₦airaland Forum

Penguin2:
I’m going to be as concise and straight to the point as possible….

As the 2023 elections approach, every supporter of the frontline candidates believes his candidate will win but only a few are able to practically, logically and empirically demonstrate their candidate’s road to victory.

But because I, and most other Obi supporters, am not in that category, I bring you Obi’s realistic and unexaggerated path to victory.

First, of all the 4 frontline candidates, Obi is the only one not contesting his region of Southeast with anyone. When you consider the fact that the voting pattern of the Southeast and Southsouth has always almost been the same since the 60s, plus the results of several polls already conducted by different bodies, and with facts on ground in the different streets of the Southsouth region, you will agree that Obi is not contesting Southeast and Southsouth with anyone.

In the Southwest, different results of several polls, and facts from the streets of Southwest indicate that Obi is closing behind Tinubu in contest of votes of the region. Even with 2 sitting PDP governors in the region, Atiku seems to be unsurprisingly out of contest for the region’s votes. And even if he ends up garnering votes from the region, the votes he would garner might be too insignificant to be consequential.

In the North Central, even the oppositions have accepted that Obi will win Benue, Plateau and Abuja. He’s also expected to come second in Nasarawa and Kogi. A summation of these will give him victory as the overall winner of the North Central.

In the Northwest, Obi would not be expecting much here except from Southern Kaduna, Southern Kebbi and some votes from the brothers and sisters of Datti Baba-Ahmed in Zaria (yes, we are not expecting much from Datti).

In the Northeast, Obi is not expecting much, just like Northwest, but might do better here than in Northwest. With good showing, or even outright victory, expected in Taraba, then votes from Adamawa Christians, Southern Gombe, Southern Borno and Southern Bauchi, Obi will not do badly in this region.

In conclusion, I want you to realize that Atiku is contesting his Northeast region with Tinubu and even Kwankwaso and Obi. Because Borno and Yobe seem to be gone with Shettima while Obi is likely to take the votes of most Christians in the region while Kwankwaso is not bereft of supporters in the region as well. If anything, Kwankwaso’s outing in Maiduguri was so threatening that Borno government had to seal NNPP office until public outcry made them reverse the decision.

Similarly, Kwankwaso is contesting Northwest with Atiku and Tinubu. It is unarguably a three horse race in this region with none of them sure of victory in the region yet.

In the same vein, Tinubu is contesting Southwest with Obi as results of several polls have shown and as people on ground in the Southwest can testify. If anything, the Muslim Muslim ticket of Tinubu seems to have turned off a lot Southwest Christians who would have ordinarily voted for him.

But not so with Obi; almost all of the candidates agrees that campaigning in the Southeast is a waste of time and resources because the region is gone with Obi; closely followed by Southsouth.

So, there you have it. Everything I’ve said here is verifiable facts devoid of emotions and exaggerations. And when you have digested it, you would be seeing Peter Obi’s victory staring at you in the face.

Meanwhile, I’d appreciate if respondents stick to countering my position with superior facts and postulation rather than degenerating into throwing illogical tantrums and insults.

Danke!

Penguin is a bird of reason.

Nlfpmod
Mynd44
Garfield1
Kyase
Tinubuadvocate
Ihordspy
Solvertongue
PandoraObi
NigeriaIsGreat
Okoroawusa
Tinsel
Moh247

Obi can only win SE and no where else
Let's meet here again in 2023 February 28th

Penguin2:
Lol!

So you really are insinuating that I quoted myself? To achieve what?

I’m the last person to deceive myself or place Obi where he’s not. I’m a very realistic person. And I will never place Obi where he’s not.

I quoted you so you could see what he said yourself. And I believe him because he’s not a popular moniker on Nairaland so you won’t say he’s an Obi promoter.

I just want you guys to accept reality.

It's alright boss
But if you are to tell yourself the truth
Obi can't win the election

garfield1:
Cc penguin2, kyase,aiel123, tinubu campaign is bullying others

before unko

garfield1:
Ganduje struggled to win Abba gida.if he could barely save himself,how can he save tinubu

But he won right?
When everything was against him
This time he won't fight alone

garfield1:
It seems the northerners are emotional and are moved by what we southerners do.
But kwankwaso is very popular in kano.I dont see how they will leave him for tinubu who is backes by unpopilar ganduje

Yes whenever they feel you are been targeted because of one of them
They rally behind you to support you.
And who told you Ganduje is unpopular

Andres28:
You must be deluded...Israel was existing before Palestine.
The city of Jerusalem is the most mention city of Israel in the holy bibe. But today Palestine claims Jerusalem belongs to them.

