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Travel › Re: Nembe, Bonny, Bille Jetties in PH, ; An Embarrassing Eyesore. Pictures. by jpphilips(m): 11:14am On May 28, 2015
PhockPhockMan:
I hate discussing issues with little kids like you, I've been living at Port Harcourt main town since after my graduation in 1992, that's 23 years ago. Check my profile picture.
I don't know what you Mean by conqueror , are you a cultist?
just 92? mtchew!!!
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 10:57am On May 28, 2015
author=gohome post=34152086]

Please esplain futher, I do not understand this question.

I will put an answer, tell me if this helps

1. Because the sector is not fully deregulated. The money these marketers get from PMS, they can afford to sell diesel to you at any price. You are lucky. If the sector is fully deregulated, you may buy diesel at 180 Naira per liter
AGO is fully deregulated, can you show me any evidence that subsidy has been paid on AGO since the past 2yrs? I think it is no longer in my interest to be discussing this subject with you because it is obvious you have no idea, how it works around here.
Have you ever been to a depot or refinery in your life? nothing personal just curious!!


4. I also believe the reason why diesel was scarce last week is because marketers refused to lift. diesel boggle everywhere
They refused to load or the Cabal stopped them from Loading which one? How can a sane businessman wake up in the morning, drive down to the depot and refuse to load. I am tired of your reasoning, it is too poor!!.
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 10:25am On May 28, 2015
TheGoodJoe:
I saw the caption of the Federal Government telling marketers not to sell above N87 and I laughed. These are the same people that want the same marketers to control the market.

The same marketers GEJ said scammed him.
lol, People like go Home believe the Marketers can only scam Gej but not us, imagine his level of reasoning?
They will literary share us candy once we give them the market control.
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 10:20am On May 28, 2015
ohzee:
[/color]
[color=#000099]I Couldn't make out much from your post.
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 10:12am On May 28, 2015
gohome post=34160169]

1. How many time do you want me to tell you the reason they refused to load? Can someone in this forum tell this guy the read my comments. Mr, have you read the reasons I gave you.
The reason you gave is baseless and any person who is close to the downstream sector will think you have completely lost it.
I must be inebriated to argue that part with you again, it is your right to believe any Nonsense you wish to believe, next you will argue whether Jesus was crucified or shot to death.
Such childish discussion is not worth my time.


2. If you can't understand me or read my comments, why should I keep posting. I will do others a favor to give post my proposed solution to price fixing is to pass laws punishing severely price fixing. If you work for an American company and you are caught sharing information and trade secrets to your competitor, it is instant dismissal. No room for cartels in the eyes of the law. The marketers should collect loan and stock their AGO in the tanks. If they don't sell, they should keep it. We will buy from Togo. Our planes will fly to Ghana to refuel.
Prominent Price Fixing Examples
Air Travel
Most of the things you say here are baseless and has no bearing with the reality on ground, trust me most people dont care to read them, so save your strength.
You said your solution to "cabalocracy" is making laws, have you made the laws yet? But you are pushing for subsidy removal without putting the law in place, whatelse is putting the cart before the horse? You see how you always shoot yourself in the foot.
In your tiny mind, you think it starts and ends with making laws abi? You forget that for a law to be effective, there should be an existing implementation framework that will implement the laws, do you have it yet? and you want to remove subsidy? sorry for you!!




In August 2007 British Airways was fined £121.5 million for price fixing. The fine was imposed after BA admitted to the price fixing of fuel surcharges on long haul flights . The allegation first came to light in 2006 when Virgin Atlantic reported the events to the authorities after it found staff members from BA and Virgin Atlantic were colluding. Virgin Atlantic has since been granted immunity by both the Office of Fair Trading and the United States Department of Justice who have been investigating the allegations since June 2006. The US Department of Justice later announced that it would fine British Airways $300 million (£148 million) for price fixing. BA maintained that fuel surcharges were "a legitimate way of recovering costs. "

Beer

In April 2007 the European commission fined Heineken €219.3m, Grolsch €31.65m and Bavaria €22.85m for operating a price fixing cartel in Holland, totalling €273.7m (InBev, another brewer, was convicted for price fixing but escaped punishment) . The brewers controlled 80% of the Dutch market, with Heineken claiming 50% and the two others 15% each. Neelie Kroes said she was "very disappointed" that the collusion took place at the very highest (boardroom) level. She added, Heineken, Grolsch, InBev and Bavaria tried to cover their tracks by using code names and abbreviations for secret meetings to carve up the market for beer sold to supermarkets, hotels, restaurants and cafes. The price fixing extended to cheaper own-brand labels and rebates for bars.



Source: Boundless. “Price Fixing.” Boundless Marketing. Boundless, 14 Nov. 2014.
I have warned you to stop using UK and US to juxtapose the Nigerian economy, they are not a reflection of each other but you wont listen, Your Igele wearing, Harvard trained, World bank frustrated, Yale certified Finance minister was literally drenched in her own sweat, looking practically helpless last week while the cabals dealt her some serious blow!!
That is what happens when you use the western model to confuse the Nigerian economy, Let me give you a shocker (not that you deserve the information anyways).

The ECA (Excess crude account) that compounded this problem guess who created it? A UNN trained street economist with a first class, in 2004, exactly 11 years ago in the person of prof. chukwuma souldo, Iweala allowed so much political interference in the account that she practically lost control of its management.

