Tonytonex:
in case you don't know, the governor wouldn't have been a governor, if not for the influence of Kwankwaso.

I am aware of that. That still doesn’t mean he should control the governor. He has done his own 2 terms. He has helped install someone who he believes can continue to do the good work. Let the man do his own work

Is Kwankwaso the governor? The man just wants to be the one making the decisions

The boy is a brigadier general’s son and the camp commandant has been replaced

Nawa

I want Fubara to win this fight because godfatherism must die and Wike is too arrogant.

Besides Rivers is PDP

No case for APC then

Is that Patience Jonathan in the 2nd pic?

Nobody is sidelining him.
You people are just pained and bitter because he is the president and the other man isn’t.
You must find a way to heal cause this hate will eat you up.
You can’t keep doing this for 8 years

She didn’t win.

But if she did, her husband will be the First Gentleman

nonhuman:
Chai it's a pity no one is talking about PDP again, it's now APC vs LP

That’s the way you people said during presidential campaigns and u people came 3rd.

Be deceiving yourself

Guyman01:
Both LP and PDP candidates are Christians from the same zone but I think that they would have used the LP platform since Peter Obi won Nasarawa with a good margin in the presidential election even without BVAS transmission

PDP is too big to step down for any election.
Both APC and PDP can never step down from any race

Mynd44, Lalasticlala Seun.

Let’s spread the word

DontBullshitMe:

4) The winner of Kwara was also the winner of the general election which has been a reoccurring trend since 1999.

That’s interesting

Kyase:


Fuelled by CAN

Hmm perhaps

Flame77:
Good job by the LP. They should work harder in the north

In my opinion, the LP movement is really fuelled by Obi and not exactly a party structure.
They need to just merge with PDP cause there’s no guarantee Obi can maintain his momentum

Fun Facts
1. APC’s Tinubu had more votes in the North than PDP’s Atiku

2. LP’s Obi had more votes in the north than NNPP’s Kwankwaso.

3. PDP won the North-East region for the first time since 1999

Here is a geo-political breakdown of the 2023 presidential election as I also in the past did that of 2015 and 2019.
The number of states each party won in each region is in bracket after their votes

North-West (7 states)

The presidential candidate of NNPP and the Vice Presidential candidate of LP are from this region.

1. APC - 2,652,235 (2). (40.18%)
2. LP - 350,182 (0). (5.31%)
3. NNPP - 1,268,250 (1). (19.22%)
4. PDP - 2,329,540 (4). (35.30%)
Total - 6,600,207 (4 main parties only)


North-East (6 states)

The Presidential Candidate of PDP and the Vice Presidential Candidate of APC are from this region

1. APC - 1,185,458 (1). (35.23%)
2. LP - 315,107 (0). (9.37%)
3. NNPP - 126,343. (0). (3.76%)
4. PDP - 1,737,846 (5). (51.65%)
Total - 3,364,754 (4 main parties only)

North-Central (6 states + FCT)

1. APC - 1,760,993. (4). (40.03%)
2. LP - 1,415,577. (2)+FCT. (32.18%)
3. NNPP - 60,056 (0). (1.37%)
4. PDP - 1,162,087 (0). (26.42%)
Total - 4,398,713 (4 main parties only)

North Total (19 states + FCT)
1. APC - 5,598,686 (7). (38.98%)
2. LP - 2,080,866 (2)+FCT. (14.49%)
3. NNPP - 1,454,649 (1). (10.13%)
4. PDP - 5,229,473 (9). (36.41%)
Total - 14,363,674 (4 main parties only)


South-West (6 states)

The presidential Candidate of APC is from this region

1. APC - 2,279,407. (4). (55.81%)
2. LP - 846,478. (1). (20.72%)
3. NNPP - 16,644 (0). (0.41%)
4. PDP - 941,941 (1). (23.06%)
Total - 4,084,470. (4 main parties only)

South-East (5 states)

The presidential candidate of LP is from this region

1. APC - 127,370 (0). (5.85%)
2. LP - 1,952,998. (5). (89.62%)
3. NNPP - 8,211. (0). (0.38%)
4. PDP - 90,698 (0). (4.16%)
Total - 2,179,277. (4 main parties only)

South-South (6 states)

The Vice Presidential Candidate of the PDP is from this region

1. APC - 799,957 (1). (29.14%)
2. LP - 1,210,675 (3). (44.09%)
3. NNPP - 17,167 (0). (0.63%)
4. PDP - 717,908 (2). (26.15%)
Total - 2,745,707. (4 main parties only)

South Total (17 states)
1. APC - 3,206,734 (5). (35.59%)
2. LP - 4,010,151 (9). (44.51%)
3. NNPP - 42,022. (0). (0.47%)
4. PDP - 1,750,547 (3). (19.43%)
Total - 9,009,454. (4 main parties only)


You can check out my previous topics here

Geopolitical Breakdown of the 2019 presidential elections

https://www.nairaland.com/5050525/geo-political-breakdown-2019-presidential-election

Geopolitical Breakdown of the 2015 presidential election

https://www.nairaland.com/3067145/geo-political-breakdown-2015-presidential-election


Lalasticlala mynd44 seun

I’m honestly shocked that Atiku defeated Tinubu in Osun state.
Truly Adeleke is on ground in the state.
PDP also won all 3 senate and all 9 HOR seats in the state.

