₦airaland Forum

Again, poll projects Peter Obi to win 2023 election
Conducted in early December, the results showed 23 per cent of voters willing to vote for Peter Obi if the presidential election were to be conducted today.


Labour Party’s Peter Obi is still projected to win Nigeria’s 2023 presidential election, according to a new poll commissioned by ANAP Foundation.

The nationwide poll shows a significant lead taken by Mr Obi with Bola Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC) and Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) respectively trailing him.

Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) emerged as a distant fourth behind Messrs Tinubu and Abubakar.

Conducted in early December, the results showed 23 per cent of voters willing to vote for Mr Obi if the presidential election were to be conducted today; and 13 per cent proposing to vote for Mr Tinubu who fell in second place.

Mr Abubakar came third with 10 per cent and Mr Kwankwaso was a distant fourth with only 2 per cent of voters proposing to vote for him.

“Mr Peter Obi’s 10 per cent point lead at this stage is significant, but not sufficient to separate him from a leading pack of candidates scoring 13 per cent, 10 per cent and 2 per cent,” said Atedo Peterside, the president and founder of ANAP foundation.

“Undecided voters and those who prefer not to reveal their preferred candidate add up to a whopping 29 per cent and 23 per cent respectively. The gender split of undecided voters shows that 38 per cent of women are undecided versus 21 per cent of male voters.”

The percentage of registered voters or voters with their permanent voter’s card as of December is 90 per cent in the North East; 89 per cent in the South West and 88 per cent in the South-South. The lowest voter registration percentages were recorded in the North Central with 87 per cent; North West with 86; and the South East with 84 per cent, the report said.



“The percentage of voters refusing to disclose the name of their preferred candidate has increased sharply from 15 per cent to 23 per cent making it difficult for us to ascertain if any of the candidates has picked up significant momentum between September and December 2023,” Mr Peterside said in a statement sent to PREMIUM TIMES.



The foundation had commissioned a poll in September that tipped Mr Obi to win the election with Mr Tinubu and Mr Abubakar finishing second and third position respectively.

When asked if religion would affect the choice of respondents, data gathered showed that 15 per cent of the respondents replied in the affirmative to religion influencing their choice of candidates but 81 per cent, on the other hand, responded that their choices were not being influenced by religion, the report added.

On ethnicity, 10 per cent of the respondents noted that ethnicity informed their choice of candidates while 86 per cent said their choices were not influenced by ethnicity.



The top five reasons why voters are more inclined to vote in the forthcoming election are the need to tackle insecurity (35 per cent), Economy (26 per cent), Unemployment (10 per cent), Poverty alleviation (7 per cent), and Education (6 per cent).

Overall, 71 per cent of the respondents believed the presidential candidates should compulsorily participate in a televised debate and/or town hall meeting, with the debates/town hall meetings spanning across topics like their manifestos, competence checks, and personality recognition amongst others.

The percentage of respondents willing to vote in the upcoming election varies by age bracket. For instance, 73 per cent of persons between the age of 18 – 25 intended to vote in February while 82 per cent of registered voters aged 26-35 said they are going to vote.



About 85 per cent of voters aged 36-45 are ready to vote and 86 per cent of registered voters aged 46-60 are also going to vote. About 82 per cent of registered voters aged 61+ responded that they would vote in the upcoming elections.

The age groups that expressed the greatest willingness to vote were those between 36-45 and 46-60 years.

On average, the poll shows that 8 in 10 registered voters are certain that they would be voting in the next presidential election.

“If they stay committed then we could witness a huge turnout in the February Presidential 2023 elections,” Mr Peterside said.

“While this Poll result shows some significant trends, it is key to note that the battle ahead lies in the hands of the undecided/swing voters as they would ultimately decide which candidate takes the lead to emerge as the President of the Federal Republic of Nigeria in the 2023 presidential elections.”

Methodology
The researchers said the survey was polled “from 1,000 respondents; after which Anap Foundation conducted similar polls with a 2,000 and 3,000 respondents sample size, the difference in the results was not significant.”

