₦airaland Forum

Obaofaba:
Asiwaju is winning by landslide comes February 25th.

You can wail till death afterwards.

he's winning Burdillon and Lagos treasury landslide. He will never be president.

We will laugh to in 26th

unmask:
lol see logic.....Any Yoruba supporting Tinubu is tribal, any Igbo supporting Obi is not.......I still maintain my point that a lot of Obidients went about this campaign the wrong way. They think by abusing the people that don't support PO will get those people to change their minds.

Obi is the underdog here and his job is trying to convince people to vote for him from the other major political parties. Abusing people that have a different view from you does a bad job of convincing both neutrals and those in other political parties to join the movement.

You might argue that the other parties are also abusive, that might be the case, but it doesn't mean you should toe that road especially being the underdog . You should be seen to be different discussing ideas.

When APC took power from PDP, they didn't go after supporters of PDP, they targeted the issues and amplified it.

As an analogy imagine a new restaurant trying to get customers from a McDonald's for example, it would be foolhardy for them to tell McDonald's customers that they are stupid for remaining with McDonald's when they could be eating in a new restaurant.

If you were the McDonald's customer, how would you feel?

It might be late to sway some people, but there are still a few that are sitting on the fence. Don't let overzealousness make you lose those ones.

It is a Democracy and everyone has a right to choose. But you also have a right to convince them to choose who you think is right.

we all know that Tinubu is a drug dealer, godfather, corrupt person, lack character and competence.
To top it, he's sick and it shows as he makes many flaws.


No sane Yoruba will support him above Obi. Only tribal bigots will do that

Hopium:
The OP is telling them an unbiased view that perfectly aligns with reality, they've started calling him names. I can't imagine the number of votes they've lost with their mouth and gidigbo style of discourse.

Saturday is not far.

Can you bet that Obi will not win?
If you can, meet me anywhere public

Aboki99:
Peter Obi's supporters are cock-a-hoop about what they see as the highest chance of their hero winning Nigeria's presidency next Saturday.

Are their optimism and excitement factually/statistically justified?

Let's do the arithmetic.

PO's strongholds are the SE and the SS, two zones with the least number of votes!. Granted that PO can scavenge some votes in the SW, but it's crystal clear that Tinubu will carry the day in SW eventually.

In the north, the Obidients rely on pockets of votes from northern xtians. But are these enough? Not at all. Since 1999, the northern xtians have never voted along the same line as the Muslim core North. For example they have never voted for Buhari. Yet, in 2014 and 2019 Buhari was able to win signifying the political insignificance of this voting bloc to a candidate that can garner votes in the core north and other parts (Tinubu?). Similarly, PMB was able to win elections without the votes of the SE and SS in both 2014 and 2019, which also trivializes the importance of these two Obi's main strongholds in determining the ultimate presidential winner.

So, for Obi to win the presidential election, he would, as a matter of necessity, need votes from Muslim voters in the north. But does he look set to get it? The truthful but bitter answer for Obidients to accept is No with a capital N. Problem is, the Obidients want to market Obi in the day as a pan-Nigerian candidate but brandish the news of Obi's endorsement by popular pastors/Churches whose altars Obi has turned to campaign platforms. This, rightly so, confuses the average northern Muslim voter and makes them pause to ask some legitimate questions[ Imagine Buhari going to the mosques to campaigns in 2014 or even 2019, what with the reaction be like from voters in say the SE?)

Not even the votes in Plateau and Benue, two states Obidients have also placed high, convoluted hope on can do anything to offset the bloc northern muslim votes. Here, the Obidients will conveniently bring up the issue of Kwankwaso who, as they argue passionately, will magically divide these votes for them to conquer and win the race. In making this highfalutin assumptions, the Obidients forget two crucial facts: 1) the muslim northern voters are never known, throughout Nigeria's political history, to cultivate the habit of wasting their votes. The average northern voter might not have gone to school but they're the most sophisticated; 2) Despite pulling some intimidating crowds in a couple of states esp in the nroth, the truth is Kano is Kwankwaso's main sphere of influence. Even there, I can't bet a penny that he'll win a simple majority for reasons adumbrated above.

Now, my only concern is what the reaction of the Obidients will be when the bubble of their alternative reality finally bursts. I hope they'll peacefully pick up the pieces, lick their wounds, move on and say "better luck next time".

