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Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election - Politics (3) - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election (4100 Views)

Daniel Bwala: Atiku Has Inherited Buhari’s 12 Million Northern Votes / Tinubu Needs Rivers Votes, Not Logistics Support, Umahi Woos Wike / 2023 Presidency: Atiku, Tinubu, Obi Begin Real Battle For Northern Votes (2) (3) (4)

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Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 9:48am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Bro, I'm from zamfara state.. which state are u from?

Where in zamfara? How will tinubu perform in zamfara
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 9:49am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Kwankwasso will not win any state! His best outing is in Kano and jigawa

Tbh,he will win kano
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 9:50am On Aug 25, 2022
tctrills:

I have a tire shop in Gummi. I know your state as the back of my hand.
The people of Zamfara would only vote for Kwankwaso or Atiku as of now. Things may change. I don't know the Future.

People in zamfara don't vote.votes are mostly allocated.pdp is dead there.they will vote where yerima and yari directs
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 9:50am On Aug 25, 2022
tctrills:

You say you are from Zamfara, then you should know that your state has never voted a southerner since 2003. Even when the presidency was zoned to the south Zamfara always votes for a northerner.
Some things would never change.

They voted abiola.they vote where Buhari is
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 9:52am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Lol.. my state only vote party line, since the inception of zamfara State, we have never voted PDP.. the masses have been brainwashed unfortunately, even if they were to be slaughtered one-by-one, thats how bad things are

My step mother's older brother is the gubernatorial candidate of PDP, Dauda lawal Dare.. Even tho ppl are dissatisfied with APC in zamfara, I don't see him winning

If PDP/Atiku is winning any state in NW, it's definitely not Zamfara.. don't rely on what u hear on the streets, it will always be like that.. mostly election doibt reflect what's on ground

Is dare Hausa or fulani? Why did mahdi gusau step down? What tribe is matawalle
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 9:53am On Aug 25, 2022
tctrills:

Zamfara is one of the states in the north that does not for for southerners.
Are you willing to bet that Tinubu cannot win Zamfara?

Zamfara is a state that will give tinubu bloc votes
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by ItsTutsi(m): 9:54am On Aug 25, 2022
Gusau.. Zamfara has always known APC, they don't know anything apart from APC, since the inception of zamfara State, PDP have never won!! It's very unfortunately! Even if APC should slaughter them one-by-one they will still vote them.. that's how bad it is, they have been brainwashed

My step mother's older bro is the gubernatorial candidate of PDP, as bad as things are iin Zamfara, I know he won't win

Atiku might win Zamnfara as a northern hausa/fulani but with small margin
garfield1:


Where in zamfara? How will tinubu perform in zamfara
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by ItsTutsi(m): 9:55am On Aug 25, 2022
Yes he might win with small margin, it could go either way too.. too close to call
garfield1:


Tbh,he will win kano
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 9:56am On Aug 25, 2022
tctrills:

Tinubu is not even as popular as Kwankwaso so in the core north. The northerners are not considering him. He is not in there equation.

They consider buhari party apc furst
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by ItsTutsi(m): 9:56am On Aug 25, 2022
Hausa/fulani both
garfield1:


Is dare Hausa or fulani? Why did mahdi gusau step down? What tribe is matawalle
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 9:57am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Hausa/fulani both

Is it Hausa or fulani? Out of the 14 lgas,which us Hausa, which is fula
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 9:59am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Gusau.. Zamfara has always known APC, they don't know anything apart from APC, since the inception of zamfara State, PDP have never won!! It's very unfortunately! Even if APC should slaughter them one-by-one they will still vote them.. that's how bad it is, they have been brainwashed

My step mother's older bro is the gubernatorial candidate of PDP, as bad as things are iin Zamfara, I know he won't win

Atiku might win Zamnfara as a northern hausa/fulani but with small margin

If atiku wins zamfara,then theres no state in the core north tinubu can win
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by ItsTutsi(m): 10:03am On Aug 25, 2022
Can't say for certain, but hausa are majority in zamfara
garfield1:


Is it Hausa or fulani? Out of the 14 lgas,which us Hausa, which is fula
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by ItsTutsi(m): 10:05am On Aug 25, 2022
It will be very close.. Atiku has the advantage of being a northern Hausa/fulani, while, Tinubu has the structure where most northern grassroot elites are with him
garfield1:


If atiku wins zamfara,then theres no state in the core north tinubu can win
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 10:06am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Can't say for certain, but hausa are majority in zamfara

Its been long I heard from yerima.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 10:09am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
It will be very close.. Atiku has the advantage of being a northern Hausa/fulani, while, Tinubu has the structure where most northern grassroot elites are with him

