Welcome, Guest: Join Nairaland / LOGIN! / Trending / Recent / New
Stats: 2,481,965 members, 5,619,158 topics. Date: Tuesday, 26 May 2020 at 01:19 PM

How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided - Politics - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum / Nairaland / General / Politics / How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided (7234 Views)

INEC Announces Dates For 2019 General Elections / 10 Suits Seeking Buhari’s Disqualification To Be Decided On March 24 / 5 States Where The General Elections Might Be Tough / Bloody (2) (3) (4)

(1) (2) (3) (4) (Reply) (Go Down)

How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Shubbylee(m): 11:43am On Mar 03, 2015
HERE ARE SOME VITAL STATS YOU SHOULD NOTE :

NUMBER OF PVCs PER GEOPOLITICAL ZONE
SOUTHWEST - 13,731,090
SOUTHEAST - 7,665,859
SOUTHSOUTH - 10,059,347
NORTHWEST - 17,620,436
NORTHEAST - 9,107,861
NORTHCENTRAL - 9,767,411
FCT ABUJA - 903,613


PREDICTED VOTE WINNING PERCENTAGES

SOUTHWEST - GMB 65%, GEJ 35%
SOUTHEAST - GMB 20%, GEJ 80%
SOUTHSOUTH - GMB 20%, GEJ 80%
NORTHWEST - GMB 90%, GEJ 10%
NORTHCENTRAL - GMB 60%, GEJ 40%
NORTHEAST - GMB 70%, GEJ 30%
FCT - GMB 40%, GEJ 60%
LOOK AT THESE FIGURES AND DO THE MATHS AND TELL
ME HOW GEJ WOULD WIN THIS ELECTION WITHOUT
RIGGING OR USING SOLDIERS TO INTIMIDATE/
DISENFRANCHISE VOTERS IN ZONES WHERE HE IS LESS
FAVOURED!!
EVEN THOUGH THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHSOUTH
(WHICH ARE HIS STRONGHOLDS) GIVE HIM 95% EACH, HE
STILL CAN'T WIN IF IT IS FREE AND FAIR. LET PDP KEEP
DOING RIDICULOUS DOCUMENTARIES AND WISHING
PEOPLE DEAD....MARCH 28 IS COMIMG!! CHANGE IS
COMING!! PDP IS ALREADY BEHAVING LIKE THE OPPOSITION!!
LET'S JUST HOPE AND PRAY FOR A FREE, FAIR, CREDIBLE AND VIOLENCE FREE POLLS!!
SAI BUHARI!! LONG LIVE NIGERIA!!
OYA PDP and GEJ family and friends come and attack me
for saying the truth!!

36 Likes 1 Share

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by selectedhero(m): 11:50am On Mar 03, 2015
Shubbylee:
HERE ARE SOME VITAL STATS YOU SHOULD NOTE :

NUMBER OF PVCs PER GEOPOLITICAL ZONE
SOUTHWEST - 13,731,090
SOUTHEAST - 7,665,859
SOUTHSOUTH - 10,059,347
NORTHWEST - 17,620,436
NORTHEAST - 9,107,861
NORTHCENTRAL - 9,767,411
FCT ABUJA - 903,613


PREDICTED VOTE WINNING PERCENTAGES

SOUTHWEST - GMB 65%, GEJ 35%
SOUTHEAST - GMB 20%, GEJ 80%
SOUTHSOUTH - GMB 20%, GEJ 80%
NORTHWEST - GMB 90%, GEJ 10%
NORTHCENTRAL - GMB 60%, GEJ 40%
NORTHEAST - GMB 70%, GEJ 30%
FCT - GMB 40%, GEJ 60%
LOOK AT THESE FIGURES AND DO THE MATHS AND TELL
ME HOW GEJ WOULD WIN THIS ELECTION WITHOUT
RIGGING OR USING SOLDIERS TO INTIMIDATE/
DISENFRANCHISE VOTERS IN ZONES WHERE HE IS LESS
FAVOURED!!
EVEN THOUGH THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHSOUTH
(WHICH ARE HIS STRONGHOLDS) GIVE HIM 95% EACH, HE
STILL CAN'T WIN IF IT IS FREE AND FAIR. LET PDP KEEP
DOING RIDICULOUS DOCUMENTARIES AND WISHING
PEOPLE DEAD....MARCH 28 IS COMIMG!! CHANGE IS
COMING!! PDP IS ALREADY BEHAVING LIKE THE OPPOSITION!!
LET'S JUST HOPE AND PRAY FOR A FREE, FAIR, CREDIBLE AND VIOLENCE FREE POLLS!!
SAI BUHARI!! LONG LIVE NIGERIA!!
OYA PDP and GEJ family and friends come and attack me
for saying the truth!!

