Friends:

I am sorry to be the bearer of bad news, but
I gave it to you straight last summer when I
told you that Donald Trump would be the
Republican nominee for president. And now
I have even more awful, depressing news for
you: Donald J. Trump is going to win in
November. This wretched, ignorant,
dangerous part-time clown and full time
sociopath is going to be our next president.
President Trump. Go ahead and say the
words, ‘cause you’ll be saying them for the
next four years: “PRESIDENT TRUMP.”
Never in my life have I wanted to be proven
wrong more than I do right now.


I can see what you’re doing right now.
You’re shaking your head wildly - “No,
Mike, this won’t happen!” Unfortunately,
you are living in a bubble that comes with
an adjoining echo chamber where you and
your friends are convinced the American
people are not going to elect an idiot for
president. You alternate between being
appalled at him and laughing at him
because of his latest crazy comment or his
embarrassingly narcissistic stance on
everything because everything is about him.
And then you listen to Hillary and you
behold our very first female president,
someone the world respects, someone who
is whip-smart and cares about kids, who
will continue the Obama legacy because
that is what the American people clearly want!
Yes! Four more years of this!


You need to exit that bubble right now. You
need to stop living in denial and face the
truth which you know deep down is very,
very real. Trying to soothe yourself with the
facts - “ 77% of the electorate are women,
people of color, young adults under 35 and
Trump cant win a majority of any of them! “ -
or logic - “ people aren’t going to vote for a
buffoon or against their own best interests! “ -
is your brain’s way of trying to protect you
from trauma. Like when you hear a loud
noise on the street and you think, “oh, a
tire just blew out,” or, “wow, who’s playing
with firecrackers?” because you don’t want
to think you just heard someone being shot
with a gun. It’s the same reason why all the
initial news and eyewitness reports on 9/11
said “a small plane accidentally flew into
the World Trade Center.” We want to - we
need to - hope for the best because, frankly,
life is already a shit show and it’s hard
enough struggling to get by from paycheck
to paycheck. We can’t handle much more
bad news. So our mental state goes to
default when something scary is actually,
truly happening. The first people plowed
down by the truck in Nice spent their final
moments on earth waving at the driver
whom they thought had simply lost control
of his truck, trying to tell him that he
jumped the curb: “Watch out!,” they
shouted. “There are people on the sidewalk!”
Well, folks, this isn’t an accident. It is
happening. And if you believe Hillary
Clinton is going to beat Trump with facts
and smarts and logic, then you obviously
missed the past year of 56 primaries and
caucuses where 16 Republican candidates
tried that and every kitchen sink they could
throw at Trump and nothing could stop his
juggernaut. As of today, as things stand
now, I believe this is going to happen - and
in order to deal with it, I need you first to
acknowledge it, and then maybe, just
maybe, we can find a way out of the mess
we’re in.


Don’t get me wrong. I have great hope for
the country I live in. Things are better. The
left has won the cultural wars. Gays and
lesbians can get married. A majority of
Americans now take the liberal position on
just about every polling question posed to
them: Equal pay for women - check.
Abortion should be legal - check. Stronger
environmental laws - check. More gun
control - check. Legalize marijuana - check.
A huge shift has taken place - just ask the
socialist who won 22 states this year. And
there is no doubt in my mind that if people
could vote from their couch at home on
their X-box or PlayStation, Hillary would
win in a landslide.


But that is not how it works in America.
People have to leave the house and get in
line to vote. And if they live in poor, Black
or Hispanic neighborhoods, they not only
have a longer line to wait in, everything is
being done to literally stop them from
casting a ballot. So in most elections it’s
hard to get even 50% to turn out to vote.
And therein lies the problem for November -
who is going to have the most motivated,
most inspired voters show up to vote? You
know the answer to this question. Who’s the
candidate with the most rabid supporters?
Whose crazed fans are going to be up at 5
AM on Election Day, kicking ass all day
long, all the way until the last polling place
has closed, making sure every Tom, Dick
and Harry (and Bob and Joe and Billy Bob
and Billy Joe and Billy Bob Joe) has cast
his ballot? That’s right. That’s the high
level of danger we’re in. And don’t fool
yourself — no amount of compelling Hillary
TV ads, or outfacting him in the debates or
Libertarians siphoning votes away from
Trump is going to stop his mojo


