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IVORY2009's Posts

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PoliticsRe: I Was Offered N150m, N80m Car To Dump Atiku – Naziru Ahmad (Sarkin Waka) by IVORY2009(m): 4:47pm On Feb 11, 2023
ChangetheChange:
Tinubu the ATM machine of the Northerners
Stolen Lagos money shocked
PoliticsRe: Prof. Pat Utomi Speaking At Ongoing LP Town Hall Meeting With Lagos Students by IVORY2009(m): 1:40pm On Feb 11, 2023
gasparpisciotta:
Pat Utomi was vice chairman of BankPHB, where is the bank today?

He was an AGM and later the chief operating officer of Volkswagen Nigeria. Where is the company today?

He is the founder of UTOmapp holdings and a center for leadership what are they known for and how many leaders has he produced from his mentorship program

He has contested for governorship and presidential positions and failed woefully in both attempts

Don’t be deceived by these guys
So what are you trying to pass across?
AgricultureRe: Buy Cat Fish Fingerlings and Post fingerlings by IVORY2009(m): 11:21am On Feb 11, 2023
Post fingerlings for #14. I need 3'000 piece. Also based in Lagos.
Is this still available

Need 14,000
RomanceRe: Help! I Just Escaped Attack by these Animals In Broad Daylight (graphic Pics) by IVORY2009(m): 7:43am On Feb 11, 2023
🤣😂😂

PoliticsRe: Peter Obi Might Win Atiku Abubakar In Adamawa State (Pictures) by IVORY2009(m): 7:39am On Feb 11, 2023
Bluntguy:
Peter Obi is the incoming president of Nigeria.
If there are no vote buying, the man might likely win the elections.
PoliticsRe: Atiku Campaign DG, Abiye Sekibo Attacked By Gunmen In Rivers State by IVORY2009(m): 12:18pm On Feb 10, 2023
Asgard13:
The desperation and acts of Wike the fool.

From Abe to Sekibo.. whose next .. maybe Tonye cole.

Wike must collect ..

Efcc must make sure this man no escape from this country.. even if he escape .. interpol must cramp the imp

Power to the people
PDP!!!
This is what u get when a cultist is elected as a governor
PoliticsRe: Pictures From APC Presidential Campaign Rally In Sokoto by IVORY2009(m): 4:28pm On Feb 09, 2023
post=120765370:
Oh Boy Yeeee 😲 😮 😲.

THIS IS MASSIVELY MASSIVE MEHN!

Na crowd be dis wey be like Bar beach sand!!!


JAGABAN, OUr incoming president, after our darling Daddy,
By God's Grace,
Insha Allah.

Madam Ngo of @MANNA, representing all of us at below...
Fake as usual, both in the food section

PoliticsRe: Pictures From APC Presidential Campaign Rally In Sokoto by IVORY2009(m): 4:25pm On Feb 09, 2023
donphilopus:
Sokoto State is fully batified.
Fake 🙄🙄🙄🙄

PoliticsRe: Naira Redesign: You Have 12 Hours Left To Deposit Your Old Note..(CBN) by IVORY2009(m): 10:53am On Feb 09, 2023
cry
PoliticsRe: 2023: INEC Denies Allegation Of Partisanship by IVORY2009(m): 1:02am On Feb 09, 2023
Jflex07:
I don't know why I can never trust INEC. Until the president from one party stops appointing the INEC chairman, INEC can never be independent.
He who pays the pipper detates the turns
PoliticsRe: (Photo):Big Brother Naija Host Ebuka Uchendu Declares Support For Tinubu by IVORY2009(m): 5:38am On Feb 07, 2023
MyopicMods:
Big Brother Naija Host Ebuka Uchendu Declares support for Tinubu
Photoshop the Real picture can be found here

PoliticsRe: More Pictures Of Low Turnout In Tinubu Presidential Campaign In Katsina by IVORY2009(m): 5:15am On Feb 07, 2023
quickberry:
grin

