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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (6274) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by jideflash(m): 3:03pm On Feb 10, 2021
lets not forget the overdue naira devaluation that we should expect anytime from now. its advisable for short term players to sell off if any bull ride come soon, hold profit and watch out for 2nd qtr.

wisdom2345:
The Plumming of this stocks is as people expect NTB rates to be above 5% for the 364day bill and then 10.1% in the OMO would hint Foreign investors to sell equities and even bonds in the secondary market to lock cash in OMO @ 10.1%

We just pray and hope that today’s NTB still dips lower but if it appreciates more locals would sell off assets in the stocks market to gain risk free return in t bills

2 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Monibabakan(m): 3:06pm On Feb 10, 2021
yMcy56:

Quite a lot of inconsistency in the system.
We just wake up to expect anything from this govt.

This exactly is one particular issue that makes our Mr Market so unpredictable - inconsistent government policies. That's why short-term traders have to be very careful, avoid being greedy and getting carried away with paper profits when it seems the bullish season will be forever cool

5 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deewhone19: 3:15pm On Feb 10, 2021
yMcy56:

It's okay.
Why didn't you sell @30?
I can remember posting about pullback or thereabout at that junction .........when some of my Ogas here were projecting 40.
Anyway, you still entered at a very good junction, you may wait to collect dividend before selling, Wapco used to release result around Mar/Apr (May be earlier this year though) .........but remember it depends on Market situation before then. You keep watching price mvmt.
Good luck!
Na greed do me ooo... Was waiting for circa 35. I think I will take you advice, take dividend before selling off. Thank you for the advice our ever helpful mercy. Been following this thread for a couple of years now...I have to say @ymcy56 you are too much

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wisdom2345: 3:20pm On Feb 10, 2021
Knock! Knock!
We hearing quotes from the streets
That stops rates are now 1.0000, 2.0000 and 4.0000 respectively in today’s auction ( rumors)
If this is true it is what was expected and better than what has happened at the last week OMO’s auction.


It is gonna be a quiet and red tomato session for stocks only if we see a consistent inch in NTB rates

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by IYGEAL(m): 3:20pm On Feb 10, 2021
emmanuelewumi:
It is unbelievable that some people who frequent this thread and also make good contributions can fall victim of Ponzi scheme and other unsustainable high yield Investment schemes

I see. So that includes making their results and declarations secret going forward?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by zimams: 3:42pm On Feb 10, 2021
Yea, Guinness has gotten on my radar. 'for long term hold' if price is right. 12- 18 months


ojeysky:


Looks like Guinness is picking up though
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Godisfaithful: 3:51pm On Feb 10, 2021
PETERiCHY:
Investors rightnow grin grin grin

LOL grin grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mcy56(f): 4:11pm On Feb 10, 2021
wisdom2345:
Knock! Knock!
We hearing quotes from the streets
That stops rates are now 1.0000, 2.0000 and 4.0000 respectively in today’s auction ( rumors)
If this is true it is what was expected and better than what has happened at the last week OMO’s auction.

It is gonna be a quiet and red tomato session for stocks only if we see a consistent inch in NTB rates
I think those selling off were/are mostly the TB guys that rushed to stock market when rate was ridiculously low.
Stock market has been there when the rate was good and will remain when they carry their Kaya commot. grin
Generally, NSE used to be bearish in Feb/Mar, so I won't totally tag it with NTB or whatever.
Long termers/Dividend Investors have little or nothing to worry about.......short termers will restrategize.
Let them go and allow us see road. tongue

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ukay2: 4:19pm On Feb 10, 2021
Mcy56:

I think those selling off were/are mostly the TB guys that rushed to stock market when rate was ridiculously low.
Stock market has been there when the rate was good and will remain when they carry their Kaya commot. grin
Generally, NSE used to be bearish in Feb/Mar, so I won't totally tag it with NTB or whatever.
Long termers/Dividend Investors have little or nothing to worry about.......short termers will restrategize.
Let them go and allow us see road. tongue

We need more pull-backs.

