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| 2023 Election, My Predictions by Trollronaldo: 9:53am On Feb 14, 2023 |
1. Southwest Lagos APC: 40% LP: 35% PDP: 15% Others: 10% Ogun APC: 55% LP: 25% PDP: 15% Others: 5% Oyo APC: 45% LP: 25% PDp: 25% Others: 5% Osun APC: 45% PDP: 25% LP: 25% Others: 5% Ekiti APC: 65% LP: 20% PDP: 10% Others: 5% Ondo APC: 50% LP: 25% PDP: 15% Others: 10% 2. Northwest Kano NNPP: 40% PDP: 25% APC: 20% LP: 10% Others: 5% Kaduna APC: 35% LP: 30% PDP: 20% NNPP: 10% Others: 5% Katsina PDP: 40% APC: 30% NNPP: 20% Others: 10% Zamfara PDP: 40% APC: 35% NNPP: 15% Others: 10% Jigawa PDP: 40% APC: 25% NNPP: 25% Others: 10% Kebbi PDP: 45% APC: 35% NNPP: 10% Others: 10% Sokoto PDP: 50% APC: 25% NNPP: 20% Others: 5% 3. Northcentral Niger PDP: 40% APC: 30% NNPP: 15% LP: 10% Others: 5% Kwara APC: 50% PDP: 25% LP: 15% Others: 10% Kogi APC: 40% PDP: 30% LP: 25% Others: 5% Benue LP: 50% PDP: 20% APC: 20% Others: 10% Plateau LP: 40% APC: 30% PDP: 25% Others: 5% Nasarawa LP: 30% APC: 30% PDP: 25% NNPP: 10% Others: 5% 4. Northeast Adamawa PDP: 50% LP: 25% APC: 20% Others: 5% Bauchi PDP: 50% APC: 20% NNPP: 20% Others: 10% Yobe PDP: 40% APC: 40% NNPP: 10% Others: 10% Borno APC: 50% PDP: 35% Others: 15% Gombe PDP: 45% APC: 25% NNPP: 15% LP: 10% Others: 5% Taraba PDP: 40% LP: 35% APC: 20% Others: 5% 5.Southeast Anambra LP: 85% Others: 15% Imo LP: 70% APC: 20% Others: 10% Ebonyi LP: 75% APC: 15% Others: 10% Abia LP: 80% Others: 20% Enugu LP: 80% Others: 20% 6. Southsouth Rivers LP: 65% PDP: 15% Others: 20% Edo LP: 55% PDP: 25% APC: 15% Others: 10% Delta LP: 45% PDP: 35% Others: 20% Crossriver LP: 55% APC: 25% Others: 20% Bayelsa LP: 40% APC: 25% PDP: 30% Others: 5% Akwa ibom LP: 50% PDP: 30% Others: 20% 7. FCT LP: 50% PDP: 25% APC: 25% Others: 10% 25% requirment APC: 22 states PDP: 23 states LP: 23 states. I predict a rerun, however either of these parties ca manage to get 25% in one more state. Even at that, a rerun is still most likely as that worn guarantee that the party will get the highest figures in terms of voters. 2 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Charleys: 9:58am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Can you employ a Microphone licker to run your business? Simple question. Can you employ someone who poos in his pants to run your business? If you can't do that, then why do you want to impose that person on me..? Shows how evil you have become. 17 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Beebah321(f): 10:06am On Feb 14, 2023 |
U get time sha  |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Workch: 10:06am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Looks more realistic to me, except that Peter Obi will snatch 25% in all SW states to get the required 2/3. TINUBU cannot get 25% in Crossriver and Bayelsa state. He will Manage to get 25% in just 20 states 16 Likes 4 Shares |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by drlateef: 10:08am On Feb 14, 2023 |
OP mark me down, you have overrated LP in north generally. That’s where they waterloo is. Don’t you see Obi avoiding the mainstream towns and restricting himself to Christian area igbo dominated areas? And these are tiny minorities in the north. You will be shocked. 8 Likes 2 Shares |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Qtrpst4: 10:09am On Feb 14, 2023 |
While your analysis seems more realistic than the nonsense urchins are projecting, you underplayed PO in all his strong region SE, SS, NC and you saying PDP will win adamawa is laughable. PO will win more than 65% in NC and for SE and SS he won't get anything less than 90% in SE and 85% in SS. your analysis in Rivers if funny, kano too is wrong, APC can't get 20% in Kano, I can beat my chest on that 10 Likes 2 Shares |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Qtrpst4: 10:09am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Have you ever been to the north before? drlateef: 3 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Aurelius1(m): 10:11am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Trollronaldo:This is one of the most realistic prediction I've seen. A rerun may likely be the expected outcome. 5 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by wwwkaycom(m): 10:12am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Laughable! 2 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Trollronaldo: 10:13am On Feb 14, 2023 |
drlateef:LP will do very well on Christian dominated areas of Benue, Nasarawa, Plateau, Adamawa and Taraba. They will get many votes there. LP will do very poorly in NW. This is the reality you soild accept 6 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Zulum500: 10:13am On Feb 14, 2023 |
