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Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. (2013 Views)
18 States Where Atiku May Lose This Presidential Election / 19 States Where Tinubu May Lose This Presidential Election / Tinubu May Lose Control Of APC In New Leadership Struggle (2) (3) (4)
Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 8:29pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Tinubu is depending heavily on northern coalition to win the election but he has a huge problem with the emergence of Atiku who will give him a run for his money upnorth. Tinubu is ignoring the significance of southeast and southsouth in this election. The simple case here is that; Tinubu is depending on beating Atiku on his turf by ignorantly ignoring the relevance Southeast and southsouth to help him buffer some loses he could incure upnorth. He's also depending on Southwest votes which has been historically known for voter's apathy (check figures from previous elections). Meanwhile, he can't even boast of a sloppy win in Southwest for now. The mathmatics for me is against Tinubu for now and mostly in favour of Atiku. Peter Obi will make sure that Tinubu never gets enough votes in the south to nullify the fight Atiku will give him in the north. Atiku stands a better position of getting more votes in South South and south east than Tinubu hence may beat Tinubu overall. I don't see Obi or Tinubu winning this election yet unless Peter Obi somehow finds a way to break the core north Imagine if Tinubu had south east and south souht on his side and then goes to battle Atiku in the north, it would have been a walkover for him. What are your thoughts? 12 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by after4: 8:49pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
So SE and SS will leave obi to vote for atifku? FatherOfJesus: 6 Likes |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Felimax(m): 8:52pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
You are absolutely on point. The odds favours Atiku more and I am seriously perceiving a great merger. It will not surprise me to see Atiku and Obi working together. Atiku means so well for SS/SE right from the very unset. Obi is young and good but seriously at the moment this country needs a stabilizer and the only one who has shown to possess such capacity is Atiku. Obi will be more epileptic in gaining votes from the North. 25% votes from 24 states may not be too very much available for Obi but if God says yes nobody can say no. We all proposes, God is the disposer. 5 Likes |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by tunjiajayi: 8:52pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Father of jesus Jesus must have gotten his good genes from his mother's side. Foooool 6 Likes 2 Shares |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 8:52pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
after4:if that's what you understood from the post then you need help with basic comprehension. Obi will win southsouth and southeast, Atiku will be second. That's not goodnews for Tinubu because it means that he can't balance the beating Atiku will give him in the north 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Felimax(m): 8:53pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
after4: I am among the 25% votes Atiku will get from South South, at least my wife and I. 3 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by after4: 8:53pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Add your unborn generation too Felimax: 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 8:53pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Not may, he will loose and it will be televised. The election is between Obi and Atiku. Atiku will win northern major votes while South will vote majorly for Obi.... Middle belt will decide who wins, and Obi and Atiku will gather more votes there than others. Take note of this, either LP or PDP will win 2023 president election. 5 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by after4: 8:55pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
And who got the genes of the 6 years old girl your pedophile Mohammed defiled or the wife of his disciple he collected tunjiajayi: 3 Likes |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Idiotseverywher: 8:59pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
FatherOfJesus: |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Felimax(m): 9:00pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
1 Like |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Idiotseverywher: 9:01pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
FatherOfJesus:. Now what do say about Obi on the bolded? I am sure that is the fear of tinubu abd atiku boys why they always bring tribal hate on obi |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 9:03pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
FatherOfJesus: Bro calm down... Core north votes will be shared majorly between three parties if kwakwanso won't eventually step down..... PDP may get more votes but the issue is howmany percent votes can they lead with. No party can win core north votes with upto 60%... Middle belt will decide who wins. 4 Likes |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 9:03pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Idiotseverywher:Peter Obi will beat Tinubu in the south. Peter must find a way to break core north to stand a chance. 1 Like |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Idiotseverywher: 9:05pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
FatherOfJesus:. No need of core North, middle belt is good to go, with few % at least between 20 to 25 % in core North the deal is done 1 Like |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Nijablast: 9:09pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
You better care about why Obi will come distant third... 8 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 9:11pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Bendeco02:The only place Tinubu can win in northern central in Kogi and kwara. |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 9:12pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Nijablast:Keep deceiving yourself... Northerners keep rejecting tinubu on daily basis but you guys keep hoping to win north... It will soon clear for your eyes when the results will be announced just like Osun Result.... Keep hoping on incumbent power and rigging 1 Like |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 9:13pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Idiotseverywher:We need core north. Kwara state is a core APC state, Niger and Nassarawa think like core northerers The only places Obi can get some numbers now in middle belt is Benue, Abuja and Plateau. I am not sure if he will even win all the 3 states 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Ahmed0336(m): 9:14pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
FatherOfJesus: Add Niger. He ll get 25% in Nasarawa and FCT 1 Like 1 Share |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 9:15pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
FatherOfJesus:Nasarawa think like North wetin? Go check previous presidential election results, not only 2019 election result. Even 2019, below is the result between APC and PDP Nasarawa APC: 289,903 PDP: 283,847 |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Nijablast: 9:15pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Bendeco02:Osun was a contest between Yorubas, don't expect Dem to vote for Obituary He won't even get the 2k they got in Governorship election. 7 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 9:19pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Ahmed0336:Niger state reason like the Typical core north. Nassarawa vote in a similar manner like Abuja and Peter Obi will get more votes in Abuja than Tinubu. Even Buhari lost here 1 Like |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 9:21pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Nijablast:Shut up noise maker. Is tinubu loved in the north?.... Hoping for tinubu to win core north because buhari did is just a deceit. North keep rejecting the agbodo master back to back. Check howmany videos circulating online were Northerners are mocking and destroying tinubu's banner in their region. 4 Likes 1 Share |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 9:21pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Bendeco02:I wanted to say that nassarawa think like Abuja people They have similar voting pattern and Tinubu will not win PDP there this time 1 Like |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 9:22pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
FatherOfJesus:Ok |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Sabonbuharirufa: 9:24pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Check this 1 Like
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Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Nijablast: 9:34pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Bendeco02:Why are you so aggressive like this A typical Obituary can't engage in an intellectual discuss Go get a life 5 Likes 3 Shares |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by 7Randall: 9:37pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
The northern votes will be split between Atiku, Tinubu, Obi and even. kwankwaso. The South west may be narrowly won by Tinubu. The south east and south south are down for Obi. I feel the north central will be the deciding factor. Tinubu is taking a huge risk by ignoring some zones. 2 Likes |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 9:37pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Nijablast:Mumu, you come with aggressive and insults so I have to reply you in the language you understand. 1 Like |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by after4: 9:37pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
Who gave you the heroin you dey smoke? Felimax: |
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Idiotseverywher: 9:38pm On Aug 17, 2022 |
FatherOfJesus:. Kwara is divided between APC and PDP with the failure of APC, saraki PDP will take kwara now that lai Muhammed has failed in his propaganda premises he made to them, for nasarawa , taraba, plateau, abj, and Benue obi will have very good impair because of Christian affinity caused by herdsmen attack by Fulani and the suspected genocide accused Fulani of which no Fulani have ever condemned and buhari not seem to care, the non Fulani in those areas and even in the core north and their Christian counterparts wouldn't want a Fulani man for now until they deal with the terrorist who has been attacking them |
Peter Obi Accused Of Using Anambra Funds To Build Mall In Abuja & Port Harcourt / Don’t Travel To State Of Origin For Census – NPC / TIEFNUBU Was Never Enrolled At CSU - Jennifer Dent(FBI) 2011.
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