3 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ebuka1997: 4:55pm On Feb 10, 2021
wisdom2345:
Knock! Knock!
We hearing quotes from the streets
That stops rates are now 1.0000, 2.0000 and 4.0000 respectively in today’s auction ( rumors)
If this is true it is what was expected and better than what has happened at the last week OMO’s auction.


It is gonna be a quiet and red tomato session for stocks only if we see a consistent inch in NTB rates

Omo make I go chop government money in treasury bills
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 5:14pm On Feb 10, 2021
wisdom2345:
The Plumming of this stocks is as people expect NTB rates to be above 5% for the 364day bill and then 10.1% in the OMO would hint Foreign investors to sell equities and even bonds in the secondary market to lock cash in OMO @ 10.1%

We just pray and hope that today’s NTB still dips lower but if it appreciates more locals would sell off assets in the stocks market to gain risk free return in t bills

My dear,
Don’t allow ur forecast(perceived as they clearly are) make u miss out on the select few opportunities that the market would present.
Ur talk on rising yields in the FI space causing a diversion of funds away from the stock market is for now half-baked(a bit too early) and holds little or no water given the current economic play on ground. wink cheesy grin

I hope u understand that the stop rates u quoted are only but ur nominal return investing in that space. …ur RR(real return) remains largely negative or stretched even if u double those figures.
...a brief;

Ur Nos are broadly forward-looking estimates but lets just be generous and assume that the coupon on a 1yr tenure NTB is 5%.(actual 1yr DR is @ circa </=4%)
Lets even double that rate... which would be a 10% nominal return. Unfortunately, that would still compute to an approx negative 2.7% in real return(net of inflation)
At the OMO space, ur RR will also print negative over a 1yr time-frame.

And I hope u also know that over the same period, certain select healthy coys can deliver near 2x their previous yield peg.
Lets dig in a bit more…
A coy like ZENITH bank will likely return a N5.7 cash flow accrual within a roughly 1yr period(N2.7 in march 2021, 30k in July 2021 and another N2.7 in march 2022). At a price peg of N25, that’s a near 23% div yield(circa 22.8%) in nominal return and a net positive near 12.5% real return.
Even if we decide to be cautiously optimistic and assume the bank may pay less dividend within the said time-frame(though there is no just reason to think so at this time), yield would still print at approx 10.3% of real return. Then there is also the matter of a possible cap appreciation to top up ur total CGY.
…the interpretation of this is that it could likely take u as much as 2.5yrs to derive an equivalent value playing a 1yr NTB as u would playing the asset ZENITH, ceteris peribus. Needless to say that aligning with the latter ahead of the former should be a worthy opportunity cost.
Similar arguments can be made for other healthy high yield-giving coys like GTB, UBA, AFPRUD, UCAP, DSR, DC etc.

Now unless u are one of them fellows who believe that the negative 2.7% RR(from playing in that FI space) is greater than that of a positive 12.5% or min. 10.3% playing the ZENITH asset, u would quite naturally incline with the latter investment channel. wink cheesy grin

There is need to understand what the market is “playing or acting out” at any given time. While u can not predict with certainty its motive, u can take advantage of its “plays” and the opportunities that come with it.
The market is about to gift u with one more. Know when and how to act. cool shocked wink
No need to fret… trend remains largely bullish!!(see my past post on this line)

Selah

15 Likes 2 Shares

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 5:32pm On Feb 10, 2021
jideflash:
lets not forget the overdue naira devaluation that we should expect anytime from now. its advisable for short term players to sell off if any bull ride come soon, hold profit and watch out for 2nd qtr.


A devaluation will largely encourage more inflow than outflow from the FPIs and discourage sales from the HNIs, DPIs... and then outwit the minority players who may wish to seek other channels prior to then.
...particularly with the current economic 'misgivings'(low rate environment, high inflation etc)

The 1st 2 bouts of devaluation last yr already did.(the mkt response was positive)... the next(if it does happen) will likely not be an exception.

Money will always chase higher/better yields, and the market currently offers one such channel.

