PETERiCHY's Posts
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http://www.proshareng.com/news/27925/Dead-Cat-Bounce-in-Nigerian-Oil-Market-Proshare I pity those that are still investing in NSE at this point in time. |
[Dollar in demand, gold dives to five-year low].http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKCN0PU00H20150720?irpc=932 SYDNEY (Reuters) - The U.S dollar held broad gains in Asia on Monday as investors looked ahead to higher interest rates from the Federal Reserve, while gold slumped to five-year lows as a lack of global inflation left little to hedge against. |
The Central Bank of Nigeria will have to devalue the naira atsome stage, possibly by more than 15 per cent, global ratings agency, Standard & Poor’s, has said.The agency, however, said on Wednesday that it saw the adjustments as likely to be gradual.Local and foreign investors have seen a devaluation of the naira as long overdue for Nigeria, which has been battered by the recent tumble in crude oil prices.Following the naira devaluations in November and February, the CBN has recently focused on curbing access to foreign exchange at the interbank market for importers of some goods, introducing stringent restrictions three weeks ago.But the Director, Sovereign Ratings, Standard & Poor’s, RaviBhatia, said the recent measures by the CBN including stopping the sale of forex to importers of 41 items at the official forex markets could only delay the inevitable, Reuters reported.ADVERTISEMENT“Another devaluation is inevitable… they will have no option but to devalue,” said Bhatia at a media briefing.Many investors are positioning for a devaluation of around 15 per cent. Bhatia said that sounded “reasonable”, though even more might be needed.Non-deliverable forwards – derivatives used to hedge against future exchange rate moves – reflect expectations of currency weakening: six-month NDFs price the naira at 233 per dollar, some 18 per cent weaker than the CBN’s pegged rate of 196.95 on Tuesday.On Wednesday, the naira hit another record low of 242.5 against the dollar on the parallel market operated by dealers in bureau de change, down 0.42 per cent from Tuesday.The naira has been hitting record lows at the parallel market since the latest central bank measures introduced three weeks ago.Bhatia did not expect the adjustment to be done in one go.“I think at this stage the plan is to move in increments, not to do a ‘one big step’ devaluation like they would in the old days,” he said.The central bank has said it is in no mood to devalue the naira, given the risks to inflation from a weaker currency, and that it will not be focusing on the thinly traded parallel market when determining the exchange rate.Local and foreign investors have also been nervous that Nigeria may lose its place in the benchmark GBI-EM local currency debt index. Bhatia said this was a “real possibility”,although he expected the government to adjust policy enough to maintain its membership.“At some point they have to decide: do they want to go with their policies or do they want to stay in, and at the moment they are trying to do both, and it has worked,” said Bhatia.“But there are issues there, and it is a concern.”JPMorgan warned in June it could eject Nigeria from its benchmark index by year-end unless it restored liquidity to currency markets in a way that allowed foreign investors to transact with minimal hurdles.In March, Standard & Poor’s cut its rating on Nigeria to B+, changing its outlook to “stable”. SOURCE:http://www.punchng.com/business/money/cbn-has-no-option-but-to-devalue-naira-sp/ |
Agbalowomeri:The naira dropped further to 242.5 against the United States dollar at the parallel market on Wednesday as artificial scarcity of the greenback continue to batter the black market, three weeks after the Central Bank of Nigeria restricted the sales of foreign exchange to importers.The naira, which hit 240 against the US currency on Friday, dropped to 241 on Monday.Foreign exchange dealers said the naira weakened to a newlow of 242.5 on Wednesday as dollar shortages continued.The Acting President, Association of Bureau De Change Operators, Alhaji Aminu Gwadabe, said he expected the CBN to introduce some measures next week to curb the naira slide.“I believe the CBN will introduce some measures next week to stop the trend, otherwise the naira may hit 250 or even 270 later,” he said.Reutersreported that the CBN sold $80m to BDCs on Wednesday at N196.95 and fixed a spread at which they could resell the dollars of not more than 3.5 per cent to its clearing rate, quoting Gwadabe.On the official interbank market, the naira ended at the central bank’s pegged rate of 196.95 to the dollar. http://www.punchng.com/business/money/naira-drops-to-242-5-against-dollar/ |
