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Chimex38's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38:
lionshare:
They have reportedly received 3–4 times their target, yet the offer remains open to the public—and the article is even hinting at potential listings on other African exchanges. What exactly is the plan here? Are they returning excess capital to investors, or simply collecting more money than they need? If they already have more than enough, why keep taking on more investors?
This shows the x3 to x4 is mostly tied to Institutional or HNI.
The shareholders spread is still very thin.

#Speculation
The OS despite being 120bn units and 4bn infree float, might definitely be very scarce upon listing and beyond.
Tilting towards driving up it's share prices.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 7:55am On Oct 13
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 7:52am On Oct 13
nosa2:
Let them start planning to announce their rights issue and we shall see how it goes.
RI will most likely be offered at a discount.
Don't you think the RI-price will further depreciate the price even further?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 7:46am On Oct 13
SonofElElyonRet:
Might be wrong though but have a feeling dangote refinery Nigeria will hold shares in dangote refinery Kenya
Hmm.. Plausible
But more likely, DIL
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 7:43am On Oct 13
pluto09:
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/nigerias-dangote-oil-refinery-ipo-be-extended-by-10-days-executive-adviser-say-2026-10-12/
"and Dangote said subscriptions were “more than three or four times” the amount sought"

Lays credence to this:
Agbalowomeri:
Dangote no need una money

He wants 10m peasants so more BVN is needed grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 8:08pm On Oct 09
yMcy56:
UACN is selling the stake for N8.85.
Guess smart guys are just using the news to do some quick business.
8.85!.... Clears my doubt. Didn't know. Thanks.

Yes. you're right, definitely smart guyz/quick business cashing out on the euphoria for the past 1-week.
-Almost 50% done from sellout price.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38:
SonofElElyonRet:
My point is there won't be a flat rate max. Someone who applied for N30,000 units likely to get more than the person who applied for 20,000 units
Yes probably so. Some might get more than 10k depending on number of subscribers.

If i get him well, His 10k estimate is that there might be a maximum cap of 10k for every subscriber first-of-all to make sure the shares goes round to everyone. This will happen before probably another round of allotment is issued again.

Not everyone might benefit from the 2nd round(if at all) before entire subscription is filled up. Thus, a refund for some people who demanded more units, but might only get the 10k worth.


That's his maximum prediction/guess/estimation.
Not a guaranteed quota.

You get?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 7:52pm On Oct 08
SonofElElyonRet:
How? The more you subscribe, the more you are likely to eventually get is what I understand and what Stanbic IBTC Capital stated
He's just estimating the maximum that might be alloted per subscriber.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 6:11pm On Oct 08
HesInMe:
About this Dangote Refinery IPO sef: Does anyone have a sense about the degree of oversubscription for mid-level investors? I don't want to tie down funds in a futile effort.
Meanwhile on Punch news:
https://punchng.com/police-military-women-join-dangote-share-grant-beneficiaries/
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 6:04pm On Oct 08
HesInMe:
About this Dangote Refinery IPO sef: Does anyone have a sense about the degree of oversubscription for mid-level investors? I don't want to tie down funds in a futile effort.
Dem go refund you, no worry. grin
Almost every subscriber go kollet grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 6:01pm On Oct 08
UACN selling it's stake of livestock= over 40%+ rise in Livestock so far
Why I no reason this matter well?
Probably a premium sale unlike Geregu.

I bin think say na oppositeundecided
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 5:57pm On Oct 08
HesInMe:
Guy, stop abeg. It's one thing not to understand an issue; it's another to persist in your lack of understanding. That the holders of common equity get last dibs on a business' profits and assets is such a fundamental concept in business law and practice that it is not worth a debate. It's the reason equity investors demand a higher rate of return than lenders of working capital. Rest.
Abeg tell am. grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 5:47pm On Oct 08
oyi2:
NIDF: The Chapel Hill Denham Nigeria Infrastructure Debt Fund (“NIDF” or the “Fund”) today announced a distribution of 4.53 Naira per Unit for the third quarter ended 30 September 2026.

This is the thirty-eighth (38th) consecutive distribution to be made by the Fund.

