Politics › Re: If Gej Rigs This Election by timbuktwo: 2:28am On Mar 25, 2011 |
Beaf: So almajiri's should be allowed to run amok if GEJ wins? Dude, they will be toying with the federal might. Election period is not a time to mock about. Already, word has gone out yesterday for zero tolerance to any form of violence, so from now until the elections, expect to see any perpetrators very robustly handled. you can't go around a country, such as nigeria, asking that the minorities in a particular region should vote against the popular will of the majority indigenous peoples and then the next day sit back and say oh "we have a new zero tolerance to any form of violence policy." unfortunately the same people - who you incorrectly believe are moral individuals - are playing a very dangerous religious/tribal game and sending out mixed messages all the time. yourself included. please also bear in mind that this same zero tolerance policy has been passed on since the october 1st bombings and yet the violence has not stopped, in fact it has increased. we are heading into uncharted territory here as this federal might that you believe exists does not. there are cracks everywhere. |
Politics › Re: If Gej Rigs This Election by timbuktwo: 2:01am On Mar 25, 2011 |
[quote author=EzeUche_ link=topic=630973.msg7981145#msg7981145 date=1301014555]If those people in the North go on a rampage, the Igbo and other Eastern groups will definitely suffer. However, the lines will be drawn again and everyone shall answer their father's name.
They go on a rampage, there will be secession. [b]It is either choose GEJ [/b]or no allocation in oil. The choice is theirs.[/quote]what happens if he loses the election? what will your people do then? |
Politics › Re: If Gej Rigs This Election by timbuktwo: 1:53am On Mar 25, 2011 |
Beaf: After the massacres in Jos and with the army being 75% Christian? Think again. ah ok. i guess you think sending christian soldiers to kill muslim northerners is really the best approach to defuse the situation. if that happens you've got another libya on your hands. think again please. |
Politics › Re: If Gej Rigs This Election by timbuktwo: 1:41am On Mar 25, 2011 |
Beaf: If PDP wins and almajiri's go on rampage, the army will come out and by dusk the fools would have paid the ultimate price. . . And life will go on. if the pdp wins, most wont believe it a legitimate victory; army included. and if you believe that the army will engage in suppressing a mass uprising in the north then think again. they won't kill their own. |
Politics › Re: If Gej Rigs This Election by timbuktwo: 11:54pm On Mar 24, 2011 |
correct. either way things aren't going to go well. too much has happened in the past 12 months. the vultures are circling. |
Politics › Re: A Prayer By Umar To Pdp Fans by timbuktwo: 8:14pm On Mar 24, 2011 |
Beaf: You're truly a dim bulb. That is a summary of the politics in Nigeria, not any reason for supporting GEJ (its a good one though). When you've finally learnt to read, you'll find that the thread is about PDP, not GEJ. Or don't you know the difference? ok. so the boy asks you: Donlittle: u knw am too young, y dont you teach me about it?? but i think the last time i check pdp ruled us for 12 years without anything to show for it, but please i want to learn, tell me what jonathan has done since 1999 to 2007, and since when he became president, i need your view please help me and you respond: Beaf: My sincere apologies, I didn't realise you were young. I'll give a brief overview.
As noblezone has said, there is a set of men who have pulled the strings in Nigeria since the 60's. Some of them are IBB, Buhari and Obj. Every last one of these men have been involved in every coup and every political party since the 1966 coup and the civil war.
However, the problem is not with the men, but who they front. There has been a shadowy group first known as the Kaduna mafia, and now more simply as the cabal. The only interest of members of these groups, is to steal our oil wealth. This has gone on for decades, before ACN, CPC, PDP etc. They and their yesmen hold strategic positions in all Nigeria's major institutions; NNPC, CBN, Minting and Printing, Agric, fuel importing, PHCN, the army etc I am sure you would have read about how promising Nigeria's economy was in the past. It has all been run down for oil by the thoughtless corrupt cabal. Indeed, a country like Malaysia got their palm kernel seedlings from Nigeria when we were by far the Worlds top producer of oil palm. Today? Shock, horror! Malaysia is the Worlds number one and our oil palm industry is moribund (Malaysia is also now a developed country).
