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Politics / Gabonese Coup: Brice; The Jagun Jagun, Mob Psychology And Lessons For Africa by olaBanks(m): 7:00am On Sep 14, 2023 |
*Gabonese Coup: Brice; the Jagun Jagun, Mob Psychology and Lessons For African Leaders* Bankole Abdulhameed 1st September 2023 08035593418 The silent thunderous news of Gabonese soldiers usurping political power came as surprise to many. However, it snowball from failed ability to render democratic deliverables to Gabonese people and most probably inspiration/imitation from trending current military juntas in Niger, Mali et al. Like the Gabonese Viper, the Guns men, led by Brice, the Jagun Jagun opted for palace coup investing heavily in logistics and planning. He saved a lot in terms of money, if going by David Pilling's estimation that about #2 billion dollar will be needed to be President. Brice did that with less than half the amount in coordination. In economic term, he took a more cheaper route. Although the regime lacks legitimacy; a strong feature and hallmark of democracy, still, he is not a president! An interesting passage of understanding is that the 'Coup' was a family affair. A more younger cousin toppled his much older uncle from office. This coup is of course, a sharp contrast from other trending ones in Africa. More interestingly, power still resides with the Bongo clan and the Bateke ethnic group. A people who boast of themselves as the Bantu pride of Gabon. And do you think a counter-coup is not imminent? I guess not! A single family and ethnic group has ruled a culturally plural state for more than 5 decades and we expect other groups to let peace reign! What an oxymoron! General Brice Oligui Nguema will have to do more to stabilize his army. The possibility of divided loyalty should not be ruled out! Like in the popular Jagun Jagun representation, solidarity will not be formed in war if a General cannot completely crush his enemies. There maybe repercussions in form of counter coup(s) that will form the concluding part of the drama. Let's watch out for the episode. The Ogooué, including the Punu, the Nzebi, and the Mbete, who together form about one-third of the population can team up to reset the violence. After all, they are not Bantus, we should remember! No Army General plans for prolonged war until events start unfolding. Even the Nigerian Civil War that occurred between 1967-70 was suppose to be a police action to arrest Ojukwu and put an end to the Biafran forces until it lasted for 30 months. Another instance was the thinking that Putin would defeat Ukraine in 2-6 months at most. However, it has now turned into a sad reality currently affecting the economies of Europe and Africa. Unfortunately, a peep into the economy of Gabon gives a better rebuttal to the necessity of the coup at this time. Even though she is still foot dragging development, Gabon is not doing poorly economically. As reported by macro trends 2022, Gabon's GDP for 2022 was $21.07B, a 4.22% increase from 2021. In 2021 it had $20.22B, a 32.02% increase from 2020. Its figure for 2020 was $15.31B, a 9.24% decline from 2019. For 2019, it had $16.87B, a 0.04% increase from 2018. These figures scale rationality test of development for a country of about 2.4 million people. These figures speak to the potentials of a developing Nation. However, the insurrectionists have sold the narrative of corruption and underdevelopment by the erstwhile government as commodities to the emotions of mindless mobs. They rode on that to supplanting an oppressing clan with a more brutal class. That was well played, Brice, the Jagun Jagun! The implications of this singular action will be gargantuan. At the micro level, Businesses will shrink and downsize since borders are closed. Scarcity will drive prices of household commodities up, thereby leading to hyper-inflation. At the macro level, Government revenue will dwindle while borrowing will increase, thus, sending it's debt profile to an unimaginable zenith. At another level, anyone who thinks Coups do not affect international relations must be a Zenlensky! The re-scramble for Africa has yet commenced and the predators are on the prowl again after their first occupation about 139 years ago. Nothing much as really changed. There is still 1 pawn - Africa and there are 4 major players on the chess board now - Russian, USA, France and China. No doubt the RUFC will exploit the vulnerability of the coup plotters, most of whom are mere