₦airaland Forum

shoodboi2:
Just ignore that one. You can see him throwing tantrums on the thread over the past few days. Ukrainian news outlets have been reporting the fall of Konstantonivkya. Now add that to the massive destruction of Ukraine's energy, fuel, and shipping infrastructure and you'll understand where his pain is coming from. Even he is starting to come to the realization that Ukraine is about to completely lose the war.

WriterrNg:
⚡Toretsk, Ukraine Before and After.

Toretsk was a lively, hardworking city filled with people. Almost 40,000 Ukrainians lived here. Today it is a front line, a fire and empty streets.

LordAdam16:
iranian intelligence agents assassinated a kurdish commander in his hotel room in iraq earlier today

-Lord

Kushites:
UTTER BULLSHHIT.

''ASPIRE'' TO BE FIRST LADY.

WHAT IS THE DIFFERENCE?

BATified2023:
This rufai is too dull


So who works to b first lady?

LordAdam16:
proper elucidation will require a book
i'll drop a summary

---

china has focused a lot on emerging technologies
these are newly discovered areas where everyone seems to be on a level playing field and china can then funnel ungodly amount of resources to crack and dominate
the best example of this is green tech--batteries, evs, solar panels, wind...

in emerging tech, china comfortably beats russia
because russia does not have that spare human resource to devote to these new challenges
the entire 120m population is focused on keeping pace in the technologies bequeathed by the soviet union

---

then there are the legacy technologies
with a long shelf-life and very long developmental lead times

by the latter i mean, these technologies are eternally relevant and new advancements are typically incremental
in addition, everyone needs lots of time to develop the capability
there is no workaround. no shortcuts.

this is where you see stuff like semiconductors, engines, material science
but this is a very large section of technology
for instance, japan makes the best optical sensors
no one can match their capabilities
not the us, not china, not russia, not germany
all of them can make good enough, even excellent optical sensors
but for best-in-class, nothing beats a japanese

germany has the same degree of excellence in machining
which is why more than half of the industrial robots in china are made in germany

an easy example for russia is titanium components
russia makes the best
and this, like for the other technological giants, stems from decades of investment and r&d
the soviets invested in titanium metallurgy like the chinese have invested in batteries and solar panels
so even though china makes more titanium components than russia
for some of their next-gen tech products, they have to import russian titanium or components made from russian titanium

---

thus, because the soviet union was on par with the us in most technological fields
russia has a heritage that they wouldn't lose in the next 30-50 years

you see this in practice in the shahed conversation

when russia imported it from iran
they picked it apart
then analyzed every component and categorized them

and then they rapidly improved on the original shahed by tinkering with the individual components
to create multiple versions/variants of the geran
and even new drone marquees

because of their heritage in engines for instance
they were able to develop new engines based on existing russian engines
that outperform the engines in the shahed at the same low cost
allowing newer versions of the geran to be larger, more nimble and maneuverable, faster
to the point that they are now exporting back improved components to iran that allow for better performance like in anti-jamming

---

as long as russia continues investing in its legacy tech
it will always have a capable technological stack that can go toe to toe with anyone

so china may not import whole fighter jets, warships and stuff from russia
but their own indigenous substitutes need russian supply chains for performant components and will continue to into the future

still, russia is pretty much maxed out
which is why ai came to fore with a bang
and there is no premier russian ai llm model, ai-centric gpu chip, or even much research output compared to china to us

as i've said earlier
there is just not that much spare human resource to devote to new challenges

so russia is going to be very selective about where it channels its tech wizardry
they are obviously going to continue to heavily focus on areas that guarantees their national security-- propulsion, nuclear tech, space, material science; but in the coming decades they'll increasingly have to leverage tech from friendlies in areas that they've deprioritized
this is inevitable

but for the next 10-20 years
and due to the slow pace of mastering critical legacy tech, russia will still be a tech superpower

and i really do think not enough people make the connection to prioritization
for instance, russia makes really-good tractors
but russian-made tractors do not compete favorably with western-made and chinese-made tractors in the global market
not because of capabilities, but other extraneous reasons from access to markets to economics of scale

and so that's a capability that will atrophy and be deprioritized
while us, japanese, german, chinese tractor makers continue to thrive

