Movic1:
Pdp should forget these states
Kano Katsina Jigawa Kwara Kebbi Borno Kaduna Ogun Ekiti

Add Yobe and Gombe.

Asshurbanipal:
It will be compensated with taraba and gombe

Remove Gombe bro, They will surprise you, Only Taraba might fall to Atiku.

Asshurbanipal:
Ok. But at least 35% is sure

Trust me bro, with what I saw today, Atiku ain't getting 30% in Borno and Yobe.

faithugo64:

North? Am impressed
Let us all learn to tolerate each other, respect our differences and express ourselves without having to abuse and talk people/other tribes down.
The earlier we realise that life is too short for all these drama, the better for us.
One love bro

Most of us are generally easy going,

Asshurbanipal:

And you know its impossible for Christians to go against atiku there considering percieved Buhari extremism

The Muslims are more than the Christians still yet, Buhari will win Borno, Yobe, Gombe, Bauchi and Adamawa Sir.
Taraba, I do not know.

bjdon:

I think the NE will be shared but not equally. I still see PDP winning Taraba, but you are correct APC will take likely take the rest. However the strong showing in the SW plus expected strong showing in NC gives PDP a buffer.
I think this is going to be a very tight election.
BTW I am not a supporter of any party, just a political enthusiast, so whoever wins (or losses) it does not affect me in any way. My spirit dey kampe!

Only Taraba Might go to Atiku

bjdon:
So far Atiku's camp should be happier. The only stat were they seem to be doing worse than expected are Kwara and Adamawa People need to remember that Atiku's path to Aso Rock does not go via the NW. He can loose the entire NW and SW and still make it as long as he wins the NC, SE, and SS and shares the NE with Buhari. Now however it's looking he may actually split the SW with Buhari by winning Oyo, Ondo and Osun. If he does that he can affrod to loose Kwara and Adamawa and still be ok.

He ain't sharing no NE vote.

Northeast is for Buhari, we ain't voting no one else.

oya na.... e don burst

OwoukoUrua:

Yes bro

wow, wish you success bro

beebless:
I was there �� He is an inspiration to me! Congratulations Dr.zeph

You a maidite
surprising��� Never thought we had maidites here.

OwoukoUrua:

I'm an aspirant.

UniMaid?

ikcid:
People still live in Borno State? ? These ones are not afraid maybe.

I'm in Borno presently, and I school there too.

just received mine, #8,650

fastest justice I've seen in a while, killed someone yesterday, died today. I LOVE IT

samuelchimmy:
sir you've made a great point here, I think every of the possible cause of this great lose outlined here on this thread in one way or the other generally affected this out come, but the most significant of them all is the bolded above, this is the singular cause of the huge casualties, why this is the case I don't know....

Do you think there could be moles sabotaging the NA?

There are lots of moles Sir, High Ranking and Low Ranking Ones.

Honestly, If not for this Civilian JTF down here, BHT would have run downed the North East.
Even the BHTs fear them more than our soldiers.

Bwalito:


If i have money like that guy you will be the first i will intimidate with police.

shut up, with ur mumu jeans for dp.....

be talking like small pikin

basilo101:
cc proudbornoboy

I'm currently outside Borno, So I can't verify this news. I will be going back on Monday.

MrJanuzaj:


Thank you i trust you guys. Let Atiku go and romance with his new region the IPOB igbo region who has been insulting the north and PMB since. Please which state are u frrom?

Where was atiku when they were destroying our homes, a former VP but he was mute. Let him come and campaign in Borno, we will show him fire.
I'm from Borno,
And we shall give Buhari double of our 2015 votes.

MrJanuzaj:


Yobe , Bauchi and Bornu will give PMB 1million votes each, and Atiku will not score up to 25% there. Only the Margin in Kano will take care of the entire Southeast.

We, The People Of The Entire Northeast will vote Buhari, as a way of Saying Thank You For Suppressing Boko Haram.

abduljabbar4:


Ending boko haram is the major factor why atiku cant smell the north east. Those yeasterrn analysts think atiku will share votes will buhari just because he is also a northerner. They are in for a great surprise

We will surprise them.

abduljabbar4:


Im very glad that more and more of my Northern brothers are joining this forum. We need to help clear the brains of some pdp supporters who think everything starts and ends from their mere Biased assumptions

Where was Atiku when BOKO HARAM were destroying.... PDP does not exist in Borno..... We detest even the name.

They killed our families now they want us to vote for them.