Last year by a stroke of providence, GEJ rose up and the cabal fought him to a standstill, holding the nation to ransome. The only thing that saved the nation from serious bloodshed, was GEJ's calm, quiet and assured approach. The response of the cabal was to threaten violence, at one point, even threatening to snuff GEJ's life out with snipers (armed forces remembrance day).
Today, the cabals paws have been removed from their most lucrative avenue; the oil industry and petrol is cheap and abundant (a near miracle in Nigera). Their grip on the power sector is also being forcibly loosened. Naturally, they are mad about the way things are going and a putting up a helluva fight with everything from Ciroma's NPLF to the brand new group, Northern Stakeholders.
The natural enmity between the cabal and GEJ makes him a Godsend to free Nigeria once and for all from the grip of the cabal.
After GEJ's actions and especially after the defeat of Atiku, swathes of the PDP moved into CPC, today at least 90% of CPC is ex-PDP (one reason i say political parties do not matter). ACN is no better, yes they have a great governor in Fashola, but thats about it; ACN is financed by a known drug baron in Tinubu. so either it is YOU that can't read OR you're dodging the question OR you're just plain "forest gump" dumb. but here's another question for you: what has GEJ done to drastically change the PDP? how is it different today than it was 1 year ago? |
Politics › Re: A Prayer By Umar To Pdp Fans by timbuktwo: 7:50pm On Mar 24, 2011 |
Beaf: lol. My sincere apologies, I didn't realise you were young. I'll give a brief overview.
As noblezone has said, there is a set of men who have pulled the strings in Nigeria since the 60's. Some of them are IBB, Buhari and Obj. Every last one of these men have been involved in every coup and every political party since the 1966 coup and the civil war.
However, the problem is not with the men, but who they front. There has been a shadowy group first known as the Kaduna mafia, and now more simply as the cabal. The only interest of members of these groups, is to steal our oil wealth. This has gone on for decades, before ACN, CPC, PDP etc. They and their yesmen hold strategic positions in all Nigeria's major institutions; NNPC, CBN, Minting and Printing, Agric, fuel importing, PHCN, the army etc I am sure you would have read about how promising Nigeria's economy was in the past. It has all been run down for oil by the thoughtless corrupt cabal. Indeed, a country like Malaysia got their palm kernel seedlings from Nigeria when we were by far the Worlds top producer of oil palm. Today? Shock, horror! Malaysia is the Worlds number one and our oil palm industry is moribund (Malaysia is also now a developed country).
Last year by a stroke of providence, GEJ rose up and the cabal fought him to a standstill, holding the nation to ransome. The only thing that saved the nation from serious bloodshed, was GEJ's calm, quiet and assured approach. The response of the cabal was to threaten violence, at one point, even threatening to snuff GEJ's life out with snipers (armed forces remembrance day).
Today, the cabals paws have been removed from their most lucrative avenue; the oil industry and petrol is cheap and abundant (a near miracle in Nigera). Their grip on the power sector is also being forcibly loosened. Naturally, they are mad about the way things are going and a putting up a helluva fight with everything from Ciroma's NPLF to the brand new group, Northern Stakeholders.
The natural enmity between the cabal and GEJ makes him a Godsend to free Nigeria once and for all from the grip of the cabal.
After GEJ's actions and especially after the defeat of Atiku, swathes of the PDP moved into CPC, today at least 90% of CPC is ex-PDP (one reason i say political parties do not matter). ACN is no better, yes they have a great governor in Fashola, but thats about it; ACN is financed by a known drug baron in Tinubu. so the major reason you support GEJ - indeed the one you are using in an attempt to persuade a young 16 year old nigerian - is because he is ridding the world of this horrible northern cabal? who are these people? can you name them for me? |
Politics › Re: Probe Nduka Obaigbena’s Wealth, Odumakin Petitions Icpc by timbuktwo: 6:42pm On Mar 24, 2011 |
^^^ dude, we're going round in circles here  i've already told you that OBJ tried to dig up everything he could on buhari during his 8 years in office and found nothing. or you think that Obaigbena is more 'powerful and influential' than OBJ?  |
Politics › Re: Probe Nduka Obaigbena’s Wealth, Odumakin Petitions Icpc by timbuktwo: 6:34pm On Mar 24, 2011 |
Beaf: Obj is not the press. Even more pertinent, is the calibre of pressman that Obaigbena is, one who could bring the likes of George Bush and Tony Blair into the country. those men are available to the highest bidder. |
Politics › Re: John Campbell On Nigeria Election Polling/rigging by timbuktwo(op): 6:27pm On Mar 24, 2011 |
^^
John Campbell knows more about this country than you ever will. |
Politics › Re: Probe Nduka Obaigbena’s Wealth, Odumakin Petitions Icpc by timbuktwo: 6:26pm On Mar 24, 2011 |
^^ idiot. obj has been trying to rubbish buhari for 12 years and what did they come up with. i'm just waiting for "the" wikileaks about gej. you know they've got something big on him,  |
Politics › John Campbell On Nigeria Election Polling/rigging by timbuktwo(op): 2:02am On Mar 24, 2011 |
According to a recent opinion pollin Nigeria, 38.1 percent of respondents “strongly agree” and 34.9 percent “somewhat agree,” “that Goodluck Jonathan is doing a good job as president.” The poll even shows Jonathan with a one hundred percent positive approval rate in Akwa Ibom state, and an average positive performance rating of about ninety percent in the southern states. His lowest score was in Kano with 22.5 percent, but he had an overall approval rate in the North of sixty percent.
