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Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... - Politics (3) - Nairaland

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Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by AroleOduduwa2: 7:20am On Feb 27, 2023
Sadly, Tinubu will win. He's doing well in the North.

1 Like

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by jumper524(m): 7:21am On Feb 27, 2023
Atiku camp are hoping they get reasonable votes from SE but I'll love to tell them they did as poor as APC there. Not enough margin to bank on.
As for SS the only place they edge APC is akwa I om APC are doing way above their pay grade in Edo, rivers and Bayelsa. So I'm certain APC would edge out Atiku in South South.
As for northwest Atiku has won Adamawa, gombe, might win bauchi and taraba but in all APC aren't sleeping too. APC has yobe, borno with a better margin. Atiku would definitely win NE but with a close margin.
As for Northwest, APC is definetly winning with a close margin. Atiku so far has clinched kaduna state, katsina too close to call cos APC is most likely going to close or win the state if the remaining local govt is declared.
Kebbi, Sokoto and zamfara heading the way of APC.
I'm sorry Atiku your chances aren't looking soo good.

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by verifiablefacts: 7:26am On Feb 27, 2023
EmekaMD:
You must be delusional if you still believe Tinubu stands any chance as at now..

Where ia he gonna get the votes from?

Don't be deceived because he is leading now, that's because most of all his strongholds have been called already and he didn't do so well even with all the riggings.

Lets analyse

1. In Lagos as it stands now, Obi would likely win Lagos
2. Osun has been won by Atiku
3. Kano has been won by Kwankwaso
4. Kastina has been won by Atiku
5. Most of the Southwest states have all been called.
6. Kaduna is now obviously gonna be shared between Obi and Atiku

So tell me where Tinubu is expecting the magic to come from?

Tinubu is out of the race


Now you wonder why the APC camp is so quiet? Even FFK the Food prefect that never stops talking


And that's the analysis?
Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by ObaOfYorubaLand: 7:35am On Feb 27, 2023
FreeStuffsNG:
Oyo, Kogi,Kwara,.Kano and Kaduna have not been called. Right now none of them except the one you hate because he is not Igbo is the only one who has met the spread and leading with 1 m votes
Do the maths here.

Why are you Yoruba's uselessly Bigots?

Why mention Igbo here?

Everything to you people is tribalism.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by waynetee(m): 7:39am On Feb 27, 2023
He is mostly second where he doesn't win and average in all states.. That's why he will win, sorry tongue

2 Likes

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by Benwallt(m): 7:46am On Feb 27, 2023
EmekaMD:
Tinubu alone didn't pocket southwest.
Obi is winning Lagos
Atiku won Osun.

that is huge lost from his strongest holds.

Again he is underperforming in the North

But why are you finding it hard to focus on your candidate. What is the obsession with Tinubu?

1 Like

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by seunmsg(m): 7:48am On Feb 27, 2023
EmekaMD:
You must be delusional if you still believe Tinubu stands any chance as at now..

Where ia he gonna get the votes from?

Don't be deceived because he is leading now, that's because most of all his strongholds have been called already and he didn't do so well even with all the riggings.

Lets analyse

1. In Lagos as it stands now, Obi would likely win Lagos
2. Osun has been won by Atiku
3. Kano has been won by Kwankwaso
4. Kastina has been won by Atiku
5. Most of the Southwest states have all been called.
6. Kaduna is now obviously gonna be shared between Obi and Atiku

So tell me where Tinubu is expecting the magic to come from?

Tinubu is out of the race


Now you wonder why the APC camp is so quiet? Even FFK the Food prefect that never stops talking

I thought we should be analyzing Peter Obi’s path to victory. Or, is he no longer in the race?

4 Likes

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by Wickedfacts: 7:57am On Feb 27, 2023
ObaOfYorubaLand:

Why are you Yoruba's uselessly Bigots?

Why mention Igbo here?

Everything to you people is tribalism.

Yorubas are bigots but voted Obi in Lagos and Atiku in Osun.

You're a born fool.

4 Likes 1 Share

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by blacksam01: 8:00am On Feb 27, 2023
Tolue43:


The distance between Kwankwaso and Tinubu is very very slim, PDP and Obi don't get anything reasonable in Kano.
Kaduna Tinubu got lot of votes too, kastina Pdp won Tinubu with just less than 7,000 votes

It was just a little magin in osun. Does it means ones a candidate win a state , the runner-up records will be thrown away?

