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Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 11:32am On Dec 23, 2024
WrriterNg:
Like I told you. That's from a single day in September. I wasn't planning on showing you everything.

I could keep scrolling till tomorrow afternoon and won't get to the bottom of my orders.

I've processed a total of 3200+ orders on Bybit.

Why don't you show us the dates you made those transactions. For all we know, they could be months apart.

I showed you just a single day transaction. Not in a contest but good luck. I feel like I'm revealing too much.
Man, are you really going down this path with Ibime?


Don't disappoint me.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 6:52pm On Dec 22, 2024
shoodboi2:
Ibime, this thread (link to thread) about the prices of food items in Russia has almost 51,600 views as of today, making it one of the most popular threads on front page in recent days.

I know you have seen it, but I see that in your usual practice, you have refused to comment on it because it just exposed your propaganda about food being expensive in Russia.

These are the prices (1 ruble = 15.03 naira as of today):

— One Turkey leg 108 Rubles About 1,623 naira
— 0.5 kg Pig meat 227 Rubles About 3,412 naira
— One Whole chicken about 1.5kg 180 Rubles about 2,705 naira
— 0.7kg Onions 66 Rubles About 992 naira
— 1kg Sweet Potatoes 94 Rubles About 1,413 naira

Mind you, the OP said it is even expensive because of logistics and the remoteness of Yakutsk to other parts of Russia. So, these things are cheaper in other parts of Russia.

So, Ibime, how much is this sold in the UK? I see one 0.9 kg of turkey leg is 6,484 naira at Tesco. That is about four times the price in Russia. And to even think that the Russian one is larger since it is 1kg and not 0.9.

I checked chicken prices on Tesco too, and that one is even worse 😂😂. But we should not long the talk too much, how much are they sold in your UK since food is cheaper there than Russia?
Let Ibime breath cool.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 6:46pm On Dec 22, 2024
LordAdam16:
Some time in the last 48 hours, ex SAA soldiers neutralized HTS terrorists around Damascus.
Second operation after the first in Latakia.

One time is an anomaly. Two times is a coincidence. Three times is a pattern.

HTS outlets are blaming UAE and Maher al Assad (he is close to UAE, used to be fervently pro-Iran) for the Damascus protests.
Iran demand HTS arrest and prosecute the killers of an embassy staff (the staff is Syrian) who died after his car was shot at a week ago.

I guess the party is getting started.

-Lord
I suspect is less or more of an attempt by Iran or Russia to force the HTS into some sorts of strategic compromise considering that Turkey and the US are also breathing down their neck for their own geopolitical interests.

A lot of surprises are in the offing vis-a-vis Syria.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 11:17am On Dec 17, 2024
WrriterNg:
By this idiot's definition, Nigeria that consumes consumes and consumes is a "Host".

While China that produces everything Nigeria uses is a "Parasite".

The US is closer to being a parasite than Russia. Because the US guzzles and mops up half of the world resources while producing little to nothing.

The US is the largest consumer nation on earth. The real definition of a parasite. Produces virtually nothing aside from arms and inflation which it circulates through the Dollar. I don't think anyone here can remember the last time they saw a Made In US item.

That's why there's a huge trade deficit in the US.

The US for instance exports about $400 billion worth of goods while importing about $750 billion worth of goods. This is just an example.

Russia and China have all had trade surpluses for the 5th year running now.
The only reason why the US is the number economically is because of the Dollar. Kill that and they're nothing.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 2:06pm On Dec 12, 2024
WrriterNg:
⚡Bill Clinton may talk to Biden about preemptive pardon for Hillary so Trump can't lock her up — DAILY MAIL
The guilty are afraid.

James Hardly Chase.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 1:52pm On Dec 11, 2024
dermmy:
US wants to secure all Syria's oil site completely this time this is a big opportunity for them. Syria don finish.
I tell you. They're there for the oil, nothing more.

We still do not know how a Trump would respond to this current escalations.

Turkey will never allow US to secure all Syrian oil sites for itself.