The poll, conducted by Ipsos, an international polling firm, was published in This Day, a Nigerian newspaper sympathetic to the Jonathan administration.
I am skeptical that this poll accurately measures Jonathan’s support. Indeed, an approval rating of one hundred percent anywhere stretches credulity. While opinion polls are not unknown in Nigeria, they are not common, either.
Shortly before the 2007 elections, a government cabinet minister came to see me with polling results that ostensibly showed overwhelming support for the governing People’s Democratic Party. In hindsight, the Obasanjo government’s sharing of poll results with the diplomatic community looks like it was part of an orchestrated campaign to try and give credibility to the electoral outcomes despite the massive PDP rigging of the elections. Friends of Nigeria must hope that polling data is not now being used in a similar way before the April 2011 elections. http://blogs.cfr.org/campbell/2011/03/09/nigeria-election-polling/ |
Politics › Re: Jonathan Is God-sent – Niger Gov by timbuktwo: 1:11am On Mar 24, 2011 |
God seems to be really busy in Nigeria what with all this anointing and what not. I wonder how he has time for all the other people. |
Politics › Re: Obaigbena's Thisday Newspaper Sues Acn, Cpc, Pdp Spokespersons For Libel, Demand by timbuktwo: 12:49am On Mar 24, 2011 |
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Politics › Re: I Think There Will Be War If Buhari Looses. Kwetin We Go Do Na. by timbuktwo: 12:34am On Mar 24, 2011 |
Andre Uweh: He lost in 2003 and 2007 and nothing happened. He will lose again and nothing will happen. Having said that, Buhari will win in Sokoto, Kebbi, Zamfara and one or two other sharia states. a few supreme court justices disagree with you there mate. |
Politics › Re: Nairaland Politics Section In A State Of Civil War - UN/aisha2 Please Intervene by timbuktwo: 11:08pm On Mar 23, 2011 |
you're weird |
Politics › Re: How President Goodluck Can Win The Next Presidential Debate by timbuktwo: 10:41pm On Mar 23, 2011 |
 he's such an easy target. like a cartoon character. |
Politics › Re: How We Conducted Our Opinion Polls On The Presidential Elections- Thisday Ipsos by timbuktwo(op): 4:05am On Mar 23, 2011 |
@ aletheia  dude stop it!! every post you make keeps on re-enforcing my position. you are actually making this much easier for me, honestly. All sample surveys are subject to statistical error, depending on sample size, interviewing methodology and response rate. The margin of error for the national figures in this poll is 0.93. This means that in 95 out of every 100 cases, the findings will fall within +/- 0.93% range when looking at the national results. The margin of error for state level figures is +/- 6.3%. look, if you have a +/- 6.3% margin of error it means that you have polled/interviewed between 200-300 people. http://www.publicagenda.org/pages/best-estimates-guide-sample-size-and-margin-errorand as i clearly stated before, 236 people were interviewed per state.you can only get a margin of +/- 0.93% when you use the 11,100 figure. but this was for the whole country.  but here's the BIG kicker for you: i'm by no means a trained statistician and epidemiologist blah blah blah, but if it's true that you really are, then you've literally just been schooled by a layman. shame on you. shame on your school. shame on the people that employ you. |
Politics › Re: How We Conducted Our Opinion Polls On The Presidential Elections- Thisday Ipsos by timbuktwo(op): 3:31am On Mar 23, 2011 |
In fact buddy, let me make it easy for you:
Stratified Random Sampling - also sometimes called proportional or quota random sampling, involves dividing your population into homogeneous subgroups and then taking a simple random sample in each subgroup.
