.SW never voted atiku in 2007 they voted for yaradua

4.With Igbo people mouth about how voting a northerner makes one an hausa fulani slaves,how hausa fulani has no brain and reason like cow and nnamdi kanu threat of election boycott,you guys can still become hausa fulani slaves!


you guys as a whole are disgrace!

Lemme start by calling you a fool for insulting an entire race.

Anambra alone cancelled all the marginal votes SW gave to Buhari. People are blaming SW not because their votes were big enough to defeat Jonathan, but because of their indiscriminate use of propaganda against him.

To the best of my knowledge, SE is not voting for Atiku, but for restructuring and lesser evil which Atiku represents.

igbodefender:
Tinubu is more sensitive to issues like this than we sometimes give him credit for.This is someone that abandoned his Vice Presidency ambition because he saw that a Muslim-Muslim ticket may create disafection among Christians.

That is one reason he may not want to run with Atiku. In 2023, unless he decides to run with a Northern Christian, he may say "Let the Igbos run".

Keep deceiving yourself.
The APC's 2023 ticket is not zoned to SE, but the entire South. Tinubu will sweatlessly clinched it.

If PDP fails to win the Presidency in 2019, the slot will still be zoned to the North. Aboki will rather vote PDP than APC to do an unprecedented 16 consecutive years.

Those folks ain't loyal to any party. They are only loyal to their Northern Agenda.

Atiku remains SE's shortest route to the Presidency.