More importantly, Atiku is too corrupt, is too old, and has too many wives . We can do much more better than that!

Okay we have heard

lol, the op is right. Atiku have little or no political influence when competing with strong opponents. Tinubu without Lagos treasury to throw about is a rejected politician outside Yoruba land.



In 2023, the whole North will not vote for Tinubu when two of their own sons; Atiku Abubakar and Kwankwaso are on ballot and thats if Kwankwaso doesn't step down for Tinubu or Atiku. Anybody that believes the whole North will vote Tinubu leaving Atiku and Kwankwaso because Tinubu picked a Northern Muslim VP is deluding, Lolz.





If Kwankwaso doesn't step down before the election day, what will happen is this:

Kwankwaso will win Kano, Tinubu will come second, Atiku 3rd, Obi 4th.

At the end, Tinubu will win NW with very insignificant votes, Atiku will come second, Kwankwaso 3rd, Obi 4th.


Atiku will win NE with very small margin, Tinubu will come second, Kwankwaso will come 3rd, Obi 4th.


Obi will win Northcentral, Atiku will come second, Tinubu 3rd, Kwankwaso 4th.



Obi will win Southeast with very large margin, Atiku will come 2nd, Tinubu 3rd, Kwankwaso 4th.


Obi will sin Southsouth, Atiku will come 2nd, Tinubu will come 3rd, Kwankwaso 4th.


Tinubu will win Southwest, Obi will come second, Atiku 3rd, Sowore 3rd, Kwankwaso 4th.


Now do the maths and know the likely winner if it doesn't enter runoff

hurryup123:
But this time around Buhari is not contesting

Their votes will be divided Some will vote for tinubu while some will vote for atiku, how will he pull massive votes?

twilliamx:
LINUS Obi.. A man that is riding on made up stories to win election. He said he saved money. If you know how to use money, your money will always be at work. He couldn't even increase the IGR of Anambra. The same way Jonathan lied that he has no shoes, Buhari claimed he was mr integrity, integrity we no see, I no get house abroad, them Don show him house for abroad, I no get pass 2 watch, them Don show him 3rd watch, a man who said others are corrupt but, took states funds and invested in family business. Nigeria no get better candidate. Nothing will change as long as the useless constitution is what is guiding us. The only people that will still enjoy this country in 2023 are the politicians.

So what are you saying

vicdom:

Abeg ask am ooo. If kwankwaso was given this PDP Presidential ticket, by now he would be writing his inaugural speech because it will be a landslide victory for him. Atiku is politically a liability, he only used his money to by ticket. If not because of Christians voters in adamawa that voted for him in mass, Buhari would have disgraced him in his own state. Go and look at the result, it was the bulk of votes from the christian dominated area of adamawa that gave him a slight edge against buhari. Look at the havoc Obi wrecked against buhari in the eastern region, even when it was clear the Eastern governors were against him. In Anambra alone, buhari had just 1% of the total votes cast. Obi secored 590k against 50k that buhari got, it shows how strong you are. The then governor of Anambra, Obiano collapsed APGA structure to support Buhari due to the rift he has with Obi, still obi was able to muscle all of them and secured 99% votes in the state. Infact, Obiano released a secular before that election, mandating all the civil servants of the state to vote APC or stand a chance of losing their jobs. I won't be surprised if he loses North to Tinubu.

Why didn't Obi deliver those he nominated and backed as governor in Anambra state for two consecutive election cycle?

Megabig:

He lost his own booth to an opponent that is not from his booth or even local government. How una de take defend people sef. Haba

Obasanjo lost Ogun in 1999 and won the general elections. Some are hated at home bt loved abroad.

Omonieme:
And, this is why I laugh whenever people claim the 2019 elections were rigged and why Atiku's comical case of an Inec server where he won will still always baffle me. Like dude, you lost your polling unit, narrowly won ur state with less than 2 percent and the elections generally followed predicted trends. There's no where Atiku ought to have won that he didn't win. Core north, Buhari won as predicted. I was actually surprised by the low margin of victory Buhari recorded in the SW. And yet they thought Atiku won. Lol. Someone who stayed on the queue, his own people saw him and still didn't vote for him. How's that possible sef? Me, I'll win my polling unit in any election I'm standing for. And as for Kwankwaso, that one na another noise maker. Someone who as the incumbent senator lost his senatorial election thinks he stands a chance for presidency.

He didn't contest

Carmal90:


Why didn't Obi deliver those he nominated and backed as governor in Anambra state for two consecutive election cycle?

