₦airaland Forum

meine:
Its really funny how some people are always ready to mortgage their souls for peanuts, OKAY we agreed that CPC has stolen your idea but why dont you head to the court to settle your problems rather your result to public assault. Its Clear PDP is ready to throw the kitchen sink but they should be careful cos they are just making the CPC look like a saint. THIS CLAIM IS FRAUDULENT AND SPURIOUS

aletheia:
Since you cannot refute the unassailable logic, you debouch into personal insults. That has always been the typical Buhari supporter's tactic.

This was what you wrote:
Which I countered by pointing out that: 
You have a long way to go bro, before your candidate will win a national election with less than 15% of the votes in the SE and SS. . .even if he wins 100% of the votes in the NW. Believe me, unlike you, I have run the numbers and they say Buhari is headed for a defeat.

Seun:
GEJContinuity: Every time a new regime comes in, they cancel old projects and start new ones that are no better.
Human Rights: GEJ feels his ambition is not worth spilling blood, and doesn't close newspapers or TV stations.

Seun:
Continuity, human rights, and privatization.  That's GEJ.  That doesn't mean I'll vote for PDP at state level.

aletheia:
This is an example of why I consider most Buhari supporters as ignorant dreamers. The constitution says that for you to win the election you must have at least 25% of the total votes in at least 24 states + FCT. The SS and SE are 11 states (leaving 25 states). So how can the Buhari campaign win the election with zero votes from the SS and SE? This deluded thinking is what informed the decision of the Buhari campaign to ignore these regions (a massive failure in strategic thinking). For example in the USA, I know that the Republican and Democratic parties usually target each others stronghold.

In observing the events of this campaign, I realized that only the PDP ran a modern campaign. They have deliberately targeted votes in the opposition strongholds, and this will see them securing at least a quarter of votes in a lot of this states.

Dream on. Not going to happen. Will Buhari step down for Ribadu? I think you and I know the answer to that.

According to a recent opinion pollin Nigeria, 38.1 percent of  respondents “strongly agree” and 34.9 percent “somewhat agree,” “that Goodluck Jonathan is doing a good job as president.” The poll even shows Jonathan with a one hundred percent positive approval rate in Akwa Ibom state, and an average positive performance rating of about ninety percent in the southern states. His lowest score was in Kano with 22.5 percent, but he had an overall approval rate in the North of sixty percent.

The poll, conducted by Ipsos, an international polling firm, was published in This Day, a Nigerian newspaper sympathetic to the Jonathan administration.

I am skeptical that this poll accurately measures Jonathan’s support. Indeed, an approval rating of one hundred percent anywhere stretches credulity. While opinion polls are not unknown in Nigeria, they are not common, either.

Shortly before the 2007 elections, a government cabinet minister came to see me with polling results that ostensibly showed overwhelming support for the governing People’s Democratic Party. In hindsight, the Obasanjo government’s sharing of poll results with the diplomatic community looks like it was part of an orchestrated campaign to try and give credibility to the electoral outcomes despite the massive PDP rigging of the elections. Friends of Nigeria must hope that polling data is not now being used in a similar way before the April 2011 elections.

Beaf:
Ipsos is not the sort of body that will respond to the sort of near almajiry questions we see on NL.
They are incredibly respected and are always accurate. If you want to know their sampling methods, then you've got to buy the detailed poll. That is how Ipsos makes their money, they don't tell you details for free. In fact, I am shocked you even suggested it.

Beaf:
Dude, your logic and math are piss-poor!
There are too many variables missing in your post to make it of any use to anybody, talkless of mounting a challenge to a rigourously scientifically conducted poll.

Buhari is only popular in the core-North, he will struggle bitterly outside those 5 or 6 states. That is the stark reality you should be looking at.

Beaf:
All the polls are hovering between 60 and 70 percent for GEJ. I would really have loved an undiplomatic, total and brutally wicked smash of 85% for GEJ, 5% for Ribadu, 3% for Buhari, and the rest shared between Chris Okotie, Shekarau etc.

agabaI23:
Any reason why that is not possible?

agabaI23:
What if he gets 60% without rigging?