now what do you suppose the good people at ipsos are going to use for this oh-so-complicated little thing they call "subgroups"?? whatda ya think mate? you figured it out yet? |
Politics › Re: How We Conducted Our Opinion Polls On The Presidential Elections- Thisday Ipsos by timbuktwo(op): 3:26am On Mar 23, 2011 |
do YOU even know what those words mean??
but that you for all your hard work as you've just proved my point.
or wait, let me guess, you think they just randomly picked 1730 polling stations across the country by throwing a dart into the map of the country?? because THAT would clearly be the best model to "neutralise potential forms of bias". mor.on.
log off and go to bed mate. and pray that people don't read this and realise just how dumb you are. |
Politics › Re: How We Conducted Our Opinion Polls On The Presidential Elections- Thisday Ipsos by timbuktwo(op): 2:42am On Mar 23, 2011 |
Ipsos initially conducted a face-to-face survey of 11,100 Nigerians. Interviews were conducted in-home by trained interviewers between 25 January 2011 and 8 February 2011. The first poll, covered in this press release, covered a range social and political issues.
The survey comprised only registered voters and those planning to register to vote in time for the elections in April 2011. Respondents were therefore asked at the beginning of the interview if they have registered to vote in the elections in April 2011. Over nine in ten (92%) indicated they were registered to vote, and the remaining 8% indicated that they were still planning to register to vote and so their opinions were included in the results.
Ipsos undertook a stratified, multi-stage probability sampling technique in order to neutralise potential forms of bias that might affect the accuracy and reliability of the data collected. This technique applies random selection methods at every stage of sampling and ensures that all Nigerian adults of voting age (males, females, urban and rural dwellers, and all social classes) are given a known chance of being selected to partake in the polling.
The survey covered all of Nigeria. Within each region the selection of sampling locations – a mix of urban, semi-urban and rural – was generated randomly in order for all locations to be given an equal and known chance of being selected.At least five, but no more than ten, interviews were conducted in each primary sampling unit (PSU) to facilitate spread of interviews and adequate representativeness.
In total 1,730 sampling points were randomly selected across the federation. This was done to ensure the most comprehensive coverage of the population possible.
Interviews were conducted face-to-face in all 36 states of the federation and the FCT (Abuja). This approach ensured that people who do not own or have access to a telephone were given an equal chance of being selected. Regionally and locally based interviewers were used to carry out the interviews (meaning these interviewers will be more familiar with the local region and languages), and interviews were always conducted in the respondent’s preferred language (English, Pidgin, Igbo, Yoruba or Hausa) to ensure congruence with language and ethnicity of the respondents.
All interviewers went through a two-day training program to ensure consistent administration of the questionnaire across the sample, a practice which is in line with internationally recognized research standards.
The data were weighted using 2006 census figures to ensure a match between the survey sample and the Nigerian population.
Fieldwork for the second poll was conducted between 25 February to 16 March 2011 via a mix of face-to-face in-home and telephonic re-contact interviews of the initial sample of 11,100 interviewees. Where respondents could not be re-contacted they were substituted by a face to face interview with a respondent who was matched in terms of age, gender, SEC, education level and area.
All sample surveys are subject to statistical error, depending on sample size, interviewing methodology and response rate. The margin of error for the national figures in this poll is 0.93. This means that in 95 out of every 100 cases, the findings will fall within +/- 0.93% range when looking at the national results. The margin of error for state level figures is +/- 6.3%.
