anath:


This na Benin guy ooooo. Their father, Delta Don ready to go close down d election for Atiku on Saturday . Nothing like 2% for APC in South South. WE DY WAIT......

Bros no vex o, but Buhari go get at least 40% for Edo, 20% for Delta and 25-30% for Akwa Ibom

Nadheer15:
So which region is going to decide?

Looking at demographics and the areas of strenght of both candidates, I think flat out, Buhari will win without any region having to be a decider. Right now, Buhari and APC are firmly in control of three regions(With two of those regions having d largest number of registered voters) and with high voters turnout in two of these regions. This is unlike the two regions that are currently under Atiku's firm control-One of these regions have d lowest number of registered voters, and a considerable degree of voter aparthy which will only be exercabated by the election postponement. The last region(North Central) might just be shared by both regions.... Unless something changes between now and Friday night, I see PMB winning another term of 4 years

Egbon Jarus, what do u think?

BafanaBafana:

Atiku will not win Adamawa.
Buhari will get more than 40% in Taraba. I think you have been overly generous to Atiku

I'm using a worst case scenario

Nadheer15:
The momentum is strong especially in Kwara North and South, Atiku would garner votes from Central and little bit from south.

Mmmmm. May Allah's wish be done

papiforreal:

He don't know what he's saying. I have relative living in potiskum and Damaturu and they don't want you to mention PDP to them..
PDP might still winning senatorial District sha

Shey u hear him saying PDP will win Zamfara, Sokoto and get 46% in Kano?

Nadheer15:
As for Kwara State, Buhari would win by at least 65-70%, many people have now fully subscribed to the Otoge movement. Some were saying they'll vote against Saraki but vote Atiku at the top, but many have discovered that Atiku winning is also a win for Saraki, so therefore they're now supporting Baba.

65-70% in Kwara? Haba na!

Excaperx:
bla bla bla, this APC supporter where in afemai are you from?

This ain't about being an APC or PDP supporter.... It's about being objective... And I'm from Akoko-Edo

Excaperx:
buhari haven't done much for them sha so borno is 70:30 in favour of buhari.

Atiku will win Bauchi. Yobe will give buhari 65%

Buhari hasn't done much for Borno? Wow! Yobe 65% One thing you're missing is the fact that PDP is virtually not in these two states. As for PDP winning Bauchi..... With all the defections?

Excaperx:
atiku will win Sokoto, zamfara and Kaduna, 46% in Kano and 35% in Katsina

50% in jigawa

Atiku win Zamfara, and get 50% in Jigawa? Just a few more days bruh.

Excaperx:
which one is afenmiland? Mtchew.

Buhari can only win oshiomole local government,i don't even know why Esan hate APC so much but this isn't our concern.

We hate buhari.

Afenmai land is Edo north. I'm from this place and APC is solidly established here.... As for APC winning only Oshiomole's LG, I can confidently tell u that Atiku won't have 40 percent in Akoko-Edo

Excaperx:
remember in 2015 when buhari was loved, he won only 2 out of 18 local government.

It is seen as a taboo to vote for him.

2015, he contested against one of ours. The perception of Atiku as being corrupt also doesn't help matters... I see Buhari and d APC winning Afenmai land, Atiku winning Esan land and Edo south (Bini land) will be a battle ground that Atiku might slightly edge. But with Afenmai land having more voters than Esan land, Atiku's edge in Bini might just be offseted(Albeit slightly) by Afenmai's surplus

Excaperx:
nice analysis, what do you think about Edo State?

While the APC is more established in the north and south, d PDP holds sway in the central.... Will deal with Edo in my South-South analysis

