₦airaland Forum

Emmynator:
What's your take on APC not getting 25% in fct? Isn't it constitutionally required?

Nope. Simple majority and 25% in 2/3 of the state.

Expert17:
Yes, go ahead

Hello bro?

afrodoc2:
Do you know the funny thing. My mum was asking me this same question yesterday i.e how did things degenerate to this point between Tinubu and Aregbe. Bearing in mind that Aregbe was the most loyal and subservient of Tinubu’s followers back in the day.

Its disheartening to see really, Rauf was being groomed to take over after Tinubu but it is what it is. Fashola will most likely inherit the structures or Gbaja. Yayi would've been the prime candidate but he has went to Ogun.

Like Fashola said, may our loyalty not be tested.

ribbit:
Akpabio or oshiomole, who is going to be senate president now?

Is Oshiomole not a first time Senator?

It will most likely be Akpabio.

afrodoc2:
Yes. In hindsight the Aregbe issue was one of Tinubu's few significant miscalculations and the effect has been long-lasting.

It was necessary though, when a mentee feels he can challenge the mentor, the mentor will cut him off.

If Oyetola wins at the Appeal Court, Aregbe will have nowhere else to run to.

GloriousGbola:
Thank you for the detailed explainer

Unfortunately aregebes sole legacy to osun was frightening debt. I can only wonder what happens next. Then again Tinubu has never been vindictive.

They have been trying to settle the rift. Even Ooni had mediated between them, the late Alaafin was also trying to get both man together before his demise.

During the campaign, there was rumor that Aregbe said some people are blocking his reconciliation with Tinubu. Who those people are, I dont know.

Aregbe was one of the highest beneficiaries of Tinubu, some Tinubu loyalist will never forgive him for his utterances against the man.

raumdeuter:
He needed the right time and this was the perfect time
This is The Tinubu Chess game

Opening move decided to go a conservative Sicilian opening
In 1999 he won Lagos State governor

In 2003 when OBJ deceived all SW governors and the AD to not float their candidate that they should support him and in turn he will ensure they retain their seat, Tinubu disagreed with AD leaders on that arrangement. tsunami swept all AD governors only Tinubu survived

Queens gambit declined

He left AD, formed his own party AC and he was the only governor

By 2007 to grow the party he reached out to Oshiomole offered him the AC ticket in Edo vs Prof Osunbor. Oshiomole lost

Atiku and OBJ got into a fight a major fight, Atiku was in charge of PDM he was the strongest Northern politician and as the heir to Yar Adua, OBJ used YarAdua younger brother Umaru to break Atikus hold on PDM
Tinubu saw an opportunity to woo a powerful politician and get on his good side, he gave Atiku a platform to contest the 2007 election obviously Atiku had no path to win. He made Ben Obi Atikus vice. They lost but Tinubus profile started rising
Short side castling

He sponsored candidates in AC all over Nigeria. He brought many politicians treated badly and denied a ticket into his fold e.g Ngige Akume

He brought Fashola a technocrat as governor but didn't hand over the political keys to him
Fasholas performance became the standard for ACN to campaign and win many hearts across the nation
Knight advance

The criminal elections of 2007 conducted by Obasanjo which was reputed to be the worst election in Nigerian history handed Tinubu a huge opportunity
He found an ally in Justice Salami of the appeal court who was instrumental in restoring the Oshiomole and Fayemi and Aregbesola into power
AC grew into 4 states.
Open file Bishop

Mimiko of Labour Party who was denied the ticket was also in tribunal vs Agagu. Tinubu approached him to provide logistic support with belief that Mimiko will decamp into ACN. Mimiko won but declined to join ACN

By 2011 Tinubu spread beyond the SW approached strong politicians who were denied a ticket or chased out of strong parties but knew he couldn't take on the FG alone at this time. He was the 3rd force in 2011

Buhari controlled all Northern states with his new CPC, Jonathan and PDP controlled most SE NC and SS states

CPC and PDP were stalemate here comes tie breaker Tinubu.

Buhari in his idealistic thinking felt he could do by picking Bakare a Pastor with zero structures. He didn't agree to Tinubus terms.

GEJ saw the opportunity approached Tinubu who tactically floated a dummy Ribadu and Fola Adeola(2 moslems who had zero political structures and were barely politicians) he knew weren't going anywhere. Tinubu stepped down all ACN machinery in the SW and allowed the PDP a free ride.
Knight fork
Now he has become a major power broker who tactically made Jonathan president without appearing to.

Buhari lost again and started crying on TV and was hopeless. As a man of strategy Tinubu knew Buhari was at his low and vulnerable, he approached Buhari this time Bubu was more than willing

After winning in 2011, Jonathan started some aggressive moves to break Tinubu so he won't have to beg everytime. One of such moves was to make a SW Mulikat Adeola Speaker, Jonathan thinking was to raise a powerful SW politician that will be an alternative to Tinubu.

Tinubu knew this was an act of aggression on their gentleman handshake and he mobilized the ACN reps to reject Mulikat and support Tambuwal,
Another gambit. Bishop sacrifice to gain a strong position

Tinubu started the cleanup of Buharis image from a clueless out of touch military religious extremist guy to this misunderstood charming, introvert, gap toothed, strong man that Nigeria needed at this critical time to get rid of corruption and PDP in discipline

Thus APC was birthed with the plan to use Buharis popularity with Tinubus money and skilled politicking to push Buhari into power but this time Tinubu was to pick Buharis vice.

APC also won over Atiku after he lost out in PDP and breakaway PDP governors. Atiku came into the convention ground hoping to buy the ticket as usual
Buhari has never done any real competitive primary in a party everyone didn't worship him. Primary ground Buhari was stunned about how Atiku was about to steal the ticket right there with money . Until Tinubu matched Atiku dollar for dollar and Buhari won the ticket

Now the deal was for Tinubu ACN to provide the Vice. Buhari asked Tinubu to give him 3 options.

Tinubu knew he was interested in succeeding Buhari. And giving a strong vice would build up the Vice politically over 8yrs and might build enough goodwill to succeed Buhari
This was Tinubus biggest masterstroke. He gave Buhari an Osinbajo who was smart but has the political clout of a 13yr old girl. Osinbajo was a very safe choice, he was not popular nor charismatic enough to gather the clout to state Jagaban in the face

There were other options like Fashola and Fayemi but they were risky and could get ambitious and endear themselves to people

Buhari asked Tinubu for 3 choices, Tinubu returned with one choice an unknown Yemi Osinbajo who will complete 8yrs and have less to nothing in political power to challenge for the seat
Queen advance

Buhari won election and Tinubu is in a good position Nationall acknowledged as the brain behind the success, thus issues started cropping up, fissures grew in the hurriedly assembled APC. Saraki wanted more than he was offered and broke the party, Buharis packaging has now begun to fall off, the makeup was beginning to melt and the man behind the mascara was beginning to show and its not pretty, Tinubu was schemed out by Buharis CPC friends including Abba Kyari and ElRufai, Things were not going to plan
Should he pull out of the APC, blurt out or maintain status quo and reach out to enemies
The Queen beat a tactical retreat

Comes 2022, Tinubu has broken into the ranks of governors in his party and showing loyalty to them in times of trials won him a lot of die hard loyalists like Oshiomole and Ganduje who will lay their lives for him
By now Tinubu had taken control of all the APC structures and wanted the party to go for a direct primary, Some felt there was no way they could match the network of Tinubu in a direct primary and pushed for indirect where only chosen delegates voted
Tinubu called upon his network of Governors and allies when Buhari wanted to anoint Lawan, they stood up and insisted it goes to the South
He won the primary and cleared the road for an eventual checkmate

Rook to center

You can see it was a gradual ascension filled with scheming gambit which he lost some but won many

I can write a book on this man called Jagaban who many people do not like but smart people deeply respect

He understands politics. He is smart enough not to fight anyone thus always leaving the room for reconciliation open, the power of compromise give & take, persuasion and when to use the power of money

Most times those who fight Tinubu can only do it on the pages of paper By the time you meet him, His humor, his slow thick voice, his offer he will give you, You most likely will leave him calm and ready to compromise

Just to add that he also gave Badaru, the current Governor of Jigawa state ACN Governorship ticket in 2011

GloriousGbola:
as an aside - now that the election is over - what EXACTLY was going on between aregbe and tinubu?

i remember that for reasons best known to aregbe- in 2011 - he did his own thing and osun voted for ribadu

which led to a laser internet focus on the man by the 40laptop gang.

it didnt help that aregbe was ultimately a bad administrator who stuck the state with a debt millstone

in the build up to the elections, there were reported insults from aregbe against tinubu
was there real beef or was it something being blown out of proportion by the internet mob?

Aregbe is the leader of Osun TOP

The koko is that Aregbe wants Asiwaju to give him free hand to do as he pleases in Osun.

Aregbe defer to Asiwaju on picking Oyetols after Aregbe tenure, immediately Oyetola entered he began to reverse most of the anti people policies that Aregbe did in the state, that's the genesis of the beef between Aregbe and Oyetola, Aregbe claiming that Oyetola was trying to clear off his legacy. Then issue of appointments came in also, Aregbe claimed that Oyetola didnt give him the desired slot to fix him own loyalist who worked for the party but instead Oyetola created his own loyalist.

In all these Tinubu decided not to intervene and ask both Oyetola and Aregbe to settle between themselves but the 2 man couldn't. Then Aregbe began to claim that Tinubu didnt intervene or order Oyetola to do his (Aregbe) bidding because Oyetola is Tinubu cousin. Meanwhile in Lagos Tinubu gave Aregbe free hand over Alimosho LG, he has been the one calling the shot there but when the beef started, Tinubu took the structure away from him and gave it to someone else and also remove him from GAC which inadvertently means Aregbe was left with nothing but to fight it all in Osun. The rest is history.

diggz:
Delete am bro. I go holla you later today. Bless man

Alright thanks.

diggz:
Bro you see the place I holla you

Yes. I don respond

diggz:
.

........

GloriousGbola:
this is one of the things i woke up to do.

complete the design and see how i can keep the cost down for the client this time. plenty of wahala as expected.
relocate this here - we need a concrete driveway that can support a crane. resize the gantry . the client wants what the client wants

those who will sped the next 20 years posting selfies know themselves

the porfolio bros of instagram

I kuku don send you my CV since. Check your mail ooo. I sabi design small.

diggz:
Nah….I haven’t checked that mail like forever bro. You send email before?

No. I just wan send.

In all these una rogbodiyan, me I'm still looking for product design role ooo.

My CV and portfolio dey available ooo

diggz:
Mr I own several startups meanwhile he owns a normal business centre shop in reality. Bitchboi for a reason!

Do you still use that stormz email?

FBS:
And the same people will be here speaking Moral English.

Tufia.

Emotional instability in full display.

Balogun

afrodoc2:
If to say you chop Larride now you for don dey chop better meat.

Na Larride God na him save am. What God cannot do does not exist.

Lemme ooooo.

Me wey dey follow NL from hospital since Saturday evening. Na last night I just reach house.

Edo State Presidential Results:

Presidency

PDP-->89,585
APC-->144,471
LP-->331,163

Come outside Prosper and Segedinho

Both of you swore Tinubu wont get 25% in Edo

Even after I told you guys that Edo North will turn up for Oshiomole and APC.

Theflint1:
BAT did not meet the constitutional requirement of getting 25% in at least 2/3 of the states.

😂😂😂

Kingmaker don finally become King

GloriousGbola:
If nothing else we will have some post election epistle and Wall of text.

I couldn't believe that after all the rant of Dino Melaye. It was under voting that actually happened and not overvoting. How do you rant and make noise over something that you know is a lie

DissTroy:
Nobody is calling me out. Laride asked and I explained. He understoof.

I have never run a presidential election and never claimed to. You are the one giving me that platitude. I didn't get involved in any position with the labour party but I campaigned like most Nigerians.

What I have on record however is heading a governorship election to top 4 in Akwa Ibom of 45 candidates, and youngest campaign DG to do so.

If you doubt, let's do a deal and we go on Telegram this minute with two other witnesses from this thread. If I prove it, you'd pay or do whatever I ask you to do.

Deal? Don't run now.

Both of you should sheathe your sword abeg.

Cc GloriousGbola

OasisX:



Presidential election results for Benue.

APC: 310,468

LP: 308,372

PDP: 130,081

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

APC later won Benue?