The high percentage of voters (38 per cent) who refused to disclose their preferred candidate in the South West Zone is worrisome. For other zones, those who refused to disclose their preferred candidate ranged from 14-23% per cent,” the group said.

“Historically, an exceedingly high percentage of voters refusing to disclose their preferred candidate is usually associated with perceptions/fears (real or imagined) of possible voter intimidation within a geographical area.”

Anap foundation added: “Our December 2022 Polls are inconclusive in terms of establishing a clear winner as the undecided voters, combined with the voters who refused to disclose their preferences, are enough to turn the tables.”

“However, Anap Foundation has concluded that the trends are clear enough to establish the front-runners and so our subsequent polls will continue to concentrate on the 4 leading candidates only.”

Newton2024:
Southwest has never given block votes since 1999 (4th republic) and this pattern is not changing anytime soon. All thanks to Awolowo, the giver of free and quality education. An average south-westerner is independent minded. That's why all of us can not put all our eggs in one basket. Surprisingly, Peter Obi may win SW but with a small margin while Tinubu or Atiku comes second or third.

These factors are in favour of Obi in winning Southwest region:

1. Religion - Yoruba people are quite religious but they are not bigots or fanatics. With the introduction of religion into 2023 election by Ahmed Tinubu, a lot of Yoruba christians have decided to vote for Obi against Muslim-Muslim ticket. Muslim-Muslim ticket is an unpardonable insult to Christianity.

2. Buhari's poor performance - Due to poor performance of APC at national level, a lot of Yoruba people now detest the party with passion. They are holding Tinubu responsible for the insecurity and hardship Buhari has bestowed upon Nigeria.

3. Tinubu's perceived disdain for Igbos - Tinubu's hired surpporters are also not helping matters as they insult the entire tribe at will. If they want to abuse a Northerner or a Westerner, they will first christianed him Igbo use derogatory words. To them, Tinubu doesn't need igbo votes. Little did they know that most minority tribes in South-South and North-West are always aligning with the Igbos.

op give the urchins wotowoto

Wetin dey make me laugh be say the total votes of APC(13) +PDP(10%)=LP(23%)
Urchins oh make una continue to the wail Una tears go dey Give me sweet joy like man wey newly marry

Moh247:
Zombidiots needs to be shot in the head with high caliber rifle

e pain am

yarimo:
A criminal and bleaching wife

show me ur mama my check something,

Borntosmoke:
People like julaion will avoid this thread like plague . Na waiting obi teach them be dat

na wetin concern obi concern Zimbabwe drugs with peter obi,at times eh,you dey reason like person wey him papa take him placanta do sacrifice at child birth,you go just dey do like mad person wey dey fvck pig

Simplicity runs in the family.

DFOgbanwo:
Atiku,na him we go vote come 2023.
#organizingforaction.

better people dey talk you wey the lick at ik u bolokus go still the talk

Moh247:
Obi never Sabi anything, Zombidiots headless mob are only using him and he has to obey them

urchins need to be stoned

blamingthedevil:
Inter-house sport competition going on in Calabar....

A big Shame!

urchins are wailing seriously

shortIGBOman:
Emeka, as e dey pain una, e dey sweet me.

adekunle usman bin Laden e pain you too

Urchins will wail these night

Abdul05:
Why obi avoiding north...?

His popularity needs to be tested in the north..

Avoiding the north won't do good for him..

obi's northern campaign will shock urchins just be patient

shortIGBOman:
You are referring to the EAST, that's the region where men and women are being raped and killed. In Enugu, 3 Herdsmen have sacked all the Communities in the EAST. The entire State is a ghost Towns. Except main Enugu metropolis.

most useless urchins I have ever encountered is that not pictures of flood victims ? The way urchins like you reasons eh !!!!! Sometimes I dey reason weda u truly suck your mama breast about na goat milk them feed you as infant

shortIGBOman:
I was not happy some days back, when I read on Nairaland that, Simon Ekpa was arrested in Finland. But the champ is back stronger and Wilder.