revolutionaries with no progressive ideas to be in class of Chairman Mao, Sun Tzu, Murtala Muhammad, Thomas Sankara or Madiba. From evaluation, most of them fit into the prism of individuals with less sophisticated capacities to lead a Society but rather good fits to carry out orders and at best, ruled by their temperaments. No wonder John Patrick Coby argued that the warriors are a troublesome addition to the city founded by Socrates. Continuous supervision and a heavy-handed pedagogy are required just to keep them from oppressing the producing class. I am sure the Gabonese Army needs serious education to rethink its stance. Serious education must also be handed to young Gabon citizens to think and act right. They must not be swayed by the mob Psychology. No reasonable citizenry should praise coup plotters in this age! And what about Mob Psychology? It is understood by theoreticians such as Gustave Le Bon, Gabriel Tarde, Sigmund Freud and Hebert Blumer as the thought process different from that of an individual. In fact, they posited that the psychology of the crowd tends to supplant that of the individuals who constitute the group. More so, they enthused that a person in a mob losses his sense of responsibility through the process of de-individuation, so that there can be universality of behaviors. In simpler sense, it's an aggregation of emotionally laden crowd where the outcomes of the action of the group cannot be borne by any individual member of the group. Since most mobs are malleable groups that allow unhealthy ideas to permeate, it is then imperative that African Governments must live up to their responsibilities. Mobs are easy to convince through simple appeal to emotions and sentiments. They are expressive, aggressive, violent and destructive. The most potent way to distabilize the mob is for democratic governments to deliver on their mandates. African Governments should live up to their responsibilities. In conclusion, the Jagun Jagun of Gabon should as a matter of existential necessity draft out plans to quickly hand over power and return the country to democracy. Fresh elections should be conducted in order to usher in a new government that will deliver good governance to the people. If this piece was a worthy read, kindly share widely. Thank you. |
European Football (EPL, UEFA, La Liga) / Re: Leeds Vs Chesea (3 - 0) On 21st August 2022 by olaBanks(m): 6:30pm On Aug 21, 2022 |
The season is just getting started and the smaller teams are eager and still in form to show what they have to offer. Give them 15 games more, they will get fagged out. The big teams will bring forth their experience as the games progresses. No need to criticize Thomas Tuchel yet. The boys are still heavy and they are yet to mentally play to instructions and tactics. Let's give them time. Why a lot of people are mocking Chelsea FC is because, some of their fans are lousy, loud that lack basic understanding of football. In fact, when Chelsea loses, almost everyone is happy and at peace. However, there is hope. Chelsea fans, make una take heart. 1 Like |
Education / Re: Apply For 2022/2023 PTDF Overseas Postgraduate Scholarship Scheme by olaBanks(m): 6:57am On Jun 14, 2022 |
Good morning fellow PTDF scholarship hopefuls. How do I go about paying 50 dollar application fee to a school abroad from my Nigerian account? I have tried the bank but they said I cant do more than 20dollar per month. I will await your responses on this. Thank you |
Education / Re: Apply For 2022/2023 PTDF Overseas Postgraduate Scholarship Scheme by olaBanks(m): 11:14am On May 12, 2022 |
iheke73: A Whatapp group is more enclosed and you can find direct answers to queries easily. However, you can be added to an existing group and exit later at your discretion. This is only important at this time What is necessary now is how do we get a compendium of past questions and answers for the interview or we should just read heedlessly. I will await your response, please. |
Education / Re: Graduates Of Sociology, Where Are You Working Now? by olaBanks(m): 4:17pm On Feb 07, 2022 |
respectfully: Unemployment in Nigeria cut across all disciplines. It's only more for social sciences and arts. However, there are jobs too. I feel your pain bro. But since time is going why not consider other options: Personal business Japa or Tech No one will be responsible for your dulling ooo. Brace up bro. Push |
Education / Re: Graduates Of Sociology, Where Are You Working Now? by olaBanks(m): 3:07pm On Feb 07, 2022 |