Meanwhile in Oyo, Seyi Makinde has led PDP to lose all 3 senate seats to APC

StrongAlphMale:
Fake News.

This was the governorship election result in Osun state. Kindly disregard this fake News

It is not fake news. All the publications are already reporting it. Atiku won with about 20/30 LGs

Ayopercent:

Why are you guys repeating this error...
What is 2/3 of 36 states plus FCT, is it not 25...

That would be 24+FCT not 25. But FCT isn’t included. If u get 25% in 24 states, it doesn’t matter whether u get it in FCT. U are qualified

00FFT00:


Your bias is obvious and glaring.

On what basis would you think Mr Obi will not make 25% in a state where his running mate, a northern Muslim, from a prominent family in Zaria comes from?. Add to it, the demography of Kaduna state which is evenly divided between Christians and Muslims, and the no love lost relationship between southern Kaduna people and their Muslim state government.

Do you even know who LP gubernatorial candidate in the state is, his background, capacity, reputation and where he comes from?. It's foolishness to come on here and write nonsense in the hope that it sticks. You're simply marketing Tinubu.

Lol do u think Datti is popular in the region? He can’t even deliver his LG.
Kaduna South will be shared between Atiku and Obi and the rest will be shared between Atiku and Tinubu, giving Atiku an edge to win the state with Tinubu 2nd.

We shall see on Sunday

wegevv:


I’d rather believe a scientific poll than the paid propaganda coming out of your bum cheeks lol ❤️

Don’t worry. We’ll be back here on Sunday

wegevv:


Keep hustling bro. No hard feelings, times are hard ❤️

Lol you sound like u are looking for work.
Are u? U better talk

wegevv:


That’s your own logic lol.

You people need to be thinking better before Tinubu’s propaganda department sacks you.

Just some advice so you don’t lose your source of income ❤️

It’s simple mathematics. But it’s ok if you don’t get it

wegevv:


https://www.nairaland.com/7569924/obi-tinubu-atiku-path-spread

All the polls show Obi has the best chance. Link above but I’m sure you already know. Your bum cheeks said he has the worst chance because Tinubu is paying you lol. Maybe try and clean up with the old notes Tinubu is giving you

No hard feelings sha. Keep hustling to feed your people ❤️

Vote Obi or literally anyone else but APC ❤️

That poll said Obi will get 30-35% of votes in Ondo and Ogun.
It also stated Obi will get 70% in plateau and Nasarawa.

Do you yourself honestly believe that? Lol

wegevv:


And Tinubu is running with the party that has given us the worst federal government in the history of our country with a MM ticket. Demographics is king my friend

You never thought to wonder why Wike won’t support him publicly lol

Anyway this is a waste of time. I know you’re another paid promoter. Do your work. No hard feelings ❤️

Vote Obi or literally anyone else but APC ❤️

Wike won’t support him openly cause it’s going to expose Wike to be a hypocrite.
That doesn’t mean Wike doesn’t have then pull.

So I was paid to spread propaganda on Nairaland with how many people to view it? Lool.

I’m not even a supporter of APC as I will be voting Atiku but he’s still the one most likely to hit it

wegevv:


You don’t see it 😂

We should leave comprehensive face to face polls and accept the propaganda you pulled out from your bum cheeks shey? You better start creating more realistic numbers for Tinubu before they sack you lol

Just a suggestion ❤️

Oh I didn’t know there are “comprehensive fave to face polls” that stated Obi will get 25% in 24 states.

Pls link me to it

wegevv:


Let’s debunk some more of your lazy propaganda for the good people of nairaland ❤️

Before the 2015 elections, Governor Chibuike Amaechi (Rivers state Governor at the time) defected to APC and publicly supported Buhari. Despite all his efforts, do you know what percentage Buhari scored there? Take a wild guess lol

He scored 4% 😂😂😂

Now how much do you think the Christian population of the SS will give to Tinubu and his MM ticket because Wike is rumoured to be privately supporting him lol?

Again try and do a better job before your boss fires you and tries to hire me instead ❤️

Wike and Amaechi are not the same person.
Buhari ran against a Niger delta man also as an opposition candidate.

You are free to say whatever you like.
Saturday is here

wegevv:


If you don’t think Obi can score 25% in Kaduna then you’re wasting our time with propaganda.

So you think Obi will get more votes than Tinubu, Atiku and Kwankwaso in Kaduna?
Cause he has to be 1st or 2nd there to secure 25%

shigishege:
You want zombie rats to come and hug you?? Leave them with their online election results. To them it's everyone that uses Twitter MD Facebook

That’s why I stated that it’s my personal analysis

What do you think?

Lalasticlala mynd44 seun

Total

Tinubu - 26. Possibly 28

Atiku - 24. Possibly 29

Obi - 13, possibly 15

Kwankwaso - 2

Tinubu is most likely to get 25% in 24 states on the first ballot.
Atiku can possibly do it too.

I don’t see it for Obi and Kwankwaso