₦airaland Forum

4teenblaq:
Keep deceiving yourself in the name of fun.. If Lp can battle PDP in SS and SE, tell me why NNPP can't battle APC or PDP in NW... Smh

The truth and reality is that anything(votes) Kwakwanso is getting will be affecting both APC and PDP.. That is kwakwanso will collect the votes of northerners(tribal ones) who don't trust tinubu and atiku.. Obi will still get his 25%.. You might think is not fair to say APC or PDP might get less than 40% but that is the truth, it will happen before your eyes come 2023.. One of them will fall in the north, and the odds are all going against APC as massive defections are hitting the party from all angle in the North..

Beat that.

Oga. Obi will not get more votes in the north than NNPP, APC or PDP.

If u give Obi 25%, it automatically mean the rest will share 75% votes.

Obi takes 25% and maybe the winner takes 27%, that means the other two will take 24% each.

LP cannot have more votes than any party in the north

SenatePresdo:
Why didn't Buhari win election in 2011,because he literally won in the north?

because unlike 2011, 2015 and 2019 was a protest voting, thanks to politicians who sew seeds of tribalism in politics.

2023 will also be a protest vote.
SE will put their full support on PO
North will go against him with their full support

4teenblaq:
What about kwakwanso?? He will also partake in the shared votes.. Keep calling him light weight until reality slap your face on the D-Day

If Kwankwasor partakes in it, then that 25 that u gave to Obi is so unreasonable.

Cos if Obi takes 25%, there is 75% remaining for the other three to share.
which means they will collect an average of 25% each. thats like sharing the votes equally with Obi

That was even the main reason why i didnt give PDP and APC different votes in that region and just put the word either because the 25% value u gave to Obi is unreasonable.

APC or PDP should atleast have 2times the vote Obi will get up there.
But i dont want to spoil ur fun So if u give him 25%, then i should give the winner 45%

4teenblaq:
So PDP and APC is now one party ?? even your analogy shows that PDP and APC will have to work together to outscore LP. Lol.

You not mentioned kwakwanso.. Lol

As it is now, PDP and APC need work to do.. It is not like two horse race anymore.. Anyone from the four can win it except kwakwanso(but he will have many votes in the North like buhari in 2007)

Kwankwasor is only a weight in Kano state and few parts of NW.
He doesnt stand a 10% chance in Southern part hence i didnt include him

4teenblaq:
So PDP and APC is now one party ?? even your analogy shows that PDP and APC will have to work together to outscore LP. Lol.

You not mentioned kwakwanso.. Lol

As it is now, PDP and APC need work to do.. It is not like two horse race anymore.. Anyone from the four can win it except kwakwanso(but he will have many votes in the North like buhari in 2007)

so u did not see where i said either?

anyone that collects the 45% will cruise home with victory

AJOBI77:
Which Kain punishment be this?

They are trying to tell u that most of those who knew about the queen wont be knowing what it entails as many people weh carry her matter for head will be 90 and 100
thats if they are still alive

CYBERSOLDIERSre:
Tinubu is his supplier.

No wonder its the original

Kingspin:
The odd is in Obi's favour.
The problem is the Nigerian factor, not Obi
If Tinubu support Peter Obi or Atiku most propaganda and blackmailing will stop immediately.
Reno, Deji and co will disappear.
Is a Nigerian problem

why doesnt Obi support Tinubu?

Afterall he declared his intentions even before Obi

toneroforever:
Ur vote is part of the remaining 20%. Vote whoever u want- Atiku, Kwankwaso & BAT.
We've taken our 80%.

In 2019 only APC got 32% of SS votes.
How come u feel both APC and PDP combined will get just 20%? while LP alone takes 80%?

be reasonable, emotions will not help u out here

4teenblaq:
.

TBH if obi can win the SS and SE, forget it, obi win will the election... How?

If he can win SS and SE ,

lets assume he gets 50% of SS and SE total votes of 5.4m here, while APC and PDP gets the other 25% each, that will be about
LP 2.7m
APC 1.3m
PDP 1.3m

he will be getting 30-40% of sw votes,

Lets assume APC gets 40% here while PDP gets 30% and LP gets 30% too SW total votes is 3.8m that will be
LP 2.7m +1.1m =3.8
APC 1.3 +1.5m =2.8
PDP 1.3 + 1.4m =2.7

three out of north centrals are already in the bag... 25% from NW and 25%NE

NW and NE total vote is 12.6m
lets assume either of APC or PDP gets 45 here

LP =3.8 +3.5m =7.3m
PDP/APC = 2.7 +5.6m =8.3m


Obi still lost

CYBERSOLDIERSre:
Think for Tinubu your god and not Peter Obi.