justebuka: Sociology offers you the avenue to study human beings in groups, their interaction and how society shapes their behavior. The prospects of Sociology is limited in Nigeria but depending on the skills you possess (through self development) you can work in various places. Specifically, a graduate of Sociology can work in: i. Public Service - Teaching/Lecturing, Police, Customs ii. Public Complaints Units: Servicom ... iii. Human Resources iv. IGO/NGO v. Media: Journalism, OAP, Compere and so on. Gender based Organizations: Mirabel Center, ... Most importantly, for a course like Sociology, the need to be self developed (up skill) so as to attract desired jobs. Imagine that you a graduate of Sociology and can i. Manipulate large data ii. Can speak eloquently and write to make the readers spell bound or iii. Tech savvy and has large social media followings. The above skills will offers you the opportunity to work and earn good pay irrespective of your course. So, brace up and know what you are doing. The current DG/NAPTIP studied Sociology, DG/NPA and some other notable persons did study the course too. No course is useless except the individual who studied that course put his brain to less use. Ji..Masun.... Welcome to the real World. 6 Likes |
Business / Re: Dangote’s $500M Cement Refinery At Ethiopia Endangered As Rebel Forces Close In by olaBanks(m): 1:25pm On Nov 11, 2021 |
Princedapace: Good submission. But does one cut off his own head because he is down with headache? These pockets of violence is putting Africa into greater mess. After destroying all they can, then the rebels and the state goes into negotiation. Why not negotiate in the first instance? Why resort to 'Jumping the Gun approach'! And who need to hear this: War is not lucrative again. We should be much more sensible now. Ask Somali, Eritrea, Afghanistan, Zimbabwe, Rwanda, South Sudan, Sudan and others how far If we had an arrangement like 'EU' and Nigeria wants to pull out for instance, just like Britain did, I can comfortably say it for free that it may not be violence free as the case of Britain. Must we fight all the time. Who do us sef Let's say this again and again, it is better to 'Jaw Jaw than to War War'. |
Business / Re: Dangote’s $500M Cement Refinery At Ethiopia Endangered As Rebel Forces Close In by olaBanks(m): 1:11pm On Nov 11, 2021 |
CSTRR: Very sensible comment. I love your logic and understanding. Typically, Dangote will find his way around it except if the impossible happens. |
Romance / Re: Good Food Or Good Sex: What Is Really The Way To Your Heart As A Man? by olaBanks(m): 12:46pm On Nov 11, 2021 |
superemmy: For this nice economy wey things no cost at all, na him una dey get mind to dey talk about food and sex. Where una dey see power to reason all these things sef. Anyways, since the country is working, if na you drop the money for the food, then food is the way to your heart, if no be you, then no food for you, talk more of sex. In reality, most guys want to marry a well cultured lady that can cook decent meal (not super super sumptuous oo) and who give his man peace (in form of: no too much nagging; empathetic ...). Even if the woman is not good in bed interventions, the man can still understand. No man wants to make love/sex or be in an atmosphere where is he is not at peace. 3 Likes |
Romance / Re: Introvert Vs Extrovert, Who Will You Date? by olaBanks(m): 11:08am On Nov 11, 2021 |
Bolarineliza202: Personally, I think a significant number of introverts are very intelligent and perfectionists' of a kind. I don't mind having one as a partner. An extroverted partner is a no for me. Must everyone in the bus know say you get problem �� or whom you are talking to/with. However, given the overwhelming effect of 'Capital' a.k.a 'Money' in our daily interaction, I'll advise people should go get money oo. Weather introverted or extroverted, a large number of people will accept you if you have money. No forget say life is now fast becoming a transaction and that transaction is dictated by 'Money'. 10 Likes 1 Share |
Romance / Re: Introvert Vs Extrovert, Who Will You Date? by olaBanks(m): 10:58am On Nov 11, 2021 |
pretydiva: E get wetin easy for this country. If you are introverted, bus conductor go carry your change go, if you are extroverted, SARs go arrest you. 8 Likes |
Politics / Re: Femi Adesina: I Stopped Attending A Church Because Pastor Always Attacked Buhari by olaBanks(m): 12:48pm On Nov 06, 2021 |
