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Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region - Politics - Nairaland

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Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Nobody: 8:57am On Mar 27, 2015
SOUTH-WEST
Jonathan: 2,786,417
Buhari: 321,609
Ribadu: 1,369,943
Turnout: 32.3%

SOUTH-EAST
Jonathan: 4,985,246
Buhari: 20,335
Ribadu: 25,517
Turnout: 66.9%

SOUTH-SOUTH
Jonathan: 6,118,608
Buhari: 49,978
Ribadu: 144,141
Turnout: 67.0%

TOTAL  SOUTH
Jonathan: 13,890,271
Buhari: 391,922
Ribadu: 1,539,601
Turnout: 52.0%

NORTH-WEST
Jonathan: 3,395,724
Buhari: 6,453,437
Ribadu: 146,216
Shekarau: 612,541
Turnout: 54.5%

NORTH-EAST
Jonathan: 1,832,622
Buhari: 3,624,919
Ribadu: 84,273
Shekarau: 198,837
Turnout: 54.2%

NORTH-CENTRAL
Jonathan: 3,123,126
Buhari: 1,612,999
Ribadu: 306,684
Shekarau: 40,175
Turnout: 48.2%

TOTAL NORTH
Jonathan: 8,351,472
Buhari: 11,691,355
Ribadu: 537,173
Shekarau: 851,553

TOTAL FCT
Jonathan: 253,444
Buhari: 131,576
Ribadu: 2,327
Shekarau: 3,170

[size=13pt]COUNTRY TOTAL:[/size]
Jonathan: 22,495,187 (58.89%)

Buhari: 12,214,853 (31.98%)
Ribadu: 2,079,101 (5.41%)
Shekarau: 917,012 (2.10%)
Others: 503,771 (1.31%)


Reference: http://www.nigerianmuse.com/20110419040622zg/sections/general-articles/details-of-2011-presidential-election-results-in-nigeria/

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Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Nobody: 8:58am On Mar 27, 2015
looking at the trend I doubt if the voting pattern in the SW, NE and NC will be anyway different from that of 2011. The only difference will be that Buhari will get more votes in SW and NC than he had in 2011 but Jonathan will still win the regions. The NW has been traditional Buhari slaughter ground except Kaduna where it is usually 51-49 in favore of Buhari(Thanks to the Southern Kaduna Christian Population). The election will come and go and Jonathan will again be re-elected. The Reality on ground favors him.

129 Likes 14 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by egift(m): 8:58am On Mar 27, 2015
1. Since 2011, a lot has changed.
2. Nigerians are now aware of the incompetence of Jonathan.
3. Unlike 2011, APC have a wider and stronger political structures than CPC.
4. More voters, politicians, international communities now embrace the candidacy of Buhari.
5. The 2015 Campaign of Buhari is better funded and has been issue based, unlike Jonathan who spent more attacking the person of Buhari.
6. Buhari has penetrated Jonathan's primary stronghold, while Jonathan has lost ground in where GMB's base.
7. Nigerians are not happy with how things have been handled under Jonathan. Everyone wants Change. Apart from improvements in few places, we can't see any transformation in Jonathan's cosmetics.
8. Buhari has better understanding to the problems facing Nigerian. Untill 2015 New Year Message, Jonathan never accepted Corruption was a big problem.
9. Buhari and his Team have ran a better Presidential Campaign than Jonathan, even with smaller fund. Same thing to expect in the incoming administration.

Therefore this 2015, it is Mathematically impossible for Buhari to lose.

Sai Buhari.

536 Likes 52 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by SeverusSnape(m): 9:02am On Mar 27, 2015
Good

4 Likes

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Firefire(m): 9:04am On Mar 27, 2015
As of today Dr. Goodluck Ebele Jonathan has 73% Nigerians vote. If you are not aware please wait and see.

73 Likes 6 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by LRNZH(m): 9:05am On Mar 27, 2015


This is the best GEJ can ever get in any elections in Nigeria. We know GEJ support base has dwindled and shrunk to the SE, SS and some Middle Belt sates.
GMB is billed to take the SW, all of the NE/NW states and some MB states.

