₦airaland Forum

In bia.fraud

AdamuKD:

Obi is our incoming president and if you are not comfortable with it, drink sniper and quench
Next

Anything pertaining fraud u most find them

PandoraObi:
I know Zombidients will populate the list

Bro, till u see Gusau, Zamfara state

Jashub:
Try visiting Minna , Niger state. You will think you were in 1934

Sharap abeg! Go to hell! When ur fellow kinsmen are all over political section insulting tribes, elders etc... it's cuz the tables are turned that's why ur preaching this nonsense

Felixamos:
It's disgusting even. Actually one of the major reasons I hardly comment on topics recently..

Or Bia.fraud

gnykelly:
I doubt if he's a Nigerian.

Just give us a clue. Like his passport color or name. Not everyone that said he's a Nigerian after committing crime abroad is a Nigerian. Sometimes other nationals swap their identity after committing a crime. He could be a Zim.

Guy u b mumu walahi

ASAPFERG:
Flatheadds
Hitler should have killed this people instead of the Jews
6M osus killed by hilter, plus 3m killed by the great awolowo, their population for nor pass 350k today

He couldn't wait to remove that ugly nyamuri cloth

So PDP's structure is the same with LP

otipoju:
Did APC have all these structures when they lost in Osun State?

Did PDP have all these structures when they lost to APC twice.

Does the precense of all these people guarantee victory?

Who also told you labour party does not have card carrying members nor mobilization teams nor financial watches or former elected officers?

The work of all these people is to convince and induce people to vote and man pooling units to monitor results isn't it? Now when your message has skipped the messengers and gotten directly to the voters that uou need to vote...why then place so much emphasis on structure.

Lol! Both scenarios are totally different and don't correlate at all!!

1. Even tho kenyatta was against Ruto, he didn't try to temper or influencer the election ion any form.. in fact, the election was adjudged to be free and fair by international body

2. Ruto was the VP and already had structures and connection all over the country, unlike PO

3. The election that brougt Yar'adua was highly rigged that it shocked Yar'adua, that he had to publicly apologise and admit it wasn't free.. ppl were still queuing and voting when the resuilts was announced

even though I believe u all know this facts, but just trying to play dumb and give urself some false hope

Nigerianization:
Please which structure did William Ruto of Kenya rely upon to win the presidency with a one year old party?

Before you say that he was the sitting vice-president, ATIKU also tried the same feat and lost squarely in 2007. Both VPs lost the backing of their Presidents and the stories were different for both because times have changed.

Structures don't win elections. As a party less OBIdient that will be voting on election day, I'll wait for the results to be counted, declared and pasted. I will go home with my snapped copy of my polling unit.

I am a structure.

Wannan arne arewa ne

frank14011991:
arewa sai batkash

Lol! Remove Datti! That guy even in his household he will lose... in Zaria ppl don't know him

adekolaelect:
Yorubas will give block votes for Tinubu bcs there is no any other contenders from S w. Atiku will not get block vote from North bcs of Kwankwaso,Shetims and Datt . Obi will not get block votes from s e and s s bcs of Okowa ,wike of river state and IPOB activities in the region.

Lol I'm one of kwankwasso biggest fan, but I, him and millions of his supporters know he doesn't stand a chance, hence won't waste our votes on him, at best he will get significant votes in kano state.. So he is not a factor

Atiku is not a northern project and is classified as a fair-weather politician in the north!! When u talk about popular politicians like Buhari, kwankwasso, amino kano, Yar'adua etc that go beyond their states and regio. Atiku has never known to win his NE region since he started contesting election; even in his home state, APC gubernatorial candidate Mrs. Binani will give him a run for his money

Bomboiy:
This is a very bias analysis from one of APC Media dogs.

Tinubu has SW on stronghold but Obi doesn't have SE on stronghold?

And saying Tinubu will clear NC is another false thing to say,the fact that Kwankwaso wasn't included in the NW by the is another false assumptions.

Yorubas will give block votes to Tinubu but igbos won't give block votes to Obi and Northerners won't give block votes to Atiku? It must be ment.

The author even went as far as saying that Tinubu's vote will exceed that of Atiku and Obi combined,what kind of weed are you people smoking in that APC for God's sake?

...

Muna tare mutumina, Allah ya bashi sa'a

Kai dan wane jahar ne?

frank14011991:
I can't wait for February. Sai baba tinubu ikon Allah

"they have given to their use and dump zone, the South-East. And Adolf Wabara collected it and was laughing like someone who had won jackpot."