Johnnyessence, you call this low turnout?
2019

AgricultureRe: Visit Catfish Farms and learn Practically! by IVORY2009(m): 12:20am On Feb 06, 2023
Nice
PoliticsRe: Wike To Tinubu: Bring N100 Billion If You Want Rivers Votes by IVORY2009(m): 1:31pm On Jan 31, 2023
Nigerian politicians are still living in the dark, with the introduction of BVAS, no governor can sit in his bed room and write Rivers States results like before again, whereby 2million rivers registered votes goes to a particular party.
EducationRe: UNILAG Rewards Honest And Efficient Staff With Accelerated Promotion(Photo) by IVORY2009(m): 1:24pm On Jan 31, 2023
cheesy
PoliticsRe: Bola Tinubu Pulling More Crowd In Akwa Ibom Than PDP And LP Combined by IVORY2009(m): 6:52pm On Jan 30, 2023
Money pulling
PoliticsRe: David Mark's Son, Junior Holds His Traditional Wedding In Abuja (Photos) by IVORY2009(m): 7:16am On Jan 29, 2023
galaxy2020:
That man that couldn't do anything tangible for his people(Idomas) as Senate president for years.
He was a one time military governor under General mohammdu Buhari's regime, as a military head of state "Buhari" at age 26yrs, he entered politics and severed for years he doesn't want to leave the corridors of power anytime soon, so greedy.
PoliticsRe: 'Assalamu Alaikum': Cheers As Okowa Greets Kebbi Crowd At Rally (Video) by IVORY2009(m): 9:32pm On Jan 28, 2023
;Dhi
CrimeRe: Police Arraign Officers Suspected Of Shooting Gafaru Buraimoh by IVORY2009(m): 10:33am On Jan 28, 2023
cheesy
PoliticsRe: 2023: I Will Beat Peter Obi, Though He is My Tenant In Lagos - Tinubu In Abia by IVORY2009(m): 8:47am On Jan 25, 2023
OK! He pay tanament rate 😜😂😊😊
PoliticsRe: Is Government A Savings Account? Oshiomhole Challenges Peter Obi by IVORY2009(m): 4:51pm On Jan 24, 2023
thesicilian:
Help me ask them o
Government is supposed to use available resources to better the lives of the people, not save it for the next politician to squander.
Even in the Bible, the only servant that saved his talent (instead of investing it like others) was cast away in anger by the Master.
You save for raining days, not spending left over recklessly
PoliticsRe: Bola Tinubu Declines Invitation For Interview - CNN by IVORY2009(m): 4:30pm On Jan 24, 2023
Kellyelly1:
CNN
Can you post the link, so we can share across social media
EducationRe: New Naira Notes Scarcity, See What My Son's School Sent To Us by IVORY2009(m): 4:20pm On Jan 24, 2023
Sheistoopretty:
U didn't tell us how much the school fees is

It might even be on peanut amount yet u are here complaining undecided undecided lipsrsealed lipsrsealed lipsrsealed undecided undecided
Tatafo girl
FoodRe: Cook In Your Kitchen, Take Pictures And Post It Here. SIMPLE! by IVORY2009(m): 4:18pm On Jan 24, 2023
Jollof reis 😊

EducationRe: LASU Lists 15 Unwanted Dressing Styles Among Students On Campus by IVORY2009(m): 5:09pm On Jan 23, 2023
Secondary sch
PoliticsRe: 2023 Presidential Election - Prediction And Analysis Of Possible Outcome by IVORY2009(m): 5:06pm On Jan 23, 2023
PassingShot:
"If wishes were horses, beggars would ride". Also, it is often said that the worst form of deceit is self deceit. In about 32 days from today, reality will dawn on supporters of paper-weight politicians and they will realize that social media presence or noise does not take anyone to Aso Rock.

Even if you disagree with my political views, the fact that I have done this to near perfection in two previous presidential elections (2015 https://www.nairaland.com/2059493/2015-presidential-election-more-objective and 2019 https://www.nairaland.com/4957446/2019-presidential-election-prediction-analysis) deserves some respect. So, I will expect you to reign in your emotions while responding to this thread.

For this year's presidential election slated for February 25th, I have taken the time to diligently predict the outcome of the election. Unlike in the two previous predictions where only the two front runners were seriously considered, I have expanded this year's to four to include Obi's LP and Kwankwaso's NNPP, not because they have a chance of winning it but to massage the ego of supporters of LP's candidate and also to recognize the significant presence of Kwankwaso in some northern states.

This year's projection takes the following factors into consideration:

1. Political Structure: If there is any group of people that hates to hear this term, it is supporters of LP/Obi. Unfortunately for them, no one can win a state or national election without political structure. It is political structure that ensures that you are represented in places that matter. It is structure that makes you have a polling agent in every polling unit across the country. While APC and PDP can boast of this very important factor, LP and NNPP cannot.