GMB is taking 2015. This is the new most realistic projections below.

Mark this post.
Nigeria Sai Baba

157 Likes 9 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by mkpakanaodogwu(m): 9:05am On Mar 27, 2015
egift:
okenye dika gi ka na ebuku space.APC adiro gi nma na aru

7 Likes

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Alphaoscar: 9:06am On Mar 27, 2015
Still Buhari all the way!!!

90 Likes 6 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by WisdomFlakes: 9:07am On Mar 27, 2015
Levels Don Change cool

21 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Alphaoscar: 9:07am On Mar 27, 2015
egift:



This is 2015 and not 2011.



Sai Buhari!!!

70 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Nobody: 9:08am On Mar 27, 2015
APC. SAK















Chanji Sak

8 Likes

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Truckpusher(m): 9:08am On Mar 27, 2015
Some of these broom waving demons will deactivate their account tomorrow.

31 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Nobody: 9:09am On Mar 27, 2015
We have endured six (6) horrendous years of the
current administration. Our redemption date is
near. No matter the frustrations or obstacles, we
MUST endure whatever it takes to make sure we
exercise our right to vote. March 28, 2015 is the
day when we have all the power to change our
situation.
Ensure you get accredited within the specified
time frame in order to ensure you can vote.

37 Likes 4 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Nobody: 9:12am On Mar 27, 2015
G=Goodluck
M= Moves to
B= Bayelsa

86 Likes 8 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Nobody: 9:13am On Mar 27, 2015
WisdomFlakes:
Levels Don Change cool
wetin change? Bros, if anything changed then it is for GEJ's favor. Contrary to APC's postulation, the NW and NE has never voted in bloc for Buhari(ie 75%) since 2003. What wins election is political structure not political noise. I hope Buhari is ready to come to terms when reality will dawn on him tomorrow.

26 Likes 1 Share

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by MzJackBaueress(f): 9:14am On Mar 27, 2015
March 28 will be a shocker. I see GMB cruising to victory.
What happened in 2011 wil never happen again.

Its Sai Buhari!

57 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Djicemob: 9:17am On Mar 27, 2015
Dr Goodluck Ebele Jonathan would win,is this rocket science?

10 Likes

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by WisdomFlakes: 9:17am On Mar 27, 2015
barcanista:
wetin change? Bros, if anything changed then it is for GEJ's favor. Contrary to APC's postulation, the NW and NE has never voted in bloc for Buhari(ie 75%) since 2003. What wins election is political structure not political noise. I hope Buhari is ready to come to terms when reality will dawn on him tomorrow.

#NeverAgain.

17 Likes 1 Share

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by JustCalMeDBoss(m): 9:18am On Mar 27, 2015
GEJ Till 2019 all I can say

12 Likes

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by realjoker(m): 9:22am On Mar 27, 2015
Nice one the hope is getting bigger.
GEJ will get lesser votes from the north buhari will get more votes from SE & SS N-central is for buhari, south west lol is for buhari as it stand right now, and you know what, i will vote for Gej because i was touched when i see OPC threatning lagosian and i fall in love with Gej when i see him distributing dollars to the obas.

10 Likes

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Nobody: 9:25am On Mar 27, 2015
Truckpusher:
Some of these broom waving demons will deactivate their account tomorrow.
If you compare the voting pattern of 2003, 2007 and 2011 with respect to Buhari, you will see that nothing has really changed. In 2007 Buhari had 6.6million when he contested against his fellow Northerners scoring 18.72%. Atiku had 2.64m votes (7%), while Yaradua had 24.64m votes (about 70%). In 2003 Buhari contested against a Southern Candidate Obasanjo, he had the same 12 million votes, while Obasanjo had 24.5 million votes. In 2007 AC(Tinubus) supported Atiku yet they couldn't even win the SW... I wonder whether the APC's follow trend...


Jonathan Shall Lead Again

25 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by ojaydedon(m): 9:27am On Mar 27, 2015
up gej...

Nothing will change much from 2011 result.