Ipsos fully adheres to the ICC-ESOMAR International Code of Marketing and Social Research. so 4 out of 5 people in lagos want gej is win  i'll tell you what, all those that live in lagos state should do an experiment and ask 5 random people who they will vote for in the election. you'll be lucky if you get 1 person saying goodluck jonathan. what's really funny is that these IPSOS cats had 1,730 polling stations around the country. that's on average 47 polling stations per state including the FTC. they "interviewed" 11,100 people in total. which means they interviewed 236 people per sate. (assuming polling stations and people interviewed where equally interviewed between states). 236 people per state. 236 PEOPLE PER STATE!! and team gej is getting their knickers wet over 236 per state. goodluck indeed. |
Politics › Re: Reuters----80% Lagosians Will Vote Jonathan. How True? by timbuktwo: 2:40am On Mar 23, 2011 |
Ipsos initially conducted a face-to-face survey of 11,100 Nigerians. Interviews were conducted in-home by trained interviewers between 25 January 2011 and 8 February 2011. The first poll, covered in this press release, covered a range social and political issues.
The survey comprised only registered voters and those planning to register to vote in time for the elections in April 2011. Respondents were therefore asked at the beginning of the interview if they have registered to vote in the elections in April 2011. Over nine in ten (92%) indicated they were registered to vote, and the remaining 8% indicated that they were still planning to register to vote and so their opinions were included in the results.
Ipsos undertook a stratified, multi-stage probability sampling technique in order to neutralise potential forms of bias that might affect the accuracy and reliability of the data collected. This technique applies random selection methods at every stage of sampling and ensures that all Nigerian adults of voting age (males, females, urban and rural dwellers, and all social classes) are given a known chance of being selected to partake in the polling.
The survey covered all of Nigeria. Within each region the selection of sampling locations – a mix of urban, semi-urban and rural – was generated randomly in order for all locations to be given an equal and known chance of being selected.At least five, but no more than ten, interviews were conducted in each primary sampling unit (PSU) to facilitate spread of interviews and adequate representativeness.
In total 1,730 sampling points were randomly selected across the federation. This was done to ensure the most comprehensive coverage of the population possible.
Interviews were conducted face-to-face in all 36 states of the federation and the FCT (Abuja). This approach ensured that people who do not own or have access to a telephone were given an equal chance of being selected. Regionally and locally based interviewers were used to carry out the interviews (meaning these interviewers will be more familiar with the local region and languages), and interviews were always conducted in the respondent’s preferred language (English, Pidgin, Igbo, Yoruba or Hausa) to ensure congruence with language and ethnicity of the respondents.
All interviewers went through a two-day training program to ensure consistent administration of the questionnaire across the sample, a practice which is in line with internationally recognized research standards.
The data were weighted using 2006 census figures to ensure a match between the survey sample and the Nigerian population.
Fieldwork for the second poll was conducted between 25 February to 16 March 2011 via a mix of face-to-face in-home and telephonic re-contact interviews of the initial sample of 11,100 interviewees. Where respondents could not be re-contacted they were substituted by a face to face interview with a respondent who was matched in terms of age, gender, SEC, education level and area.
All sample surveys are subject to statistical error, depending on sample size, interviewing methodology and response rate. The margin of error for the national figures in this poll is 0.93. This means that in 95 out of every 100 cases, the findings will fall within +/- 0.93% range when looking at the national results. The margin of error for state level figures is +/- 6.3%.
Ipsos fully adheres to the ICC-ESOMAR International Code of Marketing and Social Research. so 4 out of 5 people in lagos want gej is win  i'll tell you what, all those that live in lagos state should do an experiment and ask 5 random people who they will vote for in the election. you'll be lucky if you get 1 person saying goodluck jonathan. what's really funny is that these IPSOS cats had 1,730 polling stations around the country. that's on average 47 polling stations per state including the FTC. they "interviewed" 11,100 people in total. which means they interviewed 236 people per sate. (assuming polling stations and people interviewed where equally interviewed between states). 236 people per state. 236 PEOPLE PER STATE!! and team gej is getting their knickers wet over 236 people. goodluck indeed. |
Politics › Re: How We Conducted Our Opinion Polls On The Presidential Elections- Thisday Ipsos by timbuktwo(op): 2:13am On Mar 23, 2011 |
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Politics › Re: How We Conducted Our Opinion Polls On The Presidential Elections- Thisday Ipsos by timbuktwo(op): 1:11am On Mar 23, 2011 |
just pointing out simple facts my good friend. we've got over half a million members here (admittedly beaf accounts for a few thousand of them) so i think we can give IPSOS/THISDAY a run for their money.
just saying. dumbas.s |
Politics › Re: Jonathan Begged Ciroma –hadith, Pdp Chieftain by timbuktwo(op): 12:57am On Mar 23, 2011 |
no mate. the last you heard of ciroma he was meeting johnny boy on friday night: For the umpteenth time, the Friday night meeting between President Goodluck Jonathan and Northern Political Leaders Forum (NPLF), led by Mallam Adamu Ciroma, was deadlocked. But the two camps might meet again before the end of the month on grey areas.