To manage the account was a very big problem for her, in 2012, she managed to balkanize the account into three
FGF, NIF and SF, see where it has landed us. Soludo with this account stabilized our economy at $38/bbl the lowest oil price of the Obasanjo administration, faced with two economic Melt down, according to Soludo, our economy was practically immune to the worst financial trauma ever in history after the great recession.

Soludo as the coordinator of the economy at the time was able to hold the economic front for nearly one and half years, before he broke and devalued from 131 to 155 naira, this was the same government that paid off nearly all our debts to the tune of $12b, Initiated the NIPP to the tune of $16b our only hope of getting electricity right.

Compare with the Igele wearing, harvard trained, world bank frustrated, Yale certified failed finance minister, just a drop in crude price, (jonathan's lowest was $41/bbl with a peak of $115/bbl) this amounted to ECR of $40/bbl at $75 benchmark.

By August 2014, iweala has broken, Nigeria declared recession in less than 2 months of this crisis, the flood gates of borrowing was opened today, we are indebted to the tune of $63.7b, five months into the crisis, (Jan 2015) Nigeria borrowed to pay salaries, the Naira went loose from 155 to 202 against the dollar, thanks to Iweala's western model of solving Nigeria's problem. Why am even comparing a god with a mere mortal?

The learning point here is that the street Economist laid the foundation of Nigeria's 11years future while the Igele wearing, Harvard trained, world bank frustrated, Yale certified finance minister could not consolidate on Soludo's gains neither could she improve on it for the better, because she is stuck with the western model of economics. A word is enough for the wise!!


To be honest, I am tired of your post. It's a big shame you do not know the effects of a devalued Naira. 18000 Naira today is less than 18000 minimum wage is this time last year. It has lost its value by 25%. It means if you continue to put subsidy on your budget, you will of course continue to run deficit, which will in turn weaken your currency, and then further reduce your 18000. So who loses, the masses.
I was the one that told you how the devaluation affected the marketers, it is an insult to say I dont know. As we speak, out of the 59b released, 31b, was earmarked as the Forex differential in this last subsidy, if iweala understood my point and did the needful, i dont give a fvck about your opinion. you think the Nigerian economy run on google.



You seems to be a marketer or paid agents, that why you are hell bent on distorting reality. Don't mortgage people's children's life because of the fraud subsidy. It must go.

Lastly, if you think we are incapable of running a free market in Nigeria, especially in the oil sector like every other countries (95% countries) the Nigerian spirit will prove you wrong.
I doesn't matter who I am, what matters is how well I understand the situation, I don't expect you to know that anyways!!
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 11:36pm On May 27, 2015
gohome:
1. The Nigerian solution is to get rid of subsidies on PMS.

2. I have also told you why AGO was scarce. Can't you read?

3. They won't give you candies or pepper if your government learn how to regulate a free market
I dont really know where your interest lie but you are no longer making sense, more than 3 depots had AGO last week in ph at the peak of this crisis, they just refused to load, why am I even wasting my time with you, believe whatever you like it is your right, e go clear you for eye very soon!!

tell us how you plan to checkmate the excesses of the cabal since you plan to deregulate fully?
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 10:48pm On May 27, 2015
TheGoodJoe:
I saw the caption of the Federal Government telling marketers not to sell above N87 and I laughed. This are the same people that want the same marketers to control the market.

The same marketers GEJ said scammed him.
Don't Join issues with anybody, I have done my bit with that clear warning, when the flogging starts we go know how far!!
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 10:46pm On May 27, 2015
author=ohzee post=34157709]

OK noted. Let me believe that what I wrote was misinformation. However I am still curious. Can you explain why a marketer will import AGO that has much less demand and no subsidy payment instead of using his capital to import PMS? If the demand for AGO is high like PMS and you have a deregulated market open to all investors including refiners, do you think they can still gang up and form a cabal and fix the price? I believe some
AGO is very lucrative because of price fixing, you can buy AGO today and decide to sell it with a 10naira margin and nothing happens, when it is in the hands of the cabal, they fix their prices so Ngwo, Independence Layout and Achalla layout sell the same price save for a little margin for transport. No way out for the consumer.
With PMS, the Govt promises to give you the margin through subsidy but the bad news is that you may not see that money till next year.

the AGO man, buys little quantity, sets a high margin collects his cash at the station without Iweala's stories and goes back to import, before Iweala pays you for PMS, the AGO guys has made enough through turn over.

But if Govt is involved, when the AGO cabal fix their 10naira margin, the NNPC outlets will sell with 3naira margin, patronage will automatically shift to NNPC and ignore the cabal, that will force the cabal to crash their price, that is the same thing subsidy does, it puts every greed on a tight leash. The cabals pray for subsidy to be removed so they can fix prices and collect cash at the depot or station as the case may be.



investors will rather take their chances and sell lower than the cabal to increase their turnover.
A
The cabal protect their interest, it will never happen. Every player will join then to maximize profit.



gain I stand to be corrected. These are my thoughts. In Enugu where PMS price is not fixed, you choose where to buy petrol and at whatever price you can afford. The marketers have never been able to fix the price. Sometimes a few have been known to sell at 64.50; when the price was 65 to attract customers. JUHEL in New Haven had done that in the past.
Not possible, the landing cost is higher so who paid for the deficit? if it was subsidized by the govt, it will sell for 87, 64.5 is practically impossible in Enugu, for the major importers, they may afford to use Aquilla to augment the transportation cost and wait for subsidy later, while the independent marketer will have to include transportation because the product will come from PH or Warri, so you see, someone just has to pay for things to happen.

