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Business / Nigeria’s Catalytic Inflation: What Goes Up But Never Comes Down? by mijestic: 6:14pm On Sep 30, 2021 |
My early years were memorable and fun-filled – ironically – as I came from a strict background with not a few restrictions as to socialization with peers. The extra watchfulness demonstrated by my parents over my siblings and I emanated – quite understandably from clear sight and hindsight of a bifurcated shift in societal values and norms amongst the young and upcoming ones and in particular – teenagers. Unmistakably, that affinity towards a quiet, peaceable lifestyle had deeply rooted a belief in God and a quest to keep His commandments as enshrined in the holy book. Over time, I nevertheless found joy in other forms of association with my peers which surprisingly instigated no opposition from my parents. One of such activities I regularly engaged in with those even advanced in age than I was literary debates and riddles. My first acquaintance with the ‘what goes up but never comes down’’ riddle was met with a thumbs down to my answer. I had subsequently launched painstaking researches and found out the best answer to such a riddle was in fact ‘Age’. It is been over 16 years since that discovery that broadened my knowledge base and granted me the competitive edge in subsequent events both in smaller cells and for my Alma Mater. Sixteen years later, however, I am afraid that my experience living in Nigeria constantly raises fresh doubts as to the right answer to that riddle. I am now constrained to say that Nigeria’s inflation rate also goes up but never comes down. While the statistics are ever available to aid independent verification and theoretical juxtaposition by the most curious mind on the subject matter of inflation in Nigeria, as a data-driven advocate and practitioner myself, I would just this once write from the standpoint of ‘Street Economics’ which simply is the viewpoint of the average Nigerian – irrespective of financial, social and economic strata – understanding what rising prices have evolved over the years and its effect on life, survival and living. Read Also: For first time in 2yrs, Nigeria’s inflation rate slows for second straight month Indexes like the Composite Food Prices, Year-on-Year, Month-on-Month and Quarter-on-Quarter inflation rate; Urban, Rural, Average, Annual, Core Inflation; Consumer Price index (CPI) and Producer Price index (PPI) frequently released by the Nigerian Bureau of Statistics may be contested by any theoretical researcher and diligent economic expert, statistician or professional, what cannot be contested is that much less quantity of items can now be bought with the same amount of money unlike in past years. This effectively portends that the worth of the Naira is depleted now more than ever before. More distressing is the loud sighs, murmurs, complaints, tales of woes, poverty, death and verbal tantrums are thrown at Nigerian Leaders by shoppers at the cashing point of supermarkets and restaurants, market stalls and walk-in purchase desks. It currently looks as though it were better to stay mute as complainers have now been tagged ‘foreigners’. The facts nevertheless prevail – food, staple, spare parts, clothing, housing, transportation, education fees amongst others have in fact tripled across metropolitan areas in the country within recent months. As a Lagos based professional myself, I look in bewilderment with a pained disposition as the invoices are issued to me by cashiers. I have literally learnt to take three times worth of cash like I previously would make purchases at the marketplace. The reality is setting in over the country but while it does, there remains to be seen the focus on the most important things. A keen look at the evolution of prices and interplay between market forces will revolve around two factors: The ripple effect of price changes and the downward inelasticity of prices in Nigeria. This is an urgent call to action for the Nigerian economic societies, experts, socio-economic think tank groups and the advisory committee at all levels of government to diminish the ascendancy and prestige of the legacy study and application of classical, Keynesian, or any other theoretical school of thoughts as a panacea to the current inflation quagmire but instead place a spotlight on what I have termed ‘’Street Economics’’ that is indeed the hallmark of the Nigerian Society. In this new band, there are two major sources (roots) of price increase in Nigeria over the years: fuel prices and the Naira’s Foreign Exchange (Forex) and currency devaluation. You would notice that in effect, every major increase in fuel price effected by an official announcement by the government would stimulate a ripple effect in other sectors of the economy; more specifically, transportation cost, food prices, service cost, raw materials cost, production cost, agriculture. These prices will also be inelastic downwards that is, will not return to their original figures even with a counter announcement by the government or baselined change after acceptance across the economy. A depreciation of the Nigerian currency will also kindle a ripple effect in all sectors of the economy whether they are directly dependent of the availability and supply of forex or not. There are sub-factors like prolonged unfavourable weather conditions like rain and drought which would also establish a new price regime in one- to – all sectors of the economy. Security challenges are also a bye factor of new price regime institutions in the Nigerian Economy as an inability to food products for a long time will promote susceptibility to new price changes. A cursory retrospect at the workings of Street Economics will also presuppose that while the government in fact has a big role to play in maintaining prices levels and keeping them down at all times with right and timely policies geared towards good forex maintenance, fiscal and monetary policies and regulatory interventions, the Nigerian citizenry – you and I – truly have a large role to play in making life and living bearable for us all. The tricycle rider in Lagos who refuses to review transportation prices downwards after a short spell of fuel prices increases and the trader who maintains the same price rate when they are justifications against same are all part of our unique identity as a people. And it is from here we can advance the solution