BY JOSEPH Y. CHIBOK

As things stand today in the political manoeuvres among the political aspirants in our country, who of the three leading presidential candidates stands the best chance of winning next year’s presidential elections in our country? Is it Senator Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the ruling All Progressives Congress party or is it the new entrant to the presidential contest, Peter Obi, of the Labour Party or is it the perennial presidential candidate Atiku Abubakar of the main opposition party, the People’s Democratic Party?

Given the objective reality on the ground today, no analyst can be accused of bias if he or she says that the odds undoubtedly favour Bola Ahmed Tinubu. What are the evidences on the ground to warrant this assertion? Of the three men, it is only Tinubu who has his immediate geo-political zone (the South-West states of Lagos, Ogun, Ondo, Osun, Ekiti and Oyo) firmly in his grip. As any knowledgeable commentator on Nigerian politics can readily agree, the recent loss by the APC of the governorship election in Osun State to the PDP does not in any way vitiate my assertion of Tinubu’s near absolute control of the South West. The governorship was an internal affair in which local political intrigues and calculations played a major role. It was not a plebiscite on Tinubu. In a nationwide election in which Tinubu will face other Nigerians, no South West man or woman will vote for another candidate other than Tinubu.

On the issue of control of ‘personal’ geo-political zone, Atiku fares particularly disastrously when compared to Tinubu. In spite of Atiku’s long years in politics in general and presidential political contest in particular, he has not been able to carve the North East (Adamawa, Taraba, Borno, Yobe, Bauchi, and Gombe) where he comes from, as a zone solidly in his firm political grips. There is no single state of the North East you can bank on that is exclusively Atiku’s if he is in a presidential contest against any other candidate whether the candidate is northern or southern. Not even Adamawa his home state nor Taraba his most neighbourly state!

How does Obi of the Labour Party fare in this particular criterion? Obi does not do any better than Atiku in this regard and is not in any way near to Bola Tinubu at all. Is spite of the waves I and many other observers acknowledge he is making on the Social Media, one cannot be sure that the South-East is his firm zone. The test for that is going to come in 2023 and given the prospects on the ground, the South East is going to be evenly divided between the Labour Party and the PDP with the APC even having a big chunk of the share. Many bigwigs of the PDP and the APC who have a foothold in the South East region have been openly saying that they and their parties have something to fight for in the region and they will not just let that go because an Obi is from their territory.

Let us leave the political zone of origins of the leading candidates and consider the immediate contiguous zone to their own. In the North Central Zone (comprising Kwara, Kogi, Niger, Nasarawa, Plateau and Benue) which is contiguous to Tinubu’s South West, the first five states are at present solid APC states which are undeniably going to vote for Tinubu. Remember that much of Kwara and Kogi are culturally and geographically South Western and only geo-politically North. Let us also remember that Niger is where Tinubu is the traditional title holder of Jagaba of Borgu, evidence of years of political bridge-building which is his key political forte.

In Niger and Plateau, Tinubu will also reap the benefit of his party’s hold on those states while in Benue which is the only state of the zone that is PDP, the fall-out between Atiku and Governor Wike and Governor Samuel Ortom’s sympathy and solidarity with Wike will tilt the balance of decision in favour of the Asiwaju.

South-South Zone (comprising Cross River, Akwa Ibom, Rivers, Delta, Bayelsa and Edo) is the contiguous zone to Peter Obi’s South East. All the states of this zone are almost solidly PDP but given the current wrangling between Atiku and the hierarchy of the PDP and Rivers State Governor Wike, the future of the presidential contest in these states cannot now be correctly predicted but what is likely to happen is that Tinubu will be the major beneficiary of the presidential votes which will be split among him and Peter Obi and Atiku.

Atiku’s immediate contiguous zone is the North West (comprising Kaduna, Kano, Kebbi, Katsina, Sokoto, Jigawa and Zamfara. Here, Atiku’s selling points are his religious affinity and kinship with many of the voters of the region. Unfortunately for him, however, this is one of the strongholds of Tinubu’s All Progressives Congress party. Those who owe Atiku votes on the basis of religious affinity also owe Tinubu their votes on the same consideration but will consider the higher point of party loyalty to which they can also derive their well-being. Those who stand to gain something from the APC will not lightly toy with that. They will all vote for Tinubu in rebuff of Atiku.


There is also the critical factor of mentorship, friend-making abilities and strategic calculation. Of the three, Tinubu is clearly a front-liner in each of them. Tinubu won the primaries of his presidential election based mainly on the sheer number of persons he has mentored over the years, the sheer number of friends he has made in the course of his political career and the rightness of his geo-political calculations.