I think you are a victim of adjusted meter. on the bold part, you cannot fix price of PMS because the police (subsidy) will not allow you, you just re echoed what I have been saying.
That is the first job of subsidy, "Consumer Protection"
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 10:29pm On May 27, 2015
gohome:
Please be more civil.

Stop being scared. It is better we are at the mercy of them and learn how to checkmate capitalism excesses in a free market than still be on thier mercy right now. No country ready to progress will pay subsidy on Imported PMS. Subsidy is not a bad word. It should be done in other places (Transport, Agriculture, Education) Not Imported PMS.

Like someone said, Imported fuel accounts largely for why the Naira is so weak, that hurts your purse 10 times more than removing the present subsidy will. As it is, remove or no remove only those involved in the scheme/scam wins! The only difference will be an accountable leader will have more money to work (Build Infrastructure)
Is that how you think? how can you say you want to be at the mercy of the cabal to experiment capitalism?
what I wrote there is pretty clear and any policy maker knows its a mine that MUST not be stepped on.
How do you want to checkmate them when you have just removed the only element of control?

Checkmate them how?? tell me the plans you have to checkmate them.
Stealing hurts the Nigerian economy more than subsidy, deal with it.
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 10:20pm On May 27, 2015
ohzee:
Actually they can import more. They currently rent tank farms to do so. The problem is that they are unbelievably corrupt. But then maybe the fear of GMB will help. The point is that there should be an alternative to private importers to force down their prices.
Renting tank farms means they do not have enough storage capacity, who pays the rent for the farmshuh It is still part of the over bloated subsidy, if the market is deregulated, will the rent disappear? NO, but the Nigerian people will have to pay for the inefficiency of NNPC.
You just confirmed that NNPC lacks the capacity to import reason the cabal is doing that JOB.
Storage goes with import, if you cannot store, you cannot import enough, so they refine a little, import a little and leave the rest for the cabal.
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 10:11pm On May 27, 2015
ohzee:
Nairaland is a forum where people air their views on issues after thinking them through with facts at their disposal. So I am not sticking my mouth anywhere. I believe I have a right to state my opinion freely. I have gone through your posts and they sound very angry. Let us learn from you. Even if we don't agree with you or you with me, we will all improve our knowledge. Thanks
That is not the right way to learn, you can not learn by first mis informing your audience, I take such matters very personal.
The misinformation of 2012 is why most Nigerians can't even make sense to themselves rather recycling lies sold by the government.
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 10:06pm On May 27, 2015
gohome:
you are also making me repeat myself. Pray tell me why AGO is not scarce in Togo, Chad, USA KENYA etc. You owed the markerters and they showed you pepper. Also pray tell while the annihilation of the middle class has not occured in 90% of the countries. They have devalued your Naira, what it means is that any money you have now (savings) has been reduced by 10 percent. Your expenditures have also been increased by 10%. It means you are actually buying your so called subsidized PMS for 10% extra. Annihilation of the middle class has not occured.

Stop the delusion that government can not regulate a free market. Its a communist mentality.
grin grin grin grin grin grin grin

The Nigerian problem requires a Nigerian solution I won't remind you again,, your devalued currency increased your landing cost and interest rates nothing more, I have told you why AGO is scarce instead of proving me wrong, you are telling me it is not scarce in Togo, what kinda reasoning is that?
Prove to me that the cabals did not hoard AGO last week to send a strong message to the govt to pay for PMS subsidy outstanding?

If the Marketers can show the government pepper, what do you think they will show you in a deregulated market, candy?

Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 9:58pm On May 27, 2015
ohzee:
Actually they can import more. They currently rent tank farms to do so. The problem is that they are unbelievably corrupt. But then maybe the fear of GMB will help. The point is that there should be an alternative to private importers to force down their prices.
NNPC failed Nigerians since 1990, free your hope
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 9:56pm On May 27, 2015
ohzee:
AGO prices are high because there is more to gain from importing PMS most marketers don't bother to import AGO because there is no free lunch there.
I would have answered you but i have a problem with people who stick their mouth in issues they have no idea of
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 9:34pm On May 27, 2015
ohzee:
Subsidy is a fraud. In the days of essential commodity, the same thing happened. Fix prices and you simply create artificial scarcity. It will be tough for Nigerians but NNPC should increase their importation capacity in the short term. Flood the market with products and watch prices come down
If NNPC had the "importation capacity" let me borrow your phrase, why do we need the cabal?
When the cabal is holding us to ransom, why does the NNPC not bail us out? well, you conveniently forgot that NNPC workers are union members too aka Cabals grin grin grin
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 9:28pm On May 27, 2015
gohome:
Again, please be more civil, it will help us all aprreciate your line of thought. If the so cabal are allowed to sell at 1.1 dollar per litre they wont hoard. PMS is not cheap let us deal with it. AGO is deregulated in 90% of the countries, but not scarce, why should it be scarce in Nigeria?
you make me repeat myself, once you deregulate, you have lost the power to make anybody do anything.
You said they won't hoard? oh! yea! where did all the AGO in the country disappear to last week? where did Jet A1 disappear to? or you think the planes use PMS too? wetin concern AGo with unpaid PMS subsidy? are you not seeing them again after the strike?
you seem not to have any idea what is going on.
Remove subsidy and witness the annihilation of the middle class.
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 9:20pm On May 27, 2015
tunene66:
in simply terms to me subsidy is ensuring that the price of a good or service is below the actual cost price-in other words, there is a loss. No concerning the Nigerian situation, the crude oil is sold in the international market at ruling price. Its based on this that the Federal Government bases its budget. So the crude is sold and we import, like any other country, refined oil at international price, together with it attendant cost of transportation, insurance and landing charges. These no doubt makes the cost of refined oil higher than crude (since value has been added). Now the Govt. arbitrarily fixes the refined oil (PMS) price. So the differential is called Subsidy