Tinubu is sharing the whole northern vote with Atiku while Tinubu only pocket south West.

who came all the 2nds in d south west..? and even won a state..?
Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by blacksam01: 8:03am On Feb 27, 2023
jumper524:
Atiku camp are hoping they get reasonable votes from SE but I'll love to tell them they did as poor as APC there. Not enough margin to bank on.
As for SS the only place they edge APC is akwa I om APC are doing way above their pay grade in Edo, rivers and Bayelsa. So I'm certain APC would edge out Atiku in South South.
As for northwest Atiku has won Adamawa, gombe, might win bauchi and taraba but in all APC aren't sleeping too. APC has yobe, borno with a better margin. Atiku would definitely win NE but with a close margin.
As for Northwest, APC is definetly winning with a close margin. Atiku so far has clinched kaduna state, katsina too close to call cos APC is most likely going to close or win the state if the remaining local govt is declared.
Kebbi, Sokoto and zamfara heading the way of APC.
I'm sorry Atiku your chances aren't looking soo good.

what happnes if it goes to re-run btw atiku annd tinubu..just know tinubu will b out..cuz south east and south south will vot pdp

1 Like

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by jumper524(m): 8:05am On Feb 27, 2023
blacksam01:


what happnes if it goes to re-run btw atiku annd tinubu..just know tinubu will b out..cuz south east and south south will vot pdp
there's no rerun here.
Both has already gotten the 25% in 25 States plus the FCT.
It goes down to popular votes.

1 Like 1 Share

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by stev120(m): 8:06am On Feb 27, 2023
According to the law, the winner needs to meet up with 2 criteria not one.

1. Majority vote

2. 25%. for 24 states and FCT.


Meeting up with 1 of the criteria does not makes a person winner. A candidate must meet up with the 2 criteria. If non meets up with the 2 criteria run off will be taken from 2 parties closer to wining majority or 25% spread.

1 Like

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by Mustaphaarome: 8:10am On Feb 27, 2023
EmekaMD:
You must be delusional if you still believe Tinubu stands any chance as at now..

Where ia he gonna get the votes from?

Don't be deceived because he is leading now, that's because most of all his strongholds have been called already and he didn't do so well even with all the riggings.

Lets analyse

1. In Lagos as it stands now, Obi would likely win Lagos
2. Osun has been won by Atiku
3. Kano has been won by Kwankwaso
4. Kastina has been won by Atiku
5. Most of the Southwest states have all been called.
6. Kaduna is now obviously gonna be shared between Obi and Atiku

So tell me where Tinubu is expecting the magic to come from?

Tinubu is out of the race


Now you wonder why the APC camp is so quiet? Even FFK the Food prefect that never stops talking

De deceive your self
Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by David160(m): 8:13am On Feb 27, 2023
misano:
The criminal is still trying to rig some states in SS and SE. If Tinubu fails well in SS and SE then he is out.

Obi won rivers... Atiku will win akwaibom
Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by Kog45(m): 8:15am On Feb 27, 2023
ArewaQuitessenc:
If Obi wins Lagos, it won't look good for Tinubu cause you shouldn't be losing your strongest turf to an opposition, much more LP of yesterday.
If Tinubu eventually lose Lagos then that’s the beauty of democracy,meaning we are getting there,
Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by ProphetM0hammad: 8:15am On Feb 27, 2023
EmekaMD:
Tinubu alone didn't pocket southwest.
Obi is winning Lagos
Atiku won Osun.

that is huge lost from his strongest holds.

Again he is underperforming in the North
Obi is over performing in the north

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by OmoFiditi: 8:15am On Feb 27, 2023
seunowa:

You are crying already and u will cry more after Tinubu has been declared president elect. Tinubu is winning river, borno, kogi, kwara and he is ahead of Atiku with large gap in Lagos… if you are not happy about Tinubu’s winning go to third mainland bridge and jump into the lagoon…..awon omo irankiran…

Thiefnubuu winning Rivers where Wike has surrendered and now denying working for APC? Even Obi is flogging Thiefnubuu in Lagos.

You go dey alright las las when Thiefnubuu lu'le properly after the holistic release of results. Alatenuje oshi! grin
Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by Wickedfacts: 8:16am On Feb 27, 2023
blacksam01:


what happnes if it goes to re-run btw atiku annd tinubu..just know tinubu will b out..cuz south east and south south will vot pdp

It won't get to rerun. Both Tinubu and Atiku have met 25% requirement.

Now boils down to simple majority.