conversations while taking into cognizance the peculiarity of the Nigerian economy. Are we as a people really our own undoing? What is the relationship between the government and sectoral unions and leadership to unify and enforce downward price changes for the benefit of all Nigerians? Is that relationship cordial? The Nigerian currency has in the last two quarters shed one-quarter of its value regardless of actions taken by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) including the set-up of Forex desks at Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) delicensing of Bureau De Change (BDC) operators and push against targeted rising Fintechs, and corporates. While these actions are at the forefront, it is more important for regulators, economic bodies, agencies, government offices, parastatals, ministries and decision-makers to redirect actions towards proactive and perpetual examination that will promote an all-inclusive and central repair of the economic and financial health of the Nation. Ideally, the first consideration should be the production cost of the Manufacturing sector. The government should ensure that local industries are able to produce goods with the strengthened availability of forex which will reduce the speed of foreign imports of raw materials and in turn reduce prices. The Nigerian Economy should currently be able to compete favourably with foreign industry. Local competitiveness will checkmate the exit of manufacturing firms who have decried incessant unfavourable economic climate for business to thrive as reasons for their rampant exit. The security situation in the country while palpable requires urgent actions by the government to promote continuous Foreign Direct investment inflows and ease of doing business so that the set-up of foreign businesses could easily be set up in the country. The right enabling environment and infrastructure would be required. Labour productivity and wage rate ‘demutualization’ is urgently required. Massive investment in human capital will be key to the recovery of the Nigerian economy and the adoption of a wide array of technology tools and techniques in the country. It is evident that not much will be achieved without the input of sectoral heavyweight and leaders. The government should ensure that urgent sectoral town halls are held to chart the way for the needed requirements that is agreed upon and actionable by all. Local agricultural production is critical for food suffice and foreign exchange generation. Adopting innovative methods of production that are scientifically proven will be pivotal. Government incentives are critical for bolstering an enabling environment while retaining existing businesses, and attracting new productive firms into the country while yet creating enabling employment opportunities. Poverty alleviation schemes should be well-targeted, monitored and evaluated for maximum impact. The tax system should be optimized to target surplus units and less of deficit units as a way of maximizing income, increasing savings, real investments and the reduction of the vicious circle of poverty. It is important that the population dynamics of the country be emphasized. Given that a large part of the Nigeria Population (roughly 43%) is aged between 0-14, the government should ensure that education is goals are wilfully pursued while entrepreneurial and occupational trade be favoured and supported. The multicultural production nature in the country – North and South divide should be effectively addressed ensuing that no region is kept at a disadvantage for the sake of combined prosperity and wealth creation. In closing, the Nigerian government should critically explore open trade and in particular – the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) as bilateral trade of semi-manufactures within Africa have a large prospect and hold the key to a sustainable future, opening strata of opportunities, wealth creation, the balance of payments equilibrium and currency appreciation which would in effect other macroeconomic indices in Nigeria. Imouokhome is an Economist and development expert. https://businessday.ng/opinion/article/nigerias-catalytic-inflation-what-goes-up-but-never-comes-down/ |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 10:52pm On Apr 23, 2018 |
4oyrsExperience:I dont understand. Are you a candidate or HR officer cos I see you are now speaking on behalf of the bank already after starting up as an applicant. 4 Likes |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 8:20pm On Nov 02, 2017 |
Congrats to all. Beautiful arrangement from FBN as regards dividing trainees into batches months before. Now, many already know their dates and can plan ahead. At least the high bp would have reduced by now. 1 Like |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 9:04am On Oct 24, 2017 |
Please let's not put unnecessary fear in the heart of people not to air their views on social media for fear of persecution. Its expected that someone who has gone through pains of recruitment for close to a year expectant, waiting, anxious, almost hypertensive. Some have resigned in hopes of being called so its normal to express displeasure about a process. As for misinformation I am not in support of that but as u well know this is social media.11 9 Likes |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 10:05am On Oct 20, 2017 |
Very shoddy handling from FBN on this. We have given them kudos before and this time its knocks they deserve. This whole 'commotion' like onlywoman92 put it is laughable. I just wonder what they are up to. The credibility of the process is at stake here so also peoples career as nlanded has said. I have activated 'sidon look' mode cos I dont know what to believe anymore. 1 Like |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 8:49am On Oct 19, 2017 |
wow...hehehe. You can imagine the sign of the cross I did when I got into the thread. No mail yet here o. |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 5:31pm On Oct 17, 2017 |
It will be nice if the infos coming in from the contact persons are true. Cos FB staff in present TS are saying next year. Let's hope and pray the recruitment process resumes soonest. 1 Like |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 4:51am On Oct 16, 2017 |