You should know by now that Easterners hate godfatherism. They have the minds of their own, and they vote for credibility. How do you expect them to vote Val Ozigbo against Prof Soludo, a renowned economist just because he was presented by Obi. It doesn't work that way at all. It's almost impossible to become a godfather in the east, except your candidates are the best amongst other contenders.

vicdom:

Abeg ask am ooo. If kwankwaso was given this PDP Presidential ticket, by now he would be writing his inaugural speech because it will be a landslide victory for him. Atiku is politically a liability, he only used his money to by ticket. If not because of Christians voters in adamawa that voted for him in mass, Buhari would have disgraced him in his own state. Go and look at the result, it was the bulk of votes from the christian dominated area of adamawa that gave him a slight edge against buhari. Look at the havoc Obi wrecked against buhari in the eastern region, even when it was clear the Eastern governors were against him. In Anambra alone, buhari had just 1% of the total votes cast. Obi secored 590k against 50k that buhari got, it shows how strong you are. The then governor of Anambra, Obiano collapsed APGA structure to support Buhari due to the rift he has with Obi, still obi was able to muscle all of them and secured 99% votes in the state. Infact, Obiano released a secular before that election, mandating all the civil servants of the state to vote APC or stand a chance of losing their jobs. I won't be surprised if he loses North to Tinubu.

Flattino, 50K is 10% of 500K. Don't be unfortunate like your candidate the 3rd Class Philosophy graduate who has been churning out fake statistics.

Amotolongbo:
Nairaland politics section has gone to the dog!

Only Buhari has more individual political structure than Tinubu. Why? Cos Buhari commands political respect and value outside his state and geo-political zone.

Seems the OP has a selective amnesia forgetting who is the pillar of AC and ACN

Tinubu is not strong outside his SW region.Even in his SW region he is struggling

franchasofficia:
lol, the op is right. Atiku have little or no political influence when competing with strong opponents. Tinubu without Lagos treasury to throw about is a rejected politician outside Yoruba land.



In 2023, the whole North will not vote for Tinubu when two of their own sons; Atiku Abubakar and Kwankwaso are on ballot and thats if Kwankwaso doesn't step down for Tinubu or Atiku. Anybody that believes the whole North will vote Tinubu leaving Atiku and Kwankwaso because Tinubu picked a Northern Muslim VP is deluding, Lolz.





If Kwankwaso doesn't step down before the election day, what will happen is this:

Kwankwaso will win Kano, Tinubu will come second, Atiku 3rd, Obi 4th.

At the end, Tinubu will win NW with very insignificant votes, Atiku will come second, Kwankwaso 3rd, Obi 4th.


Atiku will win NE with very small margin, Tinubu will come second, Kwankwaso will come 3rd, Obi 4th.


Obi will win Northcentral, Atiku will come second, Tinubu 3rd, Kwankwaso 4th.



Obi will win Southeast with very large margin, Atiku will come 2nd, Tinubu 3rd, Kwankwaso 4th.


Obi will sin Southsouth, Atiku will come 2nd, Tinubu will come 3rd, Kwankwaso 4th.


Tinubu will win Southwest, Obi will come second, Atiku 3rd, Sowore 3rd, Kwankwaso 4th.


Now do the maths and know the likely winner if it doesn't enter runoff

Obi will win North Central?
Lol

Carmal90:


Why didn't Obi deliver those he nominated and backed as governor in Anambra state for two consecutive election cycle?

But Obiano was his candidate

Shascky33:

Obasanjo lost Ogun in 1999 and won the general elections. Some are hated at home bt loved abroad.

Obasanjo still win his southern region even though he lost in sw. Ss and se votes were enough to upturn the votes he lost in sw. So with ss and se votes, he was able to secure majority of votes in the southern region. So in all, Obj first term, because there was no northener in the ballot, he won both south and north.

PaChukwudi44:

Tinubu is not strong outside his SW region.Even in his SW region he is struggling

And who said he is strong outside south west?

Tell me about Obi’s strength in his zone please

Carmal90:


Obi will win North Central?
Lol

Is that not even obvious?

Amotolongbo:
And who said he is strong outside south west?

Tell me about Obi’s strength in his zone please

Go and check the presidential elections results in the SE in 2019

vicdom:

You should know by now that Easterners hate godfatherism. They have the minds of their own, and they vote for credibility. How do you expect them to vote Val Ozigbo against Prof Soludo, a renowned economist just because he was presented by Obi. It doesn't work that way at all. It's almost impossible to become a godfather in the east, except your candidates are the best amongst other contenders.

