₦airaland Forum

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Wow. Worthy of emulation.

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No thanks to the Nigerian government that thinks sharing 10k naira to market women in the name of tradermoni would lift them out of poverty. Is it the 30k N-power thing that means employment? Something that is even temporary. After the duration, the beneficiaries fall back into unemployment. The 30k engagement is even underemployment.

The Nigerian government also thinks that feeding school children is a solution to food security crisis, malnutrition and hunger. The school children can starve during the weekends and holidays. If the government truly enabled the parents of those kids, there wouldn't have been need for such wastage in the name of school feeding. A policy that is not even sustainable and that would be abandoned by the next government.

As if that wasn't enough, a certain candidate in the next presidential election thinks that the cure for unemployment and insecurity is to recruit 50 million youths into the army, and feed them with Cassava and Agbado. . . To create demand and supply. How brilliant is that?

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27Pushing30:
Who is Obi's running mate?

He hasn't picked yet.

CoolAmbience:
Clout or cloth.... whichever!

What Obi has is a Twitter electorate. Why couldn't Obi use his clout to win Anambra for Obaze and Ozigbo in two successive elections?

Obi that Obiano took care of like a little school boy in the kindergarten of politics....abeg, make we hear word!

Obi that does not believe in the existence of LGA system, as the instrument for delivering democratic dividends to the vast majority of the people in the hinterlands, to the extent that he didn't conduct LGA elections in 8 years....

Atiku almost won Buhari indeed by losing by over 4million votes...what a near miss?

On Sambo and Jonathan, just keep living the lie that Sambo caused Jonathan's failure.

As far as objectivity is concerned, Jonathan lost simply as a result of incapacity, infidelity and gross non performance.

Infidelity in the sense that he could not keep his word on a widely publicized, high profile one-term presidency agreement he entered into with 'heavyweight' stakeholders of his party, including Babangida, Danjuma, Abdulsalam etc, brokered by Obasanjo. Was Sambo not his running mate in 2011 when he won?

Also, he couldn't properly sustain the rock-solid political alliances that delivered him the presidency in 2011, such as the ones with Tinubu, Obasanjo etc. For instance, he lost the states that he won in 2011 to Buhari in 2015....just 4 years later for losing his alliance with Tinubu and the Southwest. How is that Sambo's fault?

Importantly, his performance in office was abysmal, to say the least. He put together and kept a team of unscrupulous individuals as ministers and aides, coupled with an uncouth wife.

His presidency was one which was destined to fail even before it started.... let's just say that destiny happened.

Twitter electorates are still valid electorates. As you are on Nairaland, you probably have your PVC as I do. So does millions of Nigerians on twitter. That Twitter users don't have PVC is a stale joke taken too far. Some persons on Nairaland don't have a PVC, that doesn't negate the fact that most do have it. So, that Twitter argument is a fallacy at best.

Obi as a PDP man was not involved in Anambra politics after his tenure. The only reason he decamped to PDP was because of the national outlook of the party. In national elections, APGA always back PDP, as all South-Eastern states had for the past 23years. APGA didn't field a candidate in 2019 because of Obi. So mate, there is no beef between Obiano and Obi, nor APGA and Obi. Nobody in Anambra can floor Obi, if there is such a person, it is certainly not Obiano. Obi has a God-like fellowship in Anambra.

That Obi didn't allow LGA elections didn't prevent him from delivering the dividends of democracy to the grassroots. You don't understand the character of Obi yet. He is always averse to wastage and does his best to plug all such channels that encourages misuse of resources. Local government chairmen, in my opinion, are just another set of political undertakers. They don't deliver.

Yes, Atiku almost won Buhari, and 4million votes margin in a country of 200million+ population is not so big a margin. To put it into better perspective, Buhari won in 19 states, Atiku won in 17 states. Atiku also won in the FCT, if you add that to the 17 states, that's 18. So, Buhari led with just 1. So, I was right when I said Atiku almost beat Buhari.

On Sambo-Jonathan, I maintain my position that Sambo was and still is, a political neophyte and inconsequential in the scheme of things, as far as politics in the north is concerned. His son even lost in a primary of recent. He couldn't even deliver his own son in his own state. If GEJ had someone with the kind of clout Kwankwaso, Atiku, Zulum, Sanusi etc have, there is no way in the world that Buhari could have beat him in 2015. Yes, GEJ won with Sambo in 2011, but Sambo wasn't the contributory factor to that. So many things were in play in 2011, GEJ still had and enjoyed the good will of his former boss Yar'Adua in the north. Sambo is unknown in the north. Some persons currently can't even remember who he is. Some can't even recognise his face if you put him on a poster today, except you add his name to it. Some don't even know his name. This is the truth.

Speaking of GEJ reneging on a purported 1 tenure agreement, without conceding that he made such deal, but assuming he did make such an agreement, which politician ever kept such a bogus promise? So, stop talking about infidelity in that aspect when politicians are involved. They are all the same. None would keep such an agreement. There is no honour among thieves (if I may use that aphorism). GEJ didn't lose in 2015 because of an imaginary agreement. I don't think there was such an agreement, but I don't deny that there may have been such an "assumption" in the minds of some Northern political big wigs. The primary reason GEJ lost in 2015 was because of the insecurity perpetuated by Boko Haram and aided by northerners to spite/discredit GEJs government. GEJ was painted black using terrorism just demarket him before the electorates. That's like giving a dog a bad name so you could hang it. Buhari was packaged as a saviour, as the one to restore peace and crush the Boko Haram, after all, he is a retired General. Did he deliver on that? No, the situation has even snowballed into more terrorist organisations. One of the actors that packaged PMB to the electorates was BAT. He made tall promises. They didn't fullfil even one. How are you even thinking of voting in someone whose idea of growing the economy and quelling insecurity is to "recruit 50million youth into the army and feed them with Cassava and Agbado, Corn etc, to create demand". Is that how bright he is? This goes to tell you that Nigeria's economic, security and unemployment woes are far from over if BAT emerges. Have you even listened to people like Obi, Osinbajo, Moghalu etc? Have you listened to these bright minds proffer plausible solutions to the problems facing us as a country?

Saying that GEJ performed abysmally in office, well you may be right to an extent if we look at leadership through the lens of international standards, but when you put his government and that of PMB on the same pedestal to juxtapose the 2, GEJs records shine brighter. The currently inflation and naira free fall is a testament to the poor economic policies of PMB, compared to GEJ. Dollar is headed to 600 naira Sir. Can you point to one technocrat of fine repute in this government? I can point you to Ezekwesili, Adesina, Akunyili, Sanusi etc. These persons have made their marks, not just in Africa, but at the world stage. Which minister in this administration is without so much baggage? With Ministers and public officers competing to outdo each other in the looting spree, or do you want me to reel out numbers for you? Your jaws would drop if I do. You might even have a heart attack because of the mammoth figures being syphon.

PMBs administration has virtually mortgaged the future of Nigeria in exchange for Chinese loans. Do you know what the figures are currently, compared to GEJs? Should we talk about insecurities? At least, during GEJs time, we had only Boko Haram to contend with. PMB came and we have Boko Haram, ISWAP, Bandits and a thousand and one other splinter terrorist organisations actively competing for blood of innocent Nigerians. Do we talk about the ethnic tension currently pervading the nation's atmosphere? Apart from during the 1966 pogrom targeted at Igbos, Nigeria has never been as divided. In fact, Nigeria is even more divided now than in 1966. At least, back then, Igbos were the ones bearing the brunt, today, almost all the ethnic nationalities are rising.

Do we talk about the impunity and lopsided appointments that characterise this dispensation, in complete disregard to the constitutionally enshrined tenets of Federal character, which GEJ and his predecessors obeyed completely.

As for Mrs. Patience Jonathan, you need not reference her in this discuss. She wasn't a state actor. You risk being petty if you insist.

If you are not convinced by the points I have canvassed so far, simply do a referendum in your neighbourhood, on your Whatsapp status, Facebook or any medium that suits you, ask your audience to choose between GEJs tenure and PMBs, you will have your answer.

Vox Populi est vox Dei.

Sekoni003:
My dear, it's called PTSD

Lol. So apt.

Dunno

Google it.

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Okay. Namadi Sambo was one of GEJs undoing. Sambo had no political clout in the North. He had nothing to bring to the table. Atiku almost beat Buhari in 2019 because he ran with Obi, whose political clout in the South East/South South is currently unmatched. BAT, to stand a chance, don't be a GEJ, be an Atiku. A party's running mate is as important as the flag bearer.

For a balanced ticket, you need a Northern Christian with a big clout. But which Northern Christian has such a clout? The kind of clout Obi has in the South. The kind of Clout Kwankwaso, El Rufai and Zulum have in the north? Answer is none. BAT, that leaves you with a very tempting Moslem/Moslem Ticket, which equally, is a recipe for failure.

But being the political enigma that you are, I like to think that you know all these already, and I am interested to see how you handle this conundrum. May the best candidate win.

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The only party getting it right for now is Labour Party.

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We pray he returns in one piece.

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Nigeria is in chaos.

adekolaelect:
still wailing ....

Stale

greatman247:
LOL.... Come back in 2023 and you will realize it's never going to be closely contested. No way will Atiku win most of the Eastern and Southern states. He might win some of the Northern states and mark it, Tinubu will win some other states in the North like Kano with a higher population and stuff.... ...No soul trusts him even his team!

It is either you are a poor political analyst or you are intentionally being economical with facts. I agree, Tinubu is not a pushover in the Nigerian political sphere. In fact, Tinubu to me, is the most successful politician since independence. He is that good. But never you belittle Atiku even for a second. The north determines who gets what as far as elections are concerned. Buhari has a God like following in the north, but Atiku gave him a run for his money in 2019. Buhari won Atiku with less than 3million votes (if I am not mistaking). And that was even when Kano was in the pocket of APC. To put it in a clearer picture, Buhari won 19 states out of the 36 states. Atiku won 17 states plus the FCT, that's like 18. Is Tinubu more loved in the North than Buhari?

You mentioned Kano, Kano today is lost to APC. Kwankwaso's NNPP will sweep the state, the dregs left behind will be shared by PDP and APC.

Atiku is a Fulani man. A core northerner. The north will never choose a Southerner over their own. Had it been that all the candidates were from the South, that's when the North would choose Tinubu over others. But right now, Atiku is the northern interest. After Buhari, the next most popular figure in the larger north is Atiku and Kwankwaso (in no particular order), then El Rufai perhaps.

Atiku is a "first class Moslem". It's a notorious fact that Hausa/Fulani don't regard Yoruba Moslems as equals. It is very difficult, if not impossible, for a Yoruba to lead prayers in a mosque where a Fulani/Hausa is. Northern Moslems regard Yoruba Moslems as inferior Moslems. The division is so pronounced that there is a sort of Apartheid (if I may use that word) in terms of places of worship. There is a Yoruba mosque separate from Hausa/Fulani mosque. The north will vote a first class fulani Moslem before a Yoruba Moslem.

Tinubu, being a Southern Moslem, will have serious dilemma in choosing a running mate in the North. A Northern Christian can't give him the vote of the Northern Moslems (who are in the majority). If he dares a Moslem/Moslem Ticket, he will start losing from even his own South West region. He will lose the Northern Christian votes, The Southern Nigeria Christian votes (who are in the majority). Atiku does not have this quagmire. He is already a Northern Moslem, he won't have a problem finding an excellent Christian Southerner to pair with that would give him a nice chunk of Southern votes. It was that fine combination that gave him the near win he achieved against Buhari in 2019.

Lastly, Tinubu may as well forget about the votes of the South South and South East, for obvious reasons of course. The South-South will come for a pound of flesh for what Tinubu did to GEJ in 2015. The South-East and South-South are already on lockdown for Peter-Obi, and pockets of Atiku.

When you referenced Osinbajo with the betrayer tag, the same thing will play out against Tinubu in the whole south (except the South West perhaps). The South see him as a betrayer for what he did to GEJ in 2015.

The sentiments of the Youth towards Tinubu is on the negative side for the role he is perceived to have played during the Endsars Lekki tollgate massacre. He is also seen by many as a corrupt overlord. Just as Ganduje's evokes Dollar and Agbada due to his bribery scandal, Tinubu's imagery is the Bullion van.

Before 2023, there is going to be major realignments. There is going to be massive decamping by northern big wigs in the APC back to the PDP. The APC will be a shadow of itself before the poll.

The cabal wants to keep power in the north. The Lawan card didn't work, and that was just plan A. Plan B would be collapsing into the PDP in support of Atiku.

Nigerians generally have a score to settle with Tinubu, he was the one that brought the failure we have currently into power in 2015. He went on to reinforce the failure in 2019.

Buhari's performance in the last 7 years has left any APC candidate with nothing to campaign with in 2023. Dollar is galloping, Inflation, insecurity is on a record high, foreign debts is weighing heavily, Fuel hikes, erratic power supply.

As I said, the election will be closely contested, but Atiku is winning this one.

biggie73:
...what matter is he tried.

I am not taking that away from him. All the candidates did try.