Well the counter argument is that ideally, the budget of Nigeria should be based on crude oil that is sold to external customers. The crude oil that is to be used eventually in the country should be sold at local cost of production price to refineries who will the send it back at a reduced price. States and LGAs will kick because it will mean reduced revenue, no wonder they wand an Accountant General of the Federal Republic

So to me there is subsidy but its being mismanaged because our monitoring agencies have been corrupt

The way out.....
you have already said the way out, well done!!
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 9:19pm On May 27, 2015
kinibigdeal:
Your comment are too loopsided. The fact that you said you were against it in 2012 due to your unfounded fact speaks alot about your personality and you supporting it now enapse my conclusion. The protest against subsidy in 2012 was highly political and not for the interest of the nation, the calculation was to render this present administration ungovernable in lieu of their interest in 2015 which really work for them perfectly. Majority of the policy GEJ administration had then was strongly opposed through press and whatever platform because of their political calculation of 2015. The effect was, the more you oppose a beneficial policy, the more the aesthetic decay compiled and remain unsolved. Now the consequence of their unfounded critics is what they want to carry now which is almost impossible to solve in 8years. The problem we have as a nation is that our critics are never issue based but political gain
Crap!!
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 9:16pm On May 27, 2015
Realdeals:
@ gohome

What happen to the 445,000 barrel of crude produced for domestic consumption
who produced? where you see am?
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 9:12pm On May 27, 2015
[quote author=Kx post=34137818]@ go home, why are you avoiding the questions below?

In addition,
a. What is the tangible evidence of how well the proceeds of the partial removal and SURE-P initiative?
Sure-P? lol, that money never existed, Jonathan just bought buses from the federation account to calm you guys down.


b. What explains the price of N130 for kerosene that enjoins subsidy and should be sold at N50 official?
The Power of the cabal, diversion, corruption.


c. Where is the common sense of buying refined fuel from abroad while we export the raw crude when the same govt is preaching a ban to the importation of fish and other goods that we naturally produce locally?
Energy sector and Agriculture obey different set of rules, when Buhari sits, he will realize that Nigeria doesn't even have feed stock for existing refineries, from there he go begin develop grey hairs grin grin grin
Make no mistakes, buhari understand the energy sector a lot, I still trust his judgement, what we cannot guarantee is the extent of damage Jonathan has done.


e. How do you react to this revelation:
there are inefficiencies in the subsidy regimen no doubt the reason why sane people want the Govt to clean it up before telling us they cannot afford it, if you leave the inefficiencies intact, then it is no longer subsidy removal, but passing the inefficiency of the government to the masses who are already functioning as an individual LGAS by Nigerian standards.
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 9:03pm On May 27, 2015
kinibigdeal:
Question

Were you able to give this analysis when jonathan government made several attempt to remove it? were you not part of those that protested against it at ojota? Now those that oppose it during is government are trying to remove it! Our politics is all about interest and not about the citizen undecided
Not even Buhari will attempt outright subsidy removal
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 9:02pm On May 27, 2015
Realdeals:
subsidy a scam! visit this thread https://www.nairaland.com/2339465/buhari-not-use-oil-marketers

"...In the short run, we will not use the marketers for the PMS importation... we shall give all our local PMS needs that NNPC cannot refine to foreign firms to refine for us and pay them the cost of refining...
"We shall provide transport to ship crude to and from the foreign refineries and pay the cost of refining for us...I believe that will remove the subsidy fraud in the short run...
"when I give you 200,000 bpd to refine, you must give me the equivalent outputs that it will bring in kerosene, PMS, Diesel etc...
"...But in the long run, we shall encourage local refineries..."
This Plan will land PMS at nearly 120 naira per liter, is that what you want?
Politics › Re: We Deceived Nigerians, Nothing Like SURE-P Fund – Gov. Aliyu by jpphilips(m): 8:59pm On May 27, 2015
nairamaniac:
why do you Nigerians forget so easily?Jonathan didn't say "let's remove the subsidy, cos its a scam". he said, " let's remove the subsidy cos iv been scammed". he was scammed to spend 1.2trillion naira as against 400 billion which was spent the previous year. now, Jonathan transfered the burdens of his damage to us the ordinary citizens to pay for the excess 800billion. we d citizens played for this damage every subsequent year thru d removal of subsidy. Jonathan's government is the worst ever, economically speaking. no one has even asked why the naira was devalued last year November. the naira was devalued from 160naira/1dollar to above 250naira/1dollar becos our wicked country had to access our foreign-reserve in order to make up for difference in oil-revenue after oil prices had crashed. the yearly budget depends mainly on oil revenue. as oil prices crashed from above $100 to less than $60, the government wdnt have been able to meet up with a budget of 4trillion anymore, the most they WD have gotten is about 2trillion. they needed money from somewhere. that somewhere was the 'foreign reserve'. they wanted it to be plenty wen converted to naira, hence they devalued the naira and the economy and masses suffered just as it suffered when subsidy was removed. My people, God loves this country that y he has directly bailed us out on two major-occassions . the 1st time was thru the death of Abacha. the 2nd time was the removal of Jonathan.
grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin grin I just died!!
Politics › Re: We Deceived Nigerians, Nothing Like SURE-P Fund – Gov. Aliyu by jpphilips(m): 8:49pm On May 27, 2015
Sir,

Cant make sense of what you wrote.
Articulate your points properly for me Sir, so l can respond them.
If l have 'no idea what is going on', l will appreciate if you educate me here, openly.
Tell me why the "cabal is praying that "subsidy" be removed! Which subsidy?
Read and digest this response I gave to someone who asked the same question earlier.

