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Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. - Politics - Nairaland

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Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 8:29pm On Aug 17, 2022
Tinubu is depending heavily on northern coalition to win the election but he has a huge problem with the emergence of Atiku who will give him a run for his money upnorth.

Tinubu is ignoring the significance of southeast and southsouth in this election. The simple case here is that; Tinubu is depending on beating Atiku on his turf by ignorantly ignoring the relevance Southeast and southsouth to help him buffer some loses he could incure upnorth.

He's also depending on Southwest votes which has been historically known for voter's apathy (check figures from previous elections). Meanwhile, he can't even boast of a sloppy win in Southwest for now.

The mathmatics for me is against Tinubu for now and mostly in favour of Atiku. Peter Obi will make sure that Tinubu never gets enough votes in the south to nullify the fight Atiku will give him in the north.

Atiku stands a better position of getting more votes in South South and south east than Tinubu hence may beat Tinubu overall. I don't see Obi or Tinubu winning this election yet unless Peter Obi somehow finds a way to break the core north

Imagine if Tinubu had south east and south souht on his side and then goes to battle Atiku in the north, it would have been a walkover for him.

What are your thoughts?

12 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by after4: 8:49pm On Aug 17, 2022
So SE and SS will leave obi to vote for atifku?



FatherOfJesus:
Tinubu is depending heavily on northern coalition to win the election but he has a huge problem with the emergence of Atiku who will give him a run for his money upnorth.

Tinubu is ignoring the significance of southeast and southsouth in this election. The simple case here is that; Tinubu is depending on beating Atiku on his turf by ignorantly ignoring the relevance Southeast and southsouth to help him buffer some loses he could incure upnorth.

He's also depending on Southwest votes which has been historically known for voter's apathy (check figures from previous elections). Meanwhile, he can't even boast of a sloppy win in Southwest for now.

The mathmatics for me is against Tinubu for now and mostly in favour of Atiku. Peter Obi will make sure that Tinubu never gets enough votes in the south to nullify through fight Atiku will give him in the north.

Atiku stands a better position of getting more votes in South South and south east hence may beat Tinubu overall

Imagine if Tinubu had south east and south souht on his side and then goes to battle Atiku in the north, it would have been a walkover for him.

What are your thoughts?

6 Likes

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Felimax(m): 8:52pm On Aug 17, 2022
You are absolutely on point.
The odds favours Atiku more and I am seriously perceiving a great merger. It will not surprise me to see Atiku and Obi working together.

Atiku means so well for SS/SE right from the very unset. Obi is young and good but seriously at the moment this country needs a stabilizer and the only one who has shown to possess such capacity is Atiku.

Obi will be more epileptic in gaining votes from the North. 25% votes from 24 states may not be too very much available for Obi but if God says yes nobody can say no.


We all proposes, God is the disposer.

5 Likes

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by tunjiajayi: 8:52pm On Aug 17, 2022
Father of jesus grin

Jesus must have gotten his good genes from his mother's side.

Foooool

6 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 8:52pm On Aug 17, 2022
after4:
So SE and SS will leave obi to vote for atifku?



if that's what you understood from the post then you need help with basic comprehension.

Obi will win southsouth and southeast, Atiku will be second. That's not goodnews for Tinubu because it means that he can't balance the beating Atiku will give him in the north

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Felimax(m): 8:53pm On Aug 17, 2022
after4:
So SE and SS will leave obi to vote for atifku?




I am among the 25% votes Atiku will get from South South, at least my wife and I.

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by after4: 8:53pm On Aug 17, 2022
Add your unborn generation too


Felimax:


I am among the 25% votes Atiku will get from South South, at least my wife and I.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 8:53pm On Aug 17, 2022
Not may, he will loose and it will be televised.

The election is between Obi and Atiku.

Atiku will win northern major votes while South will vote majorly for Obi.... Middle belt will decide who wins, and Obi and Atiku will gather more votes there than others.

Take note of this, either LP or PDP will win 2023 president election.

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by after4: 8:55pm On Aug 17, 2022
And who got the genes of the 6 years old girl your pedophile Mohammed defiled or the wife of his disciple he collected



tunjiajayi:
Father of jesus grin

Jesus must have gotten his good genes from his mother's side.

Foooool

3 Likes

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Idiotseverywher: 8:59pm On Aug 17, 2022
FatherOfJesus:
Tinubu is depending heavily on northern coalition to win the election but he has a huge problem with the emergence of Atiku who will give him a run for his money upnorth.

Tinubu is ignoring the significance of southeast and southsouth in this election. The simple case here is that; Tinubu is depending on beating Atiku on his turf by ignorantly ignoring the relevance Southeast and southsouth to help him buffer some loses he could incure upnorth.

He's also depending on Southwest votes which has been historically known for voter's apathy (check figures from previous elections). Meanwhile, he can't even boast of a sloppy win in Southwest for now.