SO ALL THIS STATISTICS JUST TO MAKE A STUPID POINT. IF EVER YOU WERE A STATISTICS STUDENT THEN I IMPLORE YOU TO RETURN TO YEAR ONE COS YOU WEREN'T WELL THOUGHT.

18 Likes 1 Share

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by picaso77: 11:54am On Mar 03, 2015
don't worry they will son be around

2 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by prelomo: 11:56am On Mar 03, 2015
selectedhero:


SO ALL THIS STATISTICS JUST TO MAKE A STUPID POINT. IF EVER YOU WERE A STATISTICS STUDENT THEN I IMPLORE YOU TO RETURN TO YEAR ONE COS YOU WEREN'T WELL THOUGHT.

His Statistic is correct

24 Likes 1 Share

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Shubbylee(m): 12:02pm On Mar 03, 2015
selectedhero:


SO ALL THIS STATISTICS JUST TO MAKE A STUPID POINT. IF EVER YOU WERE A STATISTICS STUDENT THEN I IMPLORE YOU TO RETURN TO YEAR ONE COS YOU WEREN'T WELL THOUGHT.

LOL!! which of the figures do u disagree with sir? Attack the issues don't attack the person!! let's discuss like men!! grin

20 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Scholes007(m): 12:13pm On Mar 03, 2015
Shubbylee:
HERE ARE SOME VITAL STATS YOU SHOULD NOTE :

NUMBER OF PVCs PER GEOPOLITICAL ZONE
SOUTHWEST - 13,731,090
SOUTHEAST - 7,665,859
SOUTHSOUTH - 10,059,347
NORTHWEST - 17,620,436
NORTHEAST - 9,107,861
NORTHCENTRAL - 9,767,411
FCT ABUJA - 903,613


PREDICTED VOTE WINNING PERCENTAGES

SOUTHWEST - GMB 65%, GEJ 35%
SOUTHEAST - GMB 20%, GEJ 80%
SOUTHSOUTH - GMB 20%, GEJ 80%
NORTHWEST - GMB 90%, GEJ 10%
NORTHCENTRAL - GMB 60%, GEJ 40%
NORTHEAST - GMB 70%, GEJ 30%
FCT - GMB 40%, GEJ 60%
LOOK AT THESE FIGURES AND DO THE MATHS AND TELL
ME HOW GEJ WOULD WIN THIS ELECTION WITHOUT
RIGGING OR USING SOLDIERS TO INTIMIDATE/
DISENFRANCHISE VOTERS IN ZONES WHERE HE IS LESS
FAVOURED!!
EVEN THOUGH THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTHSOUTH
(WHICH ARE HIS STRONGHOLDS) GIVE HIM 95% EACH, HE
STILL CAN'T WIN IF IT IS FREE AND FAIR. LET PDP KEEP
DOING RIDICULOUS DOCUMENTARIES AND WISHING
PEOPLE DEAD....MARCH 28 IS COMIMG!! CHANGE IS
COMING!! PDP IS ALREADY BEHAVING LIKE THE OPPOSITION!!
LET'S JUST HOPE AND PRAY FOR A FREE, FAIR, CREDIBLE AND VIOLENCE FREE POLLS!!
SAI BUHARI!! LONG LIVE NIGERIA!!
OYA PDP and GEJ family and friends come and attack me
for saying the truth!!
GMB winning southwest and northcentral? Hahaha you must be high on some opium

14 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Shubbylee(m): 12:20pm On Mar 03, 2015
Scholes007:
GMB winning southwest and northcentral? Hahaha you must be high on some opium

Oh so u think Jonathan would win any Zone in the North? and u think he's going to win the South-west!! LMAOOOOO!! u're very funny sir!! ur comment just made my day!!