Nostradamus1:
Funny that everyone is allowing you to spread misinformation but the bolded is wrong.
The INEC chairman stated that his primary duty is to announce the results. APC had 97 percent party agents of PUs. PDP had 99, LP 69.
First, it is no one's fault that LP is struggling with organization and communication issues. They are asking their agents to send the original PU result to a WhatsApp number on their Twitter account. This is information that should have arrived at the state situation room less than 2 hours after voting. The Partu agents should dispute the result at the National level instead of chasing shadows. How can you confirm that your agents signed the sheet at state level but you are looking for result to be uploaded first on IREV? How do you tell the electoral umpire to pause collation of votes?

Now, while the INEC chairman insisted on continuing was simply because every vote counted was validated with BVAS. So BVAS was used for the validation of votes and all votes counted were validated by it. The only issue it had was not being able to upload the result sheet..


If you go to court(probably the results have been uploaded) and it tallies with the collated one, you simply wasted your time. The Commission is also not mandated by law(I am quoting a professor of law on ChannelsTV) to first produce the uploaded sheet before announcing a winner. According to the electoral Act 2022, the returning officer(INEC chairman) has the right to make certain decisions provided a review is possible within a week.
In the same Electoral Act, there is no punishment for not uploading PU result except if it was done "willfully". Meaning that unless you criminally decided not to, then you didn't do anything wrong. Now you will need to prove criminal intent and motive.

Cc: Oasisx, larride, GloriousGbola and VoteTinubu2023


I urge you all to tackle certain false news. They make the election less about BAT's strategy and more about rigging. Certain people view this thread and we should not allow the uninformed run with this agenda

Wo allow those wey wan go court, go court.

After all dino melaye screams about over voting in Ekiti, it was discovered that it was actually under voting and not overvoting.

Let lawyers eat abeg.

Theflint1:
LP wey get up to 20% of HOR members, even for Kaduna, one of their HOR members is an Igbo man, and Lagos has someone from Akwa-Ibom. While the party contests the election, the next phase should be implementing a strategy on what the next 8 years would be like and possibly how they can nick a couple governorship seats.

Where is the 20% HR coming from? PDP and APC are winning rep and senate seats even in state Obi won.

raumdeuter:
That Kwankwanso own was too blatant.

If Atiku had offered Obi VP and 4yr promise to relinquish power, Obi would have jumped on it and Tinubu would be history today

Na that blocking or screening like in Basketball dem send Wike also be that, take some votes from Atiku and make it look decent but you know Wike and overskill, he will always overdo

Person fix football match instead make you lose 3-1 and make it sensible, you dey go lose 13-1

Theres this Kwankwaso interview that hes not going to step down and if he's to step down, it will be for Tinubu

Itsrm:

This one sef go call himself journalist o

raumdeuter:
Next congress tell them that anyone who wants a ticket should show the result of his ward in this election and why he deserves the ticket

Most of the ward leadership will be changed anyways. That one is sure.

Alimosho, Kosofe, Somolu

All their leaderships are definitely gone.

OasisX:


APC has won 2 Senatorial Seats in Delta State.... 🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

I told prosper that APC is doing well in Delta North. I'll be surprised if we didnt get 25% in the Presidential election

izzou:
[color=royalblue]Na Obi beautiful outing dey console me like this oh.

But Lagos APC structure na Suegbe sha.
[/color]

Wait first now, all of them go hear word tonight and tomorrow.

Let's see how march 11 turns out. I no go even pick my ward leader call this week.

raumdeuter:
If you are a young politician in APC, know that Tinubu at 70yrs wont be here forever. Your career depends on how you work hard not what Tinubu will do for you

Tinubu took his eyes off Lagos and went for National and you couldnt hold down the state

Now they will say Tinubu controls them, why wont he control you when without him you dropped the ball

I always told people all those Fashola, Ambode Sanwoolu Osinbajo all who are the greatest beneficiary of Tinubu, without Tinubus backing they cannot win their LGA

Its obvious, hopefully during the next Congress, our own voices will be heard.

izzou:
[color=royalblue]Fuccckkk

I would have been contemplating between buying a plot of land in my village, lobbying for a chieftaincy title or spending a week at Askamaya Hotels with dem ladies

Chai.


I can't get over this.[/color]

Foooooolish man