PapaBrowne:
Your post here by far favours the PDP. PDP controls the leaders that control the people. It is only in the Core North where the mosque is the channel point that PDP has its weaknesses based on your analysis! Everyone from the Village Chief to the Student union president to the Market women leaders to the Motor park touts Association(NURTW) are all on the PDP payroll. Its only in Lagos and some parts of the south west that ACN has control of these group!! So rethink your postulation.

alexleo:
This election has witnessed such a grassroot campaign among politicians more than the past elections just because one man - Goodluck Ebelechukwu Jonathan decided to break away from the old system which is characterised by massive rigging. He achieved this by appointing a credible man, prof Jega to head the INEC. He made the electoral laws to be amended thus providing for more transparency in the conduct of elections. He provided INEC With the necessary funds without much hassles unlike in the past when INEC was starved of fund and was made to soft pedal in their strict stand as a condition to releasing the fund. Today all the politicians are doing street to street campaign soliciting for votes having seen that its not going to be business as usual as was the case in the past where they gather somewhere and write results or influence result.
This GEJ is truly a God sent. We cant afford to cast our votes to another man.
Its GEJ all the way. God bless Nigeria.

While Jonathan strives to give the impression that a clean election is of paramount importance to him, although he appointed the widely respected Prof Jega to INEC he has failed to instigate a reform of the rest of the organisation, did not relinquish his power to appoint or remove INEC chiefs, and did not remove INEC’s dependence on presidential funding.

Beaf:
I keep hearing stuff about, "let the emirs take your money." Lol! Emirs control the Imams, who control the mosques, which control the almajiri system, which controls the almajiri. Emirs also deslike Buhari.
Dude, almajiri votes can be switched overnight. They don't even know why they are voting anyway.

A huge crowd of Congress for Progressive Change (CPC) supporters yesterday prevented its presidential candidate, Gen. Muhammadu Buhari (rtd), from campaigning in Kano.

The crowd, which had waited for about six hours for Buhari, surged uncontrollably to meet him.

The presidential candidate waited in the black Land Cruiser that brought him to the venue for over one hour, waiting for the supporters to give him space to address them.

When this did not happen, he was driven to the airport, apparently to return to his home in Katsina State.

About 100 people were injured when one of the corrugated iron tents collapsed.

No one died.

Fire fighters and rescue teams conveyed the injured to a hospital.

During a visit to the Emir of Kano, Alhaji Ado Bayero, Buhari said he was not ready to raise the hand of any candidate.

He cited litigations that characterised the governorship primaries in the state as his reason.

Buhari said he was in Kano to solicit the support of the electorate.

Bayero said the emirate was praying for the best president to emerge to transform the country and give the people good leadership.

CPC governorship candidate Alhaji Mohammed Sani Abacha was with Buhari during the rally.

The presidential elections may still be more than a week away, but some Nigerians have already started voting for their candidates.

There are now several platforms online that allow Nigerians with access to the Internet to vote for their favourite presidential aspirant and share their preference on social networks such as Facebook and Twitter.

The retired military general, Mohammadu Buhari is in the lead on two online voting sites: Nigerians Decide and Online Voting for the Nigerian 2011 Elections.

On Nigerians Decide, Mr Buhari is winning with a wide margin of 60 percent (1,378 votes) and 68 percent of the votes, respectively. He is followed by President Jonathan with 24 percent (546) and Nuhu Ribadu at 13 percent (300). Pat Utomi and Ibrahim Shekarau both have 1 percent of the votes with the remaining candidates at less than 1 percent.

Over 3,500 people have cast their vote at nigeriansdecide.110mb.com for the 18 different presidential aspirants.

On Nigerian 2011 Elections, the results are the same, but in different percentages. This website however, only included six contenders: Mr Jonathan, Mr Ribadu, Mr Buhari, Mr Shekarau, Dele Momodu and Mr Utomi. In its mission statement on its home page, the Nigerian 2011 elections said it was created “for Nigerians in Diaspora or Nigerians online as a whole, who will not have the opportunity to vote” in the real elections.

Option A4 of Online

Voting Websites like takeastand.com.ng want to take online voting to the next level. The self-described “Option A4 of online voting”, requires voters to make their ‘vote’ public on a social network site. According to the designers on their website, Oo Nwoye, Namzo Ojeh and Ope Obembe, “Take a stand was built to fight apathy, double speak, and non commitment by our friends and colleagues on the forthcoming Nigerian elections.” Option A4 is a reference to the 1992 elections that had voters line up behind the candidate of their choice. The website claims that the 1992 were probably the freest and fairest elections ever held in Nigeria.

Unlike other online voting websites though, they do not show results in terms of which candidate is in the lead, but people can see where their friends stand on Facebook and Twitter. Take a Stand only allows you to vote for 4 candidates: Mr Buhari, Mr Jonathan, Mr Ribadu and Mr Shekarau. According to the web designers, the reason there are only four aspirants is “exactly the same reason the 20 premier league clubs do not go to the Champions League.” In order the make the voting as accurate as possible, Take a Stand and Nigerian 2011 elections only allow voters to vote once. Nigerians Decide allows web visitors to vote once every 24 hours.