₦airaland Forum

9jaown:
Federal government took The CJN to court.
He won them there.
He was suspended.
Why not suspend him before taking him to court, since the federal government don’t give a F*** about court Order.
Common sense is not common walahi

Are you aware the cjn suspend the meeting of the njc indefinitely so that he will not be remove or suspended? The president did the right thing here because I don't see how this man Can try himself because he had lost all moral standards. Or you haven't see the written apology? Is there anything like mistakes or forgotten in our law?

onez:
US and UK should be with the Nigerian people in this trying times in the face of unconstitutional removal of CJN. We have a full blown tyrant on our hands. A tyrant that shops for judges that will sit on his case. A tyrant that refuses to sign electoral bill that will guarantee free and fair elections. A tyrant that is never interested in free and fair elections but wants to perpetuate himself in power forever. What we have is worse than Abacha. All foreign assets of Buhari and his family should be seized. Buhari should be declared a persona non grata in the international community. Members of his cabinet should be blacklisted and all their foreign assets frozen. God bless Nigeria.

You are right, please is the chief justice of both countries you mentioned maintaining a foreign account undisclosed against their respective countries constitution? If it happens will any of the chief justices in the respective countries you mentioned involve in such illicit matter what will they do? We they be running from one court to another to halt their trial? We should learn to be wise and do the needful and the right thing at the right time. Are you aware your chief justice have suspended the njc meeting indefinitely so that they won't be able to indict him.

onez:
US and UK should be with the Nigerian people in this trying times in the face of unconstitutional removal of CJN. We have a full blown tyrant on our hands. A tyrant that shops for judges that will sit on his case. A tyrant that refuses to sign electoral bill that will guarantee free and fair elections. A tyrant that is never interested in free and fair elections but wants to perpetuate himself in power forever. What we have is worse than Abacha. All foreign assets of Buhari and his family should be seized. Buhari should be declared a persona non grata in the international community. Members of his cabinet should be blacklisted and all their foreign assets frozen. God bless Nigeria.

You are right, please is the chief justice of both countries you mentioned maintaining a foreign account undisclosed against their respective countries constitution? If it happens any of the chief justice in the respective countries you mentioned involve in such in illicit matter what will they do? We they be running from one court to another to halt their trial? We should learn to be wise and do the needful and the right thing at the right time. Are you aware your chief justice have suspended the njc meeting indefinitely so that they won't be able to indict him. Buy my dear

Trizzi:
A constitutional lawyer, Mike Ozekhome (SAN) has described the suspension of Justice Walter Onnoghen as illegal and unconstitutional.

Ozekhome in a statement on Friday he said the provisions of the constitution on appointment and removal of the Chief Justice of Nigeria (CJN) was clear and was not followed by President Muhammadu Buhari.




Source: https://www.mediahelm.com.ng/2019/01/cjn-ozekhome-calls-for-mass-protest.html

Constitutional lawyer tell us what he did and if is right according to the constitution of the federal republic of Nigeria to own and maintain account with foreign currency secretly without disclosing it. He remember to deposit dollars, euros and pounds in the account but forget to declare the account, not one and not two but multiple accounts in hard currency. Dear, pmb do the needful before this country turn to a laughing stock. Please help me ask Reno if Trump have naira account domicile in US. Buy for Afemai market and put in your brain because we know why you guess are ranting. I know most of your questionable cases will be lost now. Thanks

Sometimes this whole propaganda surprises me, how do APC spend the money? Do they went to bribe the consular or the US ambassador not to insure Atiku visa? Or they bribe Donald Trump or the US government? Sometimes we don't reason or ask questions that's why these set of people are taking us for a fool. Can you spend money to stop any embassy for issuing visa? Is totally at the discretion of the country. PDP please tell us the amount spend with facts because we want to know since US embassy have start taking money to block or issue visa

Teeklef:
All those people saying atiku should have attended and sold himself to the public, with due respect sir/ma, We call it debate and not campaign. What is the purpose of a debate when ur main opponent is not available? Abeg free Atiku jor.