Personally, I do not see any credible candidate worthy of my votes among the current pack of wolfs, but I know for sure that this 2023 election is a contest between Tinubu and Atiku. Yet, while I know this for a fact, I also have to admit that the outcome of this contest is highly unpredictable. Tinubu has 22 APC governors behind his back, huge war chest, media control and so on. Atiku has the support of some powerful members of PMB's kitchen cabinet, considerable war chest, and some current public angst to latch onto.

If you press me hard to rate the chances of the major contenders, I'll come up with something like these:
1. Tinubu 35%
2. Atiku 34
3. Obi 20%
4. Kwankwaso 9%

May God choose the best candidate for us.

the last urchin I asked to come place a bet at ICM never showed up.

Obi will win, I can bet on that

PlayMaker14:
Make Tinubu settle him Urchins na...


See how Owó Mi Da miscreants are disgracing themselves.

this should be Yarimo. No wonder he hasn't posted recently 😂

HardMirror:
hahaha so you want to blackmail yoruba christians to vote your fraud because he is a christian. Hahaha 😂😂😂😂😂. It is back firing becauase it is making most yorubas to question why they were supporting obi in the first place.

you think it's backfiring?

Nobody wants to be islamized

lhordspy:
It is okay? So after election what will happen? You will now go back and tell the Christians that election is over, and they should now stop hating muslims. That everything can now come back to normal?

If you have ever experience religious crisis in the North. If you just witness a glimpse or small part of it. You will never fan religious hate in your life.

Ask people who experienced it.

they are hating, it's not ideal for a Muslim-Muslim ticket to take over from a Muslim president.
Muslims should also be considerate

abobote:
The man is not serious. All these overzealous few should not turn this our obidient movement to something else.
This is not what we stand for

it's okay to do this to steal votes from southwest.
A lot of Yorubas are voting along ethnic lines, you can trigger religion there to steal more votes from BAT.

This is not going to effect Obi's voting block in the north, southsouth and southeast. The ethnic bigots who are Christians in southwest need to see a reason not to vote a Muslim-Muslim ticket.

If someone is already biased for ethnic reasons, you can bring him back for religious reasons

This election is taking a religious dimension and I guess it's meant to level up the ethic bigotry in Southwest.

I will vote for Peter Obi but this is unfair to Tinubu.
Najaatu is partisan and should not be part of any non-partisan team.

If Tinubu is going to lose, which i know he will, let him lose fairly.

imagrg:
*This Is The Revelation I Had From God This Morning At 5.00 AM*

That something terrible is about to happen between now and twenty days time in Nigeria.

That we should FAST and PRAY for 16 days and ask God to avert it.

Please let's all be serious about this revelation.

Let's share this message to all and sundry.

May peace reign in Nigeria.

better take your malaria drug

Mynd44:
You first time voters really need to learn the history of Nigerian elections.

In 2011, Fashola got 1.5 million votes to be re-elected actually, he got 1,509,113 votes.

If you didn't know about this then why should we take anything else you say seriously?

Na you I go first troll for this platform on Sunday.

foxxydude:
I thought I was replying to a person, not knowing It was a cockroach 😂😂😂

Lol, if you like no go their office collect am. Arindin

Thinkam:
Lol you guys overestimate Nigerians, votes would be bought with small bags of rice

Just read what you wrote and see whether it makes sense.
Think am well

Vote buy will be reduced to the barest minimum and BVAS will then be the icing on the cake.

I don't see anything that can stop Obi unless Obi himself.

The structure APC and PDP supporters have been talking aijt is vote buying. They have lost that power significantly

highchief1:
u r wrong o.they may be reduced but u can’t rule them out completely.

Nigerians need education.
Mention where I inferred that it will be totally removed?

FromZeroToHero:
I can confirm to you that, the governor of Kaduna State El Rufai has revoked the C of Os of all banks in the State, outside Jaiz Bank, which i can't confirm her status, over CBN naira redesign policy.

The walls of banks are marked X red, by KAPSUDA, with bulldozers, positioned.

banks don't have cash to swap.
There's nothing Hell Rufai can do about it.