It must be made clear that politics is not a game of sentiments. Most of those who participate in it are clear-headed individuals who do things pragmatically. That is why Obi’s wave-making will easily fade away when we get to the brass tacks next year. And as we again saw during the APC presidential primaries, Bola Ahmed Tinubu will not merely win the presidency, he will win it by such a run-away margin that it will constitute a monumental landslide that will exceed the votes of Atiku and Obi combined.

In addition to his political clout and spread, Tinubu is being complemented by a capable, competent and suave vice-presidential candidate in the person of Senator Kashim Shettima.

Because Shettima in on the ticket, it’s taken for granted that 99.9% of the voters in Borno and Yobe States will vote for the APC ditto Gombe because of its affinity to the people of Yobe and Gombe is also under the firm grips of the APC.

Shettima has made name and he is very popular in the North having served with distinction as the Chairman of the Northern Governors Forum.

On the other hand, the vice-presidential candidate of the PDP, Senator Ifeanyi Okowa has to contend with powerful forces in APC in Delta State such as Senator Ovie Omo-Agege. Similarly, the political feud between Atiku and Wike might not guarantee Rivers votes for the PDP.

For Senator Datti Ahmed of the Labour Party, he does not even have the political clout to attract votes from his native Zaria not to talk of winning the votes in Kaduna State.

Shettima is head and shoulder above all the vice-presidential candidates of all the leading political parties.

The enormous goodwill which Tinubu has sown all across the country over the years, his acknowledged generous spirit, his leading fight for this democracy we are all enjoying today during the heyday of military dictatorship, his well-known doggedness in fighting causes he holds dear and of course, the God factor which rewards people or strivers for the sweat of their brows, will help him to gain the biggest political diadem in the land, to the consternation, I think, of his ill-wishers

http:///6aa0043c220912en_ng?link=1&client=news

Lol as in How?

I have counted at least 10 northerners in that list.. and this is not produced by Tinubu

Salvador1:
Ok.
but tinubu has Yoruba agenda which is evil.


Just take a good look at APC youth leadership for tinubu.

He's a bigot, ethnic and nepotic man

In Nigeria, according to the constitution, to be president you need 25% of the votes cast in 24 states. In a three or four-horse race the requirement becomes an obstacle. The northwest has 7 states. The northeast has 6 states. NW + NE = 13 and 36 -13 = 23 = impossible. If any presidential candidate fails to play strongly in the NE + NW zones. He can't be president.

For Obi to take 25% in any state in the NE and NW. He must be a major contender in that state. Because what it would mean is that he would beat one or two of Atiku, Asiwaju, or kwankwaso. To be clear about four horse races.

But because the four horses had their areas of complete dominance. Obi has a lot of work to do. Take Adamawa or Taraba where Obidients are hopeful. Once Atiku takes 50% in those states Obi's chances of securing 25% becomes almost impossible because the remaining 50 will be shared with Asiwaju and Kwankwaso

Getting 25% of votes in any NE or NW state will be a major miracle for Obi. And assuming he pulls it off then he has to make sure. He makes 25% in all SW states including Osun, Ekiti, and Ogun. Obi's path to victory is narrower than the path to heaven.

The spread requirement favors the two old parties. 25% in 24 states. Looks easy. But it's not in a three or four-horse race. In most states, only two candidates will have 25%. Rarely do three candidates score 25% in a state? So in Lagos, once one man nicks 55%, only one more can have 25%. Shocking right? In some states, only one candidate will have 25%.

Take Ebonyi, if Peter gets 60% there. The PDP and APC could split the rest fairly equally and miss out. But take the NE and NW, without Buhari and with banditry. The APC and PDP look likely to pick 25% in all those states. If the APC and PDP pick 25% in NE and NW. Labour is out. The scenario in the NW will likely happen in Kogi, Kwara, Osun, Oyo, and Niger. Despite the Obidiency tsunami, Labour's path to 25% in 24 states is in the hands of the Almighty.

http:///s6e2fa638220912en_ng?link=1&client=news

Lol Enough of this pathetic delusional charade!! vote ur candidate while others do the same

Lonestar124:
Generally speaking, Igbo people are peace loving people, forget about thier lousiness, behind it there is calmness if you can bring a good reason to their table...


I want to let you people know this, that some good numbers of igbos that are chanting for peter obi are not doing that based on he is a igbo man, if you check our past election conducted in Nigeria, igbo people have been supporting pdp on every presidential election forget about all this ranting online, the votes that will come out from south east will be divided between LP and PDP....fact!!!

PDP has Gov Ifeanyi okowa as vice president aspirant of thier party, do you think if peter obi did not come out from LP to contest in this 2023 election, the Igbos will not vote for PDP massively? They will..... but the quest is why did the PDP gave the presidential slot to the north again?