Maxymilliano: So, some people still take the words of politicians too seriously. No, I don't. It's just a political statement. You will be surprised that he may not even miss his church. Get across to friends in Aso-Rock and they'll tell you first hand how they roll. All the antics maybe aimed to divide the Youths along direct lines and it's interplaying in NL already. The political class has only one religion 'Their interest' and anything beside that is secondary. More so, Adesina is trying to make a mountain out of a mole's hill by building on what Paster Kumuyi said. Only those ignorant of politics will follow him in that direction. It's a diversion. A poor tactics for me. |
Politics / Re: Femi Adesina: I Stopped Attending A Church Because Pastor Always Attacked Buhari by olaBanks(m): 12:39pm On Nov 06, 2021 |
DeGLORIOUS: Would you have him criticize his paymaster or what? The best we can expect from him it to be subtle and look for more reasonable premise to justify the actions of the boss. His loyalty is to his boss and not you. You should understand better. 1 Like |
Politics / Re: Femi Adesina: I Stopped Attending A Church Because Pastor Always Attacked Buhari by olaBanks(m): 12:35pm On Nov 06, 2021 |
Aufbauh: Don't be quick to throw shades. Everyone has a price, even you. Take up the position first and let's see if you will not protect the interest of your paymaster. Who no go, no know. Ask Reno |
European Football (EPL, UEFA, La Liga) / Re: Manchester United Vs Manchester City (0 - 2) On 6th November 2021 by olaBanks(m): 12:32pm On Nov 06, 2021 |
iwaeda: The Man U team may do well today giving that it's a derby match. Anyways, I wish Man U all the best. Someone should help with the link to stream the match when it's time please. Going to a view the match in a public arena at this crucial time in Man U's football history can be depressing. Someone watch at home jejely |
Crime / Re: $6M Romance Scam: Nigerian Man Found Guilty Of Conning Guyanese Pensioner by olaBanks(m): 12:24pm On Nov 06, 2021 |
MITCHELL96: Most of these fraudsters are heartless beings with deplited conscience. He'll sleep well. More so, since our society hail them too, he'll go to club pop bottles and spray on the hype man. The resultant effect of this is that innocent people like you and I may suffer in the hands of officials of embassies and consulates. At the sight of a Nigerian, the questioning increase and the resentment out of control. I think the economy has to be rejigged in a way that people can have lawful means of making money. This is to say we cannot rule out the current economic quagmire in the outset of internet fraud. However, ojukokoro on the part of young people is a major factor coupled with dwindling moral values. How can you even be a fraudster and the society will accept you? Something is wrong with our value orientation 8 Likes 1 Share |
TV/Movies / Re: Digital TV launches in Kano: 24 Channels Available Immediately by olaBanks(m): 8:28am On Nov 06, 2021 |
presidency: Good development. We hope it's gonna be free to air. The clearer pictures and motions are what we all have longed for. Going forward, with how Government engages in policy somersault (changing laws like someone in a gymnastics training session), We will be glad there is relative rigidity in this regard. Nigerians deserve to watch clear TV stations and NOT those that are never clearer than AIT even with an antenna. In all, the national stations too be adequately funded with staff going on training to be consummate professionals. The last time I watched NTA, so many flaws. Names of guests were wrongly spelt, conflicting colour of dress of the presenters and the background stage, poor pronunciation of words and so on. If we have funded gadgets and equipments, let's develop the people to put the G&E to better use. God bless our dear country. One this one, thumbs up. 1 Like |
Sports / Re: Xavi Becomes FC Barcelona's New Coach by olaBanks(m): 8:11am On Nov 06, 2021 |
OhBritannia: Let's not deceive ourselves, Barca needs a more experienced coach at this time. The team fell out long before Messi left but because Messi fixed some little mess for them, the bigger mess wasn't obvious then. Now that Messi is out, boom, the team crumbles. I would have preferred a more respected coach in the class of Pep, Simeoni or Jurgen. The Barca is too big a task for Xavi. Make him no use Barca start him coaching career oo. He can try lesser clubs. Even the supposed former Chelsea coach (Frankie) with an IQ (Chelsea Fans info) close to that of Einstein sef fail, now you want to carry one home boy for a great team as Barca. Let's see how it pans out. |
