₦airaland Forum

1. His involvement in the conspiracy that removed Goodluck Jonathan is still hurting southsouth hence, he won't do well in that region.

2. His Emilokan and Yoruba lokan comments. That comment sounds like "every other tribe in the south can go to hell, Yorubas are the only tribe in existence". This will mean that he won't get votes outside of Southwest. He sounded like he will be threat to the existence of other tribes in the south if they allow him become president

3. Yoruba lokan means that even after Obasanjo has had a turn for the yorubas, he's trying to tell other tribes in the south that they are slaves to the Yorubas. Such comments will make him never have any penetration in southeast and southsouth

His fate in this election is specifically dependent on his ability to beat Atiku and Kwankwaso in the north. I really do not see that happening

o123456789:
Then if the result is different what will you do?
Like the case over voting what can you do?

the inec official cannot leave na, it's simple

JUST IN: U.S. court releases certified true copies of Bola Tinubu’s drug dealing, money laundering case in Chicago
Nigerians have long insisted that the presidential candidate should come clean on his involvement in the case, which saw him forfeit up to $460,000 to American authorities in 1993.

Illinois has released fresh documents holding Bola Tinubu’s encounter with American authorities over allegations of narcotics trafficking and money laundering.


Mr Tinubu, the presidential candidate of the ruling All Progressives Congress and former Lagos governor, has come under intense public ridicule and political onslaught for his role in an early 1990s drug trafficking case in Chicago.

...........


https://gazettengr.com/just-in-u-s-court-releases-certified-true-copies-of-bola-tinubus-drug-dealing-money-laundering-case-in-chicago/

Hmm, bur we can confirm that the result that was sent via BVAS is the same as what we have on ground before leaving the polling until on inec website, abi?

Jones4190:
the KS determine who will be your president simple

nope it doesn't. That's why Buhari didn't win in 2003 and 2007

Jones4190:
believe me Kano and Kaduna votes alone cancel all the vote in south east that is why no presidential candidate take them serious, have you see where any of the presidential candidate visit south east ever since the campaigns Begin?
Do you know that river and delta state alone are politically important that the whole of south east? people don't take south east serious when it come to presidential election.
they are the reason why Jonathan loose.

you are obviously ignorant how to how things work and the Constitution of Nigeria.

Go and educate yourself

senatordave1:
Obi won't get 25% in bayelsa.will get 25% in akwa ibom but can't win.he won't do well in kogi..outside lagos obi won't get 25% in any western state

so Atiku will win Bayelsa and Akwa ibom right?

OfoIgbo:
Obi will get more than 30% of the votes in Kaduna state based on the fact that his running mate is from there, and the state has a huge Christian population.

So you should add Kaduna to your list

Well, I can say for sure that Obi will get 30% of Kaduna, I don't know the demography of that state.
However, I know for sure that northern Kaduna has the highest population and are most likely going to vote for Atiku or Kwankwaso, they are even very close to Kano state

Image123:
Delirium is a serious change in mental abilities. It results in confused thinking and a lack of awareness of someone's surroundings. The disorder usually comes on fast — within hours or a few days. Delirium can often be traced to one or more factors, in this case Peter Obi.

ok, it's okay you know what you are suffering from.
It makes the job easier for your doctor

Jones4190:
if you are sure with yourself you will agree with me that buhari has been winning but they always RDO him magomago.

Winning K states doesn't win you the election.
That's not a hard mathematics to solve.

If you like win all K-states, you will lose if you don't win at least 10 to 12 other states

Jones4190:
✓peter obi will not win plateau reason the governor is APC and he is tinubu campaign chairman.

not how it works now with BVAS, it's the same reason Oyetola lost osun even as a governor. The influence of governors have dropped, you can only try to convince your people or bribe voters

✓ peter obi will not win nasarawa, reason, apc national chairman is from there and the governor is apc.

