₦airaland Forum

Before APC gets carried away, the penalty for forgery is jail time. Adeosun should be prosecuted and sent to jail.

As usual the corruption loving govt have paid her off and sent her out of country.

Is it a surprise it's election time and the rampage of the fulani herdsmen seem to have been suspended.... to be continued after election?

Where is the 5k per day for jobless Nigerians?

Where is the 700,000 jobs per month as promised?

Nobody seems to be talking about the suffering these past few years, we have all become partisan supporting clanish tribalism and glaring nepotism.

All of a sudden, N145/ litre of pms is acceptable, 300% increase in food prices is justified because it's time for politics.

Even Nigerians who lost their jobs due to the unfavourable policies of this government are busy campaigning for them cos it suits their tribal narrative

Some people who call themselves Christians are unconcerned Leah is stuck, Leah will be released few weeks to the elections and the novice Christians will chant 'Sai Baba'

And the trend will continue until 10 generations are gone. Nigeria is the home to the rejects of creation.

Is it a surprise it's election time and the rampage of the fulani herdsmen seem to have been suspended.... to be continued after election?

Where is the 5k per day for jobless Nigerians?

Where is the 700,000 jobs per month as promised?

Nobody seems to be talking about the suffering these past few years, we have all become partisan supporting clanish tribalism and glaring nepotism.

All of a sudden, N145/ litre of pms is acceptable, 300% increase in food prices is justified because it's time for politics.

Even Nigerians who lost their jobs due to the unfavourable policies of this government are busy campaigning for them cos it suits their tribal narrative

Some people who call themselves Christians are unconcerned Leah is stuck, Leah will be released few weeks to the elections and the novice Christians will chant 'Sai Baba'

And the trend will continue until 10 generations are gone. Nigeria is the home to the rejects of creation.

Is it a surprise it's election time and the rampage of the fulani herdsmen seem to have been suspended.... to be continued after election?

Where is the 5k per day for jobless Nigerians?

Where is the 700,000 jobs per month as promised?

Nobody seems to be talking about the suffering these past few years, we have all become partisan supporting clanish tribalism and glaring nepotism.

All of a sudden, N145/ litre of pms is acceptable, 300% increase in food prices is justified because it's time for politics.

Even Nigerians who lost their jobs due to the unfavourable policies of this government are busy campaigning for them cos it suits their tribal narrative

Some people who call themselves Christians are unconcerned Leah is stuck, Leah will be released few weeks to the elections and the novice Christians will chant 'Sai Baba'

And the trend will continue until 10 generations are gone. Nigeria is the home to the rejects of creation.

Police has successfully planted recording chips in clarks’s House for information as they have identified it as meeting location for PDP chieftains

Same reasons NYSC should be scrapped.

Graduates should go seek jobs or set up businesses. Why waste one year of youthful life serving a nation that have refused to be a progressive entity?

.....and some people will still defend the banks because we are already used to suffering and extortion.

The earlier this government understands that force should be the last option.... the better

Shiites parade have grown despite force
The Biafran Agitation has grown despite force
Niger Delta militancy grew despite force until govt included avengers on payroll

As a matter of fact, Nigerian forces have never won any confrontation or forceful opposition on its own..... not bokoharm nor Fulani herdsmen

Finally, no forces in hell can stop an idea whose time has come. If Nigeria has smart leaders, this is a huge Opportunity to right the wrongs.

Hahahahahaha............. I thought that boy scout clown said he was not scared of FIFA?

Fools everywhere in this country

No major flight hubs in Africa will always result in higher fares.

Hubs increases flexibility for airlines and flexibility means relatively lower fares. Blame it on African dinosaur leaders.

Dead military infiltrated with closet jihadists

Chai....

So Osibanjo still believes he is a pastor?

And life goes on.......

We all will die someday, optimize this gift called life. Show some love to someone that can’t pay you back

ok

Ok

Nigerians are the rejects of creation and it shows in the everyday Nigerian living.

Just yesterday he was PDP and was part of the tramadol crew. Today he's on the other side castigating the tramadol crew.

Then the docile Nigerians immediately switch allegiance and call it politics. Not sure there is any clear incentive being a Nigerian. The mindset of an average Nigerian is just sickening.

Nigeria is cursed.

Enice:
now I know you have washee washee brain. The subject matter was about Akpabio's defection. Akpabio is from Akwa Ibom state. In 2015, he delivered over 1.4million votes for PDP. Now that he is no longer in PDP, that 1.4million vote is gone cause his rigging machine would not be used by the vulture party in2019. But in your twisted thinking, you accused me of saying it "adds 1.4million to Buhari"

"First of all, Akpabio just defected from PDP. Do you know what that means? 1.4 million vote lost if you believe in the 2015 election figures which I don't."............These were your exact words

"You also said Akpabio’s defection adds 1.4million to APC" ..........My exact response

So I ask you, The 1.4million votes (in your words) will be lost to who?