Tinubu will lose Kaduna and there's nothing Hell Rufai can do

With the naira crunch and BVAS, corrupt polticians who are have stashed cash in their houses cannot approach CBN to swap it because they will immediately be culpable for laundering money. Which means that they cannot have money to buy votes, sponsor thugerry and even try to bypass BVAS.

BVAS has made sure that votes will count and any form of irregularities will be detected. Rigging has been reduced to the bearest minimum and will be very difficult.

This election is about Who the people want. Money and structure is useless. Very useless

foxxydude:
All they INEC need to do is buy stamps from NIPOST to deliver to individual addresses period they don't need to pay extra

So they can deliver it to you on your bed 🤣

foxxydude:
INEC of course
They can add it to their annual budget.

lol, Nigerians always want to be spoonfed

Parachoko:
The only place you get it wrong is the SS, Asiwaju will have more than 29% in the South South

I see him giving the PDP a good run in the South South.

I don't screenshot this one too 🤣🤣

VoteTinubu2023:
SW - 65%
SS - 32%
SE - 20%
NC - 38%
NE - 40%
NW - 40%

In a 3 horse race. This wins it.

lol 🤣🤣🤣
I don screenshot this one. We go mock una tire on satur9

Yes, and I am voting for Ogbeni Peter Obi

Felimax:
In all the states you gave to to Tinubu Atiku will be second runner up.

I am laughing at many of you 😂

Freshtruth:
Take this to the bank after the election on Saturday come and review my prediction and call me a prophet.
Am a political forecaster I have analyzed before I drop this prediction.
States Likely To Be Won By The Four Major Presidential Candidates

PETER OBI:
*Abia
*Anambra
*Enugu
*Ebonyi
*Imo
*Edo
* Benue
*FCT
* cross river

BOLA TINUBU:
*Osun
*Ekiti
*Ondo
*Oyo
*Lagos
*Ogun
*Kogi
*Kwara
*Niger
*Borno
*Yobe
*Katsina

ATIKU ABUBAKAR:
*Adamawa
*Gombe
*Bauchi
*Taraba
*Sokoto
*Jigawa
*Kebbi
*Plateau
*Kaduna
*Zamfara
*Benue
*Delta
*Akwa Ibom
*Rivers
*Bayelsa
*Nasarawa



RABIU KWANKWASO
*Kano

jumper524:
Mazi Simon ekpa already said no election in biafra land.
That should bother you the more.

just wait and see what will happen 😂😂

Ekpa ko, groundnut ni

Chineduawka:
You should understand that the unknown gunmen activities and Mazi ekpa miscreants can affect us heavily in the south east..
Do you think everyone has the mindset

Keep hallucinating on the western people

okay

ickonet:
I know some of those uncollected PVSs were purposely denied from the owners simply because they from a particular Obedient region, anyway God pass them.

not true, Yorubas are usually lackadaisical about elections.
I have stayed with them a lot

foxxydude:
Why did InEC not contract the distribution to NIPOST, the largest logistics company in Africa
Their Postmen know the nook and crannies in every states.

who bares the cost?

I don't want to add Lagos because Lagos is highly cosmopolitan and Tinubu will not get a clear win here.



1. Oyo state has a total of 3.2 million register PVCs, 800,000 didn't collect their. Leave Oyo state with 2.4million PVC holders.

2. Ogun state has 2.6m register PVCs, about 400k couldn't collect theirs, leaving Ogun with 2.2m PVC holders.

3. Osun state has 1.9m register PVCs, about 400k couldn't collect theirs, leaving Ogun with 1.5m PVC holders.

4. Ondo state has 1.9m register PVCs, about 300k couldn't collect theirs, leaving Ogun with 1.5m PVC holders.


This means that Anambra and Imo has more PVC holders than all state in southwest aside Lagos.
It means that Abia and Enugu has more PVC holders than all states in southwest aside Ogun and Oyo.


I sense serious voters apathy on Saturday in southwest

Imagine removing almost 400k and 300k respectively from Osun and Ondo with about 1.9m registered voters.

And u am sure that many of the remaining people wont still come out and vote

Remove 400k from ogun's 2.6m registered PVC.

Omo, Southwest and voters apathy

Voter's apathy is usually very high in southwest.

You will see what I Mean during election.

Southeast usually don't vote when they are not interested and don't have a preferred candidate.