Honestly if atiku wins the north narrowly by less than 500 k and tinubu wins massively in sw,he wins
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by ItsTutsi(m): 10:10am On Aug 25, 2022
Lol yah.. since the court invalidated his tenure, but he still has loyalist
garfield1:


Its been long I heard from yerima.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by ItsTutsi(m): 10:13am On Aug 25, 2022
Atiku needs to win massively in the north, that's the problem, because PO is playing spoiler in SE/SS where Atiku should have been a natural beneficiary of votes
garfield1:


Honestly if atiku wins the north narrowly by less than 500 k and tinubu wins massively in sw,he wins
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by BeautifulMind2: 10:14am On Aug 25, 2022
Zionmdde:
The truth is, northerners won't vote tinubu. That's what tinubu supporters don't know. I interact a lot with northerners they are very quiet in terms of their choice but if u enter them well, they will tell u they won't vote tinubu and leave it at that.

Atiku might have a higher chance of winning this election than tinubu. The only hope tinubu has is SW and Borno. Atiku has NE, NW, Obi has SE and SS. NC is a battle ground between the 3. Obi has the upper hand in NC because he is the only Christian candidate

The only thing working against obi is the population of voters in SE and this ipob rubbish that might disrupt elections there
South-east is behind Obi do you know that Simon Ekpa auto pilot IPOB leader declared sit at home on Saturday last week in Owerri because of Peter Obi's rally, Imo people ignored him and came in mass for the rally.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by tctrills: 10:14am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Lol! Now I know why this debate kept dragging, i was surprised seeing this from a core northerner.. however, 2023 election will be very interesting, may the best candidate win
You just said Atiku would win in the north so why would you be surprised yo see a core northerner not supporting APC?
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 10:14am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Lol yah.. since the court invalidated his tenure, but he still has loyalist

It seems yari is the new godfather
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by ItsTutsi(m): 10:19am On Aug 25, 2022
Yah.. he has weight too, yari is more of a new generation
garfield1:


It seems yari is the new godfather
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by Hoelujohn: 10:23am On Aug 25, 2022
famouscargo4u:


It's Jonathan against their Northern brother, what do you expect?
This one too is Tinubu against Atiku and Kwankwanso.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by famouscargo4u: 10:26am On Aug 25, 2022
Hoelujohn:

This one too is Tinubu against Atiku and Kwankwanso.

But they also have their Northern brother in APC running for senate, you think they will leave him?
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by Ibadanpikin: 10:35am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Bro, I'm from zamfara state.. which state are u from?
I am currently in jos Tinubu is just useless here,almost all the christains i met are for Obi.The muslims in jos north are mostly rooting for Atiku only few are supporting tinubu.I have travelled to almost all the local governments in plateau state i am currently in shendam governor lalong lga 90% of this people are supporting Obi base on religion,but will vote apc in senate(lalong is competing for senator)this are my findings in plateau state.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by Ibadanpikin: 10:42am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Don't compare 2015 and now, they are totally different.. 2015 zoning of presidency to north sentiment was very high! Many, if not all PDP govs worked for Buhari! You can't compare Buhari on a ballot paper to Atiku or PO
The hausa and fulani we know are religious fanatics,who vote using religion.Tinubu is considered as a fake muslim man by most average core muslim northerners this gives atiku and kwankwaso edge over him.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 10:43am On Aug 25, 2022
garfield1:


I think kwankwaso might win bauchi and get votes in jigawa

Lol, so you bank on social media Picts to make decisions?
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 10:46am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Atiku needs to win massively in the north, that's the problem, because PO is playing spoiler in SE/SS where Atiku should have been a natural beneficiary of votes

Atiku will clear the north by not less than 3m votes, the battle ground is not even north but SS. North + NC is to a large extent decided, SW is decided, SE is split, SS will break the the tie.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 10:48am On Aug 25, 2022
garfield1:


They consider buhari party apc furst

A Buhari that has failed massively.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by SU50: 10:50am On Aug 25, 2022
garfield1:


Tbh,he will win kano

Might win kano, even if he does, the margin will be insignificant.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by Ibadanpikin: 10:52am On Aug 25, 2022
ItsTutsi:
Atiku will win zamfara, definitely.. but with a margin of not more than 20%, just like other northern states.. I'm willing to bet on this
You said that northern governors did work for goodluck in 2015 due to rotation sentiments and this same governors will betray tinubu on religious sentiments although he is muslim,but seen as an inferior muslim by most northerners.
Re: Tinubu Needs More Than 40% Of The Northern Votes To Win The Election by garfield1: 10:53am On Aug 25, 2022
SU50:


Might win kano, even if he does, the margin will be insignificant.

He is too popular in kano compared to tinubu and atiku.it will be kwankwaso 1 mil,tinubu 600,@tiku 400

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