Regards

4 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wisdom2345: 5:55pm On Feb 10, 2021
Thank you so much sir. Please what do you think of insurance companies like Wapic or mutual benefit
onegentleguy:


My dear,
Don’t allow ur forecast(perceived as they clearly are) make u miss out on the select few opportunities that the market would present.
Ur talk on rising yields in the FI space causing a diversion of funds away from the stock market is for now half-baked(a bit too early) and holds little or no water given the current economic play on ground. wink cheesy grin

I hope u understand that the stop rates u quoted are only but ur nominal return investing in that space. …ur RR(real return) remains largely negative or stretched even if u double those figures.
...a brief;

Ur Nos are broadly forward-looking estimates but lets just be generous and assume that the coupon on a 1yr tenure NTB is 5%.(actual 1yr DR is @ circa </=4%)
Lets even double that rate... which would be a 10% nominal return. Unfortunately, that would still be an approx negative 2.7% in real return(net of inflation)
At the OMO space, ur RR will also print negative over a 1yr time-frame.

And I hope u also know that over the same period, certain select healthy coys can deliver near 2x previous yield peg.
Lets dig in a bit more…
A coy like ZENITH bank will likely return a N5.7 cash flow accrual within a roughly 1yr period(N2.7 in march 2021, 30k in July 2021 and another N2.7 in march 2022). At a price peg of N25, that’s a near 23% div yield(circa 22.8%) in nominal return and a net positive near 12.5% real return.
Even if we decide to be cautiously optimistic and assume the bank may pay less dividend within the said time-frame(though there is no just reason to think so at this time), yield would still print at approx 10.3% of real return. Then there is also the matter of a possible cap appreciation to top up ur total CGY.
…the interpretation of this is that it could likely take u as much as 2.5yrs to derive an equivalent value playing a 1yr NTB as it would playing the asset ZENITH, ceteris peribus. Needless to say that aligning with the latter ahead of the former should be a worthy opportunity cost.
The same argument can be made for other healthy high yield-giving coys like GTB, UBA, AFPRUD, UCAP, DSR, DC etc.

Now unless u are one of them fellows who believe that the negative 2.7% RR(from playing in that FI space) is greater than that of 12.5% or min. 10.3% playing the ZENITH asset, u would quite naturally incline with the latter investment channel. wink cheesy grin

There is need to understand what the market is “playing or acting out” at any given time. While u can not predict with certainty its motive, u can take advantage of its “plays” and the opportunities that come with it.
…the market is about to gift u with one more. Know when and how to act. cool shocked wink
No need to fret… trend remains largely bullish!!(see my past post on this line)

Selah
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by wisdom2345: 5:57pm On Feb 10, 2021
ebuka1997:


Omo make I go chop government money in treasury bills
Bad guy!!! Lol
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by onegentleguy: 6:09pm On Feb 10, 2021
wisdom2345:
Thank you so much sir. Please what do you think of insurance companies like Wapic or mutual benefit

Pls kindly surf through my past post. ...I already gave enough guide on coys in the insurance space.

Regards
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 6:16pm On Feb 10, 2021
The journey to election......
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ojeysky(m): 6:25pm On Feb 10, 2021
jideflash:
na wa for caverton, shey e no go fall? i need more.... grin

The fall it has done never reach.....I beg hee don do o
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by PETERiCHY(m): 6:25pm On Feb 10, 2021
yMcy56:
Where is Peter today?
He didn't jump out to post because he's in the market ....... grin
He'll be here the moment he's done selling at loss lipsrsealed

Quite a lot of transactions towards closing despite the red though.

You are so used to making losses so it's understandable.

Like I keep screaming since last year
2021is the year of THUNDERSTORM and 2008 will be a child's play compare to what will happen.

So keep your CASH abreast.

BARGAIN HUNTERS TAKE NOTE!

4 Likes

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by zimams: 8:03pm On Feb 10, 2021
Just thinking aloud...