Politics / Re: 5 Killed, Many Injured In Gombe As Former And present Governors' Loyalists Clash by olaBanks(m): 8:02am On Nov 06, 2021 |
Penguin2: On point. The incumbent Governor wants to clip the last wing of influence of Goje. It's normal about Governors to do so. Now that Inuwa controls the party structure, it's smooth sai for him. Unlike, Obaseki, he can't do same, he can't control the party structure in any of the party but only controls political power. Same is for Lagos, Ogun and Osun. I think giving the characteristic features of Northerners rallying around their Governors within the party, control becomes easy unlike in the west or East. Anyways, the clash is not only bad for our democracy but further question what we practice in real terms. |
Politics / Re: This Kumuyi Is Simply Different - Femi Adesina by olaBanks(m): 7:09pm On Nov 05, 2021 |
presidency: Femi Adesina deftly picked some of the words to Pastor Kumuyi and made it into a political statement and a piece to rally support for President Buhari. That was smart of him. Kumuyi typically will not delve into politics. He is cool and being careful of politicians and their antics. All the best to them all. 2023 is here |
Politics / Re: The Challenges Of Being Trans In Nigeria - Al Jazeera by olaBanks(m): 6:48pm On Nov 05, 2021 |
D1Wonder: I agree with you but you need to understand the complexity in social relationship affects everyone including media houses. To add, some top media executives have close allies who are not trans, but gays and lesbians and since there is class consciousness (a la Karl Marx), the need to push the class interest is always reinforced. Thus, weather it is Al-Jazeera, CNN or beIN, same can happen. In conclusion, the West World have reached an advanced scientific stage and as such most 'Rubbish' is not being rationalised on the pretext of freedom. What we have is not freedom but 'Overfreedom' with it's attendant problems. |
Politics / Re: Sit-At-Home: Ohanaeze Hails Ipob’s Decision by olaBanks(m): 7:18am On Nov 05, 2021 |
SmartPolician: Good. Now that IPOB went to the table, negotiated with Ohaneze to stop temporarily the sit-at-order, why not apply same to it's struggle for the Republic of Biafra. Why jump the gun and now revert to the method you should have deployed in the first place. It's because we dont keep records here, if not, only God knows the number of SMEs that have crumpled due to it sit at home order. We may tend to emotionally want to align with the struggle for Nation state given the perceived failure of the current Government, but the truth it how many countries went to war/violence and came back stronger? 5 Likes |
Politics / Re: Bianca Ojukwu Writes Letter To Late Husband On Upcoming Anambra Election by olaBanks(m): 5:42pm On Nov 04, 2021 |
festacman: Well said and articulated. But do you expect her to be happy with a party that refused her the senatorial ticket? More so, history is written by victors or their allies. History has it that Ojukwu formed APGA. This narrative will go years before it will be mended or erased. Its like saying who formed 'OPC' Gani or Fredrick. More so, I think you should be more decent in your criticism of Bianca Ojukwu. She still remains the wife of the greatest Igbo leader that we know at the moment. 2 Likes |
Politics / Re: Farouk Yahaya To Senate: Army Can’t Fight Terrorists, Others With N579bn by olaBanks(m): 5:10pm On Nov 04, 2021 |
Maxymilliano: The argument that the money earmarked for defense is small may be through given the high of criminal activities going on in the country combined with raising concerns of violent nationalist agiatations. However, one will be bemused that a fraction the 'small' will still be looted or managed (in conservative term). In furtherance, even with all the money being allotted by previous Government, it seems the conspiracy theorists (on using the continued spate of insecurity to make sure defense gets more and probably loot it) are being proved right. Same is happening in the global North too. Anyways, for us down global South, any public officer who loots the defense treasury is a terrorist himself. From Ihejirika to Buratai and the in betweeners, these defense guys have shown the definition of corruption in the defense sector. Nothing is too small for the defense sector giving the current economic malady of the country. Except these guys don't want to work. They should go and manage it like that. |