As part of the continuation of the February 18 dialogue between the two groups, Jonathan had met with top shots of the NPLF in Abuja including ex-President Ibrahim Babangida, ex-Vice-President Atiku Abubakar and others.
It was gathered that the meeting was essentially at the instance of the President to secure the backing of the Northern leaders for the April 9 presidential election.
The negotiation was however described by a reliable source as “still ding-dong.”
The source, who gave an insight into Friday’s meeting said: “The report of the seven-man team raised on February 18 was considered with key issues revolving around three areas. These are dumping zoning to back Jonathan; power shift to the North in 2015 with concrete agreement; and concession of key appointments to the North to assuage its grievances.
“The Northern leaders also brought up more issues like the arrest and coercion of some secretariat staff of the NPLF. They protested against abridgment of the freedom of association and expression of these staff.
“The President took time to explain that he would never be a party to the arrest of anyone. He explained that he has kept faith with Nigerians by upholding the rule of law and tenets of democracy.
“There were assurances that such an ugly trend will not repeat itself.
“But after lengthy discussions, the NPLF leaders restated that they carried a burden on zoning policy and may find it difficult to abandon agitation for this as far as 2011 poll is concerned.
“They said they were being careful in making a decision to back Jonathan so that it would not be a precedent that they have dumped zoning for good.
“The Northern leaders however told Jonathan that after 2015, power must return to the North and that he should go and make a pronouncement. They also demanded an agreement to that effect.
“They are demanding agreement so that they will be sure that Jonathan will actually spend a term in office. Some of them also claimed to have noticed that the President had been reneging on some pronouncements and they do not want some sycophants to prevail on him in 2015 to renege on power shift to the North.
“But Jonathan hesitated and said he cannot make the pronouncement before the elections. I think the President was cautious on this commitment because of the agitation by the South-East for presidency in 2015.
“Also, the President wanted the NPLF leaders to make categorical statement to back him for the April poll to lay to rest all doubts about the North’s support. He also pledged to be fair to the North with some appointments.
“Yet, the Northern leaders were also not forthcoming because of the likely backlash from Northerners.
“I think they have made up their mind not to dump zoning. They however sought for more time for consultations. They are going to meet with the President again before the month runs out.
“It is like keeping the President guessing till the last minute. I think the Northern leaders are anticipating a presidential poll run-off to have far-reaching agreement with the President.”http://thenationonlineng.net/web3/news/31236.html |
Politics › Re: Jonathan Begged Ciroma –hadith, Pdp Chieftain by timbuktwo(op): 12:48am On Mar 23, 2011 |
jona, why are you doing this?!! |
Politics › Jonathan Begged Ciroma –hadith, Pdp Chieftain by timbuktwo(op): 12:45am On Mar 23, 2011 |
Alhaji Bala Hadith is a chieftain of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) in Bauchi State. He believes that the North should support President Goodluck Jonathan for a term of four years. The acting national secretary of the new People’s Democratic Movement (PDM) founded by the late General Shehu Yar Adua, said the group is mobilising support for success of the Goodluck/Sambo ticket in the April general elections. He added that after Jonathan’s four-year tenure, the presidency should go back to the North. Excerpts: The new PDM We have been waiting for the leadership of PDM to call us and give us direction but nobody had the gut to call for a such meeting. But we have been receiving calls from states, we should meet to decide our direction. Last week we decided to meet in Abuja and almost all states were represented. We call ourselves new PDP group like minds. We deliberated on the political development of the country. We discussed various issues such as INEC, performance of police and what they are going to do, the candidate we are going to support and other national issues. After hours of delibraion, we declared our total support to our president, Goodluck Jonathan and promised to continue to have meetings, go back to our various states to mobilise and speak to people of like minds to vote Jonathan for the reasons we have already discussed. The reasons are, we want national unity, we don’t want political bigotry that will promote disharmony, political thuggery. We want political stability. We have been enjoying the support of the people of the South South we from the North since 60s. This support that we have been enjoying is part of the reason that Tafawa Balewa formed his government