WTF man
Jerusalem was never Israel's
Even in the bible you mentioned. The Israelites are land crabbers
Go read your bible again boss
Isarael was promised to Abraham and God asked them.to kill them all to claim land
The children and the wives are the ones disturbing them now
Its in your bible boss

OsunOriginal:
At least, you're alive...
The educated bandits (who are mostly elites) kill and maim many thousands through looting and mismanagement. Many people have lost their lives to bad roads, ill-equipped hospitals, etc. Yes, the killing is gradual and not immediately seen from the action but this is the reality. This group of bandits has killed more people than the common criminals.

True sha
But it affected me and still affecting me now
Both have no excuse boss

Andres28:
There is nothing left that Russia has not used in this war except nuclear weapons which they can never use otherwise Russia will become a history.
Ukraine is tougher than Russia in terms of personnel.
Russia will fight till they get tired and run back to their country.Ukraine belongs to Ukraine alone.

The land Israel belonged to the Palestinian but what's up today

garfield1:
Me am in ph which is the capital of ss and from here,I can easily tell the direction of the votes for ss.se is a foregone alternative.

But,this your northern projections is confusing me.today you say its atiku to win nw,tomorrow its Buhari.you can't just be using your friend's view to permutate

I projected Atiku at the start of the campaign, some weeks ago I told you the dynamics have changed, a week ago it changed further
Babchir has done more damage for the opposition than he thinks, APC is getting more and more sympathy here in the north
Just on Monday, we were all called for a meeting, and this guys don't fuvkking mind
They were telling us live to vote APC

Again
I'm not using any friends view again
I was doing that when I was in rivers state, but since I came back , I see things in my own way
Kano is the headquarters of NW votes between
Kano votes reflect across the states

lhordspy:
Another angle to it

Actually the only Angle

walosky:
Pls someone should help and clarify me on this Ukraine Russia war.


Russia has been bombarding Ukrainian cities by air, mortars, drones and etc then my question is why has Ukraine not taking the war to Russian cities abi does the war forbids their aircrafts flying to the Russian airspace and bombard their cities as well?

��

That will be the end of Ukraine
The moment they do that, then it's over, Russia will not hold back
Believe it or not, Russia is just toying with them now
Russia is yet to use 0.5% of their artillery in this play fight

blamingthedevil:
The most unserious presidential campaign in the history of presidential campaigns in Nigeria

Actually Obi is mobilising funds to rent crowd in the north
Because most people are refusing to show up
I know this because the kano mobilising secretary of labour party is an ally

garfield1:
As in.he is in lagos but can tell how ss/se will vote than me that is in ss

The dude is in Lagos and was telling me how the north will vote
Haba
Tinubu will win the toral votes in the 19 northern states as things stands now

abc115:
"I Can't Join Issues With A Baby Presidential Candidate Who Doesn't Know His Left From Right"
~Doyin Okupe To Peter Obi

Na banter or real

OsunOriginal:
Dec 2022 will definitely be a good month for us in Nigeria. On the first day of the month, two Nigerian elites (the educated bandits) were convicted and sentenced to long years in prison. In the north, Prof. Graba (a VC) received 35 years in prison while down south, Bassey Albert (a former senator of the federal republic and YPP gov candidate) will spend 42 years behind bars.

We should take it easy with the poor thieves and pocket pickers on the streets. The focus of the law should be on the Nigerian elites and the so-called leaders both in private and public organizations - they are the real bandits breeding all other forms of banditry. If Nigeria wins the war against the educated bandits (called leaders) in both the private and public sectors, the sky will be our limit.

https://dailynigerian.com/fraud-court-sends-gusau/

https://www.thecable.ng/just-in-akwa-ibom-ypp-guber-candidate-sentenced-to-42-years-imprisonment-for-fraud

Mynd44
Lalasticlala
Mukina2
Garfield1
Helinues
Rolams
Tinubuadvocate
Okoroawusa
Kyase
Aiel123
Muykem
Cajal
Naijaroyalty
Adegbaraogboye
Trinitycian
Penguin2

Omo small thief never pick your thing na e make
Last week dem Pick my phone
Now I'm phone less
Those petty thieves Dangerous like their senior colleagues

Penguin2:
Thank you Mr Kingsley for this frank summation of the reality on ground in Bayelsa and elsewhere in the Southsouth.

Meanwhile, I’m actually from the Southeast, so I know what’s going on there. Only some Southeast elites are following Atiku and Tinubu for whatever reason that is best known to them. 99.9% of the people in Southeast are supporting Obi.

Then about Southwest, I’m currently based in Lagos and I can tell you authoritatively that most people in Lagos will not vote for Tinubu. No legitimate hustler in Lagos will vote for Tinubu; Tinubu’s victory will be victory for agberos and these agberos are the reason Lagos is almost inhabitable.

I keep telling people that Southeast and Southsouth are on lockdown for Peter Obi but they like to deceive themselves.