Simon Ekpa must finish what he, Nnamdi Kanu, IPOB Bandits, ESN and UGM started in the EAST. IGBO People were busy insulting us and calling our beloved Country a Zoo.

God has sent Simon Ekpa to revenge on our behalf. Cause all the pains and agony Simon Ekpa and his IPOB members are unleashing, will only start and end in the EAST.

while bandits are busy raping your fathers you are here fooling your selve

Moh247:
There is something called due process and background check

If Peter Obi could make Someone with a pending corruption case his Vice Presidential placeholder and a convict his Director General of Campaign

This is either his failure to do background checks or an indictment on his character as a dubious fruadulent person

Resignation after conviction is an after thought

And guess non of Tinubu Shetima Campaign council has ever been convicted of any crime non..

urchins spotted

smokinloud:
Obidense, your principal can not garner votes up to Kwankwaso's.
Know that and know peace!.

you are a are loser

ganisucks:
As in, it was a check move. A true masterclass performance. How can Ayu talk now. How can Ganduje raise his head.

the should hide their head in shame

Obaofaba:
But anambra state University went on strike for 13 months and were forced to resume without their demands being met?

You can only deceive the gullible Mr Pandora.

As for me, My Hope is Renewed

all you do is lie from morning till night,I schooled at anambra state university when peter obi was governor,there was no single strike in our higher institution,so where did you get these lies from

Felimax:
Demon in PDP!
Saint in LP! What a beautiful synopsis!

Titled: Demons n Angels!

as e dey pain you,e go dey Sweet us

[quote author= post=119321361]Follow the link below

https://fb.watch/hyH5I_Ndwc/[/quote]abeg give these dirty urchins wotowoto i can feel it their bp go soon burst

GoodLife4live:
Go and sell your fake news to ur GUILIBLE zombidients... Anufia... Ipob fool....

see urchins and wailing oh

GoodLife4live:
ipobian how are u doing ?... Hungry nyamiri bigoted blogger.... Ipob Terrorist... Thunder fire u there

suicide await you thunder wey go strike you go first dry ur dummy brain

[quote author=wwwihy post=119315742]Labour Party: Yet another flopped campaign rally in Akwa Ibom state.

https://twitter.com/dipoaina1/status/1605298076872495104[/quote]urchins i taught you people said labour party are four people tweeting in a room

novaris:
the drug lord aka bobo Chicago supporters will never cease to amaze me. see as they have started displaying their mental deficiencies. may God overlook their foolery and heal them speedily

most of them will run mad before 2023

Moh247:
Small yansh dey shake, mushroom party hold rally him call am decamp

Labour Party get camp before?!

I no you will not sleep this night

Moh247:
Lies

Decamping without displaying membership cards

Who are they fooling

cry cry baby

What a rousing welcome home accorded to the most dodged politician and a freedom fighter of the modern democracy in Kanam local government council Honourable Wokdung Adamu Abbas, the Labour Party flag bearer seeking to represent the good and hospitable people of Pankshin, Kanke and Kanam in the national assembly comes 2023. At the event, the former local government council secretary and as well former aspirant for Pankshin, Kanke and Kanam in the 2019 general elections Honourable Dr. Daniel Gunggung officially denounced his APC membership thereby joining the Labour Party and his supporters.

Our people, our structure and pride���.
Labour Party from top to bottom.

Everywhere just quite...

Atiku's camp is shocked...

Tinubu's people are depressed...

They never saw Doyin Okupe's resignation coming...

Everywhere is cold...

Peter Obi is a Genius - a Mastermind...

Peter Obi is the standard....

Everywhere just quite...

What was meant to be Peter Obi's downfall has now become his biggest political point - the first Presidential hopeful to let go of his campaign DG based on principle.

Everywhere is cold.

Fighting Peter Obi is a waste of resources - this Oga is on top of the game.