drlateef:Mr lateef this dude overrate their party.. Even this mushrooms party have no standard Senate and House of Representatives candidate in the north.. I pity them... Most northern Christians are pro PDP and also they speak hausas .. Heart break for obidense go worse well well Atiku ticket is balanced 2 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Trollronaldo: 10:14am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Zulum500:This election has nothing to do with the old structure as long as BVAS exist. People are voting individuals and not party. Christians in the north will not vote Atiku and Tinubu. You and I know this simple truth 7 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Zulum500: 10:15am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Trollronaldo: Pity you.. those states are majorly northeast Atiku ticket is balanced and they speak hausa.. Keep overestimating lp party.. Even your spokesman tanko have kept mute.. Datti is just playing around 2 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Zulum500: 10:16am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Trollronaldo: Okay cheif Christian.. Kikiki na your eyes go clear.. Party wey no get standard Senate and House of Representatives candidate.. Dey dey.. As if northern Christians send you 😁😁 2 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by TheCeasar: 10:17am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Zulum500:what do you think of tinubu chances in the north? 1 Like |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Zulum500: 10:17am On Feb 14, 2023 |
wwwkaycom: Bro they're kids Pity you.. those states are majorly northeast Atiku ticket is balanced and they speak hausa.. Keep overestimating lp party.. Even your spokesman tanko have kept mute.. Datti is just playing around 2 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Trollronaldo: 10:18am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Zulum500:Taraba and and southern Adamawa and Kaduna are not going to vote for Atiku. You know this deep down, they won't do it for religious reasons 3 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Trollronaldo: 10:19am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Zulum500:Stop throwing tantrums like a baby and discuss like you are above 18. What's the kikiki and laughing emoji. Are we playing with sand here? 4 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Mfetenang: 10:20am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Chai  Mkpulumili has destroyed IPOB youths for real. LP will win the Akwa Ibom State I come from If LP gets 20k votes in Akwa Ibom State I will give you 20k. I swear to God I am serious. Save this post. 3 Likes 2 Shares |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Trollronaldo: 10:21am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Mfetenang:You know deep down that Labour will win akwa ibom. You know it but that you are not even from akwa ibom. But you can play around as you like, this is a faceless forum 4 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Godwin4444: 10:25am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Trollronaldo:even with this your calculations tinubu has won Do u realize that tinubu south west votes will cancel obi south east votes Tinubu north west votes will cancel obi south south votes Tinubu north central n obi north central will cancel each other Tell me d votes that will cancel tinubu north east votes? Note that 50% in borno is over 2.5 million votes 40% in yobe is over 1.5 million votes 2 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Zulum500: 10:26am On Feb 14, 2023 |
[quote author=TheCeasar post=120897459]what do you think of tinubu chances in the north?[/quote I won't overrate his chances in the north.. But mostly his party still hold more of the Senate and House of Representatives.. And also if the governor could try for him.. Overall northern votes I gave atiku 45% TINUBU 35% Nnpp 15% Lp 5% Labor party issues is no standard Senate and House of Representatives candidate And obi campaigning is not even in towns and villages...Just a strategic location around cities Look at APC and pdp campaigning in each local government in northern States.. Even tanko the spokesman is mute Datti is not taking campaigns by himself in the north even in local governments Mind you most Northerners speak hausa given a high edge.. TINUBU edge is just party structure and his influential shettima.. Stop overestimating obi chances.. 2 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Qtrpst4: 10:27am On Feb 14, 2023 |
I know I will see a clown coming to derail an intelligent discuss Zulum500: 1 Like 1 Share |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Zulum500: 10:31am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Trollronaldo: Keep hiding under religious stuff.. adamawa is sure for atiku 60%.. Just telling TINUBU that Christian in Lagos won't vote him.. Bro overestimating obi.. you can do that in the south.. Most benue are going for APC just for their guber candidate and Yoruba Muslims are not radical shettima is not a Fulani pdp just that most strong wig politicians here are mostly PDP... |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Asgard13: 10:32am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Zulum500: No the follow this southerners argue about how the north vote .. They will never understand that.. they believe their hallucinations Atiku no get Opposition.. but that’s what they won’t want to hear .. and call it sempe..