North Central :
Kwara : How effective is the Otoge movement? Will Abubakar Bukola Saraki survive this war? These are some of the questions that crop up when Kwara state comes to play. While the APC must be commended for the Otoge movement, and from the result of the last bye election conducted in the state, I feel Saraki's influence in Kwara state has considerably whittled. But is it whittled enough for a Buhari victory in the state? I don't think so. I predict an Atiku victory with no more than 55percent of the votes.
Benue : A state of two tales. One is the farmers-herdsmen crises that has bedevilled the state. Another is the governor's non performance in virtually every aspect. In light of the above, I think this state will be a battleground with the winner not having more than a 5 percent winning margin.
Kogi : A case of another non performing governor. Yahaya Bello's performance is a shame. This is someone that got his position on a platter and should've done everything possible to show he deserves being governor. But this guy would rather spend his time galivanting to Abuja(Abeg no vex for my rant.... The guy really dey f up). Having said that, Yahaya Bello and the APC still control Kogi central. Kogi west is an entirely different ball game. Yahaya Bello's non performance in Lokoja(The state capital) and Dino's influence in Okun land gives the PDP an edge there. Now to the East... Prince Abubakar Audu's structure is still surviving despite his demise and with them still aligning with the APC and Buhari's popularity, I am predicting the APC having about(but no more than) 55 percent of votes in Kogi state
Plateau : This state has always been a tough nut for Buhari and his cause hasn't been helped by the Farmers-herdsmen crises in the state and neighboring states. I expect Buhari to get no more than 35-40% of votes in this state.
Nasarawa : Who'll Labaran Maku support between PDP and APC? While the frontrunner for governorship is Labaran Maku, the presidency is seeming to be harder in predicting. One way or the other, I don't see the APC securing less than 40 percent and more than 45 percent of votes in this state
Niger : Buhari to get 50-55 %
FCT: APC and Buhari to get 45 to 50%

APCsupporter:
This is a well thought prediction but i think i disagree with you on four states:

Bauchi

Gombe

Jigawa

Sokoto

I see no reason why Buhari won't get 70% in these states. His popularity in those areas are very high. I don't stay there though but when i check their hausa groups and ask some of my guys there thats what they tell me so i am not 100% sure

Well, to err on the side of caution is recommended when making predictions.... That's why I gave such percentages

BafanaBafana, Investbrooker, Nadheer15,APCsupporter, Deomelo, BiniKingdowm, papiforreal, senatordave1, orishetimi, tuniski, 7lives, OAUTemitayo, Ganduri, hmuhammad, BabangidaHamza, seeto, Asshurbanipal, donphiilopus, kahal29, Aquariann, Watcha think?

South-South :
Rivers: Rivers has always been a traditional PDP stronghold and the infighting within the state APC chapter hasn't done any good to the party. Forget the crowd at PMB's campaign rally in Port Harcourt. I don't see the APC securing more than 2-5% of votes in this state.
Delta : Delta state has always been a PDP stronghold and prior to 2018, U won't be wrong to give d APC no chance of getting even 5 percent of votes. However, 1 day is more than enough for alignments and realignments in politics and d decamping of several popular figures in Delta politics to APC has somewhat futhered their cause. While Buhari is a persona non-grata in Delta state, Individuals such as Great Ogboru and Ovie Omo-Agege enjoy much goodwill and followership in Delta states. Another factor in Buhari's favor is the fact that unlike in 2015, he ain't up against who the Deltans refer to as ''our Pikin''. In view of all this, I believe the APC will secure between 15 to 25 percent of votes in Delta state.
Akwa Ibom : Personally, I don't like Godswill Akpabio and his being in APC gnaws at my heart. But, no one can argue that this guy transformed Akwa Ibom and his entry into APC has somewhat changed the game in d state. Prior to his defection, APC stood no chance of getting more than 5% in the state but with him being in APC, [ No politician in Akwa Ibom] has his followership and I expect this followership to translate into votes for the APC. I'm tipping d party to get at least 25 percent in d state.
Bayelsa: No much talk here. Bayelsa is PDP and PDP is Bayelsa. Buhari will struggle to get 5% in this state.
Cross Rivers: The election in this state will have less to do with the popularity of the candidates but the popularity and structure of the party and in this regard, the PDP trumps the APC and this will be fully reflected in the results where I expect the APC to not get more than 5% of the votes