it amuses me when I read comments about the market bouncing back very soon. The bottomline is the both PDP and APC has lavished the nation's treasury on their selfish campaign now the oil revenue they were hoping to recoup their investments from is not forthcoming. To the extent FG have to deep hands into the NLGN fund and pulled $2.1billion to bailout states just for payment of pending salaries not even for infrastructures. Oshiomole on the hand is busy fight Iweala bcuz she didn't approve a certain loan for his state. Emeliefe on his own side is claiming the reserve is now growing in leaps and bound while CBN can no longer defend the NAIRA which lead to the free fall. Now tell me who is deceiving who? The major reasons Pa. MB is not in a hurry to appoint his cabinet due to lack fund. I ve said it countless times that the only way forward for Nigeria is AGRICULTURE so it's better Nigeria and Nigerians wake to reality and stop living in fool's. paradise. By NOVEMBER some of the things I'm seeing now will be made manifest. *ThE OcToPuS * |
megainvest:Better wait for Naira devaluation to know the true state of economy. |
Manonamission:This news couple with the Iran deal, I will advise investors/traders to patiently wait for OANDO @#8:00k bustop. We shouldn't forget that there OS has increased from 9billion to 12billion via their phoney right issue. He that has ears let him hear ...... *ThE OcToPuS* |
PETERiCHY:OANDO won't be a bad bargain at #9:00 for long term. |
ForcefullBULL:Sister Mercy been a banker should be in a better position to answer that question. |
pythondjango:As at last week STANBIC offered the best USD rate $199.8k while the other banks were offering #215:00k upwards though I ve exhausted my yearly Maximum withdraw limit courtesy of CBN new rule. So somebody tell Emelife to wake up unless he want to turn naira to tissue paper. |
myjoy08:The naira has hit another record low of 240 to the dollar at the black market, as the scarcity of the dollar persisted yesterday Daily Trust Saturday can revealed.A trader in Lagos, Shehu Aliyu told Daily Trust Saturday that the unprecedented slump was as a result of the scarcity foreign exchange that hit banks and Bureaux de Change in the key markets of Lagos and Abuja.This is the first time the naira dropped this low against the dollar. On Thursday the naira exchanged at 237 to a dollar before the end of trading yesterday the currency dropped by N3 in Abuja.Some traders attributed the drop to the new Central Bank ofNigeria (CBN) policy that banned about 41 items from sourcing forex in the local market.Some of the major importers are now scrambling to source dollars by any means which resulted to the scarcity of forexin the markets, dealers said.Before the CBN fore restriction last month, the naira stabilised at N223/dollar in the black market and N197/dollar at the interbank market. http://www.dailytrust.com.ng/weekly/index.php/new-news/21085-naira-slumps-to-240-a-dollar-as-scarcity-persists |
hotcake:http://www.punchng.com/business/money/naira-drops-to-235-against-dollar/ |
PETERiCHY:" One good thing about the BEAR is that she humbles all the doubting Thomases and makes them get closer to GOD" ![]() *ThE OcToPuS* |
Agbalowomeri:it will hit 25,000. expect both the devaluation and the deregulation tsunami to hit the market btw now and November. *ThE OcToPuS* |
stokfrick:Well the coast will start getting clear immediately CBN devalues NAIRA or revert the new rules against dollar withdraw abroad. For now the foreign investors are on the sidelines. |
olajide8:Why do you think BDC people will bring out their dollar when CBN is putting more restrictions on it ? that's simply tells you that NAIRA rate is not yet right.Well some of this scenario you painted is what will make the market to suffer and plunge below 25000 basis point. Presently crude is failing and whenever that happens dollar gets stronger. So the best asset for now is the GREENBACK till the coast gets clear. |
Upon all the warning I've been issuing since May 1st. I pity those that are still buying at this point in time. I said the economy is in shamble and even if Pa.MB name his cabinet it will be of no effect. To set the record straight the only thing that will set the market on track is NAIRA devaluation which we expect to take place between September and November. Then my fry OANDO will be readily available @ #9:00k. *ThE OcToPuS* |
