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The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis - Religion - Nairaland

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The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by fedex01: 6:47am On Jan 01, 2016
There's is a lot of confusion regarding the state of religion in Nigeria, Africa's largest nation. I was researching on the topic and was getting different results. Some sources put Christianity as the majority religion (56%-58%) while other sources put Islam ahead with 60% of the population. Majority of the sources do tend to agree that the population of Nigeria is almost equally divided between Christianity and Islam (at 49% to 48% etc).

Amongst all of this, I started doing my own research regarding the future of Nigeria's religious landscape. My thorough research points towards one conclusion. It is be Islam that seems to be the future majority religion of Nigeria.

This year, United States premier demographic organization, PEW research center, released a report regarding the future of religion in the world. They did a thorough study of demographic trends across the world and published their results after 6 years. They looked at demographic surveys, age-structure of different religious groups, fertility rates of individual religious groups, and so on. This was the most detailed demographic report on religion till date.

The results of the report suggests that, when it comes to Nigeria, Islam will become the majority religion in next 20 to 30 years.

By 2050, there would be 230 million Muslims in Nigeria and 154 million Muslims. You can see the results for Nigeria here

http://www.pewforum.org/2015/04/02/religious-projection-table/2050/number/Sub-Saharan_Africa

Read full report here

http://www.pewforum.org/2015/04/02/religious-projections-2010-2050/

This projection is further substantiated by the Nigerian Demographics and Health Survey of 2013 (most latest one) where 51.5 of population is revealed to be Muslims by the survey (page 60)

https://dhsprogram.com/pubs/pdf/FR293/FR293.pdf

It should be noted that there some organizations, such as Afrobarometer, who released their own report in 2013, give the numbers more favorable towards Christians (with 58% Christians and 42% Muslims). Although it should be noted that the sample size for Afrobarometer was 2400 people while Demographic and Health Survey did a thoroughly comprehensive nation-wide survey with sample size going into tens of thousands.

Lastly, every single study (no matter what the results) agree on one thing: The fertility rates in Northern Nigeria are higher than Southern parts. Which means that Muslims have more kids than Christians in Nigeria. Keeping this one fact in mind, we can see the reports of a Muslim-majority Nigeria are, in fact, credible and have the backing of data.

For example, a detailed report on fertility done by the researchers of prestigious Princeton University of the U.S reveals that the different between Muslim and Christian fertility has increased over the years---with Muslim women of Nigeria having 2 more kids than their Christian counterparts on average.

http://paa2015.princeton.edu/uploads/151197

Conclusion: After analysis of available data from various organizations and credible sources, it is clear that Islam is going to be majority religion in Nigeria--if it already isn't.

1 Like

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by madridguy(m): 6:49am On Jan 01, 2016
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Annunaki(m): 7:00am On Jan 01, 2016
Your analysis is very flawed because it failed to take into account the conversion rate between both religions and as it is now the rate of conversion from islam to christianity is growing at a phenomenal rate. Even the core north that was once dominated by muslims now have very sizeable ethnic christian populations and even in some communities the christians far out numbering muslims. Infact northern/middle belt states like Kaduna, Plateau, Adamawa, Taraba, Benue that were traditionally muslim are now christian majority states.

7 Likes 3 Shares

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by amtaken(f): 7:01am On Jan 01, 2016
Jesus is the sweetest name I know.

6 Likes

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Annunaki(m): 7:07am On Jan 01, 2016
Another point of note is that in successive censuses, muslims have always vehemently resisted govt including religion in demographic data collected. Could it be that they know it will finally expose the truth that christians out number muslims in Nigeria and that islam is on a fast decline?

4 Likes

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Maamin(m): 7:10am On Jan 01, 2016
grin
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by DebbyChris(f): 7:12am On Jan 01, 2016
Christians are more populated!!! simple!
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Pavore9: 7:22am On Jan 01, 2016
Why have adherents of a particular religion been against adding religion in the data being collected during census? Abeg let sleeping dog lie as we know what the truth is!