NORTH WEST :
Kano The beautiful bride, This state was a game changer for the APC in 2015 and with over 5 million registered voters, it is a big fish in Nigerian politics. A lot has however changed since 2015; one of these changes is the fact that unlike in 2015, Muhammadu Buhari is not vying for the presidency against a southern christian but rather, he's up in arms against a fellow northern muslim. Apart from that, 2018 witnessed the defection of one of the most popular(if not the most popular) politician in the state (Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso) to the PDP..... The Ganduje dollar video also haven't done the APC any favors in the state. Having said that, one question that is prevalent is: Can Kwankwaso deliver Kano state to the PDP? From history and feelers on ground, the answer is NO. From history, Kano state has always been a stronghold of Buhari and in 2003, his party the ANPP even defeated Kwankwaso (Who was an incumbent governor).... And in the 2011 presidential elections, a newly formed CPC also defeated PDP.... A platform under which kwankwaso was vying for a governorship position. Again, from feelers in Kano state many of Kwankwaso's supporters hold no grudge against Muhammadu Buhari and have no scrupples against voting for him as their grouse is against the state Governor. In light of all these, I think Buhari will still win Kano state.... Albeit without such large margin as witnessed in 2015.... I'll say a 65 to 75 percent of valid votes in Kano will go to the APC
To the Other North Western states : Katsina : The home state of the APC presidential candidate. Expect no upset here and the question should be APC's margin of victory in the state. In this respect, I predict the APC to get 75 to 80 percent of votes in this state.
Jigawa: The homestate of a PDP big wig, Alhaji Sule Lamido, he'll want to send a message about who really is 'owns' the state politically. In spite of this, Jigawa being a mainly agricultural state has benefitted immensely from the president's policies in agriculture and I believe this is one of the reasons why the APC will garner 55-60 percent of votes in the state.
Kebbi : If there's any state that can be regarded as the rice capital of Nigeria, I think it's Kebbi state. The people of this state has benefited immensely from PMB's ban on importation of foreign rice. This coupled with the his other agricultural policies and the governor's modest achievements is one reason why I'm tipping the APC to get between 65 to 70 percent of votes in this state.
Sokoto : Seat of the caliphate, this state is one state where the PDP can actually expect to give a strong showing in the North West. The above assertion is thanks to Governor Aminu Tambuwal's defection from d APC in 2018. On the other hand, Aliyu Wammako claims to be the most popular politician in the state... This is a battle of who really owns Sokoto state. Is it the godfather or the godson? Well, The Wamako influence coupled with the Buhari factor should be enough to give the APC at least 55 percent of votes in the state.
Kaduna : Mr. President's state of residence, this state also boasts of being the state of a foremost PDP chieftain Alhaji Ahmed Markafi and ex vice president Namadi Sambo. While the APC remains popular in Kaduna north and Central, it is almost absent in Southern Kaduna. This owes much to the frequent inter tribal issues in that part of the state and Governor El-Rufai's policies and actions which are said to be devisive. Another major question is the Shiites. Will they vote? If yes, with PMB's incarceration of their leader, you can guess who they'll be voting for. The popularity of PMB and the party in north and central Kaduna is the reason why I feel the APC will get between 55 to 60 percent of votes in the state
Zamfara : A traditional APC state. Despite the self inflicted inability to present candidates in this state, the PDP has almost no presence here. This coupled with the popularity of PMB, I think the APC will get at least 70 percent of votes here

NORTH-EAST:
This is the home region of the PDP presidential candidate and an historical stronghold of the APC presidential candidate.
Borno : APC to garner 75-80% of votes cast. Reasons: Apart from being one of the states that Muhammadu Buhari had always banked on in previous elections, the fight against the Boko Haram insurgents coupled with PDP's near zero presence in the state makes me feel that PMB will take such high percentage in the state.
Yobe : APC to get 75 to 80% of valid votes. Reasons: The same factors I feel will lead to an APC victory in Borno state also applies to Yobe state.
Gombe : APC to get 55 to 60 percent of votes cast. Reasons: Having won in this state in 2015 coupled with PMB's modest achievement in agriculture through the anchor borrowers scheme and the fertiler revolution, I feel the APC will still take the day in this state.
Bauchi : A neighbouring state to Borno, Muhammadu Buhari has always been popular in this state. Coupled with the gale of defections that saw individuals such as Ex PDP chairman Adamu Muazu, ex Governor Isa Yuguda and other big players in the state's politics defect to the APC, and results from bye elections conducted last year, I predict the APC to get between 60 to 65 percent of valid votes in the state.
Taraba : This is one state that has always been problematic for President Muhammadu Buhari. It's largely christian population, the defection of Mama Taraba from APC and inter-tribal clashes between the Fulanis who are minority and the main indigenes of the state will all combine to deny PMB majority of votes in this state. In all, I don't think the APC will get more than 25 to 30 percent of votes in this state.
Adamawa : This is one state that throws up a whole lotta headaches. While the PDP presidential candidate is from this state, the APC has a lot of chieftains from this same state. From Nuhu Ribadu to Boss Mustapha (The SGF) and Babachir Lawal (The ex SGF), Jibrilla Bindow and Aisha Buhari (The first lady). In spite of the afore mentioned names and the decimation of the Boko Haram menace that once plagued this state, I see Alhaji Atiku Abubakar getting at least 60 percent of votes in the state. One reason for this submission is the infighting that trailed the APC primary elections in the state and the fact that this is Atiku Abubakar's home turf

It's no more news that the Presidential Elections earlier scheduled to hold on the 16th of February 2019 has been postponed and is now billed for Saturday 23 of February 2019. A whole lot of political experts have dropped predictions about who they think will win the Elections. Each of these individuals have premises on which their predictions are based and I won't dispute any of such predictions.
In the Spirit of the season, I have also sat down, taken some factors into consideration and come up with what I feel will most likely be the outcome of this Election.
NB: I don't claim to be a political don and I believe I might be wrong in some of my submission. I'll appreciate only intelectual discourse on this thread.
I hereby submit my predictions on a zone by zone basis

Issokay. Akpabio is a political pensioner and you're a political tree climber ba?