---

now, and this is important, that 120m hard limit that russia has
plagues everyone but the other main rivals--us and china

so even in 70 to 100 years, russia will still punch above its weight
turkey, germany, japan, uk, france, iran, brazil, mexico, indonesia, pakistan
all of these great powers with superpower ambitions are not going to individually eclipse russia in the next century
but russia's superpower status is going to face a rude awakening versus china and maybe even the us if they find a way to stem the decline

i do not think that anyone in 2100 or 2150 will call russia a peer of china
if china continues at current brisk pace, that point could come as early as 2050
and i'm talking about a point where a russia-china comparison becomes like a uk-us comparison

and i do not know how russia will come to terms with that
it may feel like a repeat of the collapse of the soviet union
because after the soviet union collapsed, the us became the top dog
that was bad, but russia became a near-peer, the only occupant of a second category that was still very much a superpower class
and everyone else was several leagues behind, including china and india

the next century may bring many painful changes in that regard
this is not new per se
the russian empire did share the stage with other empires, the chinese, japanese, french, brits, ottomans and it even found a way to excel and grow bigger and richer at the expense of the others
but this will be different

-Lord

WriteerNg:

---

What if the U.S changes their name to something else.

Would you say the newly formed country was not the United States?

shinealight:
….and how many people perished in that civil war you’re advocating? I hope your children will be in the country when it starts oooo….that’s assuming you’re old enough to have brought any into this world. Doomsday Prayer Warriors!

WriteerNg:

---

If Texas and a few states split from the US today, you'll say the US was not the U.S?

WriteerNg:

---

Russia = Soviet Union.

Both the resources, ideas, scientists, engineers who built them were Russian. Even the funding came from Russia.

The decision to build them came from Russia.

If not, why are the former Soviet states unable to replicate the technologies built by the Soviet Union?

WriteerNg:

---

Russia = Soviet Union.

Both the resources, ideas, scientists, engineers who built them were Russian. Even the funding came from Russia.

The decision to build them came from Russia.

If not, why are the former Soviet states unable to replicate the technologies built by the Soviet Union?

LordAdam16:
china has surpassed russia in many areas
but china is still behind russia and the us in certain key areas

---

i think this debate often highlights how people understate the value of technological heritage/first-mover advantage
especially in relation to the technological advancements of upstarts

i will give an example
warships are classified into five major classes by capability
battleships, cruisers, destroyers, frigates, corvettes, littoral ships/patrol boats

since the fall of the soviet union (more than 30 years ago), russia has not built a new destroyer
meanwhile, in the last 15 years alone, china has built two entire new classes of destroyers from scratch
with 45 active units
10 of which, the type 055 destroyers, are equivalent to western cruisers

but because of russia's technological heritage with the soviet union's navy
they have very capable cruisers and destroyers that have been retrofitted and modernized to face up to any threat
meanwhile, they've been able to focus most of their efforts into rapidly developing new weapon systems like the burevestnik and building far more consequential systems like nuclear subs

---

and this is where mathematics and physics are undefeated

if russia can throw 10 geniuses at a problem
china can throw 100 geniuses at the same problem

so you have a situation where russia has given up on trying to compete in certain technological areas
because the us has 330 million people, can pick up bright minds from half the planet, and has a supporting cast of very capable vassals in places like germany, south korea, japan, isn'treal, uk, france...
china has 1 billion people

so for instance, russia has no chance of developing their own equivalent of ASML or Nvidia or Huawei or CATL
in the biosciences, russia does not compete
not because they do not have the brains, but because they do not have the numbers
a genius working on rocket propulsion will not be available to develop an euv machine
meanwhile china has 2 geniuses on rocket propulsion, another two on developing an euv machine, another 2 on alzheimer's research, another two on astrobiology

this discrepancy will become more visible as the years turn into decades
right now, china is still playing catch-up
they want to get to a point where they are on par with the other two on every metric
that is still a decade off
but after that, the gap will get wider and wider
it'll be like the uk vs the us
once upon a time, the uk led in everything
then the us caught up, and then the us blew past whatever the uk could conjure up