The downstream sector does not operate that way, Like you inferred, there will be competition but it is not the way Nigerians expect, look at Diesel for example, it is deregulated but why is competition not driving down the price? Even when it is obvious the demand for AGO is pretty low, so how did a deregulated commodity in the Nigerian open market defy the laws of Economics? UNIONISM.

Like you implied above, anybody can import in a deregulated market fuelling competition, it is not exactly true, there are safety regulations that must be met before you are granted such licence, else Nigeria will be on fire in a matter of days, issue of storage, distribution capacity, inspection and integrity assessment are all considered, not forgetting "political patronage", in the end, only a few will meet the criteria, so its not gonna be an "all come oh! ye faithful" exercise.

As soon as they get their licence, they will join a union, Union will commence price fixing and that is where Nigerians will suffer. Now look at what Capital oil did recently, because he is a personal friend to Mr president who contributed immensely to his business success (TAN & AMCON scandal comes to mind), he decided to defy the union to salvage the image of the president, what most of you don't know is that Union has already decided to call off the strike this week ( I heard it on Thursday last week), so, it is inconsequential to the interest of the union.

The right question to ask is; why did he not release that product last week? was 13ml the only product he has? what is the reach of Capital oil in Nigeria? he may cover Lagos or some part of Anambra at best, what happens to all the other states? that is where the Union is very powerful.

Another factor you need to consider is the international market, the price of crude fluctuates, when it appreciates, no amount of competition will annul that effect viz the price of its end product.

Import tax is another area you need to consider, well, you may assume it is an essential commodity hence should get a tax rebate, the sad truth is; once new importers join the queue (of course you want to drive competition), it will mount serious pressure on FOREX, the Govt will have no choice than to tax the products to recover. This import tax will sum up to the cost of the product for the end user.

Finally, the strength of the naira, the Naira has been on a free fall for a while and it is going to impact heavily on the cost of the products ( I guess you are aware that Forex differential is part of our subsidy regimen), a sum of all these challenges will annul the possible effect of any competition.

So when some ignorant minds compare the downstream sector with Telecommunications, I just Laugh!!

Subsidy is the only govt control in the downstream sector and it is good for us, the problem I have with most Nigerians is that they don't really know how to define their interest, the Govt should worry about the subsidy not us.

If the union decide to sell at 100 naira for example, the major importers who are subsidy beneficiaries will sell at the government rate (I am not saying they are not union members though, just obliged) the union will not sell, it wont be long before they return to status quo, that is why they capitalize on frivolities to create artificial scarcity to make more money because subsidy is a big bone in their throat. They pray daily for the government to make the mistake of subsidy removal unlike what Jonathan told you in 2012 when he referred to them as "Cabals", no doubt, they are "cabals" but jonathan lied about their interest.The cabal want the subsidy out more than Nigerians want it out.

look at this recent strike, NPDC whose stake was illegally transferred has both NUPENG and PENGASSEN as members, while NUPENG (the junior staff union) went on strike, PENGASSEN (the senior staff union) in other companies was at work grin

Shell, Exxon, Total Nupeng members were all at work, while tanker drivers members went to strike on their behalf grin
That is an example of how senseless their strike can be sometimes.

It doesn't negate the fact that they have legitimate concerns sometimes, eg when the FG gave them import mandate and devalued the naira overnight without notice, bank interest rate on the product will increase and cost of purchase increased as well, who pays for the deficit? the FG is a chronic debtor when it comes to subsidy, some importers have backlogs to 2014, Iweala just pays in bits and pieces, till they strike before they will get at least half.

Nobody cares about Aquilla (transport subsidy) these days, the cabal will rather rent their trucks to other members who are not registered and collect their cash than waiting forever for the government to pay, that is the sad truth, Cabal hate subsidy, jonathan Lied big time.

For those of you who root for subsidy removal, you have no idea what these cabals are capable of!!, funny enough I am for subsidy removal but definitely not the 2012 madness
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 8:40pm On May 27, 2015
author=gohome post=34152086]

Please esplain futher, I do not understand this question.

I will put an answer, tell me if this helps

1. Because the sector is not fully deregulated. The money these marketers get from PMS, they can afford to sell diesel to you at any price. You are lucky. If the sector is fully deregulated, you may buy diesel at 180 Naira per liter
Wrong!!


2. I also believe the reason that the price of diesel is high is because it is not lucrative to import it. The marketers simply ignore it and all rush for the beautiful bride called PMS because of the subsidy they will get from govt. This creates artificial relative scarcity of diesel and the price remains high
Crap!!