Enice:
you need someone to explain the phrase "adds 1.4million votes to APC"

Pls how does adding 1.4million to APC equate 1.4 million from Akwaibom.

You really sound like Buhari

Abagworo:
Buhari is winning Southeast by a very wide margin. Only Enugu and Abia are where he might get 60%.The rest is total Buhari till 2023.

Ok.... he’ll get 100%. You can now head to bed.

Enice:
you lack comprehension skills.
Yes I said Buhari will get 40% in the SE but I never said he would get 1.4million votes in Akwa ibom.
What I said was that 1.4million votes has gone down the drains for PDP and I don't believe it was up to that figure in the first place because in the SS we have more of ballot stuffing than voting as most times people don't come out to vote due to the rough environment.

Comprehension ain’t your strong point after all. Please point me to where I said he would get 1.4million votes in Akwaibom.

Enice:
First of all, Akpabio just defected from PDP. Do you know what that means? 1.4 million vote lost if you believe in the 2015 election figures which I don't. Also, the SP position has been zoned to the SS by the APC in 2019. This means that states like Delta, Cross Rivers, Edo and Rivers would most likely be delivered for APC. Also note that before now, there use to be no elections in the SS. All we had was ballot stuffing. Now, it will not be business as usual as PDP is no longer in a position to dictate and forge results.
Secondly, SW is on lock down for APC. Why? Because APC is the best thing after fried rice in the SW. Their programs in infrastructure, education, agriculture etc, far outshine that of all former PDP governments before it.
Thirdly, the NW and NE are on lock down for Buhari. This is not the time when NNPC, NSA, NPA, CBN and NIMASA use to fund the PDP. Also moneybag states like Akwa Ibom are no longer there. Delta is owing salaries and wike's cultists will be caged by the IGP. The use of the Armed force is also out of the window, so PDP is dead in the NW and NE.
Now in the SE, mark my words: APC Will get nothing less than 40%. Nigeria is not yet developed enough to play online politics. So if you think your 700likes on Nairaland will result in 700votes, keep dreaming.
Finally, the only zone APC is have issues right now is the NC and even at that, APC would win in states like Kwara, Nasarawa and Kogi state. Kwara because Sakari is now known to be a killer, cultist and muderer and his thugs has been and would be cut to size by the IGP.

You said Buhari will get 40% in the southeast
You also said Akpabio’s defection adds 1.4million to APC

Based on those two statements, you don’t deserve a response

Mbaka should just buy a ticket with any of the parties and quit this priest deception.

Buhari and rule of law should never appear in a sentence together. Man is a beast.

A mix of a jihadist, coupist, bigot, illiterate, extremist is a lethal combination for democracy

With South South, South East and North Central gone to anyone but Buhari, PDP only needs an average northerner to share the spoils with Buhari in the North East and North West and a SW VP to share the southwest votes.

There is no way Buhari will win 2019 elections. Either Tambuwal, kwankwaso or Atiku will kick Buhari out of office.

Buhari's supposed cult following in the North is a farce, it did not save him in 2003, 2007 and 2011 until N-PDP and Tinubu saved him in 2015. It's now much a tougher sale after exposing him for the bigot and closet terrorist he is.


Some tips:
His 2015 NE & NW votes were intact cos he was up against a southern minority
His 2015 NC votes was prior to his open affinity and protection for fulani terrorist in the middle belt
His 2015 SW votes were driven by Tinubu and perceived fight against corruption; it's a different story now he has been exposed for the bigot and terrorist he is

geometricaxis:
SW will not be shared in the manner you are thinking. You are clearly talking out of ignorance. let me educate you, there are roughly 4.5 million votes in the SW. Buhari had always polled 300k i.e no support in SW in 2003-2011. 1n 2015 he got roughly 2.4m votes which is effectively a 4m swing. To dent Buhari in the Sw you need a 1m people to switch, where are you going to get it? is it Ekiti? it cannot be done 1) Sw will not vote for an IBO VP 2) the only northerner than9 can penetrate Sw is Atiku and without OBJ support Atiku is a dead duck and he has sworn that over his dead body will he support Atiku. 3) is it fayose? fayose is only popular amongst Ibos and in any event Ekiti elections are won by no more than 50K votes 4) There is no yoruba candidate in PDp that will appeal to Sw such as to vote against Osinbajo..FACT!!

