₦airaland Forum

Emzenoz:
Ugly girls cheat the most

I dey tell you, I would rather watch porn and jackoff to going through the risk of bedding my friends wife, expecially with her looks. Did u see her tinny flat chest and receding hairline?

tit:
The useless man.
He can't take care of woman
Another man is helping him
And he is crying

Titilayo, Titilayo, Titilayo, howmany times I call u?

But seriously, why would he do such things, expecially given that the lady in question is not even attractive, flat chest, receding hairline, no no no.

I would rather jackoff and sleep.

mikkyangel:
K, city of hacienda heatghts

When is ur next laptop deals coming up dis 2021? I look forward to ur nice deals.

IYGEAL:
This is the most unscientific claim I have read this year.

Is your account hacked, Techy?

I am very sorry, somebody is messing with my posts, seems like my alter ego is at it again. Apologies, Sir.

megawealth01:
I don't do such crabs... I used to be one of the big contributors in this forum

All this margin of safety, intrinsic value and fundamentals u people use doesn't work very well for me.

I have found a way though, I came about it using the scientific process, by studying my surroundings while continuously discarding irrelevant factors.

What works for me? Coitus! Yes, everytime I have a round of coitus with my boo number 5, the next day gifts me with positive returns.

GANDALF1:

Sir, you really need to step up to your version 2.0, Gandalf the White.

GANDALF1:
Your typing and font format looks like that guy that was begging everyone to invest in him some moons ago. The guy that trades in foreign commodities and FX Demos. Forgotten his name already

are you the one?

Sir, are you Gandalf the gray from lord of d rings?

ositadiima1:
Happy New Year guys.

I said I was going to start trading the strategy with 1 mil and that is what I did.

The strategy spit out MANSARD and so I bought it, no question asked just a few searches on this thread and noting negative turned up.

I am up 12% already, let's see what happens between now and 3 months time. I might exit before then if it goes above 50% though. If it goes down I hold till march ending and count my losses.

@Mcy56 I owe u, and I always pay my debts.

MANSARD is doing 25% today from my entry. Will it cross our 50% mark? OR go burst from here. Time shall tell...

I am a believer by James Fauntleroy Ft. Timberland

Unchained Melody by Righteous Brothers.

A classic, also futured in the 1990s movie Ghost.




****I lov Music****

ositadiima1:
I changed a few things and the results where kind of good.

1. I used quarters as the holding period - It seems quarters are moderately long but not too long that the strategy loses its effectiveness.

2. I implemented deviation from maximum value within the quarter as my screen - Choose one stock that closed on the last day of the period the lowest from that period maximum closing price. I assumed that by closing the farthest from its quarter high it would have bottomed out.

3. With a starting 1 mil account, the biggest loss was from UnityBank in 2015-Q3 (500K), the biggest gain was from DangoteFlour in 2016-Q1 (1.1M).

4. It also performed very well this year(Note that my data stops at 20th of November) with a profit of 79% (799K). Overall it averaged 47% annually.

5. It still requires a lot of testing as my program may have bugs that may have affected values.

Happy New Year guys.

I said I was going to start trading the strategy with 1 mil and that is what I did.

The strategy spit out MANSARD and so I bought it, no question asked just a few searches on this thread and noting negative turned up.

I am up 12% already, let's see what happens between now and 3 months time. I might exit before then if it goes above 50% though. If it goes down I hold till march ending and count my losses.

@Mcy56 I owe u, and I always pay my debts.

Mcy56:
Who will bail me out oo.

I've been talking about this BUA since the days of CCNN. Gave 'buy' nod at 28/32 after merger. At 60 now, what you're asking me is a big test.
Anyway, BUA has shown resilience and still showing........The stock is getting set to give dangcem a good run, it's a good coy and a competitor to Dangcem.
If you can take the risk buy some. If it pullback, buy another tranch.......be buying in tranches.......but know that this is not a quick quick stock where you expect it to be jumping anyhow.........it's for medium to long term.

You can take your chances with flourmills if you can get at circa 25/26........something is brewing in that coy from the look of things .......

Also remember not to go in fully, this is end of year season and end of financial year for many coys, they'll be closing their books by 31st and there'll be lots of price manipulations around this time, just be very cautious.
ALTERNATIVELY, wait till next year Jan-Mar........Feb especially... .....we keep monitoring trend of events.....God willing.