The details of the distribution are shown below:

Qualification Date: October 21, 2026
Payment Date: October 29, 2026
This "Fund-Company" just dey on ee own.
Just dey like Yankee based Oyibo man wey relocate come Nigeria. grin
Everything for im side just different from Ngx grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 5:44pm On Oct 08
grin
Agbalowomeri:
Na Oando Dream Analysis we enter today grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 5:41pm On Oct 08
lawani:
Can you set up a private company and pay workers without paying shareholders? No no matter how small you will pay the share holders. Therefore for as long as the rule is not applied to public companies then the stock exchange isn't yet optimal at least not as much as private companies
Dey play
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 5:33pm On Oct 08
lawani:
There is no company that can not pay share holders but can pay workers. No such company
Oga, it exists.
That's why most companies in that line opt for commercial papers and other debt instruments.
VFD, DangCem and DangSugar, etc are customers of Commercial paper to pay recurrent expenditures, salaries and improve operating working capital.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 5:29pm On Oct 08
presiade:
I know that’s what Milo Rambaldi would do. grin
Rambaldi--reminds me of the season thriller ALIAS grin
and Sloane, the fictional character obsessed with Rambaldi and his immortality creation
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 5:15pm On Oct 08
Oasisblue:
I wonder what is happening to the NGX.

The current trend is eroding my confidence in the market. How can there be so many 'good-fundamentals' stocks on full-offers zero bids? Aradel, Okomu, Presco, Vitafoam, TransPower, Julius Berger, Berger Paints....
DRP IPO deadline = Tuesday.
Late investors need to exit other holdings between Today and Monday.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 6:35am On Oct 08
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 8:10pm On Oct 07
robobo:
He has a reason. The reason is that he want to corner the RI as a replacement for the shares he released as a form of repayment of Ocean and Oil (which is presently being shared to other shareholders in tranches) indebtedness to Oando. Remember the release txn was done at 90 something, so buying back same at 50 is a kill for him. So dont expect the price to go anywhere until after the RI is done and dusted.

that is one of the reason the qualifying date is already gone, even before the RI is approved by regulators (Feb 2026). Also keeping the market price below the RI price will discourage a lot of people who qualifies, which is to his own advantage. Lastly i THINK the only thing holding the RI down is maybe he has not been able to amass enough FUNDS to corner it (abt N200 billion) and i dont think this might be possible until the election is over (for obvious reason)

Selah
ee be like 2026 fit go finish, RI fit no hold.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 12:01pm On Oct 06
faoogoke:
The first half of 2026, GTCO, which happens to be Nigeria’s most consistently profitable bank and one of the most admired financial institutions on the continent, earned ₦382.9 billion from government securities. It earned ₦347.9 billion from loans. A Nigerian bank made more money from lending to the Federal Government than from lending to every business, individual, and institution in its loan book combined. This fact generated remarkably little public commentary when the results were published. It should have generated a great deal more.
Hmmmm. Good observation.
But wetin you expect? undecided

Profit wise rather than economic value, It's safer with Govt than Risk of business default with high MPR. Increasing their NPL percentages and making unwarranted loan provisions from their profit margins.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 9:24am On Oct 05
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 4:36pm On Oct 02
kintus:
CMFC | CRITICAL MINERALS FINANCING CORP PLC is now open for those that want to join the train

grin grin grin grin shocked shocked shocked shocked shocked
Possible Trap Loading.....
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 8:56am On Oct 02
londonerr:
Is Senegal a country? Where you had perennial head of government
you have a point on change of Govt. It's a Big deal.
But unlike the Cement plant case where Dangote's legal team won in the courts of Senegal.

This refinery project is beyond Kenya.
Both Rwanda,Ethiopia, Uganda and Tanzania are both equity shareholders and stakeholders in other areas.
You can see the impact of Tanzania Govt reducing our visa entry requirements to their country.
It shows the passion they have for it to succeed.
Dangote won't even fight much whether change of Kenya Govt or not.
Backings are much more.
It's a Big deal that becomes small if these other Govt forces join heads.


Remember the Refinery was initially proposed to be in Tanzania. Moved to Kenya for business related purposes.

Nothing will stop it. The will is there to overcome any obstacle.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 8:24am On Oct 02
Raider76:
Part of the lessons he must have learnt and is carrying forward to Kenya. That's the difference between billionaires and us. They look forward, we look back.
Hmmm...exactly.
Even in business and life generally.
If one takes time to study all the reasons and loopholes why a business or life direction failed to the last detail.
One will be even much happier and confident moving forward with even bigger projects/life purpose than being frustrated and taking a step backward.
Unless such reasons are largely beyond ones control.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 8:09am On Oct 02
vacanci:
I think chimex38 has explained it the way I understand it.

When you said all those shares are going to flood the market begs for a question. The ones allotted since months ago that people have been selling nko? Where were they from?

Meanwhile their Q2 report already have those shares as part of their total outstanding shares used to calculate their earnings per shares.

