three:
Seun I believe you are willing to stand by the information in this thread. If not I will kindly advise that you have this deleted immediately.

Cc Lalsticlala, deomelo, Mynd44, naptu2

Igbokid:
I just read the report. It's not particularly different from what a sane and rational mind expects to happen in 2days time.
I'm particularly sad about the hopelessness that pervades our land. A lot of my fellow country men and women have actually lost hope in the country.
Imagine the high percentage of the respondents that believed that nothing will change in the country.
I can't wait to get my Mbbs degree in a couple of months and take the next available flight out of the country.

Be that as it may, we must all ensure that we allow the elections to go peacefully. We must eschew violence and bitterness. The winners should be magnanimous in victory and the losers accept their loss in the good spirit of sportsmanship.

May our land flow with peace and prosperity. I also pray that the almighty return hope to the hopeless amongst us. Amen !!!!

Integrafamoo:
It looks real but the preamble keeps me thinking. "0.87% error at 95% CL & 0.99% ci". 99.13% precision is not feasible and a confidence Interval at 99% with such a sample size. That's a threat to its external validity. This could be conjectured by a lay man with little knowledge of statistics who is trying to impress. Kabo and Kaduna may be a fallout. Anyway with the figures relatively close, Atiku may take a lead due to the recent happenings particularly Ogun state scenerio and attack on borno state gov which may trigger a rethink. Vote buying may also change some people's decisions. May the better candidate win.

winnerz:
This report is not false, and I was one of those who participated in the online polls, I am familiar with all the questions asked in the questionnaire that reflected in the report.
I am one of those that answered never to vote for Mr. Atiku.
For your information, the questions where extensively exhausted and narrowed down. For example, if you answer to vote APC candidate - Buhari, the question would be raised again in subsequent surveys whether you changed your mind about it.
In a nut shell, the report is real and Buhari is winning the election and Atiku, Obasanjo and Saraki will be retired from partisan politics.

TAO11:


I get your point.

But your reply here already assumes there was a consultant-client relationship between them in the first place; which is what is really to be proven.

However, you will notice that I've taken down my reply and the attached twitter screenshot from "Ballard Partners", not because I later "found" that there was indeed a consultant-client relationship; but because I later thought (with a very good reason) that the twitter post is most likely a damage control stunt from the PDP, especially considering the fact that the supposed Ballard Partners twitter account is not verified, which is a clear red-flag indicating that the twitter "clarification" was extremely unlikely to have come from Ballard Partners.

dokie:
There is really no need to keep up with these permutation because the elections are 2 days away.

However, if this is a true report and anyone paid these guys to work for them, then they should ask for a refund. You can imagine Buhari winning Imo and Akwa IBM states. I'm sure Buhari himself is only looking to get some sizeble votes there.

Consultants have a way of doing nothing and making you believe theyve done so much, by churning out beautifully colored charts.

My own prediction is very simple: if Atiku gets 40% of votes cast in Kano and 45% of votes cast in Lagos, Buhari is in Daura. The difference in the SS/SE will make up for the lead Buhari will have in other states with extra to win the elections.

Iblad0994:
I read the full page of the report. It was a nice research although the sample size is too small considering the size of the registered voters. But he was able to infer from the sample the present situation of things and with a good summary of the actual findings.

This is what I’ve been telling people, Atiku don’t have the actual numbers to defeat Buhari considering the loyalty of voters in the NW region to Buhari and the not too shaky momentum of Buhari in the North Central.

Online polls always conducted by PDP sympathizers do not actually reflect the situation of things in real voting as seen in the previous elections conducted during 2016-2018 (i.e. Osun, Ekiti, Kwara, Katsina, Kogi e.t.c.)

If this findings really originated from the true source and not a mere conjecture, then Atiku should lose hope in winning. Although the finding is complex and the author illustrated using the international best practice to convince me that it’s actually complied by a professional.

Saturday 16th will judge everything, let’s just keep our fingers crossed till then.

God bless Nigeria.

deomelo:




Another projection in favor of @SAIBABA

SillyMods:

This one is too generous to Atiku/PDP.

I can bet anything on it that Buhari will win easily in Kwara. He has a better chance than Atiku in Adamawa too.