2 Likes

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Annunaki(m): 7:23am On Jan 01, 2016
The Pew Forum in a 2010 report compared reports from several sources.[3] The 1963 Nigerian census found that 36% of the population was Christian, 48% Muslim, and 16% other; the 2008 MEASURE Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) found 53% Christian, 45% Muslim, and 2% other; the 2008 Afrobarometer poll found 56% Christian, 43% Muslim, and 1% other

As you can see from the above quote from wikipedia, islam is on the decline in Nigeria cheesy

3 Likes

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Annunaki(m): 7:29am On Jan 01, 2016
Pavore9:
Why have adherents of a particular religion been against adding religion in the data being collected during census? Abeg let sleeping dog lie as we know what the truth is!

We have a census count due for this year 2016, the issue will come up again. Let's hear what the al taquiya experts have to say this time around. grin
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Rilwayne001: 7:40am On Jan 01, 2016
^^Whatever makes you sleep grin

1 Like

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Annunaki(m): 7:45am On Jan 01, 2016
Rilwayne001:
^^Whatever makes you sleep grin

I won't sleep until you renounce islam, reject your fulani slave masters and testify that Jesus Christ is Lord. tongue

1 Like

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by koresma26(m): 7:49am On Jan 01, 2016
See all these one arguing about the most popular religion in nigeria ..you better think religion is scam ...it's a deception

3 Likes

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Rilwayne001: 7:59am On Jan 01, 2016
Annunaki:


I won't sleep until you renounce islam, reject your fulani slave masters and testify that Jesus Christ is Lord. tongue

Hahaha, why smoke weed on this first day of 2016?

You wont sleep until I renounce Islam.. lool, that sound funny though. Just prepare to die of irregular heartbeat.

I don't have any fulani slave masters.

Jesus isn't Lord. He was a man like you and I. tongue

Now drop that weed, its new year, don't you have a new resolution?

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by fedex01: 8:04am On Jan 01, 2016
Annunaki:
Your analysis is very flawed because it failed to take into account the conversion rate between both religions and as it is now the rate of conversion from islam to christianity is growing at a phenomenal rate. Even the core north that was once dominated by muslims now have very sizeable ethnic christian populations and even in some communities the christians far out numbering muslims. Infact northern/middle belt states like Kaduna, Plateau, Adamawa, Taraba, Benue that were traditionally muslim are now christian majority states.

There is no credible data on conversions. If there were indeed massive conversions going on, why would it not show on the Demographic and Health Surveys conducted nation-wide?

As I stated, DHS surveys are the most comprehensive surveys conducted nation-wide to get information regarding various measures (religion being one of them). DHS survey of 2013 clearly shows Muslims to be ~52% of the population in Nigeria from a sample size of tens of thousands nationwide.

Pew report that I posted in the OP does take conversions into account. It clearly states that conversions go both ways and the net impact of conversions is almost neutral.
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Annunaki(m): 8:27am On Jan 01, 2016
fedex01:


There is no credible data on conversions. If there were indeed massive conversions going on, why would it not show on the Demographic and Health Surveys conducted nation-wide?

As I stated, DHS surveys are the most comprehensive surveys conducted nation-wide to get information regarding various measures (religion being one of them). DHS survey of 2013 clearly shows Muslims to be ~52% of the population in Nigeria from a sample size of tens of thousands nationwide.

Pew report that I posted in the OP does take conversions into account. It clearly states that conversions go both ways and the net impact of conversions is almost neutral.

The Pew Forum in a 2010 report compared reports from several sources.[3] The 1963 Nigerian census found that 36% of the population was Christian, 48% Muslim, and 16% other; the 2008 MEASURE Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) found 53% Christian, 45% Muslim, and 2% other; the 2008 Afrobarometer poll found 56% Christian, 43% Muslim, and 1% other
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by gimakon(m): 8:30am On Jan 01, 2016
fedex01:
There's is a lot of confusion regarding the state of religion in Nigeria, Africa's largest nation. I was researching on the topic and was getting different results. Some sources put Christianity as the majority religion (56%-58%) while other sources put Islam ahead with 60% of the population. Majority of the sources do tend to agree that the population of Nigeria is almost equally divided between Christianity and Islam (at 49% to 48% etc).

Amongst all of this, I started doing my own research regarding the future of Nigeria's religious landscape. My thorough research points towards one conclusion. It is be Islam that seems to be the future majority religion of Nigeria.

This year, United States premier demographic organization, PEW research center, released a report regarding the future of religion in the world. They did a thorough study of demographic trends across the world and published their results after 6 years. They looked at demographic surveys, age-structure of different religious groups, fertility rates of individual religious groups, and so on. This was the most detailed demographic report on religion till date.

The results of the report suggests that, when it comes to Nigeria, Islam will become the majority religion in next 20 to 30 years.

By 2050, there would be 230 million Muslims in Nigeria and 154 million Muslims. You can see the results for Nigeria here

http://www.pewforum.org/2015/04/02/religious-projection-table/2050/number/Sub-Saharan_Africa

Read full report here

http://www.pewforum.org/2015/04/02/religious-projections-2010-2050/

This projection is further substantiated by the Nigerian Demographics and Health Survey of 2013 (most latest one) where 51.5 of population is revealed to be Muslims by the survey (page 60)

https://dhsprogram.com/pubs/pdf/FR293/FR293.pdf

It should be noted that there some organizations, such as Afrobarometer, who released their own report in 2013, give the numbers more favorable towards Christians (with 58% Christians and 42% Muslims). Although it should be noted that the sample size for Afrobarometer was 2400 people while Demographic and Health Survey did a thoroughly comprehensive nation-wide survey with sample size going into tens of thousands.

Lastly, every single study (no matter what the results) agree on one thing: The fertility rates in Northern Nigeria are higher than Southern parts. Which means that Muslims have more kids than Christians in Nigeria. Keeping this one fact in mind, we can see the reports of a Muslim-majority Nigeria are, in fact, credible and have the backing of data.

For example, a detailed report on fertility done by the researchers of prestigious Princeton University of the U.S reveals that the different between Muslim and Christian fertility has increased over the years---with Muslim women of Nigeria having 2 more kids than their Christian counterparts on average.

http://paa2015.princeton.edu/uploads/151197

Conclusion: After analysis of available data from various organizations and credible sources, it is clear that Islam is going to be majority religion in Nigeria--if it already isn't.

Kicking to claims of fastest growing religion. When 6million leave islam everyday. Don't be deceived no one is ready to practise islam to the letter when the religion has proof of kill or be killed.

The hate for islam is fast growing. Get your research right.

1 Like

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Annunaki(m): 8:33am On Jan 01, 2016
Religion spatial distribution in Nigeria

North - Predominantly muslim
Middle belt - Predominantly Christian
Southwest - Roughly 50% between both religions
Southeast - Predominantly Christian
Southsouth - Predominantly Christian
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by gimakon(m): 8:35am On Jan 01, 2016
Rilwayne001:


Hahaha, why smoke weed on this first day of 2016?

You wont sleep until I renounce Islam.. lool, that sound funny though. Just prepare to die of irregular heartbeat.

I don't have any fulani slave masters.

Jesus isn't Lord. He was a man like you and I. tongue

Now drop that weed, its new year, don't you have a new resolution?

Then why does Islam see Jesus as the messiah ( Al Masish) Why does the quran speak of Miracles of Jesus and not of mohammed? Did the prophet do any miracles like heal people and the likes? Or does islam speak of these to gain credibility or what? Why them day deceive una like this sef. Plenty things don day come out from this islam o... Which one u day riliwan.

Get your facts right. God loves you, na new year we day so, I wouldn't want to raise voices at you or call you names.

3 Likes

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by fedex01: 8:39am On Jan 01, 2016
Annunaki:


The Pew Forum in a 2010 report compared reports from several sources.[3] The 1963 Nigerian census found that 36% of the population was Christian, 48% Muslim, and 16% other; the 2008 MEASURE Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) found 53% Christian, 45% Muslim, and 2% other; the 2008 Afrobarometer poll found 56% Christian, 43% Muslim, and 1% other

You are quoting Demographic and Health Survey from almost a decade ago.

The most latest Demographic and Health Survey (conducted two years ago) reveals Nigeria's population to be ~52% Muslim.

Moreover, the latest DHS survey was implemented by National Population Commission of Nigeria itself---which is the most credible authority when it comes to demographic. Same authority conducts the census in Nigeria.

From official website of Nigeria's census authority smiley

http://www.population.gov.ng/images/ndhs_data/ndhs_2013/2013_ndhs_key_findings.pdf

"52% of women and 51% of men amongst the respondents described themselves as Muslim"
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by fedex01: 8:43am On Jan 01, 2016
gimakon:


Kicking to claims of fastest growing religion. When 6million leave islam everyday. Don't be deceived no one is ready to practise islam to the letter when the religion has proof of kill or be killed.

The hate for islam is fast growing. Get your research right.

There's no proof of 6 million leaving Islam everyday. That quote by one guy from Al Jazeera is from 2003 and has been widely debunked by scholars from both sides (whether Christian or Muslim--even the neutral, Atheist one's).

See, I have done my thorough research, unlike you and others here.

Stop your dreams and discuss this issue rationally.
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by gimakon(m): 8:50am On Jan 01, 2016
fedex01:


There's no proof of 6 million leaving Islam everyday. That quote by one guy from Al Jazeera is from 2003 and has been widely debunked by scholars from both sides (whether Christian or Muslim--even the neutral, Atheist one's).

See, I have done my thorough research, unlike you and others here.

Stop your dreams and discuss this issue rationally.

Of course there is proof. If you are a peaceful muslim doesn't mean your brothers are.

Read here for there proof

https://muslimstatistics.wordpress.com/2014/11/04/350-million-muslims-are-secretly-living-lives-as-christian-converts/

Even oil rich Kuwait has its princes( one of them) as a muslim turned christian. Na em u come here day talk dreams, in both of us who's dreaming? Your research no day pass wazobia and brila fm...grin if Islam is supernatural why are they getting n banners of bans almost everywhere? Shay na the persecution in the prophecy islam talked about. My brother go and get your facts right, then come back to argue. Read my signature for clear and more clear understanding why islam is diminishing now.

1 Like

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Annunaki(m): 8:55am On Jan 01, 2016
fedex01:


You are quoting Demographic and Health Survey from almost a decade ago.

The most latest Demographic and Health Survey (conducted two years ago) reveals Nigeria's population to be ~52% Muslim.

Moreover, the latest DHS survey was implemented by National Population Commission of Nigeria itself---which is the most credible authority when it comes to demographic. Same authority conducts the census in Nigeria.

From official website of Nigeria's census authority smiley

http://www.population.gov.ng/images/ndhs_data/ndhs_2013/2013_ndhs_key_findings.pdf

"52% of women and 51% of men amongst the respondents described themselves as Muslim"


Al taquiya alert! Your claim on muslim population is not in the link you provided.
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by gimakon(m): 9:00am On Jan 01, 2016
Annunaki:


Al taquiya alert! Your claim on muslim population is not in the link you provided.

When a muslim lies to you, you would doubt your sanity. sad am not surprised either.
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by fedex01: 9:02am On Jan 01, 2016
Annunaki:


Al taquiya alert! Your claim on muslim population is not in the link you provided.

lol, I provided the link AND the page number in my first post (OP).