The debate still continues inspite of his refusal to participate. The truth is that his excuse is too childish. Is better he didn't respond and abscond just like pmb. The debate is for him to tell us Nigerians why we should vote for him against other candidate with or without pmb sitting with him. Is the Nigerian that will decide not pmb. Try to note this fact. In conclusion it show both have nothing to tell us.

It show he have nothing to say. All he wants is to result to the normal attack and so long his target is absence what else do you expect from him. Nothing, if really he have something to say he should be aware that us between him and Nigerians not Buhari as he thought

Add me up on the Whatapp group broda 08054251232

You are genuine my man, I just staked the game with 5H and I won too, though I added 2 more. Thanks

eodavids:
Atiku scored this exam.

100%

Yeah you scored him well, 100% because Buhari was the VP then and his the one that used the boys that turned to BK

gmercy713:
You tried but you need to know that in politics polls doesn't matter even in US where we more educated lads that can't be bought with a token and handkerchiefs the election was an irony of the predicted poll by the so called experts.

APC and PDP have party structure in every state. So it won't be easy for someone to have 100 points in a region.

Any region that's is assumed a particular party will win outrightly with any margin greater than 50%, the party is giving 100% in that region. He never said a single party will get all the vote cast in a particular zone

oladimejiX:
With all the drama about Buhari's certificate been and all the backlash following the display of the said certificate, I came across this post on twitter and this person shows evidence of correspondence with US war college confirming that Buhari did not submit any credentials so where did he find the one he is displaying

source: https://twitter.com/chiefuwajeh/status/1061715987286970368

From the confirmation letter it seem the school leaving certificate was never a requisite, it was purely base on professionalism and experience. Why not challenge Buhari certificate in the Nigeria law Court where it will have weight than going to the social media to rant about.

CodeTemplar:
hmmm... waec cert isn't enough for our complex system.

His more educated than Atiku Abubaka, why not lwt Wikipedia help you, about 2 master hold from reputable training institution is diaspora. How wish is Nigeria you guys will still argue and say is a scam, US, UK and Indian. Do a little finding

Oluwabash:
Did you know that David Oyedepo never ever paid a dime as landing charge or airport tax on his Private Jets throughout Jonathan presidency? He got presidential waiver.

But something changed in 2015 because PMB made him to do the needful. Did you know that he put two of his jets on sale immediately he started paying necessary charge?

Can you now see why he has started dancing round AtIku ?
God is watching !

On August 2011, the Government of GEJ gave a comprehensive concession to Living Faith Church AKA Winners chapel to pack 4 private jets belonging to the church free of charge in any of the airports in the country. An import waiver was also issued by the former government to Living Faith Church. This guaranteed that the ministry paid next to nothing on whatever they import into the country.

This concession was revoked by the FG on Feb. 2016 and import waiver canceled. The church unable to meet up with the huge charges being accumulated on packing fees for 4 private jets, sold off two of the jets by July 2016.

We may now understand why Bishop David Oyedepo never sees anything good in this present government just because this government insisted on things being done properly.

For me, why should multi-billion naira mega cooperate churches be given concessions and import waivers when small legitimate business are made to pay through their nose whenever they import? In the same way, why should companies like Dangote, Bua group, Milan ground, Golden Penny enjoy concessions and import waivers when these companies make billions in profit after tax?

I always have the opinion that 90% of the accidental billionaires we have in this country are living on government concessions and waivers. Take that away from them and they will be like every one of us.

Concession and waiver agreements were abused by the former government as was revealed by 2016 Senate Ad hoc committee on import duty waivers which revealed that the FG from lost between 2011 to 2015 N447.42bn through fraudulent concessions and waivers. Consequently to this report, the present government canceled all forms of import waivers in 2016 and some organizations made to pay the FG what they owe the government.

We may now understand how Nigeria’s custom was able to remit N1trn in 2017. All these policies and checkings created enemies for BUHARI’s government. People who have been ripping off the country for years being asked to pay the right fees for their imports, automatically made them enemies of Buhari and his government.

Truly, this government is fightingj for the masses and that’s why we have less and less accidental billionaires under this government. The free monies have dried up.