Edited: I've not been following on Eterna.

U talk about somany things nah, how can a learner like me sift through and pick the super good ones?

But, Sis m, you know that in this business you are my enemy, I need to lose for you to gain, abi no be so.

Hehe, my omalicha Sis, I wont to send you a box of chocolates but I don't know ur Addy.

Iogobenz:
missjekyll no go answer you na,she dey crush on ahib and you've bruised her expectations with the exposee on ahib.
Missjekyll,you come naija for xmas?
I go like know ooo
I hear say you tall wella and your waist no be here

You don mean it? Chai, at this stage I need these kind things in my life, I don't too suffer.

freeman67:
Yours is good. I do not know what is wrong with Morgan Capital Group on this one ooo. I have not gotten my rental payment. I mailed them earlier today and was told that it is being paid in batches how many days will it take to clear the batches for God sake. This is something I would have just paid in any of the receiving bank and send the proof of payment and the subscription form to DMO by myself. Morgan is just getting me angry.

Have some patience, it will get to you.

Akerewe:
I got my alert too yesterday. Pls is it still possible to get a secondary market Treasury bills with good rate from banks?

At 1.1% true yield for 365 days and 0.5% for 182, bro, he never dey make sense to dey do Treasury bills.

Lazyyouth4u:
At least no be only me fall for your stupid lamba for NL. #audio illiterate

Are you still on this matter bro, come on man, come on man.

What do u actually want to achieve sef, if na Yorubas now them go shout ejoooo, ejooooo. He don do na.

ositadiima1:
The first coupon for the Sukuku bond (11.2% FGN JUN 2027) drops in 2 days, if I am right.

Surprisingly, till date I never got any acknowledgement from FG that my bid was successful, though I later discovered that it was listed in my CSCS account. Cheers!

I just dey go through my email updates come find d alert, chai it is well. It landed yesterday. Not bad.

Franklinezenwa:
Pls I need suggestions on interesting new series to watch.

A teacher

You probably wanted to show me this in their terms and conditions:

5
You shall not conduct any systematic or automated data collection activities (including scraping, data mining, data extraction and data harvesting) on or in relation to the Website without The Exchange's express written consent;

Na today nyach dey back?

Like I said before if u keep ur requests to a minimum, you won't trigger their system.

Will I get arrested for writing this?

Sorry bro, that bot is wicked. He don give u 5 days, chai.


#systematic trader

moneymanager:
So...erm...
You will need to be cautious when scrapping websites. A friend of mine once got a cease and desist letter from NSE for stocks price scraping way back in 2015 or so.

Your aren’t anonymous as you have an IP address that can be traced back to you except you use a VPN and even that can be traced so be careful doing it on a naija company website. You may want to check their policy cyber and otherwise or make yourself completely anonymous online

The way I understand it is that if you make many requests on their servers (in tens of hundreds) in a short time that can happen cos u are straining them. The idea usually is if you can view it then you can scrape it. You are not doing anything different from a viewer, d scraping is on ur machine.

Olaide1295:
Hey Ositadima, Is this data publicly available?
Please help with a link

Option 1: If you have an account with Morgan Capital, it usually sends daily price list in pdf format daily. You can from there compile your data everyday. I use PyPDF4 module for this task, then pass it to pandas and finally save it in my harddrive in CSV format.

Option 2: you can scrap from investig dot com, I find investpy module very easy to use for this purpose. Unlike option 1, you get a data set from 2012 to date.

Option 3: Again you can scrap from NSE website or Morgan capital platform directly. I use requests, BeautifulSoup and selenium modules for this task.

Python is very useful for this kind of stuff. Once I have the data, I keep each stock in separate csv files. Then, I update daily or when ever I have d time expecially option 1, 90% automated.

If you know SQL or any other database program u can use that, for me it is csv cos it is easy to maintain and manipulate with pandas or excel.

Cheers! We most chop this NSE money.