Go to my OP and go the full report of Demographic and Health Survey..and then go to page 60 and see it for yourself smiley
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by fedex01: 9:04am On Jan 01, 2016
gimakon:


Of course there is proof. If you are a peaceful muslim doesn't mean your brothers are.

Read here for there proof

https://muslimstatistics.wordpress.com/2014/11/04/350-million-muslims-are-secretly-living-lives-as-christian-converts/

Even oil rich Kuwait has its princes( one of them) as a muslim turned christian. Na em u come here day talk dreams, in both of us who's dreaming? Your research no day pass wazobia and brila fm...grin if Islam is supernatural why are they getting n banners of bans almost everywhere? Shay na the persecution in the prophecy islam talked about. My brother go and get your facts right, then come back to argue. Read my signature for clear and more clear understanding why islam is diminishing now.

Bro, do you even read when you post?

The link you post gives no evidence. It just states "We have seen a video which proves that 350 million Muslims are christians now"...Where is that video? No idea. How did that video arrived at that number? No idea.

Everything is a bloody joke. lol..

C'mon, please post proofs as I have been posting
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Annunaki(m): 9:09am On Jan 01, 2016
fedex01:


lol, I provided the link AND the page number in my first post (OP).

Go to my OP and go the full report of Demographic and Health Survey..and then go to page 60 and see it for yourself smiley


The report on the link you provided ends at page 20. It doesn't get to page 60.
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by Annunaki(m): 9:11am On Jan 01, 2016
gimakon:


When a muslim lies to you, you would doubt your sanity. sad am not surprised either.

Of course you know telling lies is a virtue in islam especially when lying to promote islam. It's the sunnah of their fake prophet.
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by gimakon(m): 9:20am On Jan 01, 2016
fedex01:


Bro, do you even read when you post?

The link you post gives no evidence. It just states "We have seen a video which proves that 350 million Muslims are christians now"...Where is that video? No idea. How did that video arrived at that number? No idea.

Everything is a bloody joke. lol..

C'mon, please post proofs as I have been posting


grin No I don't read when I post, because I'm mad na grin

Oga, u don't have anything to say. Go away with your lie of a religion, or let me put it this way, if you claim everything is fables, then islam as the fastest growing religion is fables too.

The ISIS problems your islamic problems caused and are causing is more than. Enough to ruin islam as the fastest growing religion.

Proof 1...
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by guttentag(m): 9:27am On Jan 01, 2016
Lol

1 Like

Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by fedex01: 9:50am On Jan 01, 2016
Annunaki:


The report on the link you provided ends at page 20. It doesn't get to page 60.

lol, bro, I am talking about the link I provided in my first post.

Actually, let me just give the link to you once more...

https://dhsprogram.com/pubs/pdf/FR293/FR293.pdf

This is the complete nation-wide Demographic and Health Survey report implemented by the Nigerian Population Commission (same institute that conducts census).

Go to the page 60 (of PDF) and see it for yourself smiley

51.7% of Nigerian population is Muslim according to this survey conducted just two years ago (and conducted by the highest, most credible authority on demographics in Nigeria. Same authority that conducts census which you so speak off).
Re: The Largest Religion In Nigeria? Islam Or Christianity? Detailed Analysis by fedex01: 9:55am On Jan 01, 2016
gimakon:



grin No I don't read when I post, because I'm mad na grin

Oga, u don't have anything to say. Go away with your lie of a religion, or let me put it this way, if you claim everything is fables, then islam as the fastest growing religion is fables too.

The ISIS problems your islamic problems caused and are causing is more than. Enough to ruin islam as the fastest growing religion.

Proof 1...

Why you keep insulting Islam when I didn't even talk about it once? I just opened a thread about demographics.

Moreover, it were European Christians who r@ped Africa, enslaved it, and forced christianity on peoples. Stop with your high horse. Atleast I don't follow the religion of colonizers.

Moreover, if you truly are a believer of God..then you must study Islam with open mind and understand it with Muslims. Only then you can differentiate falsehood from truth brother. Think about it

1 Like

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