I don't see Atiku winning 5 states in the NC at all. His best bet will be 3 states of Benue, Nassarawa and perhaps Kogi/Plateau.

Buhari will win Kwara,Niger, Kogi and/or Plateau

Iblad0994:
I read the full page of the report. It was a nice research although the sample size is too small considering the size of the registered voters. But he was able to infer from the sample the present situation of things and with a good summary of the actual findings.

This is what I’ve been telling people, Atiku don’t have the actual numbers to defeat Buhari considering the loyalty of voters in the NW region to Buhari and the not too shaky momentum of Buhari in the North Central.

Online polls always conducted by PDP sympathizers do not actually reflect the situation of things in real voting as seen in the previous elections conducted during 2016-2018 (i.e. Osun, Ekiti, Kwara, Katsina, Kogi e.t.c.)

If this findings really originated from the true source and not a mere conjecture, then Atiku should lose hope in winning. Although the finding is complex and the author illustrated using the international best practice to convince me that it’s actually complied by a professional.

Saturday 16th will judge everything, let’s just keep our fingers crossed till then.

God bless Nigeria.

kitaatita:


No forger will go to that extent, except he is a professional hired by the opposition. Sometimes I feel sad for the politicians. Atiku is paying heavily for the consultancy, meanwhile someone in his group is stealing out document. That's how they got Amaechi's voice tape. Same way they also got PDP spokesman conceding defeat. Honour

Iblad0994:


I agree too that it’s not a forgery, because it’s detailed, reflects some basic truth, looks professional, and followed international best practices when looking at how the report was compiled.

MrMcJay:


I think the report has achieved its purpose.

PDP members reading it are unable to sleep. Those sleeping would wake up and read it only to become unable to eat.

Emilokoiyawon:
I think if you read between the lines you will notice that PDP/BALLARD want Nigerians to see this survey. Why? You might ask? Read (below) where they said "...Hillary (Clinton) lost to us...because of overconfidence induced...by erroneous poll results." It seems to me that they hope that when APC supporters see this survey, they, believing that Buhari already has it in the bag, will see no point in going to vote for Buhari. This will then hand the victory to Atiku. This was partly what happened in 2016 between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.

It remains to be seen if this desperate tactics will work with Nigeria voters.

deomelo:



They actually highlighted the same views and even used their own election in the US between Trump and Clinton to drive home the same views.


This report is real

MrMcJay:


Atiku is a thief and part of Nigeria's problems. Buhari is still trying to mop up Atiku's mess in NITEL and Nigerian Airways.

Buhari would win and I'm happy you're beginning to realise that, howbeit reluctantly.

deomelo:




SE governors are really not interested in Atiku, even Obiano is not hiding his own rejection of Atiku and the PDP. I don't blame him, PMB completed a 26-year-old PDP abandoned project in his state in less than 3 years and he's completing another 2nd NB the PDP left and abandoned on the drawing board.

Are SE PDP governors running after Atiku? No. Are they shouting Atikulate all over the place? NO.

globemoney:

When we warned the novice Atiku against picking a very unpopular peter obi in SE, his emotional and unintelligent bots, noise makers and social media crusaders nzeobi, mopolchi, weownthewest, deboysben, nwanyionitsha, brokentv, etc called us names.. By saturday we shall see the results. I'm very particular about the results from SE and Anambra

Wasted opportunity..

Ekweremmadu, Soludo, Okonjo Iweala could have held these regions on lock down for Atiku..

lexy2014:


In d screenshot u post, it said ...Hillary lost to.us". Who are d "us"?

nwanyionitsha:
And then? Rubbish!
They decide nothing.

deomelo:



The denial by Ballard Partners was very timid and lackluster with zero further actions, even the PDP's noise about forgery lasted for only 5 minutes.

They know the report is real

Sirjamo:
A good number of people in the north would have vote for Atiku, but they fear he might pai in office and........You know the rest

kitaatita:


No forger will go to that extent, except he is a professional hired by the opposition. Sometimes I feel sad for the politicians. Atiku is paying heavily for the consultancy, meanwhile someone in his group is stealing out document. That's how they got Amaechi's voice tape. Same way they also got PDP spokesman conceding defeat. Honour

deomelo:
[s][/s]



Sifia pain is written all over this ipob..