😂 They’re yet to understand the difference between Arewa Christian’s and southern Christian’s .. they believe everything na Christianity.. and feel they can gbo gbo the north with noise .. not knowing the implication of economic hardship of Apc and how others view each candidate.. They wan force their views of others .. with out on owing politcal terrain .. and come to claim everyone is voting for individual They will learn .. I do t support Apc.. but o know Bola Tinubu will come 2 nd with lots of margins of Obi.. is too sure Another fallacy is Obi wining south.. this is a dream taken too far .. if you’re from south south or a southern minority .. you will know it’s a huge dream for Obi.. Obi will not win any state in the south.. it sure me die .. no be online noise Even the southeast.. will count number of states Obi will win in his region .. among the five states Talk more of Yoruba states .. North central is another place their dreams will dash.. Election no reach better 2 weeks again .. they will understand the benefits of traveling and moving round .. not just sitting and permutating dreams and hallucinations But wetin we know .. Their pain will be crushing .. because they will call south south betrayers and tag them the new enemies of Biafra But who cares Power to the people North 2023 E too sure Walahi .. e too sure |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Asgard13: 10:33am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Zulum500: Allow them sit at home and permutAte peacefully |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Trollronaldo: 10:33am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Godwin4444:That's not it works sir. First of all, you need to secure 25% 24 states. Secondly, Southwest has history of voters apathy, even northcentral usually have more voters than southwest every election. Please verify. Thirdly, This permutations means that Atiku and Obi may get th highest figures, sine Tinubu will perform poorly in northern central states with the highest voting bloc (plateau and Benue) 4thly, 50% of voters in NW are in kano and kaduna. Kwankwaso already took a huge chunk of that 4 Likes 1 Share |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by inoki247: 10:34am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Trollronaldo: You people keep shouting BVAS so na BVAS make Obi Campaign for TBS dey scanty una eyes go soon clear.... Na few days u people beta goan hold the motivational speaker wey dey motivate u people to refund u guys.... You will be shock say Obi no go see 2nd for Lagos unless say na anoda Lagos... 1 Like 1 Share |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Qtrpst4: 10:36am On Feb 14, 2023 |
So your reason why tinubu will win north is because the northerners speak hausa and that shettima is influential, a shettima that could not win a governorship primaries if not that his principal was murdered. What could he show for his tenure in borno state that made him influential. Am not even going to talk about his tribe as am sure that one is above your head. Then my last question is does tinubu speak hausa? Why was that a criteria that made you think he will get their votes even if that is a criteria in getting their I wonder if hunger no dey north and all these kidnappings no dey north wey make you think that will give tifnubu their votes[quote author=Zulum500 post=120897679][/quote] 2 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Apophenia24k: 10:36am On Feb 14, 2023 |
drlateef: Go back and read again, in the core north Obi is not even included in the percentage abi you the read something else ? OBI is even underrated in his analysis but still fair compare to the Agbado people giving BAT 60% in all northern state.. 1 Like |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Trollronaldo: 10:37am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Asgard13:The reason why Obasanjo and Jonathan won Buhari is because northcentral usually do not vote like NW and NE. As matter of fact, Taraba and Adamawa d not vote like others NE states. It's why no Muslim has ever become governor in Taraba and even Buhari couldn't win there landslide. Plateau, Nasarawa and Benue in northcentral doesn't vote like NW and NE. The statistic are there. If you re talking about north, be specific. Don't ramp all of them together. You assertion will be true if we are talking about Northwest and Borno, bauchi, gombe and Yobe. It's not true for northcentral, Taraba and Adamawa 3 Likes |
| Re: 2023 Election, My Predictions by Zulum500: 10:37am On Feb 14, 2023 |
Asgard13: Bro I'm an APC supporter TINUBU edge is the party structure Governor, Senate and House of Representatives and the influential shettima.. Overall northern votes APC should get atleast 35% Sha Atiku 45%-50% nnpp 15% lp5% |
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