25 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Scholes007(m): 12:37pm On Mar 03, 2015
Shubbylee:


Oh so u think Jonathan would win any Zone in the North? and u think he's going to win the South-west!! LMAOOOOO!! u're very funny sir!! ur comment just made my day!!
my friend GEJ will win states like benue,kogi,kwara,nassarawa and plateau...as for SW keep living your world of illusion until it clears from you eye...without doubts GEJ will take south west forget about the noice online#QUOTE ME AFTER MARCH 28*

7 Likes 1 Share

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by minifuworld: 12:44pm On Mar 03, 2015
bros abeg no let jonathan see dis statistics o because he may colapse

8 Likes 1 Share

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Shubbylee(m): 12:51pm On Mar 03, 2015
Scholes007:
my friend GEJ will win states like benue,kogi,kwara,nassarawa and plateau...as for SW keep living your world of illusion until it clears from you eye...without doubts GEJ will take south west forget about the noice online#QUOTE ME AFTER MARCH 28*

GEJ would win Kogi ? it would be very tight but let me say YES, Benue YES, Plateau YES!! Nassarawa? if I hear!! Kwara? Don't make me laff!! Niger state is 90% APC....even the current Governor though he's in PDP is supporting Buhari!! the Population of Kwara, Niger and Nassarawa outweighs Kogi, Benue and plateau!! that's why I put it GMB 60%, GEJ 40%!!

About the South West just forget it, the only States he might win is Ekiti and Ondo which are the least populated!! he would also get d votes of Ibos and SS pple living in the southwest that's why I put GEJ at 35%!!

Trust me I'm very Objective and I took my time to do this research!!

27 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Scholes007(m): 1:18pm On Mar 03, 2015
Shubbylee:


GEJ would win Kogi ? it would be very tight but let me say YES, Benue YES, Plateau YES!! Nassarawa? if I hear!! Kwara? Don't make me laff!! Niger state is 90% APC....even the current Governor though he's in PDP is supporting Buhari!! the Population of Kwara, Niger and Nassarawa outweighs Kogi, Benue and plateau!! that's why I put it GMB 60%, GEJ 40%!!

About the South West just forget it, the only States he might win is Ekiti and Ondo which are the least populated!! he would also get d votes of Ibos and SS pple living in the southwest that's why I put GEJ at 35%!!

Trust me I'm very Objective and I took my time to do this research!!
ok i said lets wait and see... Yorubas vote buhari in block? Wow i jst dont need to say much... All i can tell you is wait and see how GEJ clear sw though not with much wide margin as that of 2011as for NC i cant say much

2 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by onojiwizardgmailcom(m): 1:30pm On Mar 03, 2015
From your statistics above I will think GEJ does not loss, because he only failed to get 25% in one region. while GMB failed in two regions, I think by law that will mean a run-up election in the making. though I dont agree with some of your stats. pls educate me I am just thinking?

1 Like

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Shubbylee(m): 2:10pm On Mar 03, 2015
Scholes007:
ok i said lets wait and see... Yorubas vote buhari in block? Wow i jst dont need to say much... All i can tell you is wait and see how GEJ clear sw though not with much wide margin as that of 2011as for NC i cant say much

May God cause u to laff as u av made me laff today in Jesus name!! there's nothing to wait and see, the writing is on the wall!!

4 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Shubbylee(m): 2:16pm On Mar 03, 2015
onojiwizardgmailcom:
From your statistics above I will think GEJ does not loss, because he only failed to get 25% in one region. while GMB failed in two regions, I think by law that will mean a run-up election in the making. though I dont agree with some of your stats. pls educate me I am just thinking?


the 25% needed is not done by regions, it is done by states (i.e the winner must win 25% of d votes in 24 states) there are 19 in the North and 6 in the southwest plus He's going to win in Edo that gives Buhari the needed 2/3 of the states!! understand?

3 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by drtwist(m): 2:24pm On Mar 03, 2015
.
Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by anepete: 2:30pm On Mar 03, 2015
I am a kogite like. I want to tell u categorically that Buhari cannot win 5% kogite vote

3 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by change9ja(f): 2:38pm On Mar 03, 2015
Scholes007:
GMB winning southwest and northcentral? Hahaha you must be high on some opium
y won't he win der

1 Like

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by change9ja(f): 2:39pm On Mar 03, 2015
anepete:
I am a kogite like. I want to tell u categorically that Buhari cannot win 5% kogite vote
I amba kogite too GMb would sweep 95%:kogite vote

15 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by WisdomFlakes: 2:43pm On Mar 03, 2015
Scholes007:
my friend GEJ will win states like benue,kogi,kwara,nassarawa and plateau...as for SW keep living your world of illusion until it clears from you eye...without doubts GEJ will take south west forget about the noice online#QUOTE ME AFTER MARCH 28*

Whoever lied to you that GEJ will win SW has scammed you. Seriously, jokes apart. But then again you could be referring to South West London cheesy

18 Likes 1 Share

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by kokoA(m): 3:00pm On Mar 03, 2015
Scholes007:
my friend GEJ will win states like benue,kogi,kwara,nassarawa and plateau...as for SW keep living your world of illusion until it clears from you eye...without doubts GEJ will take south west forget about the noice online#QUOTE ME AFTER MARCH 28*
in your dreams.. GEJ will lose Kwara, Nasarawa and Niger woefully.. Benue, Plateau and Kogi are the only states he may win in this region with slight margin.