Why are you bothered over peter obi?

he is a presidential candidate in my home country and i may vote for him or not.

With these few points of mine, i think i am able to explain to u why i should be bothered

u mean the 3m is not enough?

Validated:
What odds? Where is the chestbeating?
You are claiming structures but fighting structureless party. How is it possible that APC and PDP are dead scared of Peter Obi?

2023, ur eyes go clear

Okwyjesus:
Northern vote northern vote we will see it with this new electoral law.

North will be battle ground this election and everybody go hustle to grab.
Obi may be least favvored up north but don't forget

1. He got 80% christian votes
2. 90% SE votes
3. 80% SS states-we full ground for Rivers


For me he won't do bad if they game goes as planned.

80% SS votes?
who is ur weed supplier?

4teenblaq:
In 2007 and 20011, SS and SE pulled more votes than in 2015 and 2019... And you are saying votes were not extremel? nobody pulled more votes than buhari in the north in 2007 and 2011.

Go and check those results in 2011 and 2007.. Nobody go tell you make you close this thread.

Ya, there is no Buhari to collect 68% of northern votes, but 40% is still a huge number TBH

Fortruth:
Even in SE/SS he will not carry much- see how Hope Uzodinma and Ikpeazu—rigged in folks, are (mis) governing” and nothing anyone can do about it.

Sorry Obi, your talent is not welcomed in the zoo

Ya, APC and PDP are more popular in SS that Labour party is in the north.

Meaning SS and SW votes will be shared between those three parties while LP doesnt stand a chance in the north where the lion share is coming from

4teenblaq:
Why not use 2011 and 2007 as case study?

Votes wasnt as extreme as this.
in 2007 and 2011, votes wasnt much about tribes, region and religion

Conner44:
I never knew urchins could ‘think’

Be careful not to explode the tiny medulla you have in your oblongata

So Obidients actually didnt think about this?

Says alot about the level of IQ from his supporters

The north always produce votes almost twice the number that the south produce.

Using 2019 as a case study.

The entire north produced about 17.1m votes for both APC and PDP while the south produced 9m votes.

Anyone who scores 40% of northern votes will be having 6.8m.
That is more than the SS and SE votes combined which is (5.4m)
That means if the most impossible happens and PO scores 100% from these two regions while APC and PDP scores zero votes each, LP will still loose

How will Obi balance this huge gap when his hope is just SS and SE?

Got me thinking what kind of abracadabra LP will pull in 2023 ceteris paribus

lolz, Obidients and chestbeating.

I wonder how they couldnt even see that the odds are against them

tayo60:
no wahala

Alright.
I guess u do stay in the southern part

tayo60:
to the moon, abi?

the cloud is aventurous

Life no balance.


while i actually was looking for the "face me i face u" lifestyle

MrBrownJay1:
clueless women talking about what they dont know on NL, lol!!!!

here is for your education of the day: NO MAN ON THIS EARTH HAS BEEN ABLE TO TAME THE TIGER IN THEIR PANTS!
you can be fast sleep peacefully and wake up with a raging tiger between your legs...

U would have made sense but Ur inability to comprehend is ur only problem

Baronthecelebri:
Nice one Boss,I'm waiting, because of this redpill, women respect me. God bless you

Seriously?

TheGidRedpiller:
I recommend you follow the official Redpill thread here on Nairaland, there you will meet other teachers and sharers in many other categories.

The Redpill is generally about the AWAKENING and then MAJOR EMPOWERMENT of men.
I major in the FEMININE NATURE Niche because that is where my life plugged in.

TRP IS GOLDEN!!

mind sharing the thread?

TheGidRedpiller:
You are totally OFF POINT here.

Oga 5point.
redpill shouldnt always be about sex.

Chaos14:
Why you edit the topic me sef go edit comment

I didnt edit the topic.

To be honest, i really do not care.

But if i will be having only one child, i'll prefer it to be male,
if its two children, i prefer it to be two female.

Christiansimon:
guy, just go to the hospital and tell them u want to make your dick to be weak forever. den get married. that's when u will know d meaning of erection.better go and sleep if u don't have good things to post

Are u a prophet?
I am already on medication

Chaos14:
Dumb words from a wise man

His Royal wiseness.
King Solomon II

please gerout