#systematic trader

ojesymsym:
Have you ever done any analysis on Afriprud? Help me point touch light on am

You are referring to the intrinsic value analysis of Afriprud like the one my namesake did for DangCement below?

ositadima1:
Not quite.
Once again, I pulled Dangote Cement PLC annual reports from 2010 to 2019 and this is what i saw:

The big Five
Sales (revenue): growth (or contraction) for the last 9 years ==> 17.9% (Compound Annual Growth Rate).
EPS: growth (or contraction) for the last 9 years ==> 5.96% (Compound Annual Growth Rate).
Equity: growth (or contraction) for the last 9 years ==> 17.43% (Compound Annual Growth Rate).
Free Cash Flow: growth (or contraction) for the last 9 years ==> 21.95% (Compound Annual Growth Rate).
Long Term Debt-to-Free Cash Flow: 0.55 (pretty good)

Notes:
Not bad as per Nigerian standard. Though, Sales, EPS, and Equity slowed down last year (2019) at -1.06%, -48% and -8.99% respectively. I assume the harsh economy took a toll on the stock.

Next, Discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation

1.) Assuming 5.96% growth (EPS above) and 15% (MoS in view) rate of return projected for the next 10 years and then discounted for MoS. Buy price would be pegged at not more than 140.59 per share.

2.) Assuming 15% growth (Equity above) and 15% (MoS in view) rate of return projected for the next 10 years and then discounted for MoS. Buy price would be pegged at not more than 227.55 per share.

Conclusions: If you can snatch it at less than 140, u are very ok.

Also, better to buy when MACD, Stochastic and MA align and echo buy!
Due diligence applies as these numbers may be off the mark.

Unfortunately, the spreadsheet I used for these computations are in a computer that I will not have access to for a couple of weeks.

DrAwo:
I think you are onto sonething really really profound here...

If I were to give my own 2 cent opinion, I'll advice you do the following

1. Rather than one month, look at a 1 year time line
2. Buy the 10 worst performers for the out going year and hold them for the next year.
3. Sell them at the end of that year and use the proceeds to buy the 10 worst performers for the year now ending

I strongly feel you'll have better results using this parameters...

All the very best. If you can do this, it would be I teresting to see the results...

Thanks!

I changed a few things and the results where kind of good.

1. I used quarters as the holding period - It seems quarters are moderately long but not too long that the strategy loses its effectiveness.

2. I implemented deviation from maximum value within the quarter as my screen - Choose one stock that closed on the last day of the period the lowest from that period maximum closing price. I assumed that by closing the farthest from its quarter high it would have bottomed out.

3. With a starting 1 mil account, the biggest loss was from UnityBank in 2015-Q3 (500K), the biggest gain was from DangoteFlour in 2016-Q1 (1.1M).

4. It also performed very well this year(Note that my data stops at 20th of November) with a profit of 79% (799K). Overall it averaged 47% annually.

5. It still requires a lot of testing as my program may have bugs that may have affected values.

The first coupon for the Sukuku bond (11.2% FGN JUN 2027) drops in 2 days, if I am right.

Surprisingly, till date I never got any acknowledgement from FG that my bid was successful, though I later discovered that it was listed in my CSCS account. Cheers!

jajeri3216:
I really don't know, na you go explain that one.

But abroad , 50k and above is middle class.

No dey compare yourself with western retirees who have inherited fortunes, invested early or worked hard all their life and now enjoying in the Bahamas.

Just roll up like the rest of us

IMO, Nigeria still remain the best place to retire if u have okpobo . One rule though, whichever area you are at don't be the biggest or the smallest, look average. U go see say no bagger go worry you.

ebuka1997:
You used python?

Yes, I used pandas, numpy, matplotlib, os, investpy modules. Python is really great for this kind of stuff because of its many modules It is slower compared to java, c and c# but considering that I am running a monthly based strategy, it is not a problem.

SweetCunt97:
Uuhhhhmmmm, not me ooo. If you got money and an idiot omo I go dust ur stupid ass.

As long as the money ain't in my account, I ain't impressed. As long as the wheels ain't mine, I ain't fucking impressed

This ur nyach is so tender, nah this kind nyach my secondary school teacher been dey like.

I will never forget Mr. Spickeling alias Mr. Aka-ekpe in DMGS, he can stroke, hmmm.

pluto09:
Great stuff.
Kudos.

Thanks

Returns got to 1 mil in 2014(2 years after), dropped to 190k in 2016(2 more years), grew to 1.5 mil in 2018(another 2 years). Finally, it closed at 1.12 mil in 2020.

What a ride! Need to find a way to cut the drawdowns, I think filtering with crude price under usd 40 could improve returns.

Our transaction charges are among the largest in the world. 2.5% for one round trip is just too much. A profitable strategy turns to a loosing one.