We are going to witness more chaos in the coming weeks.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 1:40pm On Dec 11, 2024
LordAdam16:
To whom much is given, much is expected.
If you want to enjoy power, you must accept the responsibilities that come with it.

Did you guys think the Assads were chewing gum and banging harems for the last 50 years?

A foreign power is encroaching on Syrian soil and destroying the weapons owned by the Syrian state that are crucial to national security.
Assad fought off dozens of group backed by global and regional powers simultaneously.
He did not have two heads.
You did not fight a whole state. SAA did not put up any resistance, they let you advance unimpeded and disbanded.
Now you're fighting just the SDF only and you're already complaining. Go and fight your mate, jihadist cowards!
After all, Turkey and the Gulf are your benefactors.
What are you scared of? If Hamas can do it, so can you!

-Lord
The faceoff between the Turkey backed SNA and the US backed SDF is a spectacle to watch.

Both backers are bringing in reinforcement, especially with Turkey bringing in defense systems. It shows they plan to dig in deeper and for the long haul.

Interesting times ahead.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 1:35pm On Dec 11, 2024
WriteerNg:
So fvcking apt 🎯


This is why I'm never leaving this thread.

BTW. Happy Birthday to us in advance! 🎉 🎊🥂

In 5 days this thread will be 2 years old
Wow. 2 years so quick. How time flies. Thank God for the gift of life.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m):
Regex:
This is a game well played. The fact Russia retained its bases says a lot. I am fully aware of Erdogan two faced polity. I do not blame him for that, he is after his own interest and as long as both Turkey and Russia are ready to compromise when their interest clash would not be a problem however that does not rule out otherwise, as long as both sides are ready to bear the consequences that comes with. This however would be a case for Turkeyie and the general West since the West wants their interest to be supreme. Russia knew about all these and I am sure USA also was aware hence they were able to convince Is.ral to take a deal on ceasefire in Lebanon. They were thinking and are working on how things would turn out for their good in this whole shenengan. Unfortunately the master chess player is their major opponent on this.

I look forward to reading good news from all these.
Can anything good news come out of the Middle East?

More especially in the case of Syria as it is, I doubt.

Syria is like a box of enigma, with too many players and too many competing interests.

I'm happy for Russia because as a great geopolitical gambler, it has managed to play his cards well as such that it's core interest in the country has not suffered extensively.

In fact, given its strategic relationship with many of the players in the Syrian theatre, Russia might just turn out to be the 'peace guarantor ' between the upcoming Syrian new government and Israel.

Israel is on the loose right now in what it termed a preemptive measure to ensure it's own security given the current vacuum in power in Syria. But once a new government emerges, there is definitely going to be hostilities between the two because the government will be duty bound to defend and secure its territorial integrity. And with that government backed by Turkey, it won't take long before it would reinstate whatever military assets that Israel has destroyed at the moment. With Israel backed by the US, and Netanyahu banking on the incoming administration of the Trumpster whom we all know can go all out to defend Israel, the potential or further escalations and a serious Middle East hot war is now greater than ever. This is where Russia comes in., acting as the go-between the various players.

But again, this is the Middle East and anything can happen.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 9:07pm On Dec 10, 2024
Vic2023:
🇸🇾🇹🇷⚡ A large Turkish military convoy enters Syria. The convoy includes air defenses, artillery systems, tanks and armored vehicles.
Like I said, things will get interesting from here onwards. Large US convoy crossing from Iraq into Syria while Turkey is doing the same.

Iran can leverage the advantage to regroup while Russia sit back and watch how these supposed NATO partners kills themselves for the oil and money.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 8:01pm On Dec 10, 2024
Vic2023:
One of the most unpleasant consequences of the change of power in Syria may be the transfer into the hands of militants of the S-300PM-2 air defense system, the Buk-M2E air defense system, the Yakhont coastal missile systems, and front-line
Su-24M2 bombers and MiG-29 fighters
Syria does not operate the S-300 directly. It was being operated by Russians. I suspect by now, they must have removed it from sight and back to Russian base in Kheimemim.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 3:20pm On Dec 10, 2024
seunny4lif:
Unbelievable we just witnessed a war of almost 15 years partial ended within 15 days.

SAA have over 50K yet they couldn’t defend their own country from Rebels and Terrorists, it could have even ended in 2 days if not for Russia trying to slow them down.
Where were the SAA airforces?
Those guys are absolutely insane
Last I was blaming USA military for Afghanistan collapsed but this one is even worse.
Iranian, Hezb and Russian military defended Syria against all odds but the SAA could not even defend themselves till the last man standing. They fought hard for years before Iranians and Hezb came to the rescued.

Maximum in 2 weeks, the rebels will be fighting each others over territory. It was after Gadaffi was killed that Libyans knew they have different tribesmen and it was Gadaffi that united them as one nation.
It was so bad then and now that the so called PM of Libya can’t even control his own area talk less of the citywide or state or country.
Whosoever has more men can control large area, each city have different militias leadership.
Travelling from one town to another is a nightmare.
You have up to different IDs with you from different militants

A messed up Syria is good for Israeli government because Iraq is gone, Lebanon is gone, Jordan is a vassal country and the only country causing them headaches was Syria which used to have government before
Modified they already fighting over who is in control
They chose not to fight. Most of the generals were bought off. Assad is to blame for much of what happened.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 3:14pm On Dec 10, 2024
WrriterNg:
Cc Appleyard, BoldBrainz, Ghostagain, LordAdam16, Masterviolence, Regex, Shoodboi2, MILLE, Usmanpogo

What are your thoughts on this?
Well, Russia has many time shows itself as. master of the geopolitical game. A 'gambler' in the very act of it who knows when to hold his cards, when to fold them, when to walk away, and when to run.

We knew from day one when the SAA soldiers started melting away from their positions that this was a well planned and coordinated offensive against Damascus.

Russia did put up a show, but you cannot help a government that refused to help itself over the years. Be that as it may, one question arises, was this as a result of a direct intelligence failure on the part of Russia?

Well, some so-called western Russian experts believed the 'lightening' offensive as they called it shows there was a gap in Russian intelligence.

It was at this junction I laughed. cool Many Western political analysts despite what happened in Ukraine in 2014 still do not understand the Russian geopolitical mindset.

No, it wasn't as a result of Russian intelligence failure. In fact, back in October, there was a report of a planned and imminent threat of serious hostilities and unusual militia grouping movements in the Northern part of the country. The Russians were aware of it. They saw it coming, but allows it to play out for the same apt reasons the writer you mentioned stated.

Just like it happened in 2014, when the Maidan coup was building up, Russian intelligence saw it but allows it to play out according to the western design script.

And Yanukovick was toppled and fled to Moscow. Then Russia played out it's side of the geopolitical chestboard--Crimea. cool

The endgame of the US-led NATO design for Ukraine was to establish a huge and formidable naval presence on the doorsteps of Russia, and that would have been getting to Sevastopol. Since a Russian speaking president can not agree to that, he has to go, hence the color coded Maidan square revolution that took him out.

But little did they know the grandmaster across the chestboard is always a step ahead.

Russia needed a perfect and legitimate excuse to bring back Crimea, which they did without firing a single shot, as the west played right into the trap they created for themselves.

Now, Syria is here again. As usual, many of our inhouse pygmies doing life in Langley prison of misinformation are rejoicing citing the Russian failure to save the Assad regime from the eventual collapse.

But, it's Russia, rather, that has tacitly allowed the plot to play out. How? Why?

The How. Six months prior to the fall of Damascus, the takfiris did notify Turkey of their intention to launch an offensive into Alleppo. That notification couldn't have gone unnoticed by Russian intelligence because, during that same period, Russia offered to directly trained the Syrian Arab Army, but as usual, the Syrian government refused.

Moreover, Assad's refusal to take the deal Erdogan offered him to retake thousands of Syrian migrants and also influence the Kurds in the Turkish-Syrian border areas to pull back is an indication of the fact that Assad has always been a rigid, inflexible leader. Even the Iranian foreign minister recently corroborated this fact.

To put it mildly, Assad was a simple, good man but not an effective leader that knows when to hold his cards, when to fold them, when to walk away, and when to run.

Recently, the Iranian foreign minister did openly revealed that Assad himself was shocked at the way his own army melted away from their positions. A leader that has poor internal knowledge of what goes on within his inner circle cannot be propped up forever. Even his own ambassador to Moscow has condemned Assad for his ineffectiveness in every aspect of Syrian living standards and politics. His years of neglect and indifference made it easy for his army generals to be bought over and refused to fight, something neither Russia nor Iran can hardly do anything about.

But, then why did Russia bother to put up a show by bombing sectors of the advancing takfiris?

Well, common sense demand that they do afterall, they were there on the invitation of Assad.

Moreover, the bombings did send a string warning to the takfiris and their handlers that Russia is committed to keeping it's two military facilities in Syria and will go all out to ensure their safety no matter whose horse is gored. And it seemed that message has been well heard because the takfiris has made commitment to Russia that nothing would happen to its naval and airbase leases once they assume power.

Of course this was always going to be one of the outcome of the emergency tripartite meeting between Russia, Iran, and Turkey following the launch of the offensive by the takfiris.

By allowing things to play out as they did (based on whatever underlying deals struck behind closed doors), Russia and Iran were able to scale the geopolitical traps laid for them by the western designs. Russia will not have to commit too much lives and resources in waging another war like it did in 2015 till 2022. At the same time, the Russians are able to keep their bases intact and maintain their presence in the Middle East.

And here is why it gets interesting;

1. Whatever government that would come into power in Syria will have to make do with Russia's presence. Considering how polarized the country is right now, some groups would definitely demand Russian presence as a precondition to whatever agreement reach in the upcoming coalition in order to protect their interest and serve as a checkmate against possible overtures by the US and Turkish backed groups in the new coalition.

2. As long as Russia is in Syria, the dream Qatar;Turkey pipeline to Europe would not materialse.

3. It will not take long before Iran will reestablish access to those airbases seized in Alleppo and Hama, because you cannot kill an ideology, and there are thousands of ideologically driven people waiting to serve Iranian interests in the country.

4. The ongoing Israeli bombings across the Syrian border towns right now, which would definitely prompt the new Syrian government to react defensively in the near future. This could potentially pit Turkey against Israel in a direct military confrontation since Turkey is a staunch backer of the HTS-run Syrian new government. Then you have Iranian groups on one side, which, together with the Turkey backed groups wants the US out of the country. Already, Turkish backed groups SNA has taken Manbij from US backed group SDF.

So the strategic defeat they think they inflicted on Russia or Iran with the removal of Assad is not a victory at all but a fallacy that would come back to haunt those involved.

There is a reason why Hamas is happy that HTS conquered Syria.

Israel will soon have on its door posts a rabid caliphate backed by Turkey in its Ottoman revanchism, and driven by someone devoid of Assad's temperance.

Recent videos from some members of the HTS while celebrating their recent victory in Damascus saw two soldiers saying that they're coming for Jerusalem.

There is a lot of surprises in waiting for the middle east, and Syria will once again play a key role in its events.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 9:50am On Dec 09, 2024
LordAdam16:
Update:

The Turkey-backed terrorists successfully seized Deir ez-Zor from the US-backed SDF.
The US had to mobilize aircrafts to provide cover for retreating SDF units.

No one is advancing to Russia controlled coastal cities of Latakia and Tartus where pro-Assad elements have taken refuge.
SAA personnel who cannot make it to the coast are still withdrawing to Iraq.

Besides the early strikes where SAA/Iranian militants/Russian jets killed hundreds of terrorists; all sides largely retain their forces and are consolidating in their respective territories.
Assad's PM says many ministers are still in Damascus.
Clearly, the deal to avoid a confrontation was not only made by the Generals.
The politicos were read in.

-Lord
After listening that Segey Lavrov said in Doga during an interview with Al Jazeera, i became convinced that there was a lot of backdoor agreements between the major powers that plays the Syrian geopolitical ball game.

The coming weeks will be very interesting, especially with how they plan to share power between the various groups.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 9:51am On Dec 08, 2024
LordAdam16:
Southfront reported that Russian intelligence informed Assad of HTS moves in Idlib as recently as August.
I don't know if they're just covering their a$$, but it is believable because Russian planes have been carrying out sorties in Idlib throughout this year.

When the dust settles, we'll get more information on who knew what and when.
And what role the majors played in this debacle.

There are many interests groups in Syria.
The Axis can butt heads.
These are Sunni Arabs. Nuff said.
All it takes is a false flag to start sh*t.
So I'm not concerned about Iranian interests.
Russia should deal with the fallout.
They permitted Israel to inflict damage on the Resistance network in Syria.
They pushed for the negotiated settlement when the Axis needed one push to take Idlib.
They saved Erdogan from the CIA-backed coup.
They certainly added to the voices in Assad's ear warning him about allowing major Iranian deployments.
If they lose their bases, it'll be karmic.

Assad made a lot of strategic errors.
The lack of fortifications is the primary mistake.
A close second is denying Iran a conventional military presence.
Iran kept asking for it and he rebuffed the request every time.
A conventional massive military presence means multiple bases, air defense brigades, intelligence corps, tons of materiel, and tens of thousands of troops.
The current SAA is full of LARPers. The Arab monarchies permit thousands of American troops in multiple bases for a reason.
The Gulf War taught everyone a lesson. Arab national armies are a colossal waste of space. You need folks who wouldn't be negotiating an out when push comes to shove. An Iranian ground force would have made a stand, inflicted heavy losses, and bought valuable time.

Iraqi militias answered the call.
Hezbollah stayed until the SAA decided to withdraw.
But Assad made the SAA the tip of his spear and is paying the price of that unfounded confidence.

The SAA lost Palmyra twice during the civil war.
Both times, they needed Hezbollah and Wagner to recover Palmyra.
They walked out of Palmyra this week.
They left before militants were even in the area.
The militants rode in on motorbikes
So I think for multiple players, it just felt like the end of the road.
It is not sustainable to always import a coalition every time some barbarians get on their motorbikes.
We've been propping up people playing dress-up. Let Assad and his generals go with their mediocrity if that's what it comes down to.
It's the middle east, there'll always be new partners.

-Lord
Well, it's official: Damascus has fallen without. Fight. Assad has left the capital.


This is really interesting, especially considering how polarized the country is.

Now, the euphoria of Assad departure is on the vibe, but a repeat of the Libyan experience is imminent because of the too many players in the equations.

Time will tell.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 11:43pm On Dec 07, 2024
LordAdam16:
Nothing is ruled out.

And it's primarily because of Assad's military high command.
Pulling troops back to Damascus for a last stand is a questionable tactic.
Why would you want to be besieged from three fronts in a capital that Israel can bomb at will under the guise of targeting Iranian assets?
And if they're withdrawing easily from Aleppo, Hama, Homs; why would they suddenly switch gears in Damascus.
It's easier at that point to cut a deal and open the gates. That's if certain generals and intelligence officers aren't already on the take.

The tactic itself can be a masterstroke.
Like Putin letting Prigozhin march unimpeded for a long while.
It's quintessentially Russian in character.
But the SAA does not currently inspire confidence.
And Occam's Razor may be apt here. It could just be they're incompetent or they've sold out Assad.
The government troops heading back to Damascus may not going there to defend Assad but to deliver the coup de grace.

Some of Assad's allies are still holding out in sections of Hama, so the Axis Powers are puzzled about the high command's decision to consistently withdraw without much of a fight.
All Assad needs right now is two weeks without rapid losses.
Somehow his high command cannot manage that or deliberately choose not to.
We'll know which it is later this week.

-Lord
It's obvious they have sold out given what we have seen so far and the information coming in from Damascus is that Assad has fled the capital while about 2000SAA soldiers have crossed the border into Iraq to seek refuge.

If this is true, we can safely say the Assad's family 54 years dynasty in Syria have finally come o an end.

But many questions remain unanswered and the situation is even more puzzling than it appears.

What was the outcome of the recent meeting between Russia, Iran, and Turkey at the top levels? What deal have they struck?

I guess we will never know.

What would be the fate of Russian naval port and airbase in Syria assuming the info is true and that Assad is deposed?

A lot of things don't make sense.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 10:05am On Dec 07, 2024
WrriterNg:
When it backfires it's you that will need checkup.

Continue cheering on ISIS, Al Qaeda and the rest.
There are times I don't understand you guys here. Must you reply every post designed to derail the thread away from common sense and sane engagement? Leave senseless people with their senselessness, don't give them the attention they seek, and the thread will become tantrum-free.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 9:58am On Dec 07, 2024
LordAdam16:
Deploy battalions. Not advisers.
Assad needs bodies.

It does appear Assad has opted to mount his defense in Damascus.
The risk is that senior officers will put him on house arrest, launch a coup, and open the gates to the terrorists.

If he survives this, I will completely understand Assad going scorched earth.

-Lord
If Assad survives this, men, the repercussion would be bloody all the way to the borders with Turkey.

The more I think of it, the more I shudder at what lies ahead.

Have you considered the possibility that the man could be assassinated? sad
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 9:51am On Dec 07, 2024
seunny4lif:
Rebels/ Terrorists—oooh, but the matter is that this is really bad for the government, and the fact that SAA troops are leaving those places without a fight shows that something is going wrong.
There are over 30 different groups fighting each other in Syria
“Iraq has decided not to intervene in the events in Syria militarily”
— member of the Security and Defense Committee of the Council of Representatives of Iraq Yasser Iskander

The Jordanian Interior Ministry has announced the Closure of all Border Crossings between Syria and Jordan, following the capture of the Nasib Border Crossing earlier today by Rebel Forces.
Chinese embassy also notified their citizens to leave the country

The Turkish President today
"Idlib, Hama, Homs and, of course, Damascus. Opposition forces are advancing towards Damascus. We hope that this advance will continue without any incidents."
If Turkey actually makes that last paragraph statement, then it's certain that so much shite will hit the fan sooner than we think. I know Erdogan is a two-faced sellout, but thinking he can play both the East and the west at the same time , leveraging Turkiye's strategic location and it's NATO partnership is strategy that only works for a while and backfire immensely later on like it happened in 2015.

As for the Iraqis saying they will not get involved, I'm not too sure about that because the politicians says one thing and the military grouping says another contradicting each other. In fact, they will have no option later on but ro intervention because this would clearly spiral into their country whether they like it or not, especially if Assad regime falls.

The coming weeks will be deadly, and the cosmic numerals suggest a bleak period for Syria as a nation.

If you recall, intense fighting started in similar faction in the late period of 2014, and just when it seems the Assad regime would go down, the Russian and Iranian overt intervention began in early 2015 after a Russian genera walked into the office of the US military headquarters in Iraq and submitted a 24-hour clear-the-air notice, warning the US and it's allies of Russia's intended direct military engagement in Syria, which immediately followed the next day.

Today, we're here again....December, the last month of 2024, and the takfiris are getting closer to Damascus like it happened in 2014. January 2025 is pregnant with many unseen events that might make 2015 a child's play book in the cosmic orderliness of things.

I hate to say it, but this is going to get very ugly for everyone involved. It could potentially spark a huge war in the Med as Alois Irlmaier predicted.

These are scary times.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 4:27pm On Dec 06, 2024
seunny4lif:
If Syria government loss Homs then Syria are back to 2015 but this time around Rebels have upper hand because Russia military are busy in Ukraine war but the fact that the rebels are moving freely without meeting any airstrikes from Syria military jets means something is going wrong, Hezb militants right now have no leadership to coordinate them and Iran leadership right went weak since the death of Iran 2nd most powerful person that was killed like a dog, something USA will not tried with even North Korea government.

Russia military will lose her bases in Syria for life because of Putin refusing to listen to her allies in 2020 when they told him that the peace deal on Syria was bad.
Syria government dismissed, and disbanded many of top military officers after the war.

Syria 2020 and Ukraine 2014 peace deals has showed that Putin doesn’t know how to negotiate peace deal.
Many Russians are still angry at him for that 2014 peace deal.
Peace deal is good when your enemy can’t even negotiate or raise in any or shape in the future like Japan, Germany post-WW 2

Erdogan has just announced he’s being the invasion of Syria which he hopes will go to Damascus.

Those guys are not rebels. The western press keeps calling them that but they're not.
They are terrorists who cleanse and erase Christian and other minority populations wherever they have gone in Northern Syria. The majority of them are not even Syrians They are expansionist Islamist forces backed by Turkey. They have already imposed a curfew on churches in Aleppo as we speak.

Thousands of Syrian Christians have fled Alleppo and are internally displaced. The ones that remained in the city live in significant fear, as violence against them could intensify rapidly.

No one should fall for the PR stunt they're doing right now. Their Islamic cutthroat ideology is still intact and already being demonstrated.

As for Homs, the battle would be brutal, but if the rumors are true that there is an attempted coup against Assad, then more problems could before Damascus. Come to think of it, the way the SAA abandons their positions without much efforts and the confidence the terrorist demonstrated going forward suspiciously indicates that they have insiders and sleeper cells within the top echelon of the Assad government setup that I aiding them.

The coming weeks will be very interesting.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 3:48pm On Dec 06, 2024
Lawag3:
I could not have said most of what you wrote better.
Fact is fact, no matter whose horse is gored. These are dangerous times.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 8:38am On Dec 06, 2024
WrriterNg:
⚡A Russian Air Force Il-76 military transport aircraft (RA-78840) arrived at the Khmeimim Airbase in Syria from Moscow.
There would definitely have to be some sort of foreign reinforcement to bolster the Syrian Arab Army against the rapidly advancing takfiris cum opposition fighters.

I don't expect that reinforcement to come from Hezbollah in terms of substantial manpower considering that the war with Israel has taking a toll on its ranks (though there is rumor they're now actively recruiting to try and have enough forces they can send to Syria).

Russian airpower will not be enough to stop the advancing terrorists. They need to put extensive troops on the ground. The best option would have been Wagner but the time frame is too short, and their commitments across Africa and in the Ukraine war means getting a significant number of them would be extremely if not totally difficult.

This leaves us with two remaining options.

Iran could send troops as they have threatened. However, If they do, this can quickly cause the crisis to spiral into a full blown regional war because, Israel would most likely attack the Iranian deployed troops, and should that happens, the Iranian response would be crazy and instantaneous, which in turn, may tempt the US to intervene on behalf of Israel, thus putting Russian military assets in the crosshair because it is certain that the Iranians would be heavily reliant on and using Russian military facilities since their access to their favourite military bases in Alleppo and Hama has now been cut off by the rebels after seizing those cities in the surprise attacks that appears to be well coordinated with western supports.

And we all know what would likely happen if Russian bases in Latakia and elsewhere in Syria's comes under direct attacks. Russian subs and war ships are already in striking positions in the Med and Baltic seas. The response would be ear-splitting.

Even the Yankees understand this risk hence they have reopened a communication hotline with the Russians in Syria, akin to the days of the Syrian uprising and the Russian overt intervention back in 2015.

Many people don't know how close we are now to WW3 than before.

That leaves us with one last option.

Allow the Iraqi militia grouping to cross from Iraq into Syria as they have pledged recently. If they do before the terrorist reaches and cut off Homs, the battle would likely swing back in Syria's army favour because the Iraqi militia has a large army grouping numbering up to 100,000 fighters. With Russian and Syrian air power, the so-called HTS forces would have more than enough to cope with and their imminent defeat would cause their secret sponsors to surface in the open. From there, things will either cool down with backdoor deals or escalate based on the risk calculus by the opposing powers that be.

Till then, Damascus faces a real threat if Homs falls.

The real winner in all of this chaos is Israel.

But the reason why this current shite is even more dangerous is the fact that Russia will NEVER allow the Assad regime to fall, not after investing so much for many years.

Russia don't backstab or abandon their friends.

When they stand up for you, they stand up with you to the end.

Undermine the Russian resolve to your own peril.

The only regrettable thing is that these cities now in the hands of the terrorist will once again be bombed back into the stone age of ruins they were many years ago, no thanks to the US driven war policy and interventionism in the Middle East.

One day, the fowl will come home to roost.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 9:02pm On Dec 05, 2024
IMEI:
Ladies and Gentlemen

I present to you the 'honest muslim' israel supporter, who self-confessedly doesn't believe in God
grin

That logic again. grin
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 8:56pm On Dec 05, 2024
Mille:
I couldn't believe this is a newspaper headline.

From the Telegraph about HTS. Al Qaeda is being rebranded in my lifetime. Unbelievable.

WTF is diversity-friendly jihadists?
When it suits their narrative, it's diversity and friendly, but when it doesn't, it's terrorists and terrorism.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 5:27pm On Dec 04, 2024
shoodboi2:
The opposition wanted to impeach him, so he responded by introducing martial law before they could. And as usual, he claimed the opposition were North Korean apologists to rally support for the martial law.
And it failed dramatically.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 11:14am On Dec 04, 2024
WrriterNg:
No one is touching Dystopianmumu and Okeysonninv records for the foreseeable future.
You can't outdo the Reddit thief and Prophet of Baal combo. Even Satan would have a hard time outdoing them. cool
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 11:07am On Dec 04, 2024
seunny4lif:
South Korea’s Ministry of Defense has convened a meeting of key commanders, and all branches of the armed forces have been ordered to increase combat readiness.

Welcome to demoCRAZY
Fela was right all along. Western democrazy and demonstration of madness in full swing
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 11:01am On Dec 04, 2024
shoodboi2:
If this happened in China, Russia, or North Korea, western news agencies would have been passing it as breaking news and calling their so-called "experts" for interviews.

But it's all good since it's happening in South Korea.
By God, what was the rationale for the martial law? Power, indeed, corrupt.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 3:59pm On Dec 03, 2024
WrriterNg:
I swear you go nearly craze. Their reasoning dey upside down.


They weren't lying when they said you might run mad while arguing with a mad person.
You can never reason with a mad man. The best is to avoid him.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 3:48pm On Dec 03, 2024
shoodboi2:
It's funny you call other people 'dumb' when it's you who is dumb. Is that not Google Earth?

Are you so dumb that you don't even know that Google Earth is not live and is shown from images taken up to five years prior?

And in the case of Ukraine, Google hasn't even updated it since the war began. This particular image was 5 years ago in 2019.

You're clearly not very smart. Imagine you were in court, is this what you would have done?

What else will you do now? Show us Bakhmut on Google Earth and claim the city is still standing and in Ukraine hands because Google Earth shows it filled with buildings?

You should really consider signing into a circus 🤡🤡🤡
Its funny how our inhouse western bots can conveniently dispute the impact of Oreshnik when immediately after the strike, NATO called an emergency meeting and Elensky now considering the possibility of ceding some territories to Russia in a possible peac deal.

I have said it many times before, you can't convince someone who is intentionally deluded and pride themselves as apostles of mendacity.

The best answer to these class of people is strict adherence to the SIO. This has helped me to protect my sanity.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 6:59pm On Dec 01, 2024
WriteerNg:
But US backed PKK are fighting on Assad's side.
One reason I said this is beyond Turkey's own doing.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 6:58pm On Dec 01, 2024
dvkot:
You win some, you lose some.

Since they are losing in Ukraine, let them win in Syria besides if the Syrian army are not ready to fight their battle, i don't see why Russia should step in.

Nice move from Turkey and US. Game is Game
I don't see Turkey's hand in this current terrorist attack. It doesn't make sense that they toll this line now since they will have so much to lose in terms of a new wave of migrants overflowing into their country. While they share in the blame, I think this is something that equally took them off guard.

US and Israel handwritings is all over this. A redestabilized Syria is good for Israel's war with Hezbollah and on Gaza. However, things can quickly turnaround if Iran seized the opportunity to launch a reprisal attack on Israel for the IDF last attack on Iran, while it's proxies focus on attacking US military installations across the Middle East.

The new Middle East war that Alois Irlmaier talked about would have began in earnest.

Interesting times ahead.

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