What's the chance that Dangcem will increase divided having reduced their outstanding shares through the 1st phase of their share buy back scheme?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 12:42am On Feb 11, 2021
Hello All,

I would like you to share your knowledge and insights with me on this tax matter.

Assume that you're working for a multi-national company in Lagos and you periodically set aside around 60% of your net monthly pay and invest same into the shares of well-run companies listed on the NSE.

Assume further that at the end of ten years of working with the multi-national company, you decide to resign and incorporate your own company by being a distributor for the multi-national company's products.

However, before the incorporation of your company, you sold all your overvalued shares in your personal name and moved the proceeds into your newly incorporated company's bank account. In this case, would the person be liable to pay any tax to the Lagos Internal Revenue Service (LIRS) or the FIRS based on the proceeds from his liquidated shares?

Thank you.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bigjay01(m): 3:00am On Feb 11, 2021
TwiceASGiant:
Hello All,

I would like you to share your knowledge and insights with me on this tax matter.

Assume that you're working for a multi-national company in Lagos and you periodically set aside around 60% of your net monthly pay and invest same into the shares of well-run companies listed on the NSE.

Assume further that at the end of ten years of working with the multi-national company, you decide to resign and incorporate your own company by being a distributor for the multi-national company's products.

However, before the incorporation of your company, you sold all your overvalued shares in your personal name and moved the proceeds into your newly incorporated company's bank account. In this case, would the person be liable to pay any tax to the Lagos Internal Revenue Service (LIRS) or the FIRS based on the proceeds from his liquidated shares?

Thank you.

Dunno how it works in Nigeria. Why move personal funds to corporate account. In this part of the world, you must account for it to HMRC. You have to prove it is not payment for goods/services rendered by the company.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nobody: 3:31am On Feb 11, 2021
bigjay01:


Dunno how it works in Nigeria. Why move personal funds to corporate account. In this part of the world, you must account for it to HMRC. You have to prove it is not payment for goods/services rendered by the company.

Thank you for your response.

I sold shares in my personal name and transferred the proceeds to my company account to serve as capital for my distributorship business.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by rebekah2011(m): 3:53am On Feb 11, 2021
No tax is due on the disposal of shares. The cash injection into the distribution business could either be in form of a loan o the business or an equity injection or could be a mixture. It all depends on what you want.
TwiceASGiant:
Hello All,

I would like you to share your knowledge and insights with me on this tax matter.

Assume that you're working for a multi-national company in Lagos and you periodically set aside around 60% of your net monthly pay and invest same into the shares of well-run companies listed on the NSE.

Assume further that at the end of ten years of working with the multi-national company, you decide to resign and incorporate your own company by being a distributor for the multi-national company's products.

However, before the incorporation of your company, you sold all your overvalued shares in your personal name and moved the proceeds into your newly incorporated company's bank account. In this case, would the person be liable to pay any tax to the Lagos Internal Revenue Service (LIRS) or the FIRS based on the proceeds from his liquidated shares?

Thank you.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 7:35am On Feb 11, 2021
TwiceASGiant:
Hello All,

I would like you to share your knowledge and insights with me on this tax matter.

Assume that you're working for a multi-national company in Lagos and you periodically set aside around 60% of your net monthly pay and invest same into the shares of well-run companies listed on the NSE.

Assume further that at the end of ten years of working with the multi-national company, you decide to resign and incorporate your own company by being a distributor for the multi-national company's products.

However, before the incorporation of your company, you sold all your overvalued shares in your personal name and moved the proceeds into your newly incorporated company's bank account. In this case, would the person be liable to pay any tax to the Lagos Internal Revenue Service (LIRS) or the FIRS based on the proceeds from his liquidated shares?

Thank you.

At the point of selling your shares, govt has already collected their tax from the proceeds of the share sales.
The moment the fund enters your business,it is regarded as shareholder's fund.
Govt can not tax shareholder's fund rather they tax your profit

3 Likes 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Frawzey: 8:26am On Feb 11, 2021
Hi,

Please can someone tell me when MTNNGs Q4 2020 results would be out?