APC guys will be shocked with the outcome..
Hope say dem no go scatter sha

7 Likes

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by WisdomFlakes: 9:30am On Mar 27, 2015
barcanista:
If you compare the voting pattern of 2003, 2007 and 2011 with respect to Buhari, you will see that nothing has really changed. In 2007 Buhari had 6.6million when he contested against his fellow Northerners scoring 18.72%. Atiku had 2.64m votes (7%), while Yaradua had 24.64m votes (about 70%). In 2003 Buhari contested against a Southern Candidate Obasanjo, he had the same 12 million votes, while Obasanjo had 24.5 million votes. In 2007 AC(Tinubus) supported Atiku yet they couldn't even win the SW... I wonder whether the APC's follow trend...


Jonathan Shall Lead Again

Slow your roll bro. A LOT has since Changed. Enter Card Readers. There's no way in hell GEJ will be getting inflated votes in his SS/SE strongholds as was the case in 2011. If anything, his support base has shrunk significantly -- unless you wanna kid yourself, there's absolutely no way GEJ will be winning the SW this time around, so X that bro.

I don't need to rehash the tales of massing rigging that went down in the SS/SE back then as I believe its now common knowledge.

Quit deceiving yourself bro. I know you're trying really hard to convince yourself that GEJ stands a chance this time around, but I know for a fact even you don't buy your own crap.

52 Likes 4 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by ozo13(m): 9:33am On Mar 27, 2015
barcanista:
I looking at the trend I doubt if the voting pattern in the SW, NE and NC will be anyway different from that of 2011. The only difference will be that Buhari will get more votes in SW and NC than he had in 2011 but Jonathan will still win the regions. The NW has been traditional Buhari slaughter ground except Kaduna where it is usually 51-49 in favore of Buhari(Thanks to the Southern Kaduna Christian Population). The election will come and go and Jonathan will again be re-elected. The Reality on ground favors him.
I don't agree with ds assertion. In 2011 2 major Hausa aside buhari was in d race.ribadu and shekarau.it was like 3hausas sharing d northern vote BT not going to b like that in ds election. And dr is ds concept call CHANGE.dr was also no strong opposition in 2011 like we now have with many governors supporting d man.in 2011 PDP didn't have any internal problem.now dey do.DAT was y many governors left.in 2011 PDP was in majority both in senate n fed house of rep BT not like that now.I can go on and on.sorry for all d typo error. Typing inside a moving vehicle.

49 Likes 3 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by zguy: 9:34am On Mar 27, 2015
In every election where the incumbent has disappointed he's the one at the risk of losing support while the opposition stands to gain support. That simple fact means Jonathan is guaranteed to get less votes from the SW/NC/NE. If you actually think GEJ will get the same votes then you must be hella delusional. Don't worry though he'll probably get his votes from his base region (SS/SE) but too bad that wont make him win.

I could go on writing more unnecessary stuff, but i dont really give a Bleep what you think is gonna happen. The election is tomorrow so we'll all see the reality then.

13 Likes

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by WisdomFlakes: 9:35am On Mar 27, 2015
ozo13:
I don't agree with ds assertion. In 2011 2 major Hausa aside buhari was in d race.ribadu and shekarau.it was like 3hausas sharing d northern vote BT not going to b like that in ds election. And dr is ds concept call CHANGE.dr was also no strong opposition in 2011 like we now have with many governors supporting d man.in 2011 PDP didn't have any internal problem.now dey do.DAT was y many governors left.in 2011 PDP was in majority both in senate n fed house of rep BT not like that now.I can go on and on.sorry for all d typo error. Typing inside a moving vehicle.

Choi! Technical Knockout.

27 Likes 1 Share

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by ojaydedon(m): 9:36am On Mar 27, 2015
IbnSultaan:
G=Goodluck
M= Moves to
B= Bayelsa

G=General buhari
E=Enters
J=Jail
grin

20 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Nobody: 9:39am On Mar 27, 2015
egift:
1. Since 2011, a lot has changed.
2. Nigerians are now aware of the incompetence of Jonathan.
3. Unlike 2011, APC have a wider and stronger political structures than CPC.
4. More voters, politicians, international communities now embrace the candidacy of Buhari.
5. The 2015 Campaign of Buhari is better funded and has been issue based, unlike Jonathan who spent more attacking the person of Buhari.