I begin to wonder why it takes years for a self acclaimed top bank to conduct entry level recruitment when others are concluded in 2 -3 months at most. It begs the question of what the aim is of recruitment is. Is it to fill spaces or revamp the bank for strategic growth with fresh blood and ideas. |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 3:59pm On Oct 15, 2017 |
Iamabraham:Yeah. its till end of next week they are ending. around 27th or so. Also please guys be preparing for TS next year. It may not be this year. My 2 cents 2 Likes |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 1:13pm On Oct 15, 2017 |
Latest update from present SE TS training is that there is a one week extension. 1 Like |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 7:16pm On Oct 14, 2017 |
No one in TS can really say when mails will drop. Lets just focus on other things while we wait. Its not even sure if TS for GT will start immediately after the conclusion of present SE training. We hope so though. 1 Like |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 4:23pm On Oct 03, 2017 |
mayorchelsea:Abi. Its Fbn that's losing right now cos over this few weeks some good candidates have taken up better offers and the more they linger the more people accept other offers that come their way than waiting for whats not certain. |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 10:57am On Oct 03, 2017 |
ezzo09:These are the kind of update we want to see here. God bless you bro. The big question is when exactly is the GTP set going in. All you hear is after the presents SE training. It would have been nice the list of successful persons are published early enough to drastically reduce the questions being asked and make persons plan ahead. I just hope this recruitment wont spill over till next year like is being rumoured presently. 1 Like 1 Share |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 9:17am On Oct 02, 2017 |
I thought there are contact persons for each state as stated in mails sent. These questions should be directed to fbn contact persons not here. Person never enter training school na how to go out for two, three weeks be the next thing. Our body too dey hot abeg. |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 8:16pm On Sep 12, 2017 |
Onlywoman92:I just tire my sister. If them wan chop more sebi na to remain where they Re. Stay there dey form notice period, process and procedure on top another entry level job wey them apply for with their own hand. 1 Like |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 4:48pm On Sep 12, 2017 |
When First Bank gives you 4 days to report to TS, Bros wait for 1 week and 3 days more to give notice. Don't forfeit salary and resign yeye. 1 Like |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 3:38pm On Sep 12, 2017 |
OkunrinMeta:Have you read and comprehended my comment before quoting me? |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 12:18pm On Sep 12, 2017 |
adedejiadeyemi:You dont need to resign properly bro. You only just need to resign which entails notifying your employer by formal writing except you are a debtor. |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 12:28pm On Sep 04, 2017 |
Congrats to all awaiting TS candidates. May God favour us all in this recruitment. Please who has an idea exactly when TS will begin to enable candidates plan their time. Thank you. |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 3:53pm On Aug 23, 2017 |
What is happening to this bank sef. Almost one year and still nothing. nawa o |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 11:03am On Jul 18, 2017 |
@cloud9usher maybe u could also help make enquiries as to how soon calls for documentation are going to roll in after the conclusion of this stage. |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 10:45am On Jul 09, 2017 |
cloud9usher: Yeah. I have been wondering why no one talked about this before now or maybe I was the only one who noticed. As youve rightly said, this has reduced the chances of the external candidates to some extent. And of course theses guys are way beyond the age limit. What number of new intakes is FBN looking at and are there slots kind of for the recruitment. These were questions I asked myself. |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: 2016 Firstbank Graduate Trainee Programme by mijestic: 7:35am On Jul 04, 2017 |
Scented:ive been a silent reader in the thread but bro I need to tell you I shook my head in pity after reading your comment. It oozes of immaturity and pride. These are kind of coursemates I prayed not to have back then in Uni; cousemates that make the innocent suffer for oversabi of one guy. Bro if u want to cut your tongue or ur mouth after ur AC please do. Dont come here and start butresing the stale line of Nigerians are selfish or stuff like that. Wish everyone the best in this recruitment. 4 Likes |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: Ikeja Electric (electrical/electronic Engineering Position) 2017 Invitation For by mijestic: 5:50pm On Jun 10, 2017 |
Mitocyan:Congratulations bro. Please help me make enquiry about Back Office Support role. The test was held 3rd of May. |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: Ikeja Electric - Electricity Sales Representatives: Invitation For Interview by mijestic: 3:56pm On May 30, 2017 |
Habeeb123:Do they send regret mails? cos I saw some eee guys were not sent invite neither regret mails. |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: Ikeja Electric - Electricity Sales Representatives: Invitation For Interview by mijestic: 3:40pm On May 30, 2017 |
Please who knows any of the HR number i call call. please pm me urgently. i wrote 3rd of may for back office support and till now nothing. |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: Cardinal Stone Graduate Trainee Assessment 2016 by mijestic: 2:33pm On Mar 01, 2017 |
TheBatman: GBAM! |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: Cardinal Stone Graduate Trainee Assessment 2016 by mijestic: 9:51am On Feb 04, 2017 |
Almost two months and this guys are still calling for more batches of tests every Saturday. Is it until all graduates in Nigeria have taken their tests before they call for the next stage. This country sha. smh 1 Like 1 Share |
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: Workforce Sending Sms Invite To Ppl For The Bank Grad Trainee Scheme.. Lets Roll by mijestic: 10:17am On Jan 18, 2017 |
teju4CHRIST:Bro kindly confirm from them if invites.is in batches for next stage. Wish you success |
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