I can't seem to find any info on their website.

Thanks.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 9:08am On Feb 11, 2021
Its going to be bullish today

You can quote at the end of today's trading

Good Morning
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Seunn11: 9:22am On Feb 11, 2021
samguru:
Its going to be bullish today

You can quote at the end of today's trading

Good Morning

Bears Knocking.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by rebekah2011(m): 9:56am On Feb 11, 2021
There are no taxes on the sale of shares. What you have are brokers commissions, Vat, stamp duty CSCS and SMS alert. stocks and shares are exempted from tax.
samguru:


At the point of selling your shares, govt has already collected their tax from the proceeds of the share sales.
The moment the fund enters your business,it is regarded as shareholder's fund.
Govt can not tax shareholder's fund rather they tax your profit
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by jamace(m): 10:05am On Feb 11, 2021
*NIGERIA’S TOP TEN COMPANIES*

*Top 10 Banks on the NSE by Market Cap as at 5th Feb. 2021*
GT bank – N1.06trn
Zenith – N816.3bn
Stanbic – N499.8bn
Access Bank – N303.9bn
UBA – N288.9bn
First Bank – N260.2bn
Union Bank – N168.9bn
ETI – N110.1bn
Fidelity Bank – N72.4bn
FCMB – N63.4bn

*Top 10 sectors in Nigeria with highest foreign inflows in 2020*
Banking - $3.75bn
Financing – $1.89bn
Shares – $1.85bn
Production – $913.9m
Telecomms – $417.5m
Agriculture – $324.6m
Trading – $287.9m
Service - $68.4m
Oil & gas – $53.5m
Brewering – $30.4m

*ICT companies on the NSE by Market Cap as at 5th Feb. 2021*
MTN – N3.7trn
Airtel – N3.5trn
E-transact – N10.5bn
CWG – N6.4bn
Chams – N1.2bn
Courteville – N746m
Omatek – N588m
Tripple Gee – N371m
NCR Plc – N370m

*Top 10 Insurance Companies on the NSE by Market Cap as at 5th Feb. 2021*
Mansard– N46.8bn
NEM – N25.1bn
AIICO– N25bn
Coronation – N13.7bn
Cornerstone– N11.8bn
Prestige – N6.4bn
Linkage Assurance– N6bn
African Alliance – N4.9bn
Consolidated Hallmark– N4.9bn
Staco – N4.5bn

*Top 10 most capitalized companies on the NSE as at 5th Feb. 2021*
Dangote Cement – N3.9trn
MTN – N3.7trn
Airtel – N3.5trn
BUA Cement – N2.7trn
Nestle – N1.1trn
GTB – N1.06trn
Zenith – N816.3bn
Stanbic – N499.8bn
Nig. Brew – N487.8bn
Lafarge – N429.3bn

*Top 10 Manufacturing companies (Consumer goods) by Market Cap as at 5th Feb. 2021*
Nestle– N1.1trn
Nigerian Brew– N487.8bn
Dangote Sugar– N243bn
Int’l Brew– N166.5bn
Flour Mills– N129bn
Unilever– N84bn
Nascon– N43bn
Guinness– N42bn
PZ Cussons– N22.4bn
Champion Brew– N22bn

*SOURCE: Nairalytics*

6 Likes 1 Share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by samguru(m): 10:11am On Feb 11, 2021
rebekah2011:
There are no taxes on the sale of shares. What you have are brokers commissions, Vat, stamp duty CSCS and SMS alert. stocks and shares are exempted from tax.

what is VAT?

VAT is not tax grin grin grin

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nna777: 10:15am On Feb 11, 2021
Today and tomorrow will be bloody oo. If you bought low, no need to panic, if you bought high wait until the blood stops and then average down. If you can't cut your loss and move on.

1 Like

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Lion123: 10:33am On Feb 11, 2021
nna777:
Today and tomorrow will be bloody oo. If you bought low, no need to panic, if you bought high wait until the blood stops and then average down. If you can't cut your loss and move on.

It is well.

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