3. The price of crude oil is not directly proportional to the price of diesel. In other words if the price of crude oil is reduced by 40 percent, the price of diesel will only reduce by 5% or less The reason being diesel is a necessary by product from the very cherished PMS. It's prices are determined by refining margins amongst other factors. These margins are calculated from the composition of crude refined

The price of diesel has dropped in several countries but risen in others. From July 2013 to July 2014 (oil price peak), the retail price of diesel dropped by 3.6 percent in Germany. In Japan, prices increased by 9.7 percent during the same time. The United Kingdom had some of the highest prices for automotive diesel, reaching 1.93 U.S. dollars per liter in July 2014. Today in the UK, the price of diesel is 1.91 U.S. Dollars.
I have given you an answer on my last post


4. I also believe the reason why diesel was scarce last week is because markerters refused to lift. diesel boggle everywhere
Listen attentively, the reason AGO was scarce was because AGO is deregulated, there is no Govt control on AGO so the cabals call the shot fully in that area. All products belong to the cabal, while protesting for their 200b unpaid PMS subsidy funds, they utilized all the weapons in their arsenal, AGO being one of it, we gave them the power through deregulation.
If you deregulate fully, You have given the cabal total control of the Energy sector, like i said on the other post, they will annihilate the middle class.
They hoard their AGO to spite the government nothing more, deregulation has given them the power of monopoly.
The downstream sector is a bit tricky, Buhari must thread with caution.
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 8:20pm On May 27, 2015
gohome post=34137209]



Answer

ohzee(f): I believe the reason that the price of diesel is high is because it is not lucrative to import it. The marketers simply ignore it and all rush for the beautiful bride called PMS because of the subsidy they will get from govt. This creates artificial relative scarcity of diesel and the price remains high.
Arrant Nonsense!!




The price of diesel has dropped in several countries but risen in others. From July 2013 to July 2014 (oil price peak), the retail price of diesel dropped by 3.6 percent in Germany. In Japan, prices increased by 9.7 percent during the same time. The United Kingdom had some of the highest prices for automotive diesel, reaching 1.93 U.S. dollars per liter in July 2014. Today in the UK, the price of diesel is 1.91 U.S. Dollars.
Arrant nonsense, Nigeria has a peculiar problem that requires a Nigerian solution, at the Bundu waterside, there is a particular cheap diesel sold there, is it sold in Germany? is there kpo fire in the UK?





wirinet:

Having said that, i am not a fan of deregulation in a critical sector like the petroleum sector. There is never deregulation in the real sense of the word in any country in the world, government always regulate to some extent all industries in order to prevent abuse, monopoly and to protect public interest. It is the degree of regulation we should be debating about. "Deregulation" is good in situations with efficient market economy with strong institutions, but had been proven to be disasterous in countries with inefficient or underdeveloped markets with very weak institutions. All you will produce is monopoly or Oligarchy and the masses being at the mercy of a few powerful cabals.
Ladies and Gentlemen!! here you have it, Subsidy is the only government control in the downstream sector, remove subsidy and the middle class will face extinction, you guys have no idea what these cabals are capable of!!



gohome: If you do not deregulate, you wont build efficiency in Nigeria. Refining margines are very small with the volatile oil market you have. Big players like Shell BP Total etc would not build refineries if you do not let you government hands off. When Dangote's refinery is ready he will sell to Ghana, Togo and the likes if your Govt does not hands off. Fuel is not cheap. it is 220 Naira per liter. Get use to it.
Deregulation or not, refining in Nigeria is still profitable especially with this relatively low oil cost


wirinet:

This is what we have in almost all sectors of the Nigerian economy that had undergone deregulation. This is why deregulated Diesel and aviation fuel will never be cheap and available. This is why DSTV, MTN, Etisalat, etc can charge the masses very high tarrifs with very poor services. This is why deregulated NEPA is worse than regulated NEPA. I can go on and on. Before Thatcher deregulated or privatized the British economy, she made sure that the public run enterprises were running optimally and efficiently and very efficient regulatory bodies were in place.
JET A1 is regulated under DPK subsidy



gohome:

Thats the good thing about deregulation.

MTN better than NITEL
DSTV better than NTA
NESCO better than NEPA.
Oil and gas downstream sector follows a different rule entirely!! that thing you wrote up there will never happen if you deregulate completely.
Why is AGO fully deregulated not flooded every where? why is the international crude pricing not having a significant effect on the price of AGO?
Why has competition not pushed down the price of deregulated AGO? if you have the answer to these questions, then you will appreciate how comical you sound with that statement.


If you choose to use NITEL because MTN service is not good, go ahead. If you choose to watch NTA, go ahead. If you choose to use NEPA instead of solar and inverter, or NESCO go ahead.

NESCO is an independent power company in Jos that supplies 24 hours light to its customer
Arrant nonsense!! all sectors do not obey the same rules, Telecom, power and oil are two different things, only Sanusi think otherwise.




gohome: Subsidy removal has nothing to do with scarcity. PMS subsidy does not exist in 90 percent of the countries in the world, yet no scarcity. Why should it be scarce in Nigeria. No subsidy in Ghana, Niger, Togo, Benin, Kenya, SA, No scarcity. PMS is available worldwide if you want to have it at 1.1 dollars per liter. The only reason for Diesel scarcity is the fact that marketers refused to lift. If MTN refuses to give you service, Etisalat will. If OandO refuses to give you diesel, Capital Oil will. Deregulate the downstream sector is the only way. 3% of your budget goes to your National Assembly. Let them pass law and implement policies to guide against capitalism excess. Go and read about the meager between ATT and Tmobile.
You are very ignorant, Capital oil and Oando belong to the same union, if you remove Govt control (subsidy), if Capital doesnt sell, Oando wont sell either, you will exist at their mercy, they will fix their prices and you can not do Jack about it, but with subsidy in place, they are Obligated to sell except when they have a beef with their client (Government), you just experienced a tip of their influence last week, obviously, you have not learnt your lesson, remove subsidy and you will understand why a sitting president referred to them as "cabals".