"May this gang up against Nigeria,not even PMB never work. The Hyenas,Foxes and hawks are gathering to feast on our Commonwealth. It will never be well with the enemies of Nigeria. Enough is enough"

Just trying to make sense of our situation �


Obasanjo Farm, Otta is now a ghost farm, over taking by weeds and rodents. Only the security guards at the gate retain the old glory of the once thriving enterprise. Two massive transformer, possibly hijacked from Papalanto power plant are rusting away near the security post.

Only the Obasanjo Farms extensions at Obada, Abeokuta, Eruwa etc are functioning and they are mostly under Chinese management. Those farms depend on imported inputs like fertilizer, maize, soy beans etc to survive. Their outputs are not designed for Nigerian markets either. Another 4 years of Buhari in power will bring down those fraudulent enterprises because of high import bills.

Nigerian elites are predatory opportunists. They lay siege on the nation and grab it at its weakest part and moment. All the new gladiators, Atiku, Obasanjo, Oyedepo, Gumi, Kuka are struggling for the control of the nations resources. They are bonded together in wickedness. It is not an accident that the owners of the 3 most expensive universities in Nigeria (Atiku, Obasanjo and Oyedepo) are in union of anger against Buhari.

They are not united for the progress of this nation. They are united in anger because Buhari deprived them access to the Commonwealth.
�����

Am a diehard Buhari fan but David Oyedepo is my father. Please if you don't have evidence to back up this your claims, you better pull this your write up down before more havoc is done

Captainrambo2:
Remove edo from your map.




Buhari is a no here.

Oshomole can swing etsako votes. But not esan and benin votes. Even when he was governor he couldn't


Only etsako has an Apc senator. And we will reclaim that mandate.




Obaseki is a loyal man. Even we in pdp 're in bed with him

Hmmmmm, my brother am from Ishian (Uromi) all the pdp did in the past was just to write result in Edo central and Edo south. Is just that they know is very difficult for them to do the same in Edo south. This time there will be a true election. As far Edo state is concerned who is leading pdp? Anenih is old and weak and his resting. Pdp will never win in Edo in this next election my brother

SarkinYarki:
Tinubu is a known greedy man so good concession of some large business isbokay for him

I guess if you know some of the MDAs tinubu boys are holding in this administration? My brother do a little finding you will understand he can't get that in pdp. Pdp is too large with too many gladiators compare with apc

Bannylove13:
Am not preaching hatred..am preaching peace.

Everyone knows that Osibanjo has good intend for the country..
Nobody is campaigning against Osibanjo..but fate made him vice president to the Dullard..and it run off on him..
You can't remove Buhari and leave Osibanjo..if Osibanjo is contesting for president I can tell you some of the Ss/ Se will vote him.

Now this election is all about Nigeria... Buhari has let everyone down..the economy is on a downward .. nothing is moving forget propaganda.. business is not moving cash ain't flowing.. people losing Job.. insecurity..everywhere.. people don't trust dia fellow country men..
In the middlebelt..is much more.. imagine waking up ..with a neighbor and by 6the same day..the whole family is death..killed by marunders..just for killing sake and nobody is saying anything..
Even in student hostel..they will come in with millitary wears and gun down humans ..yet nobody is talking..

Not to talk of herdsmen..
In the west.. people are suffering too..hunger is everywhere..
Is not Osibanjo fault either..
They call him Dullard because he don't listen to anyone..not even the wife..and this things are still going on.

My friend ..we need to push him out..we can't continue like this because of Osibanjo presidency..
Osibanjo may end up not having a country to govern..can't you see the evil picture?
Nigeria is disintegrating before our eyes..and some are busy fighting tribal.

Fortunately or so we have a combination that can make things work ..if we're to be honest with ourselves.. Atiku obi..
They've got four four years to put thing right or we push them out..
We must get it right..maybe by then Osibanjo can still contest..nobody stopping him.We've seen him in government and we know what he can do..
Let put hand together and get the dude out..
Forget sentiments..

Unite with the south..this n opportunity for the west to unite ..make sacrifices.and in turn get the trust of others in the south. To have a United southern Nigeria.

