₦airaland Forum

Gbagura:
I'm not in Lagos. Not all of us live in Lagos.

I have a feeling that you are making noise.

Which state are you, I will find someone to bet with you in your state.

Which state are you?

I will send the money to someone

Gbagura, send your number to workch@outlook.com

I have scheduled with tw Urchins here, they never showed up.

100k is not a big money. We can play with it.

If you think Obi will lose on "Saturday" hit me up.


Stop shifting goalpost about your lawyer nonsense. I have done deal of 1m sef without lawyer, not to talk of 100k. Wtf

Gbagura:
Don't scatter my head. He's not winning. What's all these confusion. Obi won't win, fullstop. Come with clear terms and stop confusing me. There's no rerun in this election to start with. It's a straight run.

It's simple:

Obi will not lose on Saturday.i am predicting a run off, Obi will either win or make the reoff. Obi cannot lose on Saturday.

Send me your number if you want to take it.

It's very simple, if you think Obi will lose, take it

Thinkam:
Many of who?

You're the one out to make money, become two times richer, stake all you have on Tinubu, and rub your winnings as well Tinubu victory on Obi's supporters faces.

No Obi supporter will ever bet on his victory, not even Obi himself.

I am willing to bet it.

Gbagura:
Second you mean? He's not coming second. Bring your reliable lawyer to hold the bet.

there's no need for lawyer, it's just 100k.

Let's meet at a mall, opens thread for it. Give the money to store to keep.
Winner will be giving the money in Monday. Stop making the simple thing look so complicated.

Gbagura:
Second you mean? He's not coming second. Bring your reliable lawyer to hold the bet.

I am betting that he will not lose on Saturday. He may lose rerun but this Saturday election, Obi will either win or make it to the rerun.

I am willing to meet you anywhere in Lagos tomorrow to take this bet.

You can meet me at ICM or any mall close to you, we will give the money to a store to keep. We will open a thread on nairaland as evidence.


Send your number to workch@outlook.com

Gbagura:
None of you cowards have put your money down on obi but you go around beating chest and clueless people clapping for you. If you know you're not a coward and you're sure your obi will win, let's bet 100k and wait for the election results.


All you know is make mouths and type what you can't defend all in the name of clouts. Unserious bunch of people.

I am willing to bet 100k, Obi will leave that election on Saturday with at least a runoff.

How are we doing it?

Can we meet somewhere? The last urchin I had a betting appointment with didn't show up.

MightySparrow:
This OP is not realistic at all. I want to think otherwise. Yorubas are more accommodating than Igbos.
Akabueze became commissioner in Lagos state one other fwllow House of Representatives. How many can boast of same treatment in any SE states? In our markets, you hardly can see Igbos traders employing other tribes rather would go to his village.
The kind of large heart government ran by OBJ cannot be from any Igbo leader.



Stupid people Lagos has been ahead other places in Nigeria before almagamation. It was a meeting place between local and Portuguese trades who gave the place Lagos. It was the seat of government during colonial era.
That Igbo build Lagos is a stupid assertion.
Why can't they build their own lands? A curse?

Igbos are intrinsically selfish that apart from gain's they make in the host communities nothing more you can gain.


To add salt to injury, they begin to abuse their hosts. Ingrate people.


They want what they cannot offer. How many people go to Igbo land for greener pastures?
Who wouldn't build in Igbo land if they are that friendly?

The OP is simply an idiot.

Yoruba use to do Oju aye. That's the most dangerous serpentine attribute

OlujobaSamuel:
Your maths is wrong. According to your variables, the possible outcome is around 2.5m not 7m.
40% of 10.5m is about 4.1m
65% of that is 2.6m

olodo, 40% voters turn out. It was stated there

Wainey:
65% is just 6m,
but it's not easy for Obi to collect 65% of SS, at best he will collect 45%, Tinubu get 20% while Atiku gets 35%

I said combined.

If he gets 75% in SE and 55 in SS, is about 60 to 65% combined

[quote author=Workch.[/quote]

Omo, fear majority of Yorubas but all of them are not like that.
I use to think that they are very enlightened until this whole election things started. Them fall hand, many of them allowed tribal bigotry buy their conscience.

We all know that Tinubu is the worst of all the major contenders but will tribalism allow them agree?
Peter Obi is winning anyways

garfield1:
Which cash crunch? You will be shocked on Saturday by the amount of money.they have found a way around bvas

okay, we go see 😂

Which state.

Nations newspaper 🤣🤣

Him go calm down now.

I am sure that he will stop tweeting rubbish

garfield1:
These govs are very powerful.they can do what even thousands of me and you can't do

it's what you think from your 2019 point of view. Reality will set in on Saturday and you will realize that I told you.

You are overestimating their influence. BVASans cash crunch don Bleep them up

KingsCity:
Kwankwaso can win the election by winning 75% of North West votes

lol, 25% coverage nko

garfield1:
The governor has hijacked his lga already

you are still Nanking on these governors.
You are still stock in 2019 and on Saturday, you will be back to the present 😂

Now imagine with 40% voters turnout accross board and Peter Obi getting 65% from southeast and southsouth combined.

That's about 7m votes already.


Even the person that will win Northeast and northwest combined cannot come out with 7m votes there. It will take a lot for them to close that gap

Be like this thing is favoring Peter Obi because me no dey add Lagos to southwest votes

AtikuOkowa:
So Peter Azikwe Obi will win with dot states?