I don't know but he will do very well in nasarawa, nasarawa has a historical voting pattern as Abuja.

peter obi will not win any of these ks state, Katsina, kebbi, Kaduna, Kano etc who ever win those state I mentioned will be the next president

thats not how it works

peter obi will not win Lagos or any of the south west state, Yoruba will always be Yoruba they will chose there own above anything.
[/quote ] maybe but he will get a lot of votes in Lagos. May not be enough to win though

[quote]✓ peter obi will not win Benue state, even the governor is afraid of "Yes Father movement"

Peter obi will win here because of anti-fulani campaign in the state. Only blind people can't see that picture, the people of Benue has made their intentions clear even to the blind to see

conclusively peter obi is going nowhere.

doesn't work that way, he's the best to win by all indication after Atiku started messing up

Jones4190:
the ks state ( Kaduna, kano, kebbi kastina) vote alone handle all the state you mention,
whoever win the ks state is the next president of this country, peter obi will not win Kaduna, Katsina, Kano. this are the state were the real votes come from.
forget only politics peter oni will never be president.

that's not how it works.

Buhari always win the k states but didn't become president until APC emerged.
This time, no one can win all the k states. Kwankwaso is formidable there, which is a major plus for Obi.

We do not want everyone winning all northern states massively f we don't win them, it has to be splitter while we lockdown southeast and southsouth

BATified2023:
2 igbos supporting Igbo project is no big deal

is Frank Edoho igbo?

You have never left Southwest in your life. Ignoramus urchiin

Image123:
Delirium.

can you expatiate?

PlayMaker14:
Lol, the only role that big lip will play is the role of a betrayal in any Nollywood movie.


My boss, Chief James Onanefe Ibori will deliver the state to Labour Party at the presidential election.

Okowa is not relevant.

as far as I am concerned, southeast and southsouth is on a lockdown for Peter Obi.

Tinubu is still trying to lock Southwest down.

Peter Obi already has a huge stake in North Central with the likes of Abuja that never votes APC and won't vote PDP now, Benue, Nasarawa and Plateau.

Every other candidates are just going to battle for the remnants, Peter obi will also fight to get some of the cake

Atiku is a big disappointment, he had the best chance but couldn't organize PDP. Every slight of vote PDP loses will most likely go to Peter Obi and Kwankwaso

The game now is for Peter obi to go and fight Tinubu in Southwest and all of them in Northeast and Northwest. We got his back already in southeast and southsouth

PlayMaker14:
He will also win my state convincingly....


Delta State is lockdown for Peter Obi.

I intentionally did not include Delta because I don't know the role Okowa who's a VP for PDP might play on the psychology of the people

IRAPADA:
Wake up from this your terrible dream

you wake to reality.
No one is going to carry any election document to any collation centre for rigging where governors and vultures can manipulate.
Transmit live before leaving.

BVAS is the game changer

While the roles of governors are still vital but the electoral reform and introduction of BVAS has limited their power of rigging for their party candidates. This election, if BVas works, Peter obi will most likely win these states.

1. Anambra
2. Imo
3. Abia
4. Ebonyi
5. Enugu
6. Benue
7. Plateau
8. Akwa ibom
9. Cross Rivers
10. Edo
11. Rivers
12. Bayelsa
13. Abuja

States Peter Obi will do well but may not win:

1. Nasarawa
2. Kogi
3. Lagos
4. Delta

Regions where Peter Obi may get more than 25% votes if he won't win there:
1. Southwest

If obi can steal some votes in the Northeast and Northwest, win nasarawa, he will become president

Lol, if Obi doesn't win 90% in southeast, southeast don Bleep up.

This is not an election where governors mobilize as BVAS don show. Na the people go fight for their votes to be relevant.

Peter Obi will win southeast, southsouth and Benue, Abuja and Plateau state. I can bet my last card on this.

If Tinubu doesn't do his homework well, Peter Obi will beat him in Lagos

pinkgoodies:
No problem. Na only God fit stop uzodinma come next guber. Na if PDP go even get candidate for dat election. Feb2023 no far again.

nope, not god. The people of imo state and BVAS will.
E no go even see 3rd position

OsunOriginal:
There are 137 local governments in SW and you couldn't convincingly list up to 5 local governments. And you call this one a candidate for a presidential election?

By the way, Obi can't win any of the local governments you listed.

Lol, Obi will win Amuwo odofin, Ojo, ajeromi/ifelodun, And even do well in surulere because they are predominantly Igbos. APC dey lose here, this is not osun state.

In Eti-osa where you cannot bribe people, most of here are okay and well inform, Obi might win. Don't be surprise if Obi even wins Ikeja, informed voters will most likely not vote APC. APC usually wins Ikeja by slim margin every election.