during NPC. When we came to NPN, South South also supported the North almost 100 percent. When we came to SDP, South South also supported Shehu Yar’Adua, which extended to Chief MKO Abiola. We came again and we discussed that this is a very important reason why the North should support Jonathan. By the way, Jonathan has declared that he will contest only for one term and by the year 2015, he will no more contest election. So this is a very good development politically and everybody knows PDM, even the old one and the new one, we have supporters from wards, LGs, states and federal level. In effect, zoning still alive, and what about the Igbo from the South East? Zoning is not based North East or North West. It is based on North and South. So once the South finishes it will come back to the North and we the North will decide whether it should go to North West, Central or North East. What is your assessment of INEC? We have given Jega pass mark. We are now appreciating his actions but we are praying his lieutenants would follow his footsteps to conduct free and fair elections. Why didn’t PDM throw its weight behind Buhari or any one of your own? The new PDM is mainly PDP members, some are CPC, some ACN. We convinced ourselves that we want national unity because our leader, his motto is No North, No West No South, but Nigeria. That is why we are also saying Nigeria. Whether you are Yopruba, Igbo, Hausa, Urhobo, or Itsekiri, Christians or Muslims, we are all Nigerians. There are good people all over the country therefore we have decided to support Jonathan because he is very humble. He has started going to our leaders in the North not just because he is still the president, no but because he wants this country to move together united for peace, harmony, progress. That is why he went to kneel down in front of Ciroma, as his father, as his leader, as his host. What Jonathan did is credible, respecting the leaders of this country be it from the North, South and so on. For states like Bauchi, what is PDM doing to deliver such states to Jonathan? In politics, you can’t force the people to vote for who they don’t like. You can only appeal to them, you tell them his qualities, you tell them what will benefit them. We are not going to force anybody. You have the right to decide and we are not going to de-efrancise. Governor Yuguda and the FCT minister, Bala Mohammed crisis. I appeal to them to come together and discuss their differences themselves and find a common solution for the benefit of the common man. I also pray for peaceful coexistence because I am very close to the minister and the governor and I don’t want to interfere. I want them to come together and unite. Everybody has his own grudges, problems which you cannot say what you are doing is wrong, no. I was with the former governor, Ahmed Mu’azu, and each one of them has the progress of the state at heart. We will all die and leave the state but we should die and leave it in peace and progress for our children. Election violence The PDM will write the Inspector General of Police to appeal to him to make sure that there is peaceful elections and police did not harass anybody. He must ensure that his men are doing their work. We are concerned about ballot snatching and it won’t augur well for democracy if we don’t check it. In some states, some candidates were denied their rights to go and campaign. This is sad. We hope this will be addressed. http://www.sunnewsonline.com/webpages/news/national/2011/mar/23/national-23-03-2011-018.htm |
Politics › Re: How We Conducted Our Opinion Polls On The Presidential Elections- Thisday Ipsos by timbuktwo(op): 12:22am On Mar 23, 2011 |
jeez. only 11,000 sample size. we've got a bigger spread than that on nairaland. |
Politics › How We Conducted Our Opinion Polls On The Presidential Elections- Thisday Ipsos by timbuktwo(op): 12:20am On Mar 23, 2011 |
Ipsos initially conducted a face-to-face survey of 11,100 Nigerians. Interviews were conducted in-home by trained interviewers between 25 January 2011 and 8 February 2011. The first poll, covered in this press release, covered a range social and political issues.
The survey comprised only registered voters and those planning to register to vote in time for the elections in April 2011. Respondents were therefore asked at the beginning of the interview if they have registered to vote in the elections in April 2011. Over nine in ten (92%) indicated they were registered to vote, and the remaining 8% indicated that they were still planning to register to vote and so their opinions were included in the results.
Ipsos undertook a stratified, multi-stage probability sampling technique in order to neutralise potential forms of bias that might affect the accuracy and reliability of the data collected. This technique applies random selection methods at every stage of sampling and ensures that all Nigerian adults of voting age (males, females, urban and rural dwellers, and all social classes) are given a known chance of being selected to partake in the polling.
