₦airaland Forum

Meanwhile, Thiefnubù hasn't even reached 1k yet

Great

wallarwallar:
I really hope it work dis way as many people hope will be dash on 25 and d hope will become hopeless me no mention name oooo

Bro forget, no hopes will be dashed.
That's the impression these guys are putting inside you. OBI will win. Do your own Poll

Lol ... Obi is 4000 plus while Bola Thiefnubù is still struggling to hit 1000

This is sad

So, Thiefnubü has still not clinched a thousand likes

Thanksful:
Fake news

Did you watch the video?
Tribalist Suffering and smiling gang. Maybe, you don't even have enough data to watch the video

Toluajib:
I'm a first time voter so I'm wondering....he has ss and se on lockdown that's 10 states, he can win benue and plateau that's 12, what other states do you think can make him win

The Constitution says 'majority votes + 25% in 24 states'. Simple!

MurderX:
Seun will soon use bot rig this election

Mind44 not Seun.
Seun na business man and whatever gives him money he's fine with it

Obi no get match

Obi leading by miles

Street Credibility at Offa

Obi has no match

Obi and Obi and Obi

Wow

Beautiful woman

This is laughable.
Which Mod hurriedly pushed this silly topic to front page?

Sha, finally Thiefnubù is leading on 'popularity test'. We can now rest from urchins

So true

Aboki99:
Peter Obi's supporters are cock-a-hoop about what they see as the highest chance of their hero winning Nigeria's presidency next Saturday.

Are their optimism and excitement factually/statistically justified?

Let's do the arithmetic.

PO's strongholds are the SE and the SS, two zones with the least number of votes!. Granted that PO can scavenge some votes in the SW, but it's crystal clear that Tinubu will carry the day in SW eventually.

In the north, the Obidients rely on pockets of votes from northern xtians. But are these enough? Not at all. Since 1999, the northern xtians have never voted along the same line as the Muslim core North. For example they have never voted for Buhari. Yet, in 2014 and 2019 Buhari was able to win signifying the political insignificance of this voting bloc to a candidate that can garner votes in the core north and other parts (Tinubu?). Similarly, PMB was able to win elections without the votes of the SE and SS in both 2014 and 2019, which also trivializes the importance of these two Obi's main strongholds in determining the ultimate presidential winner.

So, for Obi to win the presidential election, he would, as a matter of necessity, need votes from Muslim voters in the north. But does he look set to get it? The truthful but bitter answer for Obidients to accept is No with a capital N. Problem is, the Obidients want to market Obi in the day as a pan-Nigerian candidate but brandish the news of Obi's endorsement by popular pastors/Churches whose altars Obi has turned to campaign platforms. This, rightly so, confuses the average northern Muslim voter and makes them pause to ask some legitimate questions[ Imagine Buhari going to the mosques to campaigns in 2014 or even 2019, what with the reaction be like from voters in say the SE?)

Not even the votes in Plateau and Benue, two states Obidients have also placed high, convoluted hope on can do anything to offset the bloc northern muslim votes. Here, the Obidients will conveniently bring up the issue of Kwankwaso who, as they argue passionately, will magically divide these votes for them to conquer and win the race. In making this highfalutin assumptions, the Obidients forget two crucial facts: 1) the muslim northern voters are never known, throughout Nigeria's political history, to cultivate the habit of wasting their votes. The average northern voter might not have gone to school but they're the most sophisticated; 2) Despite pulling some intimidating crowds in a couple of states esp in the nroth, the truth is Kano is Kwankwaso's main sphere of influence. Even there, I can't bet a penny that he'll win a simple majority for reasons adumbrated above.

Now, my only concern is what the reaction of the Obidients will be when the bubble of their alternative reality finally bursts. I hope they'll peacefully pick up the pieces, lick their wounds, move on and say "better luck next time".

Personally, I do not see any credible candidate worthy of my votes among the current pack of wolfs, but I know for sure that this 2023 election is a contest between Tinubu and Atiku. Yet, while I know this for a fact, I also have to admit that the outcome of this contest is highly unpredictable. Tinubu has 22 APC governors behind his back, huge war chest, media control and so on. Atiku has the support of some powerful members of PMB's kitchen cabinet, considerable war chest, and some current public angst to latch onto.

If you press me hard to rate the chances of the major contenders, I'll come up with something like these:
1. Tinubu 35%
2. Atiku 34
3. Obi 20%
4. Kwankwaso 9%

May God choose the best candidate for us.

Shebi, the Muslim-Northern votes you talked about will be split among three Muslims candidates? It will only make a difference if the Northern Muslims give a block vote but as long as the votes are split ... Obi is fine

Obi cannot struggle Muslims votes with the Muslims candidates because we all know that unlike the South, religion is a big factor up North
.

Great

Panic mode activated

Supported

MartinCorridon:
He pain this Igbo man.

Who's Ibo?
Bros, abeg sorry, I can't help you


Edited: The stupidity of some of you on this forum is your hasty conclusion that anyone who opposes APC/Tinubu/Buhari is automatically Ibo/Biafra/IPOB. Your foolish tribal reasoning is the very reason Nigeria is the way it is today
.

Wow

Nonsense

So, every campaign now is tagged 'Campaign for Thiefnubù'?

Shebi, Akpabio himself is running for Senate and Akan is running for governor?

Sha, maybe this is a tactics for our obsessed Thiefnubù mods to move your post to front page.
.

No wahala

Yes oo

Useless APC governors

2

Great

Sad