Garfield1
Senatordave
Kyase
Moh247
Tinubuadvocate
Tinsel
Asgard
Ochejoseph
Ihordspy
Silvertongue
Osunoriginal
PandoraObi
NigeriaIsGreat
Okoroawusa
AlternateId

Your sentencing and use of words are similar to the op you quoted.

Now back to the topic
Saying that APC doesn't have a base in Bayelsa is another next level shit, apart from Ogoni of rivers state
, I have more peeps in Bayelsa than any other place in the south south, and all of them including the PDP members will tell you that APC got more chance in Bayelsa than any other SS states
Tell the op you quoted to stick with rivers
How much dem go pay person make e comoth go another state for rally and how much The Tinubu even get self

Let's be reasonable with this politics abeg

Ho
B

fergie001:
Case wey go end like Obaseki own.

@garfield1
@aiel123
@kyase

Court strikes out Aondoakaa's suit against Alia.

Both Gemade and Fmr AGF have no case against Alia

Urheadmaster:
Sign of end time that needs to be avoided

Go read the comment again

Its a sign

Buhari couldn't remember his party's name in 2015

Buhari was seriously ill and even fell on stage in 2019


In America trump was always off key in 2016
Joe Biden till date, some Americans can't put together what he's saying while speaking, in fact he will mention someone long dead when addressing special guest

Tinubu is the next president boss

PrinceOfLagos:
Na una prayer be dat now that it's obvious he's the favourite to win the presidential election in 2023

Favourite on social media

One obidient chop beating for Nassarawa LGA yesterday

Massiveglory:
Urchins are unwise and very far from knowledge.
You bring this out to validate evil or what?

Ipob members learn one word this year
We no go hear word again ooo
Just tyPe urchin then watch their fellow class mates like their comments

wwwihy:
Peter Obi Refused to Condemn the Killing of LP Leader in Anambra.

Even,on National TV, he refused to condemn the Killings in the South East by IPOB and ESN, but today he rushing to condemn killing in Kaduna State

Pitobi is a big hypocrite
Ipob candidate
Dem no born am well to condemn them na

garfield1:
Diabetes? How? The suits of gemade and aondoakaa remains

They case has been dismissed since na

And yes wike Get diabetes

garfield1:
The Federal High Court Abuja has dismissed the Pre-Election Governorship suit filed by Rt. Hon. Titus Uba and PDP against INEC, APC and Rev. Fr. Hyacinth Alia.

In a similar matter, the senatorial suit instituted by Gabriel suswam, Samuel Ortom and Abba Moro against INEC APC, Chief Titus Zam, Hon. Emmanuel Udende and Daniel Onjeh was also dismissed for lack of merits.
https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&source=web&rct=j&url=https://plustvafrica.com/benue-2023-elections-court-dismisses-suit-against-fr-alia-and-senatorial-candidates-in-benue/&ved=2ahUKEwjKtv-L2NX7AhVMMewKHYPjBCsQFnoECA0QAQ&usg=AOvVaw0a03x7fFBeh1OXU9negp0q


Cc mynd44
Lalasticlala
Nplfmod
Adegbaraogboye
Fergie001
Aiel123
Vicdom
Penguin2
Omenka
Kyase
Kahal
Benuejosh
Quotasystem
Legendhero

Ortom and Bemue PDP are learning from.wike rivers
Wike better respect himself and avoid Benue
before that diabetes kill Am before may 29

Zamfara is the first state Tinubu will win
No long talk for this one

TheAdvocate:
Is Ortom seeking any re-election? I thought he served his 8 tears?

When he was seeking reelection in 2019
And he's running for senate too

Golan007:
He's been doing this for years.

Nothing new.

The worst governor Benue will ever produce
Nobody go worse pass that man
Isssssshhh

Aiel123:
This battle will consume him...you don't just destroy your house in anger lest a stranger will take over your properties.

He should pray
Because what's coming for him is huge

fergie001:
Everyday in the media we attack the President, whether Buhari or those before him. Try to do same thing to any of these Govs, they will invoke one Executive Order and deal with you.

If he likes, he should be in wet war with Uba... There are rumours he is even sick. I wish all Benuelites well..

The man is not even campaigning
He's no match to Alia

Aiel123:
Hmmmm
This feud has gotten out of hand oo

Since 2018 bro.
Ortom is a desperado and have same habit as Obaseki

fergie001:
That's why I am telling you that Govs constitute majority of the problems we have today, when you attack them they point to Abuja.

Nobody is holding them accountable, the reason for their nonchalant attitudes
PDP governorship candidate and ortom are in a cold war as we speak

fergie001:
All dis gra gra na May 29.

Aswear
In fact e no go reach may 29 self
The man go find place go hide