PDP will field a SW VP and Buhari will not get 1million votes from the SW.

Osibanjo has been the most docile VP ever. Tinubu was neglected for the most part of this government, Buhari has been exposed for the bigot and terrorist he is. 2015 and 2018 had very different dynamics

Sufisunni:
you just gave away yourself by saying IBB will deliver Niger State for PDP. Didn't IBB supported GEJ? Why didnt he deliver it for GEJ in 2015? IBB is just a name for you guys outside the state.

IBB did not support GEJ in 2015. He gave him audience but never supported him. The ex-military chiefs Obj, Abdulsalam, IBB , TY Danjuma, Gowon supported one of their own in 2015 and stayed true to it.

It's a diff ball game now, they are all against Buhari now.

larride:
What’s SE gain if they give PDP bloc vote when the President will be coming from the north and the VP from the SW?

The same APC that came second in Anambra election behind APGA? Politics is different from emotional talks.

You mean it was Kwankwaso, Atiku and Tambuwal that has been helping Buhari get bloc votes from the North West and North East geo political zone? The same Atiku that can’t produce any of his godson as Governor of his state Adamawa? Or Kwankwaso that couldn’t enter Kano for 2 years or the Tambuwal that was made Governor by Wammako? 2019 is not far away.

You need to separate APC from Buhari when it comes to SE politics. The hate for Buhari is extreme in the SE and not at the same pedestal with the APC hate.

The same people who voted the APC gubernatorial candidate in Anambra will not vote Buhari for president. Understand that first.

All your other points I already addressed in previous posts

Sufisunni:
Man, Kano state votes alone, will consume the entire votes coming form Benue, Kwara, and Taraba. And would do you think would win the other North central states; Niger, Kogi and Nasarrawa. Chill down and do the numerical analysis of registered voters in each states. Saraki's produced only 300k votes in 2015. With Akpabio in the game what do you think would happen in SS, especially that he is going for Senate president.

Those bloc votes ain't coming from the north anymore once PDP fields a fellow northerner. Buhari will win the north with less than 70% against another northerner.

Buhari will only win Kogi in the NC, Niger is gone... thanks to IBB. Buhari has never won Nasarrawa.

Akpabio is as useless as p in psychology when it comes to the SS voting Buhari. The apathy for Buhari is extreme and a thousand amaechi and akpabio cannot change it

achiever12:
You forgot about something called rigging

I remind you that rigging is possible where you enjoy some popularity.

There is also something called tribunal to correct obvious/ mindless rigging

geometricaxis:
my friend use your head, look at the links I posted. The figures dont lie Buhari beat yaradua in the North in 2007, Atiku in 2011, he defeated both men in their own states.

There is no northerner currently in the political space capable of eating into the Buhari northern vote, so long as Buhari is a contestant.

You need to read slowly this time.

PDP is not interested in winning Buhari in the north. They are interested in sharing some of that bloc vote.

With SS, SE and NC in the bag, SW will be shared as usual and some 25% from the core north is very sufficient.

Go do your maths

geometricaxis:
please have a look at this

https://www.electoralgeography.com/new/en/countries/n/nigeria/nigeria-presidential-election-2003.html
https://www.reuters.com/article/nigeria-elections-results-idAFLDE73G05B20110418
https://www.nigerianmuse.com/20110419040622zg/sections/general-articles/details-of-2011-presidential-election-results-in-nigeria/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nigerian_general_election,_2015
https://oblongmedia.net/2017/12/17/2015-presidential-election-results-by-geo-political-zones/

Buhari has won every election in the North since 2003, he does not need the NC because they dont have many voters. If you look at the last link you will see that the total number of voters in the NC (i.e total number of people voted) is less than Buhari's margin of victory in the NW .

The reason why he failed in2003,2007 & 2011 is because he never had support in the south. In 2007 he got a 4m swing from the SW. That is the key to Buharis victory so unless you can eliminate Buhari's votes in the SW, be prepared for buhari 2nd term.

SS and SE are irrelevant there are no Buhari votes there to convert and so no votes to gain for PDP, NC contributes the least to the total election results so it doesnt matter how they vote. it is always a 2-1 one way or another. The key is SW, Buhari got a 4m swing in 2015 from a region that had never voted for him and thats why he is president.

Buhari has enjoyed massive core north votes against southerners. This time he will going head to head with a fellow northerner and votes will be shared...... that is the difference. Buhari will get majority of the votes but not bloc as against southerners

SS and SE is settled. NC has been lost by APC already. SW will be shared as usual. The SW was not as key as NC to Buhari's win in 2015 as you suggested.

Buhari is going back to Daura.