1. Midwest Math, or Welcome to Our Rust
Belt Brexit. I believe Trump is going to
focus much of his attention on the four
blue states in the rustbelt of the upper
Great Lakes - Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania
and Wisconsin. Four traditionally
Democratic states - but each of them have
elected a Republican governor since 2010
(only Pennsylvania has now finally elected
a Democrat). In the Michigan primary in
March, more Michiganders came out to
vote for the Republicans (1.32 million) that
the Democrats (1.19 million). Trump is
ahead of Hillary in the latest polls in
Pennsylvania and tied with her in Ohio.
Tied? How can the race be this close after
everything Trump has said and done? Well
maybe it’s because he’s said (correctly)
that the Clintons’ support of NAFTA helped
to destroy the industrial states of the Upper
Midwest. Trump is going to hammer
Clinton on this and her support of TPP and
other trade policies that have royally
screwed the people of these four states.
When Trump stood in the shadow of a Ford
Motor factory during the Michigan primary,
he threatened the corporation that if they
did indeed go ahead with their planned
closure of that factory and move it to
Mexico, he would slap a 35% tariff on any
Mexican-built cars shipped back to the
United States. It was sweet, sweet music to
the ears of the working class of Michigan,
and when he tossed in his threat to Apple
that he would force them to stop making
their iPhones in China and build them here
in America, well, hearts swooned and
Trump walked away with a big victory that
should have gone to the governor next-
door, John Kasich.

From Green Bay to Pittsburgh, this, my
friends, is the middle of England - broken,
depressed, struggling, the smokestacks
strewn across the countryside with the
carcass of what we use to call the Middle
Class. Angry, embittered working (and
nonworking) people who were lied to by the
trickle-down of Reagan and abandoned by
Democrats who still try to talk a good line
but are really just looking forward to rub
one out with a lobbyist from Goldman
Sachs who’ll write them nice big check
before leaving the room. What happened in
the UK with Brexit is going to happen here.
Elmer Gantry shows up looking like Boris
Johnson and just says whatever shit he can
make up to convince the masses that this is
their chance! To stick to ALL of them, all who
wrecked their American Dream! And now The
Outsider, Donald Trump, has arrived to clean
house! You don’t have to agree with him! You
don’t even have to like him! He is your
personal Molotov cocktail to throw right into
the center of the bastards who did this to you!

SEND A MESSAGE!
TRUMP IS YOUR MESSENGER!

And this is where the math comes in. In
2012, Mitt Romney lost by 64 electoral
votes. Add up the electoral votes cast by
Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania and
Wisconsin. It’s 64. All Trump needs to do
to win is to carry, as he’s expected to do,
the swath of traditional red states from
Idaho to Georgia (states that’ll never vote
for Hillary Clinton), and then he just needs
these four rust belt states. He doesn’t need
Florida. He doesn’t need Colorado or
Virginia. Just Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania
and Wisconsin. And that will put him over
the top. This is how it will happen in
November.

2. The Last Stand of the Angry White Man . Our male-dominated, 240-year run of the USA is coming to an end. A woman is about to take over! How did this happen?! On our watch! There were warning signs, but we ignored them. Nixon, the gender traitor, imposing Title IX on us, the rule that said girls in school should get an equal chance at playing sports. Then they let them fly commercial jets. Before we knew it, Beyoncé stormed on the field at this year’s Super Bowl (our game!) with an army of Black Women, fists raised, declaring that our domination was hereby terminated! Oh, the humanity! That’s a small peek into the mind of the Endangered White Male. There is a sense that the power has slipped out of their hands, that their way of doing things is no longer how things are done. This monster, the “Feminazi,”the thing that as Trump says, “bleeds through her eyes or wherever she bleeds,” has conquered us — and now, after having had to endure eight years of a black man telling us what to do, we’re supposed to just sit back and take eight years of a woman bossing us around? After that it’ll be eight years of the gays in the White House! Then the transgenders! You can see where this is going. By then animals will have been granted human rights and a fuckin’ hamster is going to be running the country. This has to stop!

3. The Hillary Problem. Can we speak honestly, just among ourselves? And before we do, let me state, I actually like Hillary - a lot - and I think she has been given a bad rap she doesn’t deserve. But her vote for the Iraq War made me promise her that I would never vote for her again. To date, I haven’t broken that promise. For the sake of preventing a proto-fascist from becoming our commander-in-chief, I’m breaking that promise. I sadly believe Clinton will find a way to get us in some kind of military action. She’s a hawk, to the right of Obama. But Trump’s psycho finger will be on The Button, and that is that. Done and done. Let’s face it: Our biggest problem here isn’t Trump - it’s Hillary. She is hugely unpopular — nearly 70% of all voters think she is untrustworthy and dishonest. She represents the old way of politics, not really believing in anything other than what can get you elected. That’s why she fights against gays getting married one moment, and the next she’s officiating a gay marriage. Young women are among her biggest detractors, which has to hurt considering it’s the sacrifices and the battles that Hillary and other women of her generation endured so that this younger generation would never have to be told by the Barbara Bushes of the world that they should just shut up and go bake some cookies. But the kids don’t like her, and not a day goes by that a millennial doesn’t tell me they aren’t voting for her. No Democrat, and certainly no independent, is waking up on November 8th excited to run out and vote for Hillary the way they did the day Obama became president or when Bernie was on the primary ballot. The enthusiasm just isn’t there. And because this election is going to come down to just one thing — who drags the most people out of the house and gets them to the polls — Trump right now is in the catbird seat.

