₦airaland Forum

Onlinealaba:
How do we verify that place is Adamawa, the opinion of a man driving his rickety car doesn't matter, the issue is all sane Nigerians are getting Atikulated both youruba,igbos and Hausa.. Atikukating is a movement don't b left out

check my siggy, get your electronics and toks SMART TVs at flat rate(payment on delivery). BUY4ME services available too

You have one vote, the man driving that vehicle has one vote. Another twist is that the man that owns the rickety car, might be a man with 3-4 wives, and like 20 children like 10 might be up to voting age. Oga your vote wont be counted twice, thats if u even have PVC, so calm down

I saw it very horrible sight. RIP

maestroferddi:
BENUE STATE: PDP 65% APC 35%

KOGI STATE: PDP 58% APC 42%

KWARA STATE: APC 67% PDP 34%

NASARAWA STATE: PDP 51% APC 49%

NIGER STATE: PDP 52% APC 48%

PLATEAU STATE: PDP 72% APC 28%

Predictions based on political structures on ground and not media propaganda, rally turnouts and sentiments.

PDP will not win Nassarawa, I can bet my life savings on that, senator Adamu that completely controls the Keffi zone(Keffi,nassarawa,Karu, kokona and Toto), is now a die APC unlike in 2011. In 2011 almakura is not the incumbent, again the mood of the "Hausa" Muslims and other Muslim communities is charged up now unlike in 2011. Platuae will not be a landslide as you projected, even many ppl that are xtains won't vote GEJ. And in kwara tell yourself the truth APC will win landslide

agabusta:
So Bensonn what's your likely prediction generally in the North Central for the two candidates in percentages?

58% for APC. 42% for PDP

meforyou1:
Ok bet. 500k

Lol !!¡
Joker! Do you have up to 50k anywhere as your own?

omoalaro:
Yes, as PDP disgraced CPC (A relatively new party) in Niger state in 2011.
For your information, in 2011, PDP scored 31.54% and CPC scored 64.03%

Don't mind that guy, he is a joker? He just wanted to be heard, I was even too generous to PDP.

meforyou1:
Op, u must high on cheap grass. PDP will disgrace APC in Niger

Lol !!!! GMB disgraced GEJ with a rag-tag CPC with no structure and fund in 2011 in Niger, even with Governor Aliyu fully backing Jonathan, not to talk of now that he is running with a far stronger party and structure, also with Aliyu favouring him.. I think you are joking. APC will trounce GEJ in Niger with the minimum fuss.

Justbright:
your analysis make sense BT u haven't talked about fct

FCT is not a "state". And its cosmopolitan. The behaviour of the voters is not homogeneous. So I give it 55/45 in favour of GEJ

omoalaro:
I am from Kwara State and i agree totally with your analysis of kwara state. PDP is in total disarray in kwara with too many captains in one boat. You are however too generous to have given PDP 25% of the votes. If PDP score that 25%, i will clap for them.

U are right , kwara will be a landslide for APC. Saraki is too strong tone challenged

doctokwus:
Your analysis is spot on.I also agree with your percentages.
Where I think it may be a bit closer to call is plateau state.Yes PDP may win here,but what I think it maybe 60-40.There is a sizable "Hausa"population there and one other factor that will see us getting surprising results in this election is that with d measures by INEC, peoples votes would largely count this time around, unlike in d past when state governments devised dubious means to inflate and allocate votes.

If your last sentence is possible then. I totally agree with you. And again the southerners that would have voted for GEJ in states like platuae Niger and nassarawa will not come out to vote that day for fear of crises. Many will temporarily return to their villages for "oso election" meaning running home for election. I remember during the fuel subsidy saga, many people throng into the street protesting the sudden increase in price of fuel, I and my younger brother were among the protesters, but once any IBO man sees us they call us aside to scold us on why we shld join in the protest. Igbos in the north are afraid. So most GEJ prospective voters may be in hiding that day

Adminisher:
Plateau is not for PDP during the Presidential elections. They will vote Buhari for President.. The drivers of Buhari votes are different from APC or PDP. He symbolizes trust in governance, saying A doing A. Anybody who thinks this message does not resonate with Tiv the same way it does with Hausa or Fulani is deceiving himself. A significant proportion of people here have one or two relatives in the army. I don't think Jonathan's Muslim Christian division tricks will work here.