Capital defied the union to release only 13m liters, do you think that is all he has got? he did Jonathan his personal friend a favor to salvage his image and the union understand, joke with these men at your own peril, they dont give a flying fvck about you!!



Reply to Wirinet Comments

[b]450,000 for domestic consumption does not fall from the sky. You have to produce it. It cost 30 dollars per bbl to produce it. Depending on the oil price, you will likely lose 9 billion dollars a year. This is minus the so called subsidy. With an infrastructural decay that needs hundreds of billions to solve, you want to pay subsidy? You are in a country where the government expenditure per person to tax is the highest in the world and you want to still pay subsidy. Your economy (mass transit, banks and industries) runs with diesel not PMS.
False!! it cost less than $30 to produce Nigerian oil, Shale oil is more expensive though, North Darkota is around $65/bbl, Texas and colorado is about $75/bbls, why do you think that Saudi was able to sustain the price war? because of variations in cost of production, Nigeria and Libya remainst the cheapest in Africa.



What is the population of the UAE? You are 170 million boy. It is not affordable.
Let the Governemnet worry about that, if the government can not design a blue print to make subsidy disappear, then they should continue paying till the president's salary is used for the last subsidy ticket, Government is there to serve the people not the other way round, there are a billion and one ways to make subsidy disappear in 4yrs, why cant the government figure it out? other than throwing around lies to bamboozle the citizens,
The United states at the peak of 2003 high oil price, President George Bush read a riot act and vowed to cut the united states dependance on foreign oil by 70%, he drew a plan and succesive governments followed it, 10yrs on, United states is on the 3rd spot in oil production in the world and aiming the first spot by next year with a whooping 15mbopd, that is what Governance is about, not wearing Agbada and fedora hat like an slowpoke.



Your budget is a mere 4 trillion. Guess what the budget of New York City with 8.9 million people alone is 15 trillion. Your government is poor, it needs money from anywhere. Help it.

Help it create a level playing field to unlock new opportunities. If we show investors we can buy fuel at 200 to 250 naira a liter, you will see them come. We then will be talking about 200K direct jobs easy and another 5 million indirect jobs.

Your country is poor. You need to start paying 30% tax so your government can run your country.
Crap!! the governemnt is lazy and they dont think!! stop cutting them useless slack, give Murry Bruce or Pat Utomi the presidency and subsidy will disappear in 5yrs, you can not vote block heads and expect a miracle in governance.

We recycle different classes of failures as public officers with no idea whatsoever how to run a country, Corruption is a bigger problem than subsidy, now, we have Buhari, a step in the right direction, he is expected to curb corruption and instill dicipline for Nigerian leadership to have sincerity of purpose, after him, is a technocrat that will strategically position Nigeria as a global player.
If he is able to select the technocrats now, then we have icing on the cake.



Buhari will not pay a dime on PMS subsidy. Petrol will sell at 1.1 dollars per liter. Unless he wants to throw away 9 billion dollars (465000 bbl) another form of subsidy. You won't die. My grandma in the village buys petro at 210 per liter, food are transported via diesel, mass transit is via diesel, industry via diesel. Nothing will happen
Be very careful what you wish for, these guys will import products, hoard it and make you beg to pay 1,000naira for a liter, the Cabal is already waiting for Buhari to make that mistake, your $1.1 PMS will only happen in your dreams.
who told you nothing will happen? well, Jonathan did not envisage the Ojota razzmatazz did he? Are you aware that the awareness the opposition created at the time was the drive that led to his defeat at the polls, do not ever in your life under estimate the power of the people.



i really do not know how to explain to these guys that we cannot afford it. No country with a population of 150 million plus pay subsidy on PMS.

Let them keep hiding under masses. Borrowing money to enrich few rich men. Sometimes I feel like disowning this country. People you try to help are the same people killing you.
Another B.S, United states twice the size of Nigeria, run 4 major subsidies that I can remember and still remain the richest in the world, bros! it is not about the size of your population but the ability of a Government to create wealth, you continue saying we can not afford it so what?
How about Leaders being able to create wealth? the oil you are dancing on was created by the leaders of the 70's, at the time Nigeria started investing in oil and gas, Coal was more profitable than oil, the ingenuity of our heroes past took a fore sight and invested in oil.

40yrs on, 10 leaders past, none of them has been able to create another source of income for this country, we are still brooding over oil that the 70's leaders created, it has been from one chop chop government to another, in the face of this abysmal failure, you dare cut them slack? what is wrong with you?

Like i said, I dont mind if the president's salary is caught up in the middle of subsidy receipt.[/quote]
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 7:00pm On May 27, 2015
Pavore9:
The subsidy is a fraud! A litre of Petrol is N181.07 here in Nairobi though it was about N224 per litre before the recent oil crash but even at the N181.07 per litre transport fare is still cheaper here than in Nigeria. Subsidy should go as Nigerians are not even benefiting from it.
Stick your mouth in Nairobi affairs that is where you pay your taxes, Nigerians should decide whether or not they want subsidy
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 6:58pm On May 27, 2015
sparkleboy:
Booked


GEJ should have removed this subsidy on Pms completely then and spent the SURE-p fund on building or repairing new refineries that should have been handed over to private companies to handle and manage.
We wouldn't have been in this mess if such had been done but the wicked cabals that are enjoying the deep corruption in that sector would not allow such.
People like Wale Tinubu, ifeanyi uba, pres obasanjo, otedola, rahamaniyya oil,
These people enjoy the loot from under supplying and been overpaid. If you see the deep corruption that goes on in the Pms supply chain huh You'll be scared for Nigeria.