Therefore this 2015, it is Mathematically impossible for Buhari to lose.
1. What has changed in the South in GMB's favor? Even in the north East and North West the 30-40% Christian population are yet to embrace Buhari. The violence by his supporters in 2011 never helped matters..

2. In 2007 AC/ACN in partnership with renegade PDP led by Atiku and some Governors couldn't secure the SW for Atiku neither could they win Adamawa State. Atiku only had a meagre 2million votes(compare with ribadu 2011). He lost Adamawa despite having incumbent Governor. Buhari had incumbent Governors in Kano, Zamfara, Borno, Yobe, Kebbi and one other state but couldn't score up to 20% in the poll. He even lost in his Katsina and (I think KD). All the Noise of AC never materialised into votes for Atiku, neither did the ANPP noise. The so-called APC Governors will not make much effect.

3. Lol @ international support. Do they have PVC? Did international community support Yaradua in 2007 and Nantayahu in 2015? Or Mugabe of Zimbabwe?

4. Atiku spent money in 2007 but couldn't get up to 3million votes. Even Buhari that spent less had more votes than him.
Note that Atiku rode on Tinubu's struxture in the SW.

Edo for instance voted Oshiomole in 2007 because of personality but voted Yaradua because of PDP structure at the Presidential level. Money without political structure is ZERO!

Like I said, nothing has changed for Buhari's favor.

21 Likes

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Firefire(m): 9:39am On Mar 27, 2015
ojaydedon:


G=General buhari
E=Enters
J=Jail
grin

cheesy

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by ojaydedon(m): 9:42am On Mar 27, 2015
barcanista:
If you compare the voting pattern of 2003, 2007 and 2011 with respect to Buhari, you will see that nothing has really changed. In 2007 Buhari had 6.6million when he contested against his fellow Northerners scoring 18.72%. Atiku had 2.64m votes (7%), while Yaradua had 24.64m votes (about 70%). In 2003 Buhari contested against a Southern Candidate Obasanjo, he had the same 12 million votes, while Obasanjo had 24.5 million votes. In 2007 AC(Tinubus) supported Atiku yet they couldn't even win the SW... I wonder whether the APC's follow trend...


Jonathan Shall Lead Again


true talk...
aPC guys dnt really understand the politics been played..
Those supporting gej in the north has always supported him...
Its just the westerners been involved in the matter now...

But GEJ will still get alot of votes from the west..
And it wunt be suprising if he gets more votes in the west than gmb

6 Likes

Re: Another Look At 2011 Result Breakdown By Region by Nobody: 9:49am On Mar 27, 2015
WisdomFlakes:


Slow your roll bro. A LOT has since Changed. Enter Card Readers. There's no way in hell GEJ will be getting inflated votes in his SS/SE strongholds as was the case in 2011. If anything, his support base has shrunk significantly -- unless you wanna kid yourself, there's absolutely no way GEJ will be winning the SW this time around, so X that bro.

I don't need to rehash the tales of massing rigging that went down in the SS/SE back then as I believe its now common knowledge.

Quit deceiving yourself bro. I know you're trying really hard to convince yourself that GEJ stands a chance this time around, but I know for a fact even you don't buy your own crap.
firstly, you can only "RIG" where you are popular. As for SE/SS for you to say that GEJ's votes will shrink, it shows that you are yet to come to reality. As for the SW, I will come back here on Sunday/Monday to do the analysis and voting pattern when GEJ carries SW. The funny thing about SW is that contrary to what APC are saying there are 3 groups ammong the Yoruba population. Group one will vote for GEJ, Group two will vote for GMB, while Group three will not participate in the Presidential election because they believe in non of them. Group one and two at present are going neck to neck with GEJ being at advantage. But what will finally seal the fate of GMB is the 30-35% votes of non indigens in the SW(majorly the Igbo population).

Believe me bro, Jonathan Shall Lead Again! For the NC that one is no go area.

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