The only thing that will make GMB garner up to 40% votes Platuea state is his supporters in Jos, PDP has grassroot structure accros the state. And with two former governors contesting on the same day as the the presidential polls, PDP will clearly win. And you think religion doesn't play a factor in platuae state? Hmmmn it will play oooo my brother

As an Igbo from Anambra state who was born and brought up in the North-central, I have experience of the nature of how elections do take place here, and based on the mood of people around here, and people from neighboring states whom I have interacted with, Here is what I think will play out next month during the elections

Kogi State:
Idris Wada is one of the worst governors in Nigeria, the people so hate him that few sympathised with him when he hard a fatal accident December 2012, and the people are waiting for the polls to show him their frustration.
Kogi has been a PDP state since 2003 when Ibro defeated the then incumbent Abubakar Audu who unsurprisingly is the APC leader in the state today. And since then PDP has always found a way to win elections in the state albeit with slight margin though. But now the game have gotten more closer to call. This years election will surely be slightly different. There is no governor ship election so all eye will be in the national/state assembly and presidential polls. Smart Adeyemi is expected to garner votes for PDP in kogi west, but that zone which has predominantly yorubas who are known to hate GEJ may be a factor. All the Muslims in kogi are expected to back GMB, and they make up the greater population. Even a handful of Christian will not vote GEJ. But PDP being the ruling party in the state will most likely buffer what could have been a wide margin victory for GMB. I have not seen a kogite saying he likes GEJ and ppl from kogi may be tribalistic but are not too fanatic about religion especially kogi xtains.

APC 58% PDP 42%

Niger State

This state doeasnt have the features of a middle belt state. They are more like there far north brethren, PDP have been holding sway here since 1999, but surprisingly in 2011 GMB won here convincingly with his hurriedly assembled party CPC. Despite Babangida Aliyu being one of the strongest PDP governors, and fully supporting GEJ then. Now with the mood of the hausa / Fulani and other minority Muslim communities even being more resolved to vote the general, it may get worst for PDP this time around. PDP will surely win the governor ship seat as well as more assembly seat than any other party, but in the Presidential poll, APC will win effortlessly. Again Aliyu though still in PDP is still friends with the G-5 governors and is still not happy with GEJ, so wouldn't worry delivering the state to the opposition. But remember that PDP contestants during the national Assembly elections will influence votes in favour of Gej.as many may vote the same party on the 14th

APC 65% PDP 35%

Plateau State

Simply put, everything about this state is PDP, majority will vote basically along religious line, there are more Christians here, hence more vote for them. There have been endless religious crises in the state for more than a decade now. Although GMB may have many followers in Jos, but other zones in the state will overwhelm his fans. Jonah Jang will surely deliver the state to GEJ. And again former governor Joshua Dariye is contesting for senate under PDP so it going to be easy in Plataea for PDP.

PDP 62% APC 38%

Kwara state.

Two years ago I would have given it completely to PDP.
But with saraki defection together with Governor Ahmed, the pendulum have swung the direct opposite direction. Kwara state have no shaken off the saraki grip on the state. Even in 2011 when the saraki dose is in full dose, with dele belgore in ACN, figthing directly with PDP, GMB still gave a decent showing here, with up to 30%. Now with the Backing of Saraki and the incumbent governor, together with the Yoruba zones voting in line with their western brothers, added with GMBs surprise showing in 2011, it will take a huge upset of a monumental capacity to avoid a landslide for GMB

APC 75% PDP 25%

Benue state:

Here its too close to call, one thing will count in favour of PDP, and that is the killing of Benue indigenes by the Fulani herdsmen. Buhari may not appeal to many of them, then idomas are completely PDP, courtesy of Abba Moro and David Mark, Benue has been a PDP state since time immemorial. And PDP have the incumbent. Although former PDP chairman Barnabas Gemade and former Governor George Akume are contesting for senate with the later having a cult figure in his zone, APC may put up a fight in his zone. Benue state is a Christian state, and most may vote along religion line.

PDP 60% APC 40%

Nassarawa:

In 2011 PDP won the presidential poll with the slightest of margins, then the incumbent Aliyu Akwe doma is bent on achieving his reelection, and also Alhaji Abdulahi Adamu, who is arguably the most powerful politician in the state is still in PDP, but now is in APC. He joined his friend bukola saraki in defecting to APC. And controls totally the Keffi zone of the state. Now also APC have the incumbent in the person of Ta'al(Tanko Almakura), the Eggons and the Mada will most likely vote PDP following their hero Solomon ewuga. PDP governorship candidate Yusuf Agabi is relatively unknown but based on the not too convincing showing of almakura, Agabi will put up a fight.but will lose. I think most non Christians will vote GMB. While most christians including the igbos and southsoutherners residing here will most likely not vote as they will be afraid to vote.

APC 60% PDP 40%.


Please let's contribute and develope points based on issues . no insults pls.

APC

Idi Amin: Hapi birthdays to the supreme leader of bo*ko haaram and the supreme leader of the so called "great" church

your username says it all, you are a pure lunatic, go get a decent life because it seems you are struggling with a terrible life crises.
Happy birthday to Gen. Buhari and Pope Francis I.

uadiele: The room is so quiet. Anxiety lurks by the door, yet hope stays strong.
It's well guys, might be nexr week we'll get called against upper week or 1st week of Jan. Let's hold on. Wish is all d best.
I rep April 28th, May 14th and June. Cheers

exactly the same date arrays, let keep hopes alive. We have done the needful.

solomon111: lateef jakande was formerly a member of PDP before he cross-carpeted due to localized issues affecting the lagos state PDP then.

you are a direct opposite of King Solomon in the Bible.