I can see that you have 100% dependency on AI. It appears too much reliance on AI usage without giving the right prompts can cause analysis paralysis. Maybe if you tell AI that allotments happened months ago and people have been trading them, AI will change analysis and give you another dimension of the issue.

My own is what happened September 30 is a mere ceremony
Yes.. Correct, It's a mere ceremony to investors in it already.
For the much broader market participants, it's much more than a ceremony.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 8:02am On Oct 02
Raider76:
Another Telecom Company Secures Licence to Operate, Set To Rival MTN, Airtel, Glo for Subscribers

https://www.legit.ng/business-economy/technology/1733780-mtn-airtel-glo-rival-telecommunications-secures-license-operate-nationwide/
-What happened to Mafab and their surprise 5G BId that they won?
-What happened to Etisalat since peak of early 2010s.
Re-branded to 9-mobile, yet nothing?

-Even Econet,that changed ownership several times to Vmobile, Celtel, Zain found it difficult to operate before Airtel came on board. Dem dey try sha.

-Even Glo isn't competing or expanding anymore just focused on maintaining status quo. They can't can again grin

- Our unique internet and data specific brethren, Spectranet and co have seen MTN again come into their space again to dominate their long existing market.

- when I thought Using Ngx to source capital l, show visibility, enhance transparency to investors and cement brand identity to compete favourably or even ahead of their peers;
LEGEND INTERNET is no where to be found in all ramifications I mentioned above.


Somehow, Telecom network infrastructure and maintainance is not for the faint hearted in Nigeria.

I give MTN kudos despite their extortion and network misbehaviour sometimes.

I wish the new entrant a very Good -Luck with abundance of divine Grace in their favour in challenging areas in this country.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 7:46am On Oct 02
londonerr:
Good. He failed in South Africa.
Succeeded in Senegal
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 11:28pm On Oct 01
vacanci:
I participated in the rights issue. Got my allotment and I have sold them months ago.

What do you mean by those shares will only become tradable from September 30th. Something that I have cleaned my mouth since?

Even the public offer, many people have sold off. I suppose people were the ones that bought from them. Does that not mean trade? Since sellers have been doing their thing and buyers have equality been responding, I guess those shares have become tradable right from the day they were allotted.

I don't understand the ceremony going on
Your question is a Valid concern. Here is the clarification:

The September 30, 2026 announcement is not about giving out new shares; it is the official regulatory closing ceremony that legally updates the market's master ledger.

Here is why the NGX makes this announcement and why it matters to the market, even if you or others have already traded those units:

1. The Legal "Final Audit" and Share Capital Update
When a company does a hybrid offer, shares are credited conditionally to CSCS accounts so investors aren't locked out of trading. However, the corporate registry and the exchange's official daily list cannot change their master numbers until every kobo is cleared, vetted, and approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
• This announcement marks the moment the NGX officially changes the company’s total outstanding shares from 889.9 million to exactly 2.0 billion in the official system database.

2. Updating Market Capitalization Metrics
Before this official listing announcement, investment apps, Bloomberg terminals, and the NGX website calculated The Initiates Plc's Market Capitalization using the old share count (889.9 million).

• The Impact: Overnight, the official market value of the company mathematically doubled because the system now multiplies the current stock price by 2.0 billion shares instead of the old figure.

3. Institutional Trailing and Index Tracking
Mutual funds, pension fund administrators (PFAs), and foreign investors are strictly bound by law to only invest based on officially listed capital.
• If a PFA wanted to buy a large block of TIP, they couldn't safely do so if the exchange's official documentation didn't reflect the expanded pool. This announcement gives institutional investors the green light that the compliance trail is 100% complete.


4 Setting the Baseline for Future Corporate Actions

If The Initiates Plc decides to pay a dividend or declare a bonus issue later this year, they must pay it across the new total volume. This announcement acts as the official legal baseline proving to the public and auditors exactly how many shares qualify for future payouts.

In short, think of the CSCS credit as getting your car keys and driving, while this NGX announcement is the government finally updating the vehicle registration portal to show the title transfer is officially complete.
Crime › Supposed Repentant Terrorists, Returns To The Bushes In Borno-the English Alhaji by chimex38(op): 8:16pm On Sep 30
4 Repentant terrorists return to the Forrest.
The Govt is silently on a man-hunt for them.

https://www.facebook.com/share/v/1BjpR72Mke/
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 5:02pm On Sep 30
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 4:37pm On Sep 30
Stockpromoter:
Na you talk am oooo
Agba don suffer grin

Good graphics by the way.

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