Sacrifices must be made... Not our man matter.. together we can check mate the north..

Is all about unity

Who is the massiah you brought to replace buhari? If is Atiku, dear sorry buhari is better than Atiku. Asked Atiku these few salient questions (1) when did he acquire oil blocks, that makes him one of the richest politician in Africa, (2) when did him open his shipping logistic, that's one of the biggest freight in the world. If the answer is when he was the comptroller General of custom, is a stolen money, if is when he was the VP again is a stolen money. Even if obj is pretending today he had told us long before now Atiku will not change. Just because the foreign reserve has manage to grow to about 4 3 billion plus dollars you guy want to bring us back to looting spree it won't happen. Bye bye

Bannylove13:
Abeg make all of una calm down..


Southerners Sabi disgrace themselves..

See as north calm.. even north Central quiet upon say Dem dey chop pain..

I think the west should learn from this..south and east are United for a purpose.. the west should unite with the better south.


Diq alignment with the north is the cause of all of this..align with the better south broker a 3eal and let move this country forward.

Love and let live is the slogan..

United south..will rule this country forever..but going around trying to cause division between east and south won't work..

If we all should go our different way in the south..west will bear the brunt.

No be say I dey tackle anybody..but na so e be..

Better south that's good. Let's unite and vote for APC so that after 4yrs the presidency will shift to the south because if we are to vote pdp it will take 8yrs again before the presidency come to South again. Sense fall on you my brother

SarkinYarki:
Well Atiku is master in the art of dealing and Tinubu is his really close friend that owes him a lot... Without Atiku there will be no Jagaban today ( those who know know) I trust that Atiku will be able to give Tinubu a deal he can't resist

What else will Atiku offer Tinubu? The vice president slot or what? Atiku have nothing to offer Tinubu as it stand. Tinubu can not become a VP to Atiku because they are both Muslim and pdp has already choosing a candidate for that position. And do you think all the South West governors will follow him to pdp? He will rather remain in APC were his already the VP and control some of the key government mdas and about 6 governors. Is far better than anything the pdp can offer my brother

Beremx:
my Sunday is going well. Thanks.

The northerners that are rooting for Atiku might not be few as you may think. Some of them have decided not to come out and campaign for Atiku openly on social media. I can confirm to you based on my findings that Atiku will be massively voted for. Remember Atiku is a fulani man too, a yardstick the northerners will use to vote.

My brother sorry and don't be deceive, yes Atiku will get some vote but here they don't trust Atiku. And after Muhammed is buhari

Bannylove13:
Ngene stop decieving people..

Take a trip to Kano Central market..or Central mosque..
Even Central Park..

Not to talk of sabo..

Meet northerners over dia.. discuss with them about this buhari..and apc government..

Go and do investigative journalism..and come back ..then you will be honest with your self..

The north has their modus operandi.. they're not social media fanatics..and have a way of playing dia own kinda of politics.
Very few of them are on face book..compare to reality on ground.

Same was said of tambuwal decamping ..some said he have lost relevance in sokoto and wammako is the new king..I laugh..

This I to tell you that people that have nerer cross pleatue are the ones making this argument on behalf of north.

Times has changed..my dear.... Times has really changed..you will understand this only when you pay a visit and make enquires..

Buhari as a religion has been dismystify..not saying he don't have followers oh.. but things are not what it used to be..

Atiku might not be God over dia..but kwankwasya is a huge threat to anything Buhari presents..

Sure is this..
Buhari can't get the 1.9 mill he got from Kano 2019..
Sokoto is going PDP.. wammako influence is not that strong.. indigenous people over dia are saying big no to thuggery.. the sultan is saying big no to that..he wants his people enlighten..and tambuwal is doing just that..a new sokoto..

Same with kebbi..lots of factors are waking people up.. economy is not smiling..things are getting thight..the big mosquito a over dia too ain't helping..if you know you know..lol..

Jigawa too might go PDP..depend on how lamido push his luck with the kwakwasiya..