Now listen, to the Yorubas that calling igbos tribalists, I want to quickly remind you that the Igbo collectively for vote the late abiola and the former president Obansajo.....the fact is there!!

Now listen to my all point, if the PDP were to produce a Yoruba man as their presidential aspirant with hausa man his vice, the Igbos will vote him without looking at his tribe, and before 2015 or let just say the 2019 election if they could give a Hausa man the presidential slot and yoruba man a vice slot, the igbos I know will collectively vote for them...

APC is one of the party hated so much in south east and south south, do you know that? Yes that is fact, but the all truth here is if tinubu the Apc chosen presidential aspirant happened to be a Christian, and he choose a hausa man from Christian background as his vice president and PDP bring out atiku as president, the igbos will likely vote for tinubu and APC not minding his tribe....this is fact!!!!

Peter obi stand firm in the picture because of the disparity that took place on PDP and APC decision of sharing the presidential and vice presidential slot to wrong people, by the way how is it possible for LP to win a presidential election in Nigeria...

A true Igbo person stand for equality and due right and they are not tribalistic as people from other tribe claimed hence their quest and stance!!!!!

It will definitely work and there is nothing u can do about it, bookmark this and wait for 2023!! You will know reality is different from 1m March

Beremx:
If Akerodolu is talking about fairness then the SW shouldn’t produce the next president. There are other ethnic groups in the south that haven’t had their shots in the Presidency.
Muslim-Muslim ticket can’t work in Nigeria because Nigerians are already divided along ethnic and religious lines.

I'm a northerner supporting Tinubu because of his competency and capabilities, not because it's southern turn.. if eventually Atiku wins, there is nothing 100 of Akeredolu or any other southern can do about it!

Akeredolu is too small and inconsequential to threaten the north! In fact, his a bastaard!!

Northern govs made Tinubu eventually win the ticket because they believe in his candidacy

fiizznation:
This senseless governor again.
You can't force anybody to vote for your candidate. If the northerners feel that Atiku is their choice and voted for him, you cant do anything if the man wins the election.

The North is not a region where small fries like this dumb governor can threaten!!

There are many people in the North that don't care about Atiku or whatever, but when you want to use the voice of threat to talk to the North, that's when we will dare you by voting Atiku just to see what you will do if Atiku wins.

People should learn how to talk

Lol! This could be another 4yr course in a university

Corridon:
Too many mystery surrounding this woman.

Nawo!! Na u ask the question, na u answer urself, na u cum take FTC again

Bonavi:
Because they are waiting to be mobilized from the stolen commonwealth that belongs to you and i

I support ur analysis since everyone wants to be mad!

ScamHunter:
Here is what to expect from the top 3 parties in 2023 presidential election.

North East
APC - 33%
LP - 29%
PDP - 47%

North West
APC - 31%
Labour Party - 22%
PDP - 37%

North Central
APC - 18%
LP - 55%
PDP - 24%

South West
APC - 38%
LP - 36%
PDP - 27%

South East
APC - 3%
LP - 81%
PDP - 11%

South South
APC - 7%
LP - 88%
PDP - 13%

Lol! So amnesty means support! Yar'adua was in support of ND militants too when he gave them amnesty

Qtrpst4:
E bi like sey you don dey mad bah?

Malam Umaru Sanda

IamAtikulate:
Sabon Birni is a LGA in Sokoto.

Where in Sabon Birni is your family house and who is the Mai Garin?

Please indicate handles that do it with prove so we can report them

Goodmarlian:
The comments I see online these days is something else,these people are just against any good thing happening to Nigeria,their number one goal is to keep the south divide by bringing division between Igbo and yoruba, in one thread they will claim igbo to spite the Yoruba's in the other they will claim Yoruba to spite the igbos am I the only one noticing this?

Lol! Show us a link where Shettima made a declaration in support of terrorism

Jokerman:
So Peter Obi is Ipob or what?

Can you point to link where he made such declaration?

As far as I know, Peter was in APGA, then to PDP and to Labour Party, so how was he a biafra terrorist?

Did you see him supporting Kanu?

As far as I know, Peter Obi is a Nigeria... and owùn lo kán, not Tinubu drug man

So Tinubu is mediocrity and terrorist?

Obagreatdatoye:
That's how it should be....u don't vote mediocrity and terrorism because of tribe. Tribe could not save the hundreds killed in ondo Catholic church....our survival as a Christian comes first before tribe..thanks

Sabon birni

IamAtikulate:
You are not from Sokoto and I'll prove it here.

Where in Sokoto do you have your family house and the local government. If you like Google am, I go still know

I'm from sokoto state, currently working in keffi, nasarawa

IamAtikulate:
You are not a Northern.

I can bet that. Where in the North are you, let's start from there.