4. The Depressed Sanders Vote . Stop
fretting about Bernie’s supporters not
voting for Clinton - we’re voting for Clinton!
The polls already show that more Sanders
voters will vote for Hillary this year than
the number of Hillary primary voters in ‘08
who then voted for Obama. This is not the
problem. The fire alarm that should be
going off is that while the average Bernie
backer will drag him/herself to the polls
that day to somewhat reluctantly vote for
Hillary, it will be what’s called a “depressed
vote” - meaning the voter doesn’t bring five
people to vote with her. He doesn’t
volunteer 10 hours in the month leading up
to the election. She never talks in an
excited voice when asked why she’s voting
for Hillary. A depressed voter. Because,
when you’re young, you have zero tolerance
for phonies and BS. Returning to the
Clinton/Bush era for them is like suddenly
having to pay for music, or using MySpace
or carrying around one of those big-ass
portable phones. They’re not going to vote
for Trump; some will vote third party, but
many will just stay home. Hillary Clinton is
going to have to do something to give them
a reason to support her — and picking a
moderate, bland-o, middle of the road old
white guy as her running mate is not the
kind of edgy move that tells millenials that
their vote is important to Hillary. Having
two women on the ticket - that was an
exciting idea. But then Hillary got scared
and has decided to play it safe. This is just
one example of how she is killing the youth
vote.

5. The Jesse Ventura Effect. Finally, do not discount the electorate’s ability to be mischievous or underestimate how any millions fancy themselves as closet anarchists once they draw the curtain and are all alone in the voting booth. It’s one of the few places left in society where there are no security cameras, no listening devices, no spouses, no kids, no boss, no cops, there’s not even a friggin’ time limit. You can take as long as you need in there and no one can make you do anything. You can push the button and vote a straight party line, or you can write in Mickey Mouse and Donald Duck. There are no rules. And because of that, and the anger that so many have toward a broken political system, millions are going to vote for Trump not because they agree with him, not because they like his bigotry or ego, but just because they can. Just because it will upset the apple cart and make mommy and daddy mad. And in the same way like when you’re standing on the edge of Niagara Falls and your mind wonders for a moment what would that feel like to go over that thing, a lot of people are going to love being in the position of puppetmaster and plunking down for Trump just to see what that might look like. Remember back in the ‘90s when the people of Minnesota elected a professional wrestler as their governor? They didn’t do this because they’re stupid or thought that Jesse Ventura was some sort of statesman or political intellectual. They did so just because they could. Minnesota is one of the smartest states in the country. It is also filled with people who have a dark sense of humor — and voting for Ventura was their version of a good practical joke on a sick political system. This is going to happen again with Trump. Coming back to the hotel after appearing on Bill Maher’s Republican Convention special this week on HBO, a man stopped me. “Mike,” he said, “we have to vote for Trump. We HAVE to shake things up.” That was it. That was enough for him. To “shake things up.” President Trump would indeed do just that, and a good chunk of the electorate would like to sit in the bleachers and watch that reality show. (Next week I will post my thoughts on Trump’s Achilles Heel and how I think he can be beat.) ALSO: http://www.alternet.org/ election-2016/michael-moores-5-reasons- why-trump-will-win Yours, Michael Moore

http://www.huffpost.com/us/entry/11156794

Where's my money-doubling priend - Lucasbalo & that Hezbollah's most wanted Jewish clown - ValerianSteel ?

Zoharariel:
Where's my money-doubling priend - Lucasbalo & that Hezbollah's most wanted Jewish clown - ValerianSteel ?

We don't do stupid in America

I'll LOL at this post.Dream on.

ValerianSteel:
We don't do stupid in America

I'll LOL at this post.Dream on.

You are absolutely right. No need answering fools that don't know diddly square about America .

Lucasbalo:
You are absolutely right. No need answering fools that don't know diddly square about America .

If these morons know history well,they'll understand Trump is a reincarnation of the likes of Goldwater who lost badly on a landslide victory for Johnson(Zohri,you might wanna Google that).Goes to show there was no room for people like that 50years ago,there's absolutely none for them this year.We will prove at the polls that Love trumps Hate.

ValerianSteel:
If these morons know history well,they'll understand Trump is a reincarnation of the likes of Goldwater who lost badly on a landslide victory for Johnson(Zohri,you might wanna Google that).Goes to show there was no room for people like that 50years ago,there's absolutely none for them this year.We will prove at the polls that Love trumps Hate.

The Trampy one is even worse than Barry Goldwater in the sense that Goldwater was a believer in conservatism unlike the bigoted demagogue. The Bozo clowns supporting Mr Racist don't know how things work in US. We will put them out of their miseries on November 8 when tens of millions of Americans will vote to make Hillary Clinton the President Elect.

the prediction was accurate.

Joel3 have been vindicated...