Where I see APC winning is in Alimosho, Mushin, kosofe, Ikorodu, Lagos island, epe and maybe in Badagry.
This is a plus for Tinubu because Alimosho and Ikorodu alone is almost half the population of Lagos.

In Isolo and Amuwo odofin, Igbo men win Lagos State political offices. In ojo, you have to pacify those igbo traders to get votes, APC always lose here.

The introduction of BVAS will make election pictures clearer and less susceptible to rigging hence, we will see the true picture.

The lekki massacre again will be a big blow especially in eti osa, Surulere, Lagos mainland and somolu axis for APC in conjunction with BVAS. Don't be surprise if Peter Obi gets 35% of Lagos votes, it's possible

pinkgoodies:
Lol. Na wetin umahi and uzodinma tell u last night. Beerpalour news. If u know d grassroot mobilization going on in Abia North and orlu zone. U no go even talk pim.

uzodinma that you are banking on will not win guber election.
If Tinubu gets 10% vote in southeast, Benue and southsouth, I go dash you money.

No be only grassroot, na grasshopper

NigeriaIsGreat:
LOl

Obi cannot rule the ZOO

I don't know if he will win but these areas in Lagos, he will beat Tinubu there

peepydelano:
Op has no clue on how elections goes in Nigeria, keep up with the social media permutations and get a shocker on the D day.

you and I will agree that this is not elections as usual. Especially with BVAS and other reforms.
You are the person who is stuck in the past

I reside in lagos, so I know about Lagos.

Peter obi will win Amuwo odofin, Ojo, ajeromi/ifelodun, he will do well in Oshodi/Isolo and Surulere, eti-osa.

APC don't do well here

My personal survey shows that in the north, Kwankwaso has got the momentum, although he's not as popular as Atiku yet but he's doing a great job and don't be surprise if he beats Atiku in the northwest in February. He has what it takes. Now Atiku is losing Bala Mohammed of Bauchi, this is an advantage for Kwankwaso. Atiku is in for great fight in Northwest and northeast with Kwankwaso and Tinubu.

In the Southeast, southsouth and Benue, Atiku who was the favourite to win here is getting serious setbacks, whether or not you like it, Peter obi owns southeast, Benue and most part of southsouth for now.

In Southwest, Atiku has no chance at all, Makinde seem like he's looking towards Tinubu and Peter Obi will get substantial votes here.

Atiku chances are diming by the day, Kwankwaso and Peter Obi have the momentum.
The prediction is becoming harder as Atiku is losing relevance, if you ask me I will say that Peter obi has the clearest opportunity to win if he can find a way to steal little votes in the north Because he will win in the south generally.

More and more people are rejecting APC Because of Buhari's awful performance and Tinubu's prideful behavior.

It's not so clear yet, but for me, Peter Obi has the biggest momentum. It's no longer a case of no structure, things are happening faster than even APC and Atiku can imagine.

eliyke:
The Only people on the HIGHWAY to Hell are those who Reject the Free Gift of Salvation available through JESUS CHRIST.

Wherever you are,if you are Born again and Have a Genuie relationship with JESUS Christ, It does not Matter what is Happening in the world, FEAR NOT!

If You are not Born-again , you need to be Afraid.
Hope all is well?

religion makes people stupid

DWickedLandLord:
A tribalist can never be okay in a nation of millions. Sorry...

He marked himself.

N if you think what he said is no big deal then imagine PO saying it..

Kwankwaso seem like a literalist to me..he says it as it is.
People like that can be very controversial

My candidate is a coward, he didn't show up

frog12:
kwankwanso is wasting his time. really EMPTY.
how did he even become a governor ??

even as an obedient, I think Kwankwaso is very okay

thebosstrevor1:
Okowa spoke from experience - i was impressed with some of his security plan

Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso- impressed with his education and security plan

Peter obi - i dont understand anything he says, always calling unrealistic figures and plans

Kola abiola - Said some important things but most viewers will be unconvinced

what did Tinubu say?

VEHINTOLAR:
You are here on Nairaland and you're honestly asking me to furnish you with Tinubu's infrastructural strides while in office as that visionary governor of Lagos state ? You must be an unsuccessful comedian,walahi ! Tinubu is Lagos and Lagos is Tinubu ! Wetin dey even worry these village dwellers self ?! You think we have time for you Igbo's childish Tom and D.ick measuring competition ? Abegi,face your little village !

Tinubu didn't do anything in Lagos.
Show me what he did