2. State Dominance (number of states presently governed by a party): This is closely related to structure but it is much more. A party has a very good chance of wining the presidential election in the state it controls. Even when such party does not win it, it will have a strong showing in the election there. As of today, APC controls 21 of the 36 states of the federation while PDP controls 14 and APGA has 1. This will surely have a significant influence in the presidential election.

3. Strength/Unity of Opposition: Anyone who has followed politics long enough will easily understand that wrestling power from a ruling party at state or federal level requires a strong and united opposition. It was the absence of united opposition that made PDP rule for 16 years despite all their failings of those years. The opposition could not dislodge PDP until they came together to form what is now known as APC which is the ruling party of today. I strongly believe that for APC to lose this election or any future one nationally, it would require all of today's major opposition parties to fuse into one led by credible and trust-worthy leaders in the mould of Buhari (hate him as much as you like, most Nigerians still trust him) and Tinubu (despite your dislike of him, he remains a master strategist). Sadly for the opposition, they have become more fractionalized/fragmented like never before, now splitting their votes of 2019 into LP, NNPP and PDP. Even within PDP, they are further split into G5 that is doing everything possible to frustrate Atiku. It has always been an impossible mission for a fractionalized opposition to dislodges the ruling party, anywhere in the world.

4. Pulse of the Nation: Apart from those who are registered members of PDP and those who are very bitter about the prospect of Tinubu's presidency, majority of Nigerians are in agreement that the presidency should return to the southern part of the country after Buhari's eight years. This is the only sensible thing to do to keep Nigeria one and it is the major reason that the APC governors of northern extraction stood by BAT during the primaries in deference to Ahmed Lawan who was said to have been promoted by some cabal.

5. Strategic Campaining and Political Alignment/Realignment: We have seen how the parties have faired so far with their campaigns. It is self delusion for anyone to think that attendance at campaigns does not count for much in the election. A party that struggles to fill a 5,000 capcity venue cannot expect the same electoral outcome as one that fills 50,000 capacity venues effortlessly in most states of the country, especially in the north where the bulk of the votes are situated. To think otherwise is foolery and delusion. It is APC that has pulled most crowds at their rallies, followed by PDP. It is APC that has held meetings with strategic unions, organizations, captains of industries, etc, than any other party. All of this will not count for nothing during the election.

6. The G5 Factor: Like I stated earlier, the G5 led by Wike of Rivers is a faction in PDP. While I do not believe that their alliance with any of the other candidtaes (outside Atiku) will have a significance impact on the election, remaining neutral or uncommited to Atiku's candidacy boosts Tinubu's chances even more and gives more votes to Obi and possibly Kwankwaso.

NOTE 1: For 2023, I have added 5% to 2019's voters turnout across all states of the federation except the SE region and Lagos where I have added 10% to reflect the social media buzz and enthusiasm of our brothers/sisters from across the River Niger.

Note 2: This prediction/analysis may later be updated if there are major developments that can have significant effects on the election.
I can predict who you are if you want me to, from your choice of words
RomanceRe: Every Young Woman Out There Should Learn From Halima Abubakar by IVORY2009(m): 11:14am On Jan 23, 2023
Divoc19:
I have looked at her. So what happened to her
Learn to be contented with what you have...
PoliticsRe: PDP Asks NDLEA, EFCC To Arrest Tinubu For Drug Trafficking by IVORY2009(m): 5:48pm On Jan 22, 2023
😲😲😲
PoliticsRe: Where Did Kwankwaso Get His Phd From? by IVORY2009(m): 12:39pm On Jan 21, 2023
It's just an ordinary award granted by a university, its not an acedemic PhD
PoliticsRe: See what I saw At a PVC Collection Centre ( Shocking Photo) by IVORY2009(m): 11:44am On Jan 21, 2023
9jaNoBeLagos:
My PVC and that of my brother is chilling in the fridge waiting for February 25th.

Our votes and that of our 5wives and 35 children is for Peter Obi.

2023 is a done deal. 🤣🤣🤣
Omo Edo 👌
PoliticsRe: BREAKING: You Can Now Use Regular Emojis On Nairaland by IVORY2009(m): 8:44am On Jan 21, 2023
😲

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