2021 wasn't the first year soludo contested and he lost.
He backed Oseloka in 2017 and lost as well, coming distant third.
Obi is not grounded politically, that is the fact.

Carmal90:


Obi will win North Central?
Lol

Obi will win Benue, Plateau, Nasarawa, get good vote in Kogi. Northcentral is a Christian majority region and Fulani herdsmen terrorists have killed them enough so they can't massively for Atiku neither will they vote a Muslim-Muslim- Muslim ticket.


Tinubu will win Kwara state only in the North central, bookmark this page

PaChukwudi44:

Is that not even obvious?

North Central?

Kwara,
Benue,
Plateau,
Kogi,
Niger,
Nassarawa?

franchasofficia:
Obi will win Benue, Plateau, Nasarawa, get good vote in Kogi. Northcentral is a Christian majority region and Fulani herdsmen terrorists have killed them enough so they can't massively for Atiku neither will they vote a Muslim-Muslim- Muslim ticket.


Tinubu will win Kwara state only in the North central, bookmark this page

I will sir.

Atiku will receive the kind of shock buhari always receive







Atiku is still dreaming he has to come to reality

Carmal90:


Why didn't Obi deliver those he nominated and backed as governor in Anambra state for two consecutive election cycle?

The fastest to make yourself an enemy of Igbos as a politician is to become a political godfather.


It happened to Orji Uzo Kalu, Rochas Okorocha, Theodore Orji, etc.


Igbos don't vote who a political godfather or figure advices them to vote for.


We have individual judgments. we don't vote based on what a political figure want, we vote based on how we perceive the candidate on individual bases

Carmal90:

North Central?

Kwara,
Benue,
Plateau,
Kogi,
Niger,
Nassarawa?

LP will win plateau, Benue and Nassarawa outrightly.

It would secure significant votes in Kogi and niger states but will definitely fail woefully in Kwara state

PaChukwudi44:

But Obiano was his candidate

Lol..

Carmal90:

I will sir.

All my permutations are also based on at least 80% free and fair election devoid of massive rigging by incumbent federal and state governments.



We are hoping INEC will try harder to remain neutral.

PaChukwudi44:

Go and check the presidential elections results in the SE in 2019

How is it different from the 2015, 2011, 2007, 2003 and 1999 presidential election results for PDP in the South East ?
Did Obi contest in those elections before 2019?

abeg wake up from this your dream..you think say na Twitter poll

Totilopussylick:
Both him and Tinubu will eventually lose to labour party in the next presidential elections in Nigeria

franchasofficia:
The fastest to make yourself an enemy of Igbos as a politician is to become a political godfather.


It happened to Orji Uzo Kalu, Rochas Okorocha, Theodore Orji, etc.


Igbos don't vote who a political godfather or figure advices them to vote for.


We have individual judgments. we don't vote based on what a political figure want, we vote based on how we perceive the candidate on individual bases

I don't agree with you sir.

He was/is not popular, simple and clear

twilliamx:
LINUS Obi.. A man that is riding on made up stories to win election. He said he saved money. If you know how to use money, your money will always be at work. He couldn't even increase the IGR of Anambra. The same way Jonathan lied that he has no shoes, Buhari claimed he was mr integrity, integrity we no see, I no get house abroad, them Don show him house for abroad, I no get pass 2 watch, them Don show him 3rd watch, a man who said others are corrupt but, took states funds and invested in family business. Nigeria no get better candidate. Nothing will change as long as the useless constitution is what is guiding us. The only people that will still enjoy this country in 2023 are the politicians.

The brewery is not his personal business.
It's a foreign investment.

Though he may have shares there which makes what he did wrong to an extent, but I don't think he meant it in a corrupt way.

The investment belongs to Anambra State.
Some people would have used state money to invest in their own name.

Obasanjo used Nigeria's money to build his farm and library.
That farm and library belongs to him today.

So let us be careful not to exaggerate what we should not exaggerate.

Many politicians including the ones running for president are guilty of serious crimes of corruption.

Let us not throw away the only clean one among them because he invested for his state in a foreign Investment he has interests in.

Acidosis:


You can simply look up voting patterns in Christian and Muslim populated areas. I won't be surprised if Atiku won the majority votes in Southern Kaduna too.

You're right about your analysis in Adamawa and Southern Kaduna