The survey covered all of Nigeria. Within each region the selection of sampling locations – a mix of urban, semi-urban and rural – was generated randomly in order for all locations to be given an equal and known chance of being selected.At least five, but no more than ten, interviews were conducted in each primary sampling unit (PSU) to facilitate spread of interviews and adequate representativeness.
In total 1,730 sampling points were randomly selected across the federation. This was done to ensure the most comprehensive coverage of the population possible.
Interviews were conducted face-to-face in all 36 states of the federation and the FCT (Abuja). This approach ensured that people who do not own or have access to a telephone were given an equal chance of being selected. Regionally and locally based interviewers were used to carry out the interviews (meaning these interviewers will be more familiar with the local region and languages), and interviews were always conducted in the respondent’s preferred language (English, Pidgin, Igbo, Yoruba or Hausa) to ensure congruence with language and ethnicity of the respondents.
All interviewers went through a two-day training program to ensure consistent administration of the questionnaire across the sample, a practice which is in line with internationally recognized research standards.
The data were weighted using 2006 census figures to ensure a match between the survey sample and the Nigerian population.
Fieldwork for the second poll was conducted between 25 February to 16 March 2011 via a mix of face-to-face in-home and telephonic re-contact interviews of the initial sample of 11,100 interviewees. Where respondents could not be re-contacted they were substituted by a face to face interview with a respondent who was matched in terms of age, gender, SEC, education level and area.
All sample surveys are subject to statistical error, depending on sample size, interviewing methodology and response rate. The margin of error for the national figures in this poll is 0.93. This means that in 95 out of every 100 cases, the findings will fall within +/- 0.93% range when looking at the national results. The margin of error for state level figures is +/- 6.3%.
Ipsos fully adheres to the ICC-ESOMAR International Code of Marketing and Social Research. http://www.saharareporters.com/news-page/how-we-conducted-our-opinion-polls-upcoming-presidential-elections-thisdayipsos |
Politics › Re: Police Kill Six People At Buhari Rally In Jos by timbuktwo(op): 9:26pm On Mar 21, 2011 |
life is cheap in this country. in the civilized world there would be severe media scrutiny and pressure from civilian groups and yet here, there will be nothing, maybe a few column inches in a few of the dailies. did we even hear the "official presidential investigation" on the deaths in PH?
ordinary civilians are expendable to the political elite in this country. it's disgusting. |
Politics › Re: Police Kill Six People At Buhari Rally In Jos by timbuktwo(op): 9:15pm On Mar 21, 2011 |
such a shame  |
Politics › Police Kill Six People At Buhari Rally In Jos by timbuktwo(op): 9:13pm On Mar 21, 2011 |
Another demonstration of the incompetence of the Nigeria police today in Jos led to their killing of six people at a campaign rally of Muhammad Buhari's Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) in the city. Following threats by the Nigeria police that General Buhari (Rtd), the presidential candidate of the CPC, could not hold a politically rally in the volatile city, they blocked major parts of the entrance to the Polo Ground venue of the campaign. It was a move reminiscent of the February 12 action of the police at the Liberation Stadium in Port Harcourt where they caused the deaths of 20 people by shooting into the air to prevent people from leaving the rally and started a stampede instead. CPC operatives told SaharaReporters that at the Jos Polo Ground rally, the Nigerian police had the singular objective of preventing Buhari's supporters from attending his rally in the city. Earlier in the day, Buhari had paid a courtesy call on the governor of the state, Jonah Jang. While he was there, a huge crowd massed in front of the governor's lodge waiting for the presidential candidate to come out. As soon as he had concluded the courtesy visit, they marched with him to the venue of the rally. But the police, under the disingenuous argument that a huge rally in the city by Buhari supporters could lead to another round of violence in the area tried to prevent several groups from reaching the venue. That action, which the supporters described as "sabotage," led to resistance and violence. The police resorted to using live ammunition to disperse the crowd, leading to the death of the six. As a result of the chaos, Buhari could not go to the palace of Gbong Gwong Jos, nor could he meet with other groups waiting to meet with him in the city. It would be recalled that last week in Ibadan, Oyo State, the police tried to prevent Buhari from using Mapo Hall, which his party had reserved, for his rally. They claimed it would be used the following day by the wife of Goodluck Jonathan, the candidate of the People’s Democratic Party, and that they needed 48 hours to clear the place for her. http://www.saharareporters.com/news-page/police-kill-six-people-buhari-rally-jos |