₦airaland Forum

ReachHard:
My personal pre-analysis on possible outcomes from the Lagos primaries, on both sides:

IF AMBODE WINS...
1. There might be high political instability within the State, going by the foreclosed wishes of the kingmakers;
2. His victory may as well go down as one of the biggest political upsets EVER witnessed in recent democratic history;
3. You can be rest assured that Tinubu (and his cohorts) will certainly not go down without a fight. The last thing on his mind, will be to dump the party he almost single-handedly constituted. So, be prepared for heavy political fireworks if Ambode's victory becomes the story.
4. Ambode will spend the remaining four years of his tenure like a 'political orphan.' Only close aides, associates, faithful followers etc will tag along with him all the way... except, of course, he goes back to "appease the gods" (which is not something really unusual these days)
5. Lastly, of course, except his challenger (Sanwoolu) gracefully accepts defeat and throws in the towel, expect huge legal fireworks thereafter. Politicians love visiting courtrooms, don't they?

IF SANWOOLU WINS...
1. Just as in Ambode's victory situation, there's also a huge possibility of a breakdown of law and order. It might interest you to know that, despite the massive endorsements Sanwoolu may have received, Ambode himself equally has a great deal of followership across the state. And these ones too will raise a lot of eyebrows and may likely cause mayhem if things don't go their way. The security agencies will definitely have their jobs well cut out!
2. Tinubu will only further cement his status as the self-proclaimed "godfather" of Lagos politics, nay, the "Jagaban" of Africa. His praise will ring even louder amongst his core loyalists, home and abroad.
And he, of course, will feel satisfied and vindicated.
3. A possibility of a massive exodus from the party is still up in the air. Except Ambode himself makes his move, that is, if he feels dissatisfied with the result. If he chooses to stay with the party, then his followers themselves will stay put, and perhaps, let the sleeping dogs lie. They will love him too much to upset the apple cart against his directives. Recall also that during the world press conference by Ambode, he declared he's ready to work with the progressives, regardless of the outcome. Even though we hardly trust politicians by their words, it is believed he spoke his mind.
4. Their party may lose more national votes for the forthcoming general elections, it will take more efforts at unification and fence-mending after all is won and lost at this event, to prevent that from happening. And this is one reason why you find the National Headquarters of the party serially postponing the d-day, they are fully aware what is at stake here, both for themselves, and their party's fortunes as a whole.
5. The party stands a 60-40 chance (if not less) of winning the gubernatorial elections, that is, if the main opposition party fully gets itself prepared for the challenge and presents a formidable opponent. Jimi Agbaje might still have that clout, any other candidate (for now) might just be a straight walk to Alausa for Sanwoolu.

Fingers crossed.

CilicMarin:
First Result.

Ward A, Oko-Oba, Idowu Street Agege.
@BJSanwoolu - 567
@AkinwunmiAmbode - 02

#LagosAPCPrimaries https:///yZP06tV62R

Blood of Cornbeef

Are you kidding

Lordofthewest:
Hahaha..they supported Jonathan baba went back to otuoke, they supported jimi agbaje he lost, they supported Fayose pdp lost ekiti, they supported Adeleke pdp lost osun, now they've switched to ambode my favorite man is losing right before my very eye..Something about them attracts badluck, I pray they support buhari in 2019

WritePal:
How do people mass around someone they barely know before? Do you know Sanwo-Olu before? Oh, I get it, like a puppeteer, someone pointed to him as a good man and the rest follows mindlessly. I don't know if there's any better or classic definition of politics of zombeism. Political Science students doing their theses should look no further please.

At least, people have seen Ambode's handiwork and neutrals can assess him. You, my friend, and the rest of the minions cilicmarin, deomelo, benekruku, madridguy and the rest of the brood, on what basis are you assessing Sanwo-Olu. 'Baba sope'?

Wow! Nigeria's democracy really has a long way to go!! All for financial interests and ethnic biases!! SMH.

midolian:
I said it..

If you want to be successful politically, don't pray to be supported by the misguided folks from the other side

joganut:
Mushin 1,Ward 2 Result

SANWOOLU - 4011

AMBODE - 5

#LagosAPCPrimaries

mjabdulk:
it seems ambode is a goner

FarahAideed:
Lies Ambode political end was designed in the upstairs living room in a certain mansion on Bourdillon

CROWNWEALTH019:
Name one APC governor that performed better than Gombe?

When other northern state were won by APC 2015 Gombe stood still for PDP. Take that to the bank

CROWNWEALTH019:
sure state for PDP

gypsey:
This guy looks like a crook.

carammel:
Who is the Baddyosa?

adewaleidowu:
Am highly disappointed in Tinubu nd co sawolu is nt d best man

nsesam:
Tinubu wining this will be an advantage to PDP who know knows

toyetade:
What is that grievious thing that cannot be disclosed to everybody. So far all we are being told is that he didn't follow their lagos development plan but he performed excellently well. Tinubu should be patient and bring his guy after Ambode second term

klax:
Well I have nothing much to say about Omosore or whatever I have always have this belief that any short, hippo nose ugly people are of attitude and they are always ugly inside same way they look so as per Omisore I'm not surprise it's people like him ways of life.

Realname:
The OP did this

deebsman1:
This October is your date with EFCC sir, hope you have not forgotten

falcon01:
why?

falcon01:
anytime I see the way this ugly guy make am, I sure say I get hope.