5 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by kokoA(m): 3:08pm On Mar 03, 2015
onojiwizardgmailcom:
From your statistics above I will think GEJ does not loss, because he only failed to get 25% in one region. while GMB failed in two regions, I think by law that will mean a run-up election in the making. though I dont agree with some of your stats. pls educate me I am just thinking?
25percent is needed in atleast 24 states including those the candidate wins. GMB will surely get 25percent from 19northern states and 6 south western states i.e 25percent in 25 states excluding the 25percents that will be delivered by Amaechi, Oshiomole and Okorocha in Rivers, Edo and Imo respectively, bringing the total number of states GMB may get 25percent to 28 states.. If the election is free and fair, my brother, GEJ needs morethan a miracle to remain in aso rock.

8 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Blackfire(m): 4:16pm On Mar 03, 2015
that jona will not win 60% of SW is a joke. Atleast from Oyo,lagos,ekiti,ondo

2 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Reski(m): 4:53pm On Mar 03, 2015
Scholes007:
ok i said lets wait and see... Yorubas vote buhari in block? Wow i jst dont need to say much... All i can tell you is wait and see how GEJ clear sw though not with much wide margin as that of 2011as for NC i cant say much
please tell us how that is mathematically possible without massive rigging. With the opposition controlling 4 out of six states including the second state with highest number of possible voter's after Kano. Have you ever really sat down to ponder why the election was postponed and why Gej is running from pillar to post to end the insurgency at thesame time trying to commision all sorts of power and railway projects all in a bid to win back some sympathy votes from Nigerians.
Its simple the situation right now looks very bleak for camp Gej and the pdp with buhari in near total control of nothern votes and ever present danger of a trashing in the southwest. The permutations are not just in favour of team Gej and they know it except for some few missinformed gullible supporter's thinking votes from Gej's strong holds of the south east and south south that are barely up to that of opposition strong holds of just kano and Lagos will keep Him in power.

10 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Shubbylee(m): 5:05pm On Mar 03, 2015
Blackfire:
that jona will not win 60% of SW is a joke. Atleast from Oyo,lagos,ekiti,ondo

Bros!! u and Bovi I no know who funny pass!! LMAOOOO!!

1 Like

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by MrEverest(m): 6:51pm On Mar 03, 2015
Shubbylee:



the 25% needed is not done by regions, it is done by states (i.e the winner must win 25% of d votes in 24 states) there are 19 in the North and 6 in the southwest plus He's going to win in Edo that gives Buhari the needed 2/3 of the states!! understand?
Your analysis is not only biased but farfetched & unrealistic! So you believe Buhari will win the 19 northern states as well as the 6 S.west states?? If you think that Buhari will win states like Plateau, Taraba, Kogi, Benue et al in the north & states like Lagos, Ondo & Ekiti in the S.west or any state in S.south & S.east then you are delusional. I don't see Buhari wining the election, even if its very free & fair!!

2 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Shubbylee(m): 7:19pm On Mar 03, 2015
MrEverest:
Your analysis is not biased but farfetched & unrealistic! So you believe Buhari will win the 19 northern states as well as the 6 S.west states?? If you think that Buhari will win states like Plateau, Taraba, Kogi, Benue et al in the north & states like Lagos, Ondo & Ekiti in the S.west or any state in S.south & S.east then you are delusional. I don't see Buhari wining the election, even if its very free & fair!!


I didn't say Buhari would win all 19 Northern states, I meant he would get at least 25% of all votes cast in the 19nothern states and 6southwestern States to avoid a runoff!! Pls don't insult me, if you don't understand what I said ask for clarification, GEJ win Lagos?LOL!! Taraba? oh please!! I also didn't say Buhari would win any state in the Southeast or SouthSouth!! Calm down and read my comments well b4 u jump into conclusions, if you don't understand the stats, ask others that know better and stop exhibiting ur ignorance.