The mathmatics for me is against Tinubu for now and mostly in favour of Atiku. Peter Obi will make sure that Tinubu never gets enough votes in the south to nullify the fight Atiku will give him in the north.

Atiku stands a better position of getting more votes in South South and south east than Tinubu hence may beat Tinubu overall. I don't see Obi or Tinubu winning this election yet unless Peter Obi somehow finds a way to break the core north

Imagine if Tinubu had south east and south souht on his side and then goes to battle Atiku in the north, it would have been a walkover for him.

What are your thoughts?
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Felimax(m): 9:00pm On Aug 17, 2022
after4:
Add your unborn generation too



Vanish! Must you talk and spitting?
Comot for my front I beg.

1 Like

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Idiotseverywher: 9:01pm On Aug 17, 2022
FatherOfJesus:
Tinubu is depending heavily on northern coalition to win the election but he has a huge problem with the emergence of Atiku who will give him a run for his money upnorth.

Tinubu is ignoring the significance of southeast and southsouth in this election. The simple case here is that; Tinubu is depending on beating Atiku on his turf by ignorantly ignoring the relevance Southeast and southsouth to help him buffer some loses he could incure upnorth.

He's also depending on Southwest votes which has been historically known for voter's apathy (check figures from previous elections). Meanwhile, he can't even boast of a sloppy win in Southwest for now.

The mathmatics for me is against Tinubu for now and mostly in favour of Atiku. Peter Obi will make sure that Tinubu never gets enough votes in the south to nullify the fight Atiku will give him in the north.

Atiku stands a better position of getting more votes in South South and south east than Tinubu hence may beat Tinubu overall. I don't see Obi or Tinubu winning this election yet unless Peter Obi somehow finds a way to break the core north

Imagine if Tinubu had south east and south souht on his side and then goes to battle Atiku in the north, it would have been a walkover for him.

What are your thoughts?
. Now what do say about Obi on the bolded? I am sure that is the fear of tinubu abd atiku boys why they always bring tribal hate on obi
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 9:03pm On Aug 17, 2022
FatherOfJesus:
Tinubu is depending heavily on northern coalition to win the election but he has a huge problem with the emergence of Atiku who will give him a run for his money upnorth.

Tinubu is ignoring the significance of southeast and southsouth in this election. The simple case here is that; Tinubu is depending on beating Atiku on his turf by ignorantly ignoring the relevance Southeast and southsouth to help him buffer some loses he could incure upnorth.

He's also depending on Southwest votes which has been historically known for voter's apathy (check figures from previous elections). Meanwhile, he can't even boast of a sloppy win in Southwest for now.

The mathmatics for me is against Tinubu for now and mostly in favour of Atiku. Peter Obi will make sure that Tinubu never gets enough votes in the south to nullify the fight Atiku will give him in the north.

Atiku stands a better position of getting more votes in South South and south east than Tinubu hence may beat Tinubu overall. I don't see Obi or Tinubu winning this election yet unless Peter Obi somehow finds a way to break the core north

Imagine if Tinubu had south east and south souht on his side and then goes to battle Atiku in the north, it would have been a walkover for him.

What are your thoughts?

Bro calm down... Core north votes will be shared majorly between three parties if kwakwanso won't eventually step down..... PDP may get more votes but the issue is howmany percent votes can they lead with. No party can win core north votes with upto 60%... Middle belt will decide who wins.

4 Likes

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 9:03pm On Aug 17, 2022
Idiotseverywher:
. Now what do say about Obi on the bolded? I am sure that is the fear of tinubu abd atiku boys why they always bring tribal hate on obi
Peter Obi will beat Tinubu in the south.
Peter must find a way to break core north to stand a chance.

1 Like

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Idiotseverywher: 9:05pm On Aug 17, 2022
FatherOfJesus:

Peter Obi will beat Tinubu in the south.
Peter must find a way to break core north to stand a chance.
. No need of core North, middle belt is good to go, with few % at least between 20 to 25 % in core North the deal is done

1 Like

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Nijablast: 9:09pm On Aug 17, 2022
You better care about why Obi will come distant third...

8 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 9:11pm On Aug 17, 2022
Bendeco02:


Bro calm down... Core north votes will be shared majorly between three parties if kwakwanso won't eventually step down..... PDP may get more votes but the issue is howmany percent votes can they lead with. No party can win core north votes with upto 60%... Middle belt will decide who wins.
The only place Tinubu can win in northern central in Kogi and kwara.
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 9:12pm On Aug 17, 2022
Nijablast:
You better care about why Obi will come distant third...
Keep deceiving yourself... Northerners keep rejecting tinubu on daily basis but you guys keep hoping to win north... It will soon clear for your eyes when the results will be announced just like Osun Result.... Keep hoping on incumbent power and rigging

1 Like

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 9:13pm On Aug 17, 2022
Idiotseverywher:
. No need of core North, middle belt is good to go, with few % at least between 20 to 25 % in core North the deal is done
We need core north.

