DeRuggedProf's Posts
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RabbiDoracle:
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IYGEAL:Did Unilever release any great result? ![]() |
IYGEAL: ![]() |
GUINNESS NIGERIA PLC Poor operating performance; downgrade to Sell In its recently released 9M 2020 results, Guinness Nigeria (Guinness) reported a 5.3% y/y decline in Revenue to N96.0bn from N101.4bn in 9M 2019. On q/q basis, Revenue d eclined 33.2% to N27.7bn in Q3 2020 (Jan - Mar 2020) from N41.4bn in Q2 2020. Pressured by higher excise as well as closure of on-trade channels in the final week of the quarter, the compans performance in Q3 2020 (historically one of the best quarters for Guinness) was weak with Q3 2020 Revenue and Net Income declining 17.6% and 97.2% respectively when compared with Q3 2019. We cut our Revenue forecast for the rest of the year as on-trade channels remained shut for the first 5 weeks of Q4 2020 (Apr - Jun 2020) while ceremonial activities remain banned in many states in the country. Furthermore, while we expect lower barley price would provide some support to Gross Profit, we expect Opex and Finance cost to remain significant pressure points in Q4. We forecast a loss in the final quarter of the year which would pressure FY 2020e Net Income lower. We cut our target price for Guinness Nigeria to N15.08/s from N32.12/s previousl y which implies a 21.5% downside to Wednesdays closing price of N19.20/s. Thus, we downgrade our recommendation to a SELL from HOLD. We have revised down our profit lines steeply and lower pricing multiples in our relative valuation models given the companys poor operating performance relative to peers. We arrive at our target price using a combination of the single stage FCFF model and Relative valuation in the ratio 60:40 with the greater weighting on the FCFF methodology. COPIED/CSL. |
DrAwo:Posts like this are now like obtaining A PATENT....... ![]() |
Janet sinks with pride! Searching for a black cat in the darkness takes more than moving around with a bucket of white paint. ![]() No healthy adult moves around with his mother carrying pampers for him.... Run and hit is ALWAYS better than Hit and run.... ![]() Who released this flood of money I am seeing advancing like locusts, Choi. JAPAUL, thy bride approaches, but thy pregnancy shall result in a stillbirth... ![]() |
Mcy56:VCV no ready. He is wasting time on Peter. How do you take 10% tithe from another 10 percenters?. ![]() |
Mcy56:Original Arthur G..... ![]() |
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I don't do stock recommendations, but if I recommend any stock and it rises by 50% after two years, consider it a bad recommendation.... ![]() If you can recommend a maximum of five stocks and four EXCLUSIVELY do 50% within 3-6 months, it's a hit. If I recommend the entire index e.g 10 stocks) ,... , and they do 50% after 2yrs, it's a VERY BAD CALL.... ![]() Beware of recommendations that almost reflect the entire index... ![]() Peterichy, (2.70 - 2.40)/2.7 expressed as a percentage has which ticker? At which price are bargain hunters to strike? I have (2.47 - 2.4)/2.47 expressed in percentage as my savings from yesterday. Tomorrow is another day.... ![]()
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When market starts misbehaving, Mcy56 will only be reporting Total bids and Total offers. Your 10m units of Wapic on offer will be viewed as HEAVY OFFER, Bidders will hurriedly cancel their bids, even though Mcy56 herself will be in a position to forgo her breakfast and clear it. I watched this scenario severally in AIICO before, common 5m offers at 75Kobo were seen as HUGE OFFERS. No one bothered to check the price. Buyers just equate DANGCEM with AIICO in their brains and you are OYO.. ![]() This is what illiquid stocks do to people who take things for granted during Burundi bulls... ![]() |
In the stock market, the greatest sin that can't be forgiven is not that of a wrong entry or exit point, but the sin of squeezing yourself into ILLIQUIDITY! When the disjointly staggered clusters of bids suddenly run dry for weeks on end, you understand the very deep pains of a frail old man that paid the handsome bride price for a virgin.... ![]()
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gabscity:Better late than never. I love his honesty by saying he has taken position. It's like begging a woman. Most people feel it's a sign of weakness. But It's actually a sign you want to complete the days allocated to you on Earth, ask VCV for clarification. VCV will let you understand that even the holy book knows the extent of the fury of our ribs. A woman once eliminated an entire family of four including herself to punish her husband for cheating on her. He did not touch the man physically, not that she was not capable.
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veecovee:So my Boss VCV also get specifications. Counselling this type need one week dry fasting oo... ![]()
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fxuser:Bear Bear gang right now.... ![]()
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ukay2:.
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ukay2:JB shareholders right now... ![]()
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stcool:See your mates down there. ![]()
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PETERiCHY:Peterichy, which stock has lost over 15% between Friday and today in this Burundi season? ![]()
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Some students can't write Exams sitting alone in an Exam hall... ![]() |
PETERiCHY: ![]() |
veecovee: ![]() You get mouth, I am awaiting Peter's meme for you. |
jideflash:See wetin you cause, why you leave only window open over there? Even the window go take style lock again later ![]() |
veecovee:Then buy! By close of trading, quote this your post.... |
Who dey chase my stock run go up like this ![]() Hope my village people wont say I do blood money. Chai.... ![]() |
There is a mentality here that is wrong in my honest opinion. Certain people feel certain stocks belong to them. If you mention Access, they think of DRP, if you mention FCMB, they think of Oracle, if you write Union, they may not wait for you to complete "bank" or diagnostics and start imaging Peterichy... ![]() All stocks belong to everybody and all stocks belong to none. The love of any stock is the most reliable Chinese bridge to the kingdom of losses. When sentiments, market cycles, fundamentals etc etc change, go back to crosscheck your reason for holding. Any beautiful house standing in the way of a great hurricane is bad for rentage, especially where you are paying for many years upfront. Where the landlord is living there with you is even worse, you may survive, but he may be consumed. Who will you sue? ![]() |
PETERiCHY: ![]() It's that bad? |
TraDeRR:That is how the Helicopter firm is testing for Covid. ... ![]() |
jideflash:So you have joined Warren Buffet to flee the promised land waiting for the Giants to be killed first.... ![]() I like how nimble you are. You can still re enter below N2. The stock market is like Nigerian politics, hunger can teach you disloyalty. |
RabbiDoracle:We are still waiting for the bottom... ![]() |
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I dey here sir, I no go keep quiet for this one