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by ProphetM0hammad: 8:17am On Feb 27, 2023
stev120:
According to the law, the winner needs to meet up with 2 criteria not one.

1. Majority vote

2. 25%. for 24 states and FCT.


Meeting up with 1 of the criteria does not makes a person winner. A candidate must meet up with the 2 criteria. If non meets up with the 2 criteria run off will be taken from 2 parties closer to wining majority or 25% spread.
Obi has already failed on the second one with his ibo party

1 Like

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by Tolue43: 8:18am On Feb 27, 2023
blacksam01:


who came all the 2nds in d south west..? and even won a state..?

The figures dey small naa
Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by Elemosho478: 8:29am On Feb 27, 2023
Tolue43:


They don't even understand how to calculate, imagine 1 telling me Tinubu lost Osun, with just 30,000 votes. Atiku that don't get anything in lagos

Atiku won Osun with just 15k votes
Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by obi4eze(m): 8:40am On Feb 27, 2023
Yes, Tinubu will fraudulently be declared winner but will not rule. He has been rejected.

There's going to be a massive protest and the seat will eventually be given to the real winner of the election, HE Peter Obi.
Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by backtovillage: 8:53am On Feb 27, 2023
FreeStuffsNG:
Oyo, Kogi,Kwara,.Kano and Kaduna have not been called. Right now none of them except the one you hate because he is not Igbo is the only one who has met the spread and leading with 1 m votes
Do the maths here.
Website please
Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by MuchAdo: 8:54am On Feb 27, 2023
obi4eze:
Yes, Tinubu will fraudulently be declared winner but will not rule. He has been rejected.

There's going to be a massive protest and the seat will eventually be given to the real winner of the election, HE Peter Obi.

Please permit me to say piiggiidioot amaka cheesy

2 Likes

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by FreeStuffsNG: 8:54am On Feb 27, 2023
backtovillage:

Website please
premium times and/or stears
Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by Roboto11: 9:08am On Feb 27, 2023
Tolue43:


Dont mind them, Obi also took over 400,000 votes away from Atiku in Lagos too. I think this guy's just voting for the first time dokt understand all this things .

When Soludo told them that if he was Tinubu, he would sponsor Obi's campaign, they thought he was talking rubbish.

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by MikeofAfrica: 9:10am On Feb 27, 2023
TrueNigerian300:


Stop explaining to the mumudient they will never understand. Borno and Yobe is still there where Tinubu will win with wide margin. They just hate the man for no reason. They are ready to call black white as far as Tinubu is involved. I saw a pattern early today when votes started coming in and I concluded he has won. The guy has won the election there is no miracle that can safe Atiku right now.

Atiku won Yobe while Tinubu is winning Borno with a slim Margin.

2 Likes

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by MikeofAfrica: 9:13am On Feb 27, 2023
Roboto11:


When Soludo told them that if he was Tinubu, he woukd sponsor Obi's campaign, they thought he was talking rubbish.

Our objective is to retire Tinubu from politics. While Atiku will win the election, Peter Obi will retire Tinubu by taking lagos from him.
Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by 2mch(m): 9:16am On Feb 27, 2023
obi4eze:
Yes, Tinubu will fraudulently be declared winner but will not rule. He has been rejected.

There's going to be a massive protest and the seat will eventually be given to the real winner of the election, HE Peter Obi.
Lmao. Tinubu won. Even allowed free voting to all the angry people in Lagos. If you protest, no body will listen to you. You lost and were beaten very badly. All of you in LP are very unintelligent. From Presidential Candidate to you!

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Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by Roboto11: 9:17am On Feb 27, 2023
MikeofAfrica:


Our objective is to retire Tinubu from politics. While Atiku will win the election, Peter Obi will retire Tinubu by taking lagos from him.

Tinubu is leading Atiku with over 1 million votes.

We know Tinubu would win Kwara and Kogi and likely Borno.

Forget it, Tinubu is president.

1 Like

Re: Lets Analyse Tinubus Remaining Chance Of Winning... by Godwin4444: 9:35am On Feb 27, 2023
EmekaMD:
Tinubu alone didn't pocket southwest.
Obi is winning Lagos
Atiku won Osun.

that is huge lost from his strongest holds.

Again he is underperforming in the North
what d u mean by underperforming in d north

He’s coming second with close margin in virtually all north even in adamawa atiku state

Tinubu is the only candidate coming close in d north, kwankwanso only tried in Kano n tinubu came second with little margin, obi is non existent here, same with other northern states

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