QuotaSystem:
To put it plainly, apart from Taraba, Benue, Plateau & Nassarawa States, President Muhammadu Buhari is poised to sweep the votes of the remaining 15 northern states, for the following reasons:

1. The "Amana" factor.

A lot of southerners often wonder the basis of the cult-like following PMB commands in the North - the reason is not far fetched.

The Hausa-fulani people in particular, place a huge value on the concept of "Amana" (trust/to hold in trust), a value which Buhari's track record of integrity (whether disputed or not) is clearly aligned with. Despite media propaganda, most of these people who are more politically informed than their average southern counterparts, are aware that not a single charge of corruption has stuck on their revered PMB, amidst corruption allegations among his cronies. Atiku loses massively in this respect because of his track record of corruption (BPE, Haliburton, $16b power scam, unexplained source of wealth etc.) which presents him as an untrustworthy leader to most northerners.

Furthermore, PMB's seemingly north-centric agenda regarding appointments, infrastructure projects (roads, rails, ports) and focus on agriculture assures most northerners that their interests would be well protected under his administration, in contrast to Atiku who is perceived to be likely to make concessions and appeasements to the East whose support he is mostly riding on going by recent trends. Atiku also loses big in this regard.

2. The South Eastern VP Factor

If Atiku gives in to the clamor for his running mate to emerge from the East, then he stands to lose massive votes from the core north for obvious reasons.

Firstly, the deep political antagonism and anti-north stance from Igbos, which has characterized the national space and been amplified since the defeat of Jonathan and rise of IPOB/Nnamdi Kanu and their hate speech, will deeply hurt Atiku's chances because not only will it mean the North would be taking the extreme bigotry, insults and political antagonism from the East right on the chin with no consequences, it would also mean the possibility of an Igbo successor to Atiku - a people known for their contempt for Nigeria's unity and secessionist aspirations.

In addition, a SE VP will also cost Atiku significant SW votes - a sub-region with the second largest number of registered voters (14 million).

3. The Boko Haram Factor

In sharp contrast to the generally held notion among some in the south that Atiku would sweep the NE because it's his home region, the strides recorded by PMB in the fight against Boko Haram heavily neutralizes that effect. I am not talking about social media noise, but the perceptions of people directly affected by Boko Haram activities and are experiencing a gradual return to normalcy since PMB took office.

Yola (Adamawa) for example, Atiku's own home capital, has experienced peace since PMB's onslaught on BH like they never saw since Boko Haram emerged under the past PDP administration - this was formerly a ghost town that used to suffer deadly BH attacks daily with dusk-till-dawn curfews, which has since been lifted and attacks reduced to suicide bombings and guerrilla attacks on soft targets, which are reducing on a monthly basis. This was a state that had several LGA's under Boko Haram's rule during PDP's administration and the people aren't quick to forget the corruption that marred the fight against BH in Dasuki fashion.

Maiduguri is back to it's bustling state with dozens of NGO's providing humanitarian services to help with the ongoing rebuilding efforts, people are now free to watch El-Kanem FC matches in the township stadium, and trans-border economic trade (mostly fish) is gradually being restored. The return of the Chibok and Dapchi girls also adds points to PMB's profile in the sub-region. If by God's grace the FG is able to secure the release of Leah Sharibu then that would be a hat-trick. I personally spoke to a "Kube" (traditional hausa cap) dealer from Borno recently and these were the exact sentiments he expressed as he professed support for Buhari's candidacy.

Final Note

It is very valid to permute that the votes from the 4 excluded northern states (Benue, Plateau, Nassarawa, Taraba) will be shared by both candidates as federal might will play out (both parties will rig anyway). With 19 million registered voters in the North West and 10 million in the North East which are largely homogenic, it is safe to say anyone who loses these key regions has lost the 2019 elections. With another 14 million registered voters in the SW which is APC's stronghold and Atiku's slant towards choosing a SE VP, his campaign team should be very worried.

Note that this is not to say Atiku will not record a sizable number of votes from the Northern States, but the ratio will pale in significance to Buhari's potential landslide victory in the region. - Q.S

We the people of Borno will VOTE for BUHARI enmass..... Na Only Him We Know

down here in Borno, in fact NorthEast, it's Only Buhari We Know, Even Gombe is coming back home.

na wa oooo efcc office done turn debate center

No Problem

Ramadan Kareem

Rest On Brother

EternalTruth:
1k? U be typical bornu boy. All these northerners sef.

Lolzzz.... We don't ask For Much.

1k

Just Cheer Up Bro, Better Days Ahead,