Billyonaire: Your logical fallacy is ad hominem. Quit the vituperations and focus on the topic of this thread.

this billy billy the Dog, seems to me like a brute. This "ad hominem" you keep mentioning, i wonder if the person that mentioned it to you did not teach you the proper use of it. I will advice you edit all your posts that has that word, because you made a mess of its usage.

OKKO: University of Nigeria my alma mata, hail her rejoice for the sake of knowledge....the pride of our land...##singing## Only great lions and lionesses can sing this song!

Take your lead university per excellence!

I hope my department of medical rehabilitation (physiotherapy) was the second after Chem.

Mods front page pleassssse let it serve as example to others!

thats my alma mata. There are on two universities in Nigeria. University of NIGERIA, and others.

ichidodo: [color=#1980BC] Shey lectures dey hold for Carver?! Abi dem shift am go Jimbazz [/color]

chem 101 Asegboloyin @ NSLT. Then practicals 273 at Abuja biulding. Then chem 221 @ carver auditorium

AllGood: Yes, we do. Closes 19th Dec, reopens 5th Jan.

please do you know weda anoda TS will still start this yr? Becos i think a TS shld start dec 16. Just asking sha

ndu_chucks: Your comments reveals a very extreme case of unsophistication and a potentially high level of intellectual migetry. You have my pity sir.

i thought i was the only person who observed it. That Kingbang of a clown, is a certified Lunatic. So expecting a sane post from him is like looking for a needle in a hay sack

All these guys talking about test, you guys should tell others the date and venue of the test na, haba! #Owerri TS hopeful#

But i thought most the resuls are not out yet, so why are some ppl jubilating? Its a humble question oo

Obi ifite-oraifitite poling unit 1
PDP 32
APC 31
APGA 10

poling unit II
APC 25
PDP 24
aPGA 11

AtlanticBreeze: RESULT: PU004 Orafite, Ekwusigo
LGA. APC 44, APGA 20, PDP 15,
#AnambraDecides

where in oraifite, i am in ifite oraifite now. Apga won my unit

My poling unit, Ifite-Oraifite ward II. St mattew's anglican church, poling centr. Poling unit 1.
Apga 32
APC 24
pdp 13
LP 7
NNPA 1
upp 1
ppa 1

voting still on in unit 2 and Apga may win, they shared #1000 to each voters during accreditation. I will update the result of the other unit later

Cuche: Nnewi, Onitsha and Awka are the key because of the population of voters.
For now it will really be difficult to say between Ngige and Ubah who carries the day but as soon as results start coming in, if Ngige can take 4 LGAs from the south ....runoffs will be avoided
There could be runoffs between the duo

Ubah will come a distant 4th position behind, apc, apga and pdp.

sagombugo: (IN)sincere 9gerian you think you can second guess Ndi Anambra come saturday abi with all this your Inaugural lecture abi

In Anambra North,PDP/Tony Nwoye will serve as an albatross to an Obiano winning by any appreciable margin. APC will make a fantastic impact owing to the Ngige phenomenon on its own and Ralph Okeke's effect from Anambra East/West

APGA 35%
PDP 25%
APC 20%
LP 15%
Others

In Anambra Central,Ngige has it on a lockdown! Peter Obi/Victor Umeh are inconsequential.

APC 55%
APGA 25%
LP 15%
PDP 10%
Others 5%

Anambra South Ngige as adduced to by u is also strong here

LP 45%
APC 25%
APGA 15%
PDP 10%
Others 5%

APGA will not defeat PDP with such a margin in anambra north. Tony nwoye is more popular and loved than obiano in anmbra east/west LGA. Then remenber that Onitsha north/south is in anambra north, and Ngige will get a handful of votes there. Ogbaru,ayamelum and oyi, are free for all region.
Apga - 35%
PDP - 30%
APC - 25%
LP and others - 10%.

ANAMBRA CENTRAL
Ngige will not win by that margin you put up. Mind you peter obi is not inconsequential qs you said, The only LGA, Ngige will win is Awka north, dunukofia and idenmili north/south. He will be defeated handsdown in Anaocha, then marginally in Njikoka and Awka north.

APC - 40%
APGA - 35 %
LP- 10%
PDP - 13%
others - 2%

ANAMBRA SOUTH
do not be decieved by ifeanyi, ubah comming from did region. I am from anambra south, and currently on ground watching with keen interest. LP will not even win Nnewi North/south. Apga and PDP will win there, LP may not even defeat ApC in the two Nnewi LGAs. Apga will fail woefully in ekwusigo,ihiala and aguata. PDP and Ngige has strong presence in these LGAs. I dont know abt Orumba north/south.

PDP - 35%
APC - 30%
APGA - 20%
LP - 10%
others -5%

although i stand to be corrected.