Politics / Re: Anambra Election: IPOB’s Plans To Frustrate Poll Must Be Resisted - NEF by olaBanks(m): 8:13am On Nov 04, 2021 |
valentineuwakwe: The NEF is just making a cheap statement peculiar to most pressure groups. Everyone wants to heard now. |
Politics / Re: Anambra Election: No Threat To Saturday’s Poll – Bishop Kukah by olaBanks(m): 7:58am On Nov 04, 2021 |
SmartPolician: The logic is simple. Bishop Kukah is a revered Catholic clergy and since most of the locales (in Anambra State) are presumably Catholic or Anglicans, he is passing as a charismatic leader of the faith. Also, giving the obvious silence of Rev. Fr. Francis Mbaka, there is a need to fill the void. More so, I presume the Anambra people will take him seriously especially as he has been apolitical for a long time. He said yesterday at the stakeholders meeting 'Anambra people should go out and vote as it is safe to do so. If you refuse to vote, you have also voted and will live with the consequences of those who voted'. From a standpoint of a religious leader of a popular faith, I strongly believe his assertion is apt and on point. 1 Like |
Politics / Re: Ahmadu Fintiri: Buhari’s Successor Can Come From Anywhere, Zoning Not A Problem by olaBanks(m): 7:34am On Nov 04, 2021 |
hisexcellency34: I beg to diasgree with this opinion. The political class had agreed on zoning and in practice played that out. The formular had been used since from 1999 till date. So, that opinion is invalid. Although power is not given without wrestling, so this antics is part of the game. Let's wait till 2023 first. |
Crime / Re: Invictus Obi: Court Orders Interim Forfeiture Of Obinwanne's Abuja Houses, Cars by olaBanks(m): 7:39am On Nov 01, 2021 |
Let Invictus face the music and let's move on. It is inappropriate to say why was other person not charged or asked to forfeit their property. No need bring a 'what about you' fallacy here. I think playing the ethnic card hasn't really help us in reality. More, I think we should talk more on the effect of these actions on innocent, young and smart Nigerians like you and I. |
Romance / Re: Why Do Some Ladies Prefer bad Guys? by olaBanks(m): 6:33am On Nov 01, 2021 |
I would say that some ladies may which to be dominated. Let's rest this opinion on the principle of 'Unlike poles attracts while like poles repels'. However, the rule is not the same for all. Most calm and nice easy going ladies wane good guys too. Why Okonjo, Alakiji, Awosika no go marry Agbero? Most times we need people to complement our goals and visions, not people who cannot fix into the mix. Also, there are no statistics to work with, so hasty generalisation will not be cool in this instance. In addition, there is a medical condition known as 'Hybristophilia'. This condition explains why an upright/good person may fall in love with a bad person or someone who has committed a crime. The case of the police officer in 'Money Heist' suffices here. In conclusion, good ladies are supposed to be attracted to good guys if there is proper upbringing, correct socialisation, nice circle of friends and value. |
Career / Re: AIG- BSG 2021/2022 Scholarship Application Test by olaBanks(m): 2:47pm On Oct 30, 2021 |
Hello emerging scholars, please share your test experience with us. From my end, it took me a while to get logged in. Internet wahala and all sorts. However, I logged in successfully only for me to see essays on "Sahara Ants" 'EEGS" and all. As fast as I could, I attempted the ones my head could process in mili-seconds. The general knowledge part was very easy and that on basic governance too. I think Dragnet strayed from their usual shapes, and quantitative questions these time. Abi, na my own questions be like that ni. Anyways, lets hope for the best. For me, it was a 'Wow' experience. |
Career / AIG- BSG 2021/2022 Scholarship Application Test by olaBanks(m): 8:51pm On Oct 26, 2021 |
Good evening. It's not news that the list for successful applicants into the 2021/2022 African in Governance (AIG) initiative is out. Following from that, test date have been announced (30th October, 2021) and from a reliable intel the test is precursory to the next stage of interview. Please, if you have been shortlisted like myself, let's gather here to cross fertilize ideas on how best to go about it. You may choose to reach out Let's roll. 2 Likes 1 Share |
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