That's why I think you people are foolish. If you actually read my article, you won't type this

If Obi wins, it will be because Kwankwaso was in the race.

Many APC and PDP supporters have this delusion that the northwest decides who becomes president. I even heard the two PDAPC spokespersons on Channels TV yesterday saying this. To me, it doesn't make any sense and it's a delusion that has become a culture, maybe because of their poor ability to look at figures holistically. I have two reasons why I don't always buy that sentiment.

1. Although, northwest is the region with the largest voting block, Buhari won that region 3 times and never became president until northcentral and southwest backed him. It does not make sense to look at it from a myopic lens that no one can become president without winning northwest.

2. Northwest will not be giving bloc votes this time. Although it has the largest voting bloc, it's foolhardy not to accept that these votes will be almost equally scattered between Atiku and Tinubu and Kwankwaso is also going to get a substantial stake from there.

It's why I think that APC and PDP supporters and strategists are myopic and also I have a feeling that Peter Obi can win this election. Whatever vote that kwankwaso gets in northwest is for Peter Obi technically, because Kwankwaso cannot win.
PDP and APC are so foolish that they are yet to realize that if Obi gets 60% in Southeast and Southsouth ( which is very likely), he will automatically have gotten more votes than anybody that wins Northeast and northwest combined in this election.

Peter Obi has taken this battle to the southwest, where he will become second and northcentral where he will get a lot of votes.

Ricky97:
Kwankwaso is more a blessing to Obi than a competition.
Him remaining in this race to the end is strategic for himself but Obi is the immediate beneficiary.

Here's how Obi will likely fare;
+ 25% (NC,NW,NE) cumulatively
+ 39% SW
+ 60% SS
+ >75% SE
+ 45% FCT

Kwankwaso knows he doesn't stand a chance winning this election because of lack of national spread but he's positioning for 2027 and beyond. He is using this election to prove he is a "5m+ votes in the bag" getter, give or take brightening his chances of being a northern consensus candidate pending when it's their turn again.

This scenario helps Obi decentralize bloc votes in the north going to one man. Whereby Kwankwaso, Atiku and Tinubu will get a fair share leaving Obi with sizeable numbers that could aggregate to 25% of total votes cast in the North (NC, NW & NE).

Coming down South the sentiment is it's our turn which dampens Atiku's chances in PDP states plus his party losing G-5 governors. A large chunk of those PDP rebels pit their tent with Obi for obvious reasons asides his experience and capacity in governance.

Tinubu's candidacy is drenched with so much baggage that people can't overlook. Religion is a serious conversation in Nigeria (trivialize it at your own peril), tweaking it further he's clearly not an equity candidate as per Southern Nigeria.
A disadvantaged Tinubu (Ticket composition, Health and Age) makes it all lighter for Obi coupled with his gaffes everytime he graces a podium. Every analyst who doesn't take these fact into consideration is playing around.

Going to the polls BARRING VIOLENCE Obi will comfortably take SE and 60% total votes cast in SS give or take, similar scenario in SW will produce him 39% total votes minimum. His pathway to winning is completely embedded in VIOLENCE FREE ELECTION that will encourage massive voters turn out. This is if president Buhari keeps his word on guaranteeing voters safety nationwide.

So in a nutshell, this election will leave PDAPC with bloody nose steaming from what was awoken politically by EndSars that hasn't been properly put into perspective. The outcome will help galvanize that.


@nlfpm

you have said it all

adigun27:
You are a day dreamer tinubu will get in all ss state write it down and all northern state except adamawa

it's you that is sick. Lol

No be only SS, na sickle cell 😂

Hopium:
Ok. "Lagos result will be too close. Tinubu will struggle to win, if at all"

We will get back to this on Saturday evening.

okay sir

PerfectMan24:
Millions of Anambra state PVC were thrown inside bush but inec counted them as collected.

lol 🤣

E SAY MILLIONS

Hopium:
Ok. "Tinubu cannot win Lagos."

We will get back to this on Saturday evening.

I am not saying that Tinubu cannot win Lagos.
It's too close to call.
Very close

Imagine Obi winning
Anambra
Imo
Abia
Enugu
Ebonyi
Benue
Rivers
Crossriver
Akwa ibom
Abuja
Plateau

And if shocker happens in Lagos.

No one else cs get close to his figures.

Hopium:
Guy, why you dey always think like this? Which state is not a battleground?

Number of pvc collected doesn't mean shit. What matters is the turn out.

The rate is similar to previous cycle. Nothing burger in this.

Lagos is a stiff battle ground. I know what I am talking about.

Tinubu will win other SW states, Kwara and Borno. Lagos is not sure with this cash crunch, military and BVAS. I know what I am saying.

This is not 2019 when someone can pad result register with money

trutharena:
Don’t conflict rate with the actual number of collected PVC.

Oyo still have more PVC collection than Anambra and SW still has the highest PVC collections.

People are going to vote with collected PVC and not PVC rate.

The figure is so similar to 2019 PVC collection and how states are in ranking of top to bottom. It’s as if everything is constant.

don count Lagos o.

You and I know why. We both know that Lagos is a battle ground.

There a sign of voters apathy in southwest

This election go sweet. Both states are not Tinubu stronghold

Ruggedniggaone:
lol clown

thank you