Kwara state is a core APC state, Niger and Nassarawa think like core northerers
The only places Obi can get some numbers now in middle belt is Benue, Abuja and Plateau.

I am not sure if he will even win all the 3 states

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Ahmed0336(m): 9:14pm On Aug 17, 2022
FatherOfJesus:
The only place Tinubu can win in northern central in Kogi and kwara.

Add Niger. He ll get 25% in Nasarawa and FCT

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 9:15pm On Aug 17, 2022
FatherOfJesus:
We need core north.

Kwara state is a core APC state, Niger and Nassarawa think like core northerers
The only places Obi can get some numbers now in middle belt is Benue, Abuja and Plateau.

I am not sure if he will even win all the 3 states
Nasarawa think like North wetin?


Go check previous presidential election results, not only 2019 election result.

Even 2019, below is the result between APC and PDP

Nasarawa APC: 289,903 PDP: 283,847
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Nijablast: 9:15pm On Aug 17, 2022
Bendeco02:

Keep deceiving yourself... Northerners keep rejecting tinubu on daily basis but you guys keep hoping to win north... It will soon clear for your eyes when the results will be announced just like Osun Result.... Keep hoping in incumbent power and rigging
Osun was a contest between Yorubas, don't expect Dem to vote for Obituary
He won't even get the 2k they got in Governorship election.

7 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 9:19pm On Aug 17, 2022
Ahmed0336:


Add Niger. He ll get 25% in Nasarawa and FCT
Niger state reason like the Typical core north.
Nassarawa vote in a similar manner like Abuja and Peter Obi will get more votes in Abuja than Tinubu.
Even Buhari lost here

1 Like

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 9:21pm On Aug 17, 2022
Nijablast:

Osun was a contest between Yorubas, don't expect Dem to vote for Obituary
He won't even get the 2k they got in Governorship election.
Shut up noise maker.

Is tinubu loved in the north?.... Hoping for tinubu to win core north because buhari did is just a deceit.

North keep rejecting the agbodo master back to back.

Check howmany videos circulating online were Northerners are mocking and destroying tinubu's banner in their region.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by FatherOfJesus: 9:21pm On Aug 17, 2022
Bendeco02:

Nasarawa think like North wetin?

Even 2019, below is the result between APC and PDP


Go check previous presidential election results, not only 2019 election result.


Nasarawa APC: 289,903 PDP: 283,847
I wanted to say that nassarawa think like Abuja people

They have similar voting pattern and Tinubu will not win PDP there this time

1 Like

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 9:22pm On Aug 17, 2022
FatherOfJesus:
I wanted to say that nassarawa think like Abuja people

They have similar voting pattern and Tinubu will not win PDP there this time
Ok
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Sabonbuharirufa: 9:24pm On Aug 17, 2022
Check this

1 Like

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Nijablast: 9:34pm On Aug 17, 2022
Bendeco02:

Shut up noise maker.

Is tinubu loved in the north?.... Hoping for tinubu to win core north because buhari did is just a deceit.

North keep rejecting the agbodo master back to back.

Check howmany videos circulating online were Northerners are mocking and destroying tinubu's banner in their region.
Why are you so aggressive like this
A typical Obituary can't engage in an intellectual discuss
Go get a life

5 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by 7Randall: 9:37pm On Aug 17, 2022
The northern votes will be split between Atiku, Tinubu, Obi and even. kwankwaso. The South west may be narrowly won by Tinubu. The south east and south south are down for Obi. I feel the north central will be the deciding factor. Tinubu is taking a huge risk by ignoring some zones.

2 Likes

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Bendeco02: 9:37pm On Aug 17, 2022
Nijablast:

Why are you so aggressive like this
A typical Obituary can't engage in an intellectual discuss
Go get a life
Mumu, you come with aggressive and insults so I have to reply you in the language you understand.

1 Like

Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by after4: 9:37pm On Aug 17, 2022
Who gave you the heroin you dey smoke?



Felimax:


Vanish! Must you talk and spitting?
Comot for my front I beg.
Re: Why Tinubu May Lose This Election. by Idiotseverywher: 9:38pm On Aug 17, 2022
FatherOfJesus:
We need core north.

Kwara state is a core APC state, Niger and Nassarawa think like core northerers
The only places Obi can get some numbers now in middle belt is Benue, Abuja and Plateau.

I am not sure if he will even win all the 3 states
. Kwara is divided between APC and PDP with the failure of APC, saraki PDP will take kwara now that lai Muhammed has failed in his propaganda premises he made to them, for nasarawa , taraba, plateau, abj, and Benue obi will have very good impair because of Christian affinity caused by herdsmen attack by Fulani and the suspected genocide accused Fulani of which no Fulani have ever condemned and buhari not seem to care, the non Fulani in those areas and even in the core north and their Christian counterparts wouldn't want a Fulani man for now until they deal with the terrorist who has been attacking them

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