9 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by MrEverest(m): 7:53pm On Mar 03, 2015
change9ja:
I amba kogite too GMb would sweep 95%:kogite vote
You are not from Kogi state! If you are, then tell me your tribe, village & LGA?

3 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by MrEverest(m): 8:15pm On Mar 03, 2015
Shubbylee:



I didn't say Buhari would win all 19 Northern states, I meant he would get at least 25% of all votes cast in the 19nothern states and 6southwestern States to avoid a runoff!! Pls don't insult me, if you don't understand what I said ask for clarification, GEJ win Lagos?LOL!! Taraba? oh please!! I also didn't say Buhari would win any state in the Southeast or SouthSouth!! Calm down and read my comments well b4 u jump into conclusions, if you don't understand the stats, ask others that know better and stop exhibiting ur ignorance.
Dude you are certainly the ignorant one. Mark my word, Buhari will not win any state in the north with majority Christian population, Buhari will not win Lagos state, fact is that majority of Igbos & people from s.south & middle belt resident in Lagos will vote for GEJ while Yoruba votes will be divided between those who believe that GEJ performed(the enlightened ones) & those who will vote for Buhari basically because Osinbajo is his vice(the sentimental/tribalistic ones). A poll that was conducted recently showed that many Nigerians are still undecided on whom to vote for but the recent gains against boko haram & controversies surrounding Buhari's health has tilted the bulk of these people towards GEJ. People talking about Gbagbo situation in Nigeria are living in a fools paradise, GEJ cannot be disgraced or forced out of office & Nigeria will still remain one, that will ultimately lead to the violent disintegration of Nigeria. This is not 1967 when Igbos were isolated & attacked by all Nigerians, the current alliance between S.east & S.south has never been this cosy & the divide & conquer tactics will not work again!

3 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Shubbylee(m): 8:20pm On Mar 03, 2015
MrEverest:
Dude you are certainly the ignorant one. Mark my word, Buhari will not win any state in the north with majority Christian population, Buhari will not win Lagos state, fact is that majority of Igbos & people from s.south & middle belt resident in Lagos will vote for GEJ while Yoruba votes will be divided between those who believe that GEJ performed(the enlightened ones) & those who will vote for Buhari basically because Osinbajo is his vice(the sentimental/tribalistic ones). A poll that was conducted recently showed that many Nigerians are still undecided on whom to vote for but the recent gains against boko haram & controversies surrounding Buhari's health has tilted the bulk of these people towards GEJ. People talking about Gbagbo situation in Nigeria are living in a fools paradise, GEJ cannot be disgraced or forced out of office & Nigeria will still remain one, that will ultimately lead to the violent disintegration of Nigeria. This is not 1967 when Igbos were isolated & attacked by all Nigerians, the current alliance between S.east & S.south has never been this cosy & the divide & conquer tactics will not work again!

K!

4 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Gogetta(m): 8:21pm On Mar 03, 2015
anepete:
I am a kogite like. I want to tell u categorically that Buhari cannot win 5% kogite vote
you're not a kogite. Sorry to say.

4 Likes

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Nobody: 8:30pm On Mar 03, 2015
GEJ will win SE, SS, SW & NC

PDP will even win Imo, Edo, Rivers and Lagos

after the election 2019 ambition will lead to some NW and NE Governors decamping to PDP

This will be the beginning of the end for APC. They will need at least 2 more election cycles to recover

1 Like

Re: How The General Elections Are Going To Be Decided by Revolution: 8:37pm On Mar 03, 2015
selectedhero:


SO ALL THIS STATISTICS JUST TO MAKE A STUPID POINT. IF EVER YOU WERE A STATISTICS STUDENT THEN I IMPLORE YOU TO RETURN TO YEAR ONE COS YOU WEREN'T WELL THOUGHT.

Pot calling kettle black. In that case you should return to primary school to repeat your english classes and learn the difference between taught and thought.

1 Like

(1) (2) (3) (4) (Reply)

The South Failed Jonathan / PDP To Hold Fresh Convention August 17 / Adamawa Rerun Results

(Go Up)

Sections: politics (1) business autos (1) jobs (1) career education (1) romance computers phones travel sports fashion health
religion celebs tv-movies music-radio literature webmasters programming techmarket

Links: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)

Nairaland - Copyright © 2005 - 2020 Oluwaseun Osewa. All rights reserved. See How To Advertise. 159
Disclaimer: Every Nairaland member is solely responsible for anything that he/she posts or uploads on Nairaland.