Bro don't come to faceless forum and run propaganda..
North is the battle ground...every politician over there has access to child voters registration cards and some even has imported Niger and Chad's with PVC.. not joke.

..and don't mistake the presidential election to state house election..

Buhari has to fight for every vote this time.. no free votes for him..
Am being honest..

Even the student in universities up north are really divided..
You hardly see. Mosque preaching Buhari unlike last election..

Things have changed..
Am not gonna argue with you..just pay your flight visit Kano..or sokoto come back and tell us more..

Just like saying because tinubu control Lagos every lagosian will be voting Buhari.

Take a visit to Lagos too ..and see things from your self..
Forget stories ND propaganda..is not working again..
People dey vex..from north to south..it's same

Are you serious my brother? Sabo gari is ibo dominant now. Let's us forget about North West there's nothing anybody can do there to win buhari because I leave in the North too. Let's not deceive ourselves here. Not West is already gone, all what will need to talk about North West is just the margin not if he will win.

abduljabbar4:
What makes you think he isnt? dude you live in your SE apartment and have no idea what goes on here. From the NE to the NW, Atiku has always been hated in the north (Long before 2015). If you think otherwise then i challenge you to show me any proof that he is influential in the North like Buhari. I keep telling you people that its only Kwankwaso that can manage up to 40% of northern votes against Buhari. That is because he has a level of support unlike atiku

Nobody in the north can contest against Buhari and gather 40% votes. Am from the South South and I stays in the North. I mean nobody

Slimdoug:
In the 2015 presidential elections, the PDP lost to the APC in what seemed like a progressive movement to change Nigeria from the old ways to the new way. The APC rode on the wave of their anti-corruption promise and the change mantra. But, did Nigerians actually voted for change? The facts says otherwise.

In the 2015 general elections, the numbers proved that Nigerians continued to vote along Ethnic lines.

Let's take a look at the 2015 election results again. By geopolitical zones:

South-East: APC - 196,248 (7.29%) PDP - 2,464,906 (90.63%) - Winner: PDP

South-West: APC - 2,433,193 (55.7%) PDP - 1,821,416 (41.75%) - Winner: APC

South-South: APC - 418,590 (8.1%) PDP - 4,714,725 (91.22%) - Winner: PDP

Total South Votes: APC - 3,050,031 (24.9%) PDP - 9,001,047 (73.47%) - Winner PDP



North-West: APC - 7,115,199 (83.65%) PDP - 1,339,709 (15.75%) - Winner: APC

North-East: APC - 2,848,678 (77.57%) PDP - 796,588 (21.69) - Winner: APC

North-Central: APC - 2,264,614 (58.79%) PDP - 1,558,623 (40.46%) - Winner: APC

Total North Votes APC - 12,228,491 (76.28%) PDP - 3,694,920 (23.05%) - Winner: APC


FCT: APC - 146,399 (47.72%) PDP - 157,196 (23.05%) - Winner: PDP


Total Votes across all zones: APC - 15,424,921 (53.95%) PDP - 12,853,162 (44.96%)


With the APC fielding a Northerner in Muhammadu Buhari and the PDP fielding a Southerner in Goodluck Jonathan, the North voted for their own while the south voted for their own.

PDP's only defeat in the South was as a result of APC fielding Prof. Yemi Osinbajo of the South-West, but even at that, the margin wasn't much due to the large number of Igbo voters living across the whole Southern region.

For the 2019 elections, the cards are now even, with the PDP fielding a Northerner in Atiku Abubakar to go head to head with another Northerner, the incumbent President Muhammadu Buhari. Both Hausa-fulani Descents. The battle line is drawn.


PDP will always win the South

Even with APC's change movement, they couldn't win the South, which houses some of the most educated people in Nigeria. Even the APC's victory in the South-west wasn't as convincing as expected. Now, after three and half years into PMB's tenure, the South-west are now wiser and beginning to realign with the group most likely to bring the much needed economic growth and restructuring we all crave. My inference is that the PDP will win the South again, but this time, with a wider margin.