But wait o! The order wasn't directed at any particular party na. Why PDP come dey cry like this? Could it be they planned on snatching ballot boxes? Well, if they planned on doing that, I'll advice they change tactics cause right now, if they snatch, they'll die! Infact PDP's defence of ballot box snatchers makes me hate d party even more...... And don't tell me about due process. Due process in our corrupt courts? What's even the punishment for ballot box snatchers? A paltry 2 million Naira fine or 2 years in d prison? Is that one punishment for someone that comes to a polling unit harmed with dangerous weapons and ready to kill anyone that stand in their way? Snatch and die is not good enough sef. It should be snatch and die a slow painful death

Nawa o! Why would any sane human being support Ballot box snatching? Thugs who snatch such don't come to the polling units with snacks and drinks to share to voters. Rather, they are heavily armed and ready to kill anyone that stands in their way. Are those the people PDP are shouting shouldn't be killed but be arrested and tried in our corrupt courts? What's even the
punishment for ballot box snatchers? A paltry
2 million Naira fine or 2 years in d prison? Is that one punishment for people that come
to a polling unit harmed with dangerous
weapons and ready to kill anyone that stand
in their way? Snatch and die is not good
enough sef. It should be snatch and die a slow
painful death..... As for PDP, they can go drown in the lagoon for all I care. All we know is, Snatch a box and rot in hell

Dino the tree climber? Forget that one jare! My lil brother in boys scout uniform will make him wet his pants...... No need replying this coward

If them turn face you now, you go run climb tree or arrestomiasis/arrestomalaria go catch you. Bloody coward

donphiilopus:


Wow. So we are from the same place? No wonder you're sound.

APC has always won Akoko Edo in a landslide. This won't be different. The only thing that would affect APC this time around in Akoko Edo is their House of Reps candidate, Akpatason. People are tired of him. Hopefully, APC would still win here for Buhari.

NB Akoko Edo gave APC the second highest % of votes during the guber. polls after Etsako West.

That Akpatason is a disgrace to humanity. I don't think there's any HOR member that's more useless than him. 8 years in d house and nothing to show for it. The APC structure is what'll deliver him but individually, I won't be voting for him..... Which part of Akoko Edo are u from?

Hehehe

Atiku who asked for N2 billon as damages, said part of the money should be given to IDP
camps across the country and the rest be
used in equipping libraries and information
technology centres for all state Universities
in Nigeria. Sakamanje..... This one be thinking everyone is gullible. How much has he individually donated to the IDPs.... See mumu talking about state varsities. When these same institutions were on strike, didn't he just run and build his private university for the rich? This guy is super desperate and Insha Allah, he won't smell even the gate of Aso Villa..... Anytime I see Atiku, I see scam

Guaranteedbet53:
Read below it

Na this scam go kee u las las

This one hasn't recovered from the loss he suffered in the primary election. Honest truth is, Mahmud Yakubu should resign..... Or at least offer a public apology over the shoddy job done. It's not just about the postponement but waiting till the early hours of election day to announce such? Haba! From what we've heard, the level of unpreparedness days before the election show that the chances of it holding is slim. Why not announce a postponement in d light of this? Why wait till 5 hours to d election? I feel even with the postponement, INEC will still do a shoddy job... The logistical challenges are far too enormous to be resolved in just one week

Wo, me and every honest Nigerian likes his true color. Shey na una first dey talk say him no dey in control of his government, he's docile and all that. Nigeria needs someone who's bold enough to follow the necessary process..... Since that Onnoghen issue, I started seeing the General Buhari I supported in 2015 and I tell you; If Baba enter 2nd term, E go bad for all looters them. As For Atiku, I gat only these words. #SNATCHANDDIE

Well, If u are planning on snatching, pls also plan your will cause if you snatch, you must Die. Kai! I love tyrant Buhari.... From Onnoghen to this order, Baba be dishing it hot hot to PDP.......... Walahi, I'm finally seeing the Buhari I supported in 2015. Fck due process. Who e epp? Abeggi Baba continue following the necessary process jare