---

also, i think the balance of power within the hegemony will evolve
right now, the us dominates entirely
no one can cough
that will change slowly
certain powers will have more voice and influence

you see this for instance in the iran war
where more states were like, f*ck this, we're out
the us was like "how dare you", "you'll pay" and the others were like "shut up, grandpa"
turkey was like, there will be no kurdish incursion
and that plan which was a main pillar of the preparations was scrapped

japan for instance will be less of a vassal and more of a partner
like that japan-sk-australia bloc is a cheat code that will be unshackled

if i am in the kremlin, i will be very worried about 50-70 years from now
sure, the us will not be the sole dominant superpower that it was in the 1990-2010 period
but it doesn't need to
it does not need to lead in everything, it just needs to lead its coterie in enough to remain the top dog, while delegating more roles to the others
china will become the closest thing to what the us was
and all the middle powers will have split roles with the us-led bloc and the china-led bloc
such that a russia-led bloc will become progressively diminutive relative to the other two blocs

---

ultimately, this is one reason why i don't get this insistence by the Beltway to preserve the unipolar order
at great cost
stop trying to make the sun shine at night

a multi-polar world is not as bad for western interests as they make it seem

-Lord

WriteerNg:

---

So China is superior by copying others (Russia and U.S) ?

No original ideas, just copy and improve upon.

Why can't China still build their own indigenous aircrafts and engines till today?

Even their military equipments are Russian copies.

Even their automotive industry, AI na just copy from U.S and paste.

I love China but whenever I look at both countries, only Russia gives me hope.

Russia is building things that really matters, not fancy and shiny things.

WriteerNg:
Russia builds it's own aircrafts, engines and submarines from scratch while China still imports foreign ones.

Yet someone would claim China is more technologically superior than Russia.

WriteerNg:
https://x.com/clashreport/status/

Marc3500:
That's bad

Empresa:
Shay na US they sponsor Terrorism and you come de support Terrorists Abi?

Continue, but remember Karma no de do friends and family

WriteerNg:
⚡Israeli Minister Amichai Chikli:

Turkey under Erdogan and Syria under al Sharaa now pose a greater challenge than Iran.

The era of Iran’s Shiite empire is over.

The new axis is the Muslim Brotherhood axis: Turkey, Syria, and Qatar.

Empresa:
At least they died for their country and in active service, they didn't allow terrorists and bandits to be kidnapping innocent people like they are doing to you in Naija.

Keep supporting terrorism, one day bandits go catch you. It's not a curse, it's called Karma

Righteousness2:
What we are witnessing today may very well be a PREVIEW of what the future will look like for ISRAEL after the RAPTURE .
A world leader who appears friendly toward ISRAEL, brokers a peace agreement, and even allows the temple to be rebuilt, only to reveal his true nature and turn completely against her.
One Sure Fact is GOD will Save HIS PEOPLE and CRUSH All that come against them.

These are truly HISTORIC and BIBLICAL times.

Stay close to the Lord. Remain rooted in His Word. Encourage one another and stay in fellowship as we eagerly await His return:

“And let us consider one another in order to stir up love and good works, not forsaking the assembling of ourselves together, as is the manner of some, but exhorting one another, and so much the more as you see the Day approaching.”

(Hebrews 10:24–25 NKJV)

WriterrNg:
https://x.com/TheOtherSideRu/status/