The Igbos are not politically irrelevant afterall

Contrary to the belief that the Igbos are politically irrelevant when it comes to voting and making decisive electoral decisions, the reverse is the case here. With more Igbos living in other regions than their own, due to business pursuits and their love for migration and cultural exploration, the Igbos have the numbers to affect political issues in other regions other than their own. A look at the last elections comes to mind, with the PDP sweeping almost all the votes in the Southern region where Igbo are predominant. Even with the APC's media bastardization of the then Goodluck Jonathan, and their almost convincing promise of Change and anti-corruption, the APC still lost heavily across the south in 2015.


Nigerians will always vote along Ethnic lines

Forget the sweet political talks and manifestos that are being bombarded into the media, Nigerians are natively tribalistic. From the last elections, you would see that the South-west voted for Prof. Yemi Osinbajo, the SS and SE voted for GEJ instead of Buhari, and the North voted for Buhari instead of GEJ.

Don't be deceived that the APC won the last elections due to Nigerians wanting change. No. the APC won due to their political permutation and combination. In 2015, the elections was about the North vs the South, and the North won due to their larger population. In 2019, the political combination for both parties will be equal - this time, the North vs the North - and we will see Nigerians showing their true colors and voting along ethnic lines, again.


The Battle is in the North

With the South already settled for the PDP, the real battle will be in convincing the North to reject one of their own. With PMB and Atiku being of the same Hausa-fulani descent, they would both have to dig deep to convince the Northern electorates that they have the best plan for the North.

Will the North believe in Atiku's restructuring plan? I don't think so. Will the North believe in PMB's passivity and blame game? I don't think so. Both candidates would have to find a stronger reason backed with a Northern agenda to pull crowds in the North especially in the North-west which houses the highest number of voting population in Nigeria.


The PDP needs only 40% of Northern votes to win

With Atiku picking Peter Obi as his Vice for next year's general elections, we can conclude that the PDP will sweep almost all the votes in the South. All said and done, the PDP would need to up their game in the North. Now fielding a Norther instead of a Southerner, the job will become really easy for the PDP to garner enough Northern votes.

With PMB winning the last elections by only 2.5 million votes, the PDP has a chance to topple that margin. If Atiku can get only 40% of the North's total 16 million votes, which is only 6.4 million (I think he could get even much more), then the PDP will be cruising.


Conclusion: I believe the PDP will clear the Southern votes again, just like in 2015 when their rating was lowest. I also believe Atiku will get over 45% of the Northern votes if he plays to the tune of the Northern agenda. With this, I see the PDP winning the 2019 Presidential election.


This is my personal analysis and I owe no one any explanation.
Copyright 2018. Nairaland.com/slimdoug

cc: lalasticlala

My brother is the South West not part of the South? Tell me how can pdp win the South West. The battle is now between Ibo and Yoruba. Because whoever emerge as the vice president will filed the next president after 2023. From all the indications pdp have no single governor in the South West and the APC national leader is from there. If Buhari promise to give the south west power once his tenure expire in 2023, guess what will happen, at least he will get nothing less than 65% of their total vote. And let me tell you today and don't be deceive Atiku abubakar will not do better than Jonathan in the North. It will be extremely difficult for him to win in adamawa as still stands now, though we can't predict tomorrow. Let's be patient is to early for all these projection because with time many things will change. Is only Buhari they know as a true northern in the North.

saintobi009:
Please guys I want to apply for a USA visa, though I have been denied once in 2016, that was the first time I applied, i said I was going for taekwondo sport competition but I couldn't answer the questions the V.O asked me so I was refused then, I had a Schengen visa then, but now I have been to Dubai twice, i have 2 Kenya visas, I only went once, I have a Schengen visa, a South African visa which I didn't use and I have also been to Ghana, now I just want to go and visit but I need to know what my chances are and what documents best suit me to produce to them and how do I go about it to increase my chances of getting the visa

Your travel history is very strong. You only need two type to be qualify for US visa. 1. Marriage, if you are not please don't apply, not to further dent your passport, because you will be refuse. 2. Work, because that will be the key discussion, they will exactly you in this area and ask you all possible questions relating to it. If the two issues is sorted out you are free to go. because from your travel history you are almost 60% done

Nemesis001:
Abeg stop that rubbish cult like followership nonsense. Why didn't he win the 3 times he contested?