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/business/news/chinese-stock-market-has-lost-15-trillion-in-the-last-three-weeks-10364066.html I have said it on several occasions that globally Capital market is one of the most organised gambling platform. In other words don't invest what you cant afford to lose unless you have an inside information. 90% lose their fund. 6% are inside traders. 4% are die-hard traders cum investors. Still waiting for dollar at 300junction. QED |
myjoy08:Why should he wait till September when jijo people are smiling to the bank on a daily basis or have you also become a Tumbum-Tumbum analyst? |
JAS10:They are busy making money while some of us are waiting for September by then devaluation would ve taken place. |
Tinubu and his cronies should for once learn how to concede defeat like GEJ ![]() |
On 1st of MAY when i posted the philosophy of Sell in May and Go away some termed it Tumbum- Tumbum analysis while others laughed over it, Now what is happening? One miscalculation you make in the stock market can take you eternity to rectify. Forget about all this jijo stories you are hearing a lot of trapped traders are simply trying to break even. Presently Nigeria economy is in a total mess in other words if you areant in for a long term I.e 4yrs and above then it's better you sell your holdings and wait to re-enter in the last week of September. *ThE OcToPuS* |
Born2berich:One person swallowed 50M units abi some O and O boys released more 50Munits. "Wolf of the wall street comes to mind" Well i ve been in this their movie for the past 1yr so forgot any stunt they are throwing up. If you arent ready to tied ur fund down for the next 4yrs then better look for another stock. Yes Oando will fly but before them they would have succeeded in frustrating alot of investors out of the system. As for now they are as confuse as Pa Buhari. |
samguru:The same way BankPHB acquired SpringBank. Today where is BankPHB and where is SpringBank? |
chillykelly86:irredeemable (http://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/irredeemable) adjective - Not redeemable; not able to be restored, recovered, revoked, or escaped. - (finance) Not able to be cancelled by a payment or converted to another form of currency or financial instrument, especially one considered more secure or reliable. synonyms - unredeemable ======== Text generated by the application English Dictionary https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=livio.pack.lang.en_US |
angrybull:Unclaimed dividend becomes irredeemable after 12yrs not 10yrs. |
angrybull:And that's exactly what will happen. I said it sometime ago that if you are not in for a long term i.e 4yrs above. Then better sell off your holdings and go in Agricultural and food related ventures. Bcuz presently the Nigeria economy is nothing to write home about and very soon a lot of pigs will get slaughtered. he that has ears let him hear. |
Agbalowomeri:I inherited Union Bank and CFAO motors from my dad of Blessed Memory ![]() |
Agbalowomeri:Presently Nigeria economy is in a mess and quite a number of companies want to raise fresh funds. So it will take at least 2yrs before we get back to those normal trends. |
angelo82:For now even if Buhari appoints all his cabinet members from West Germany including President Mitchell as chief of staffs, it will no longer cause any rally. The tempo is already down its only a superlative results that can trigger the market. |
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(TSX: OER) today reports that it has received from the Operator, a
Where is the money going to come from? Sales of crude oil - I doubt it! Taxes yes! And processed sales of petrol in nigeria- from our refineries - would it happen in the shortest possible time NO! How long 2years - what would happen to major oil marketers, clauses would be used by government to look into their activities of sabotage, so what would happen, di-vestment - I was just painting a scenario, we can never run a floating currency- because these bureau dey change people that have dollars stored in their toilet and bedrooms would make sure it clocks N1000- for their greedy interest and that would affect all industries and spending- salaries wouldn't be enough to buy a bag of pure water* so I doubt they would relinquish the peg - rather they would tighten it and force those storing dollars at home to bring it out by force- just thinking aloud*