Most of them import the cheapest fuel, and over value their oil,
A lot of the so called subsidised oils are refined in the refineries owned by our former leaders and business moguls in Trinidad and tobago, guinea, etc.
a lot of the subsidised fuel ends up in neighbouring African countries such as TOGO, BENIN, GHANA ETC,

SOLUTION
BUHARI SHOULD CANCEL PAYMENT OF SUBSIDY AND REVAMP OUR REFINERIES AND GIVE IT TO A PRIVATE COMPANY TO MANAGE.
Buhari won't be stup1d to remove subsidy outrightly, I am confident he understands the down stream sector pretty well, so you can continue in your ignorance or watch as events unfold.
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 6:56pm On May 27, 2015
[quote author=omenka post=34137060]Interesting!

I have just a few questions.


1). How much were previous administrations paying for subsidy??
Less than what Jonathan paid which raises a red flag on the mannerism he conducted the subsidy regimen, even a factor of population growth still does not add up to Jonathan's figures.


2). How much did Jonathan pay on assumption of duty as the president and in subsequent years as president??
Immaterial



3). What necessitated the geometric increase in the expenditure on subsidy soon after Jonathan took over?? It was about 300billion on the budget but burgeoned to nearly 2trillion at the end of the fiscal year. Was there a corresponding increase in the demand of products to have warranted such increase in "supply"?? Did Nigeria get thirstier for petroleum products??
Corruption which Jonathan refused to curb, exchange rate, strength and weakness of the dollar abroad, price of crude oil etc.


4). Was there any supplementary budget passed by the NASS to accommodate the increase as stated in #3??
Immaterial because we are not discussing the legality of subsidy rather we are discussing whether or not it will be removed.



5). There were about 40 importers of products prior to Jonathan's regime. After he took over, the list went over the roof to about 150!! What was the reason behind this??
Corruption, financial muscle, Audit assessment, integrity assessment of facilities, political patronage etc


#waiting.

Cc: gohome.
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 6:49pm On May 27, 2015
gohome:
Answer

[b]The subsidy issue is not shrouded in mystery. You have chosen to be ignorant. The average price of PMS around the world is about 1.1 dollars per liter. That's 220 Naira per liter. Poorer countries pay this. We produce 2.2 million barrels per day, rich countries like Russia US, China, India UK Brazil that produces up to 5 times more oil than we do pay this. Poorer countries like Haiti Angola Gabon also pay this. Even poorer and remote villages in Nigeria, burutu Nembe, mambila pay 200 plus for a liter. So what is the problem with it all gone? I'm 2012, sanusi and Iwealla with Allison went round TV stations explaining the steps to fully deregulate the downstream sector, no one listened. 65 Naira or nothing was the chant. I remember when Sanusi said the best way to put a fire out is to eliminate the source of the fire.

It was shame that GEJ and his ministers did not have the political tenacity to completely do way with this fire. Buhari seems to have it. He will remove it, fuel will sell at 180-220 per liter[/b]
You did not answer the question, you are just making ignorant blank statements, how did a regulated PMS affect a deregulated AGO, if you dont know the answer, keep quiet.
Politics › Re: Subsidy 101: Q &A On Subsidy. by jpphilips(m): 6:47pm On May 27, 2015
gohome:
Question



Answer

[b]Nigeria can no longer afford to pay subsidy on petroleum products full stop. Corruption or no corruption we do not have the money to pay. You have to let it sink in your head. We have an infrastructural decay that will take 200 billion dollars to fix, you have annual 'deficit' budget of less than 20 billion dollars of which 40 percent is used to fund lazy states and you want to continue to spend 25% of your the remaining budget to subsidize PMS?

Hope the anology below helps

You are the head of your house, and you have an annual budget of 100 naira. Rent in a dilapidated house is 20 Naira. School fees is 20 Naira. Transportation to work and school is 30 Naira. Fueling your generator is 30 Naira. Let say you want to start up a new business to increase your income and as such you need to save 20 Naira. You also need to move from your present apartment because the ceiling leaks water any time it rains, which will require you save an extra 10 Naira. You took a loan from the bank, and the monthly deduction is 10 Naira. You have relations that cannot run their family and they have come asking for money because the landlord is about to evict them from the house. In the middle of all these, Something happened and your annual budget is reduced to 50 Naira. Will you keep paying for fuel to light up your house while you cannot pay rent and your kids can not go to school?

Before you critic always put yourself in a leadership position and provide practical solution
[/b]
Whether or not the Nigerian state can afford subsidy is immaterial to the Nigerian people, the Government should worry about that.
Politics › Re: Jonathan Submits Confab Report To Senate by jpphilips(m): 6:31pm On May 27, 2015
OreMI22:
[size=17pt]

Unless President Mohammed Buhari implements the agreements of Nigerians at the CONFAB, there will be crisis in Nigeria.

Buhari has said he will dump the CONFAB agreements into the dustbin.

As for me and my own corner of Nigeria, CONFAB approved a 50% derivation principle.What needs to happen now is a guerrilla warfare against oil pipelines, installations and personnel until the agreement is implemented.
[/size]
m0r0n planning a revolution but he doesn't know the actual percentage approved by CONFAB, why do we have so many m0r0ns in our public space?

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