Check :
1. In 2011, only SW's election turn out was below the national average.

2. In the same year, out of all the votes casted in the South, Sw contributed 28% while SS/SE contributed 72%.

3. Of the votes that went for PDP from the South, SW contributed only 20% even though they voted heavily for PDP that same year while SE/SS contributed the other 80%.

4. Of all the total votes PDP got in that election, SW contibuted 12%, SE/SS gave 50% and the entire North (NE, NW, NC) gave 38%.

5. SW gave 60% of all their votes to PDP, SE gave 98% while SS gave 96%.
This is for 2011.

In 2015:
1. APC won SW with 580k votes while PDP won Anambra alone with 660k votes thereby nullifying SW votes by over 78k votes.

2. SW voted 43% for PDP, SE voted 93% for PDP while SS voted 92%. The SW 43% votes came mostly from Igbo dominated areas of SW.

3. SW contributed only 16% of APC votes while SE/SE contributed 56% of PDP's vote while the North contributed 80.2% of APC's vote with Middlebelt delivering the killer punch.

This is just for 2015. Continue to see what SW wouldn't want you to know.

My Brother relax you won't see those figures you are quoting again because rigging won't happen this time. Am from South South, Edo to be specific and I know how those figures you are quoting come about. We don't come out to vote from the south simply because most of us have no interest in the election but the North see vote as part of there life. If we are able to encourage ourselves to come out and vote it will be fine. I live in the north, for each poll until the can register between 60-90% turnout why the south is between 20-40%. Which means for Atiku to win the he needs to get at least 40% of the total vote cast in the North, anything short of that, his gone.

elninosanz:
Before calling me analysis trash, refute anything i said.I am not been sentimental, only being realistic. I am not a Buhari enthusiast, neither am i an APC member. I am only calling out things like i see them. We all know that Buhari has not performed, but in Nigeria, turnout and Party Structure matters. Large portions NW and NE are very pro-Buhari despite his none performance. He is a cult-like figure there. I have been to Kano,Katsina and Kaduna during his tenure, and nothing i have seen convinces me otherwise. APC has a strong stranglehold on the SW, and those that support Atiku won't vote. A NW, NE, SW coalition is enough for Buhari to win.

The truth is that if you have not been to the north you will feel Buhari have already lost the election. For those of us who have been to almost all the geo-polical zone know what's on ground. I even doubt if Atiku can defeat Buhari in Adamawa. Buhari is the most sellable product in the North, except Benue and maybe Plateau. They don't know any other politician in the north except Buhari, they see every other politicians as fake except Buhari. Even if you are in other party you add Buhari pictures to your posters to have meaning and followers. Atiku have aot to do now till election time to get enough votes from the north. Forget all the trash you are seeing on social media, those that vote in the North are not on social media and the value the voting more than any other thing you can ever think

ukpono10:
The Proposed Rerun Election in Osun State and the
Law
Preamble
It is now official that INEC has taken a decision to
conduct a rerun election in some polling units in
Osun State before declaring the 2018 Gubernatorial
Election conclusive. From the press release signed
by Solomon Soyebi, National Commissioner and
Chairman, Information and Voter Education
Committee of INEC, the reason for the decision is
given as follows: ”Based on the result by the
Returning Officer, the margin between the two
leading candidates is 353 which is lower than the
number of registered voters in the affected areas.
Extant law and INEC Guidelines and Regulations
provide that where such a situation occurs, a
declaration may not be made.” (See page 2,
paragraph 2 of INEC’s letter of Sunday 23rd
September, 2018).
It is important to note that the said letter has not
cited any section or provision of the ‘extant law and
INEC Guidelines and Regulations’ to enable readers
be on the same page with the Commission on the
issue. However, in announcing the decision to
declare the election inconclusive, Prof. Joseph
Adeola Fuwape, Returning Officer and Vice
Chancellor of the Federal University of Technology,
Akure was more specific when he said that the
decision is made pursuant to INEC’s Guidelines for
Election. He said that according to the Guidelines,
where the margin of victory at an election is less
than the number of votes cancelled in the same
election, a rerun must be conducted in the affected
polling units to determine the actual winner of the
election. The Professor did not also mention the
exact section of the Guidelines but, his submission
is clear and we can work with it for purpose of legal
exposition on the issue at hand.
What Does the Constitution say on When A
Candidate is Deemed to Have been Duly Elected?
Election into any public office in Nigeria is an issue
of law and the most superior law in the Federal
Republic of Nigeria today is the 1999 Constitution.
Section 179 (2) provides what is required to declare
a person winner in a gubernatorial election. It
provides thus:
”179(2) A candidate for an election to the office of
Governor of a State shall be deemedto have been
duly elected where, there being two or more
candidates –
(a) he has the highest number of votes castat the
election; and
(b) he has not less than one-quarter of all the votes
cast in each of at least two-thirds of all the Local
Government Area in the State.”
What the law contemplates here is simple majority
of votes cast. That means, even a hundred votes or
less will be sufficient for one to emerge as winner of
a gubernatorial election.
The Legal Question
The legal question here is, has the Governorship
candidate of the PDP met the above conditions of
the law? INEC has affirmed that after a thorough
counting of the votes cast, the result shows that
while the APC Candidate polled 254,345 votes, the
PDP Candidate polled 254,698 votes leaving a
difference or victory margin of 353 votes. By this
confirmation Adeleke of the PDP has won that
election with 353 votes. He has also won in not less
than two-thirds majority of all the 30 Local
Government Areas of the State.
Going by the provision of section 179(2) of the 1999
Constitution, Adeleke of the PDP has emerged the
winner of the 2018 Gubernatorial Election conducted
in Osun State.
There is nothing in that section to accommodate the
excuse given by INEC.
But the Constitution Recognizes a Rerun in the
following Circumstances
By section 179(3) of the same Constitution, a rerun
only becomes necessary where there is no
candidate with the highest number of votes in the
election. For instance if the candidate of the APC
and that of the PDP had equal number of votes, the
Constitution allows INEC to conduct a rerun within 7
days from the announcement of the result. Also,
where the candidate with the highest number of
votes does not have at least one-quarter of all the
votes cast in each of at least two-thirds of all the
LGAs in the State, a rerun becomes inevitable.
These are not the reasons given by INEC for the
proposed rerun election. The implication of this is
that the reasons given by INEC are not within the
contemplation of the Constitution.
When the Provisions of a Guideline is in Conflict
with the Provisions of the Constitution, what
Happens
Clearly, the provision of the INEC Guidelines and
Regulation which says that where the margin of
victory at an election is less than the number of
votes cancelled in the same election, a rerun must
be conducted in the affected polling units to
determine the eventual winner of the election, is in
conflict with the provisions of section 179(2) of the
1999 Constitution on when a candidate is deemed to
have emerged the winner in a gubernatorial
election. The Constitution does not have any such
provision or reason as given by INEC.
By section 1(1) of the Constitution it is provided as
follows: ”This Constitution is supreme and its
provisions shall have binding force on all authorities
and persons throughout the Federal Republic of
Nigeria”INEC is included in the phrase ”all
authorities and persons’‘. By section 1(3) it is
provided thus: ”If any other law is inconsistent with
the provision of this Constitution, this Constitution
shall prevail, and that other law shall, to the extent
of its inconsistency be void.”
By the above section on supremacy of the
Constitution, the provision of the INEC Guidelines
under review is null and void and have no effect
whatsoever having conflicted with the clear
provisions of section 179(2) of the Constitution.
Does the Law Have Any Business with Cancelled
Votes?
The law has no business with cancelled votes.
Once declared ‘cancelled’, such votes have no
further business in the electoral process and
cannot form the basis for the nullification of the
majority of lawful votes cast to warrant a rerun.
They ought not to form part of the counting process
and should not in any way influence the outcome of
the election. In the celebrated case of Adams
Oshiomole v. Prof. Osunbor, cancelled votes were
added to the scores of the Peoