₦airaland Forum

QuotaSystem:
Self consolation built on fallacies, upon the final realization of Obi’s non-existent mandate.



The North was not taught any lesson, you’re pretending to forget that our Northern governors willfully conceded the Presidential ticket to the South, which makes Tinubu’s Presidency a fulfilled agenda.

We were deliberate and intentional about a Tinubu Presidency for two main reasons:

1. The existence of Nigeria as it is. If we had backed a north-north Presidential transition, more southerners would be disillusioned at the concept of “one Nigeria” and would be drawn the ‘gospel’ of burgeoning secessionist forces. IPOB and Oduduwa agitators would have hijacked the sentiment of discontent for their agenda.

2. We knew Atiku neither had capacity nor track record of performance & was only an opportunistic, corrupt politician that couldn’t provide the kind of progressive governance that Nigeria sorely needs. Now we are in pole position for 2031 Presidency and have earned the trust/loyalty of our SW allies who have pledged to reciprocate in due course.

If it was the north’s intention to retain power, we would have voted en-bloc for PDP and the 2 million votes lead Tinubu enjoyed would have been non-existent and Atiku would have won the election.

In raw numbers crunched by TheCable Index, Tinubu beat Atiku in the north-west, scoring 2,652,824 votes compared to his opponent’s 2,197,824. Not only were Atiku’s margins in some of the states narrow, Tinubu took a whopping half a million votes in Kano alone.
In fact, Tinubu got 30 percent of his total votes from the north-west alone. That is almost one-third.

Another fallacy is the notion that Obi had any chance to win the North Central. That is a notion that existed solely in the heads of typically politically naive obidients that didn’t realize that Niger, Kogi and Kwara are part of their presumed NC/middle belt, and would always vote alongside the NW. The remaining 3 NC states would always be split across parties. Obi didn’t stand a chance in the NC from the word go.

Furthermore, due to his affiliation & sympathies for IPOB terrorists that he never failed to defend, Obi didn’t stand any chance in the NW & NE either. Ever wondered why he had no choice but to appoint fellow Igbos as Campaign coordinators in core Northern states like Sokoto etc.?

The only region that has been taught and re-taught an important existential lesson is the South East; that any candidate can do without S/Eastern votes and still successfully emerge President. In fact going forward, Presidential candidates might consider Eastern campaigns as an avoidable, unnecessary expense.

This has been proven TWICE by a Northerner (PMB) and now a THIRD time by a fellow Southerner…. and an added lesson about the futility of “nzogbu-nzogbu” politics; that it’s impossible to win Presidential elections without building bridges across the country, as some Obidients erroneously thought before the polls.

You nailed it

kokorokoman:
show us the hypocrisy here, buhari appointment were 81 notherners in 100 appointments
1. Tukur Buratai Chief of Army Staff Borno/North-East

2. Babagana Monguno National Security Adviser Borno/North-East

3. Abubakar Lawal Aide de Camp Kano/North-West

4. Femi Adesina SA, Media and Publicity Osun/South-West

5. Garba Shehu SA, Media and Publicity Kano/North-West

6. Lawal Kazaure State Chief of Protocol Jigawa/North-West

7. Ahmed Idris Accountant General Kano/North-West

8. Abayomi Olonishakin Chief of Defence Staff Ekiti/South-West

9. Ibok-Ete Ekwe Ibas Chief of Naval Staff Cross River/South-South

10. Sadique Abubakar Chief of Air Staff Bauchi/North-East

11. Monday Morgan Chief, Defence Intel Benue/North-Central

12. Lawal Daura DG, State Security Services Katsina/North-West

13. Mahmood Yakubu INEC Chairman Bauchi/North-East

14. Hadiza Bala Usman MD, NPA, Kaduna/North-West

15. Paul Boroh SA, Niger Delta Amnest Bayelsa/South-South

16. Dakuku Peterside DG, NIMASA Rivers/South-South

17. Umaru Dambatta Chief Executive, NCC Kano/North-West

18. Babatunde Fowler Chairman, FIRS Lagos/South-West

19. Aliyu Gusau DG, Budget Office Zamfara/North-West

20. Maikanti Baru GMD, NNPC Bauchi/North-East

21. Babachir Lawal SGF Adamawa/North-East

22. Abba Kyari Chief of Staff Borno/North-East

23. Hameed Ali CG, Nigerian Customs Kaduna/North-West

24. Kure Abeshi CG, Nigerian Immigration Nasarawa/North-Central

25. Ita Enang SSA, National Assembly Akwa Ibom/South-South

26. Suleiman Kawu SSA, National Assembly Kano/North-West

27. Modecai Baba Ladan Director, DPR Kano/North-West

28. Ahmed Lawan Kuru MD, AMCON Yobe/North-East

29. Mohammed Kari Insurance Commission Bauchi/North-East

30. Ibrahim Magu Acting Chairman, EFCC Borno/North-East

31. Abike Dabiri SSA, Diaspora Ogun/South-West

32. Abdullahi Muhammadu CG, NSCDS Niger/North-Central

33. Winifred Oyo-Ita Head of Service Cross River/South-West

34. Aishah Ahmad Deputy Gov. CBN Niger/North-Central

35. Mary Ekpere DG, NCWD Cross River/South-South

36. Dikko AbdulRahman Chairman, BoI Borno/North-East

37. Ahmed Dangiwa MD, Federal M. Bank Kaduna/North-West

38. Melville Ebo ED, Federal M. Bank Anambra/South-East

39. Dankane Abdullahi ED, Federal M. Bank Kebbi/North-West


40. Alex Okoh DG, BPE Edo/South-South

41. Ibrahim Goni CG, National Park Niger/North-Central

42. Nasiru Ladan DG, NDE Niger/North-Central

43. Saliu Alabi DG, MINILS Benue /North-Central

44. Jeffery Barminas DG, RICT Adamawa/North-East

45. Haruna Yerima DG, NISER, Borno/North-East

46. Mohammed Tukur Secretary, FCC Adamawa/North-East

47. Shettima Abba Chairman, FCC Borno/North-East

48. Tunde Erukera ES, CPP Kogi/North-Central

49. Umar Gambo Jibrin ES, FCDA Bauchi/North-East

50. Muhammad Abdallah CEO, NDLEA Adamawa/North-East

Name Portfolio State/region

51. Garba Abari DG, NOA Yobe/North-East

52. Sule Kazaure DG, NYSC Jigawa/North-West

53. Jelani Aliyu DG, NADDC Sokoto/North-West

54. Bayo Onanuga DG, NAN Ogun/South-South

55. Ibrahim Idris IG of Police Niger/North-Central

56. Ghaji Bello DG, NPC Gombe/North-East

57. Saleh Dunoma MD, FAAN Not confirmed

58. U.S.A. Sadiq Dir, Security, FAAN Not confirmed

59. Rabiu Yadudu, Dir Operations, FAAN Kano/North-West

60. Salisu Daura Dir, Maintenance, FAAN Katsina/North-West

61. Rahimatu Aminu-Aliyu ED, Federal M. Bank North

62. Julie Okah DG, NAPTIP South-South

63. Bello Rabiu COO, NNPC Kano/North-West

64. Henry Ikem-Obih COO, NNPC South-South

65. Bello Gusau ES, PTDF Nasarawa/North-Central

66. Isiaka Abdulrazaq CFO, NNPC Kwara/North-Central

67. Isa Inuwa COO, NNPC North

68. Saidu Muhammad COO, NNPC North

69. Babatunde Adeniran COO, NNPC South-West

70. Chidi Momah Secretary, NNPC Not confirmed

71. Modecai Baba Ladan Dir, DPR Niger/North-Central

72. Eberechukwu Uneze ED, AMCON Imo/South-East

73. Aminu Ismail ED, AMCON Kano/North-West

74. Ishaq Oloyede Registrar, JAMB Ogun/South-West

75. Chidi K. C. Izuwah DG, ICRC South-East

76. Bolaji OwasanoyeICPCSouth-West

77. Lenrie Aina National Librarian Ogun/South-West

78. Charles Uwakwe NECO Not confirmed

79. Umaru Maza Maza Chair, REA Kebbi/North-West

80. Damilola Ogunbiyi MD, REA Lagos/South-West

81. Sanusi Ohiare ED, REA Kogi/North-Central

82. Fola C. Akinkuotu MD, NAMA South-West

83. Sani Abubakar Mashi DG, NiMet Katsina/North-West

84. Abdulsalam Mohammed Rector, NCAT Kogi/North-Central

85. Akinola Olateru Commissioner, AIB South-West

86. Abubakar Rasheed EO, NUC North

87. Abdulkadir Umar ES, PPPRA North

88. Elias Nwalem RMAFC Ebonyi/South-East

89. Marilyn Amobi NBET South-East

90. Faisal Shuaib ES, NPHCDA Nasarawa/North-Central

91. Umaru Ibrahim NDIC Kano/North-West

92. Uja Tor Uja NCPC Benue/North-Central

93. Isa Pantami DG, NITDA Gombe/North-East

94. Patience Oniha DG, DMO Edo/South-South

95. Nnenna Akajemeli CEO, SERVICOM Imo/South-East

96. Folashade Joseph MD, NAIC Kogi/North-Central

97. Cecilia Gaya DG, ASCON Adamawa/North-East

98. Luci Ajayi ES, LITFMB Edo/South-South

99. Lanre Gbajabiamila DG, NLRC Lagos/South-West

100. Usman Abubakar Chair, NRC Katsina/North-West

Dey play. Buhari at some point gave south more appointment than north with south west getting more appointments

Beremx:
Buhari that was 💯 percent favourable to the north, how did it end?

Your prayer should be for Tinubu to appoint incompetent people from the north to flush out banditry and terrorism that Buhari created and not for selfish interest.

I am Igbo and Buhari was never favorable to the north. He was fair and appointed people he can trust. Just like Tinubu has done.

Fairness is never until Igbo or Hausa or Yoruba is appointed. Competence must first be considered. Jonathan did same thing. Yar Adua did same thing too. Including Obasanjo.

imoh4king:
You must be from a certain part of Nigeria to sound like this.
Foolish soul.

Devil st*rike you bast*ard.

ImperialYoruba:
Shut up! I say shut up!!.

Tinubu told you months before election that he will select his cabinet and administration based on merit and competencies. Did he not say that in public? He did...and yet you voted for him. Then deal with it.

The criteria for working in this administration is competency, not ethnicity or religion.

You must be very Stu*pid. Did I tell you I am ready for your I'd*iocy here. I am pointing the hypocrisy of the southern media when it concerns northern leaders piloting the affairs of the country.

What is my business with you bast*add?

mumu9gerian:
Have you read their profiles?

What has their profile got to do with nepotism.

We in south just love crying foul where there is none especially when a northerner is in the saddle.

Compare Buharu's appointments and that if OBASANJO AND GEJ and see that we are sometimes cry babies in south.

PARADIZEPRIEST:
BUHARI MAGNIFIED HIS NEPOTISM TO THE HIGHEST LEVEL OF DISGUST,BIAS AND HATRED WITH DUMMY BRAINS AND BULLIES. THANK GOD NIGERIA SURVIVED IT. He can neva have peace,so let him abscond to Niger, WE WILL NOT BLAME PRES. TINUBU IF HE DOES SO WITH COMPETENT BRAINS. YES LET TINUBU PUT YORUBA WITH BRAINS THERE IN FEC AND ALL OVER.YES!!!!!

So in comparison to Obasanjo and GEJ, Buhari was Nepotic?

Ndi eri eri

forexprophet:
Yes ...it's good....in other to balance the quantity of Fulani that buhari stocked in all the MDAs..... Buhari started it

TINUBU is just balancing it.

Check very well, in comparison to other Presidents, Buhari was never nepotistic

EmeeNaka:
Buhari is the most nepotistic individual that has ever ruled Nigeria.
Tinubu is less than 1 month in office and criminals from North want to compare him with Buhari in nepotism.
We are watching Tinubu, but it's not yet time to judge him. He is yet to make one-hundreth of appointments.

You fell for the media lies.
Tinubu will follow similar line of appointments.

madridguy:


They used media to paint Baba Buhari like that. We always talk am but they will call us names. Every president will always bring his own people which people from his tribe are likely to take incharge.

The media saw that he president Buhari will never patronize them. So they started painting him bad.

Same line if appointments Obasanjo to GEJ followed is what Buhari followed. Now Tinubu has followed it too. Yet Buhari is the nepotistic one.

Na people way fall for the lies shah

PERSPECTIVE IS KEY AND POWERFUL
.... If na Buhari dey make all these appointments when Tinubu dey make, we for don dey hear Nepotism, Fulanization and Islamization gibberish..... That is why me, as a person try as much as possible to avoid crowd mentality, avoid being used as a manipulative tool by the media.... That was why I was a proud supporter and still a proud supporter of Buhari becos he was largely a victim of skewed media narrative which are usually deployed by our press especially when a president of Northern extraction leads this country.... They result to blackmail because the South controls the mainstream media in this country

Bluntguy:
Wrong again! Did the Igbos not vote for MKO in 1993 when he contested against Bashir Tofa, a core Northerner? Look your assertion that Igbos and Yorubas normally vote against themselves is very wrong. The Igbos normally vote for who protects their interest no matter where you are coming from. The Yorubas even voted for Olu Falae against Obasanjo in 1999, Obasanjo was delivered by the rest of Nigerians, including the Igbos. Like you said, no ill intentions, but understand that the Igbos have never and will never play politics of hatred against anyone, the only thing people imagine is that if they do not support and tell you plain that you do not have their support, a lot of people see it as hatred. Buhari saw the non support of Igbos as hatred, but that is where Tinubu has a strong positive as a progressive. Buhari is never a progressive but Tinubu had to tolerate him for eight years in order to ascend the presidency, which he has finally done.

Here we go again.

Nigeria economy was doing fairly OK under Abacha and Abdusalam with prices of goods and services relatively stable. Inflation was low. Then the evil genus obasanjo came and prices of goods and service tripled. These is even with reliefs his government was getting from the international community.

Kudos to him out GDP increased in percentage over a period, but that was necessitated largely by the an increase and relative stability in oil price and also the cancellation of our foreign debts. A gesture that we alongside many third world countries benefited from.

Obasanjo was a disaster to Nigerians and set the tune to most of the Wong's in our institutions.

Now, would you compare the resources available to Obasanjo to that available to Buhari? Resources available to both differ yet Obasanjo struggled to put necessary infrastructures in place.

Yeah sometimes, I wished Buhari was even as dictatorial as obasanjo was as president who doesn't give recourse to the constitution all the time. Who know, PMB would have fought corruption to the level we all expected.

Would Obasanjo have been able to navigate Nigeria through two all time oil price crash? Would he have navigate Nigeria through a world pandemic and a war that is currently ravaging the world and would take decade for the world to recover?

Time will tell.

Here we go again.

Nigeria economy was doing fairly OK under Abacha and Abdusalam with prices of goods and services relatively stable. Inflation was low. Then the evil genus obasanjo came and prices of goods and service tripled. These is even with reliefs his government was getting from the international community.

Kudos to him out GDP increased in percentage over a period, but that was necessitated largely by the an increase and relative stability in oil price and also the cancellation of our foreign debts. A gesture that we alongside many third world countries benefited from.

Obasanjo was a disaster to Nigerians and set the tune to most of the Wong's in our institutions.

Now, would you compare the resources available to Obasanjo to that available to Buhari? Resources available to both differ yet Obasanjo struggled to put necessary infrastructures in place.

Yeah sometimes, I wished Buhari was even as dictatorial as obasanjo was as president who doesn't give recourse to the constitution all the time. Who know, PMB would have fought corruption to the level we all expected.

Would Obasanjo have been able to navigate Nigeria through two all time oil price crash? Would he have navigate Nigeria through a world pandemic and a war that is currently ravaging the world and would take decade for the world to recover?

Time will tell.

Very useless write up.

Buhari was faced with by far Nigeria worse moments locally and internationally.

Nigeria suffered oil price crash to its all time low twice under president Buhari.
The world suffered a disastrous pandemic that ravaged the world economy especially developing and under developed countries like Nigeria.

The war in Ukraine triple these suffering. Yet you all want Nigeria operate in isolation to the negative happenings across the world.
I was expecting you to use your normal "even Ghana are doing better than Nigeria" rethorics . but alas, Ghana economy has collapsed and need a bail out to survive. Including south Africa economy.

While Bihar has his faults which include his failing to live up to expectations on security, it is ridiculous and wicked to see you all not considering the harsh conditions he worked under for 8-years.

And all your cry of Nepotism is just pyre nonsense. Buhari appointments were almost evenly distributed. So you all should spare us all those nepotism rubbish that you all kept quiet when previous governments followed similar path.

Why not compare the revenue available to Buhari and that of other administrations.

Buhari will go down in history as one of if not the best we have had since 1999 at least.

Thank you Baba. The only president who refused to allow power intoxicate him.

Sai Baba

I saw the interview Chimamanda has with arise TV and one can't help but applaud the genus she is. I listened to how she reacted to professor Soyinka's labelling Datti comment on our democracy a fascist.

Truth is, listening to chimamanda, you will see the Nigerian and African culture and values in her statements. Despite disagreeing with the SAGE, she respectfully disagree with the prof.

This is how it used to be in the Nigerian political space and other aspects until some elements polluted the Nigerian political atmosphere with insults, bullying, gaggling. It used to be very intellectual. We used to see seasoned professors and top scholars debating the Nigeria politician and economical positions without insults despite they are in different political divide.

We must learn from chimamanda. We know many expected her to throw insults at the SAGE like we have seen many doing, but the amazon gave a solid interview. Even if the SAGE doesn't agree with her position, he will be very proud of her conduct during the interview.

I hope we learn from chimamanda. You don't need to insult people to show your anger.

May Nigeria succeed. Amen.

Sealed

chiefolododo:
Aisha follow pack money too, nawa oo

.

Yes.

And have mobilized 26more votes for incoming bola Tinubu here in Lagos

I saw this on a man's Facebook post and I felt I should share it here.

One day, An Igbo man will rule Lagos. And A Yoruba Man will rule Anambra. And a Yoruba man will rule Kano. And a Kastina man will rule Oyo.

Everyday, you claim you want Nigeria to be like Canada, USA, UK, AUSTRALIA, SWEEDEN, CHINA and other developed countries. But you are limiting your thought processes and have refused to adopt a lot of the pathways these countries adopted to be where they presently are.

Today, many Nigerians will vow never to allow anyone from a different state either win election in their state, govern their state or even get appointments in their state.

I saw how Africans especially blacks including people of Nigeria joined the "black lives matter" protest. And many who have never visited Nigeria will think Nigeria is a free country where freedom of expression is fully respected.

But dear tribalists and religious bigots, the aforementioned countries you want us to emulate are free countries. They are countries where everyone from different race who are eligible to participate fully in elections can contest and win elections there.

Nigerians has won tens of elective position in America, Canada, UK, USA, Australia and lots more. Many Nigerians has been appointed into key political and economic positions in these countries too. These fortune and freedom is not limited to only Nigerians in these countries, other countries' national has benefited too in these countries.

One day, In Nigeria, a different tribe man will rule a different state. Tribalists and religious bigots thinks it is not possible. But it will surely happen.

A Kenyan successfully ruled America for 8-years. And presently UK is being govern by an Indian as prime minister. A some day, Other African countries nationals who are eligible will take elective positions in Nigeria. And Nigerians too will do same over there.

And just like it didn't matter which religion govern those countries, especially in UK, it will not matter which religion govern Nigeria in any state. It may not happen in our generation, but it will happen soonest.

When it does, guess who will be the ultimate losers?

Tribalists and religious bigots.

What do you think of his predictions?

Mynd44 Seun

niyisky:
Omoluabi atata...they are free to campaign and vote their Obidient but will tell you that voting for your own is tribalism.

This election will teach some stupid yorubas bitter lessons. If you like leave your own and support theirs, they will never leave their own to support yours...

Stop this tribalism. I m Igbo and I m voting Tinubu. I have many Igbo friends who will also vote for him.

Everyone should vote their choice

dochenaj:
I will not call this projection, but rather prayer.

Projection is based on factual data.

To project APC to win more Northern states than Atiku is far from being factual.

But it is okay to dream. In 2 weeks time, we will know.

The pulse of the country doesn't favor an Atiku victory. That being said, anything could still happen. But I still see Tinubu winning the election.

Asgard13:
The Yoruba ethnic sentiments is strong in the north too just northwest.. the south has ruled for 16 years since 99’

The north will throw in as you said..

But the British will always always support the north.. with USA going way of UK..

Understand this

After 2023 .. the north might” consider your position.. but as it stands today . I mean now . As we type.. majority in the north are queuing strongly for Atiku .. even before 2019..

You as a northerner k owns too well . He won the last elections and understands the politics of him relocating to Dubai without any court matters..

I’m a Nigerian. No worries

When people read your post, it will be like you know what you are saying or you are on ground there in north. Saying that Atiku won the last election summarize your knowledge about Nigeria election. Atiku can't win Buhari in any national election. It can't happen. Even if Buhari contest for third tenure if there is provision, he will defeat Atiku as long as the west led by tinubu supports him.

[quote author=wwwkaycom post=120896332]Good analysis but you overrated Obi in many states. He won't get 20% in Ondo State. Again, in this 2023 election, Ondo is not a swing state. Ondo State went for Buhari in 2015 despite having a PDP governor but lost to PDP when it had APC governor in 2019. The 2019 scenario came up because of people's hatred for Buhari, feud between the Adams Oshiomole leadership of the APC and the state governor when Oshiomole did not allow the governor to impose his preferred candidates on the party. All the loyalists of the governor contested under AA and that led to splitting of APC votes, PDP became the real beneficiary. But this time, APC is united for Asiwaju in Ondo State, Asiwaju is Yoruba, There are places in Ondo North where you can't mention Atiku because of the merciless ways the fulani herdsmen have dealth with them, 70% of PDP big guns in Ondo State are with the former governor Mimiko who is an arrowhead of Wike's G5. For instance Agboola Ajayi who is contesting for senate in Ondo South is a loyalist of the former governor. So Asiwaju will get nothing less than 55-60% in Ondo State, PDP 30%, LP 10%.
LP can't defeat PDP in Bayelsa State, APC will get up to 40% in Rivers State.[/quote]Thanks for the update

Kyase:
Your prediction is almost exactly, what I have written down, with some exceptions

I will be looking forward to your own projection Kyase

Tvegas:
Fair Analysis from but you left out Niger state in your projection.

Ondo will vote for APC just like Ekiti, there is no confusion in Ondo this time around. The local people I interacted with are praying for Tinubus victory. They believe BAT will make life easier for them.

The major decider of this election will be how PDP performs in South South and North West. Those are the tipping points region. If Obi takes SS and Tinubu matches Atiku in NW then the election is over in favor of Tinubu.

So sorry for that. I will include it now

maybet081:
I have checked your posts you claimed to be an Igbo christian who is voting tinubu Muslim Muslim presidency.

Thank you Mr APC for analysis.

I don't involve in your kind of tribal and religious bigotry.

Kingboy10:
so Edo is not part of Nigeria again?

Sorry. Let me fix Edo based on my own projection.

garfield1:
Tinubu is supposed to win big in osun as the son of the soil but pdp strongest point in west is osun,adeleke is very popular and cab frustrate tinubu.a lot of pdp people or adeleke fans that are angry with the tribunal victory might vote against bat..
Buhari not being on the ballot will only affect tinubu in core north not south.tinubu will either match buhari or outscore him down south.apc is very very strong in bayelsa and monopolize 3 lgas where pdp fear to campaign.akpabio gave buhari 30% and cab give tinubu since pdp is depleted.wike is clamping down on atiku supporters in rivers and atiku has decided not to campaign there so he is out of rivers contention...
Plateau and benue are overwhelmingly Christians and are set to vote against any fulani.historically,they usually vote for southern xtians.peter should win there narrowly.

Don't forget PDP won plague and Benue narrowly

Stanleyucee:
you have to be political neutral to carry out such projection.... That's why companies employs neutral body to audit it's financial statement...🤷

I have to be neutral before I tell you that Obi will win Anambara and Ebonyi state Abi?

Stanleyucee:
Urchin go and sit down....go and check the post you made on 14 Jan in support of your drug Lord... Your projection is baseless

I m voting Tinubu. Does that change the fact that labour party will not get 15% in zamfara state or labour will win in Ebonyi state?

garfield1:
I agree with your projections largely but for sw,apc will get at least 80% in ekiti.apc won't get more than 55% in osun and 60% in Oyo.ondo should be 60%...
For ss,apc will beat pdp in crs and rivers,will beat lp in bayelsa and get 25% in aks.
I am ok with se but for nc,labour will win plateau and Benue followed by apc.atiku will win bauchi but margin won't pass 10%.tinubu winning margin in yobe will be like borno own.tinubu will win kebbi narrowly and zamfara massively

I think APC will win large in Osun state. In Bayelsa, I can't tell about that. In Rivers, I still believe both parties will struggle for second spot. But can't tell the difference. Remember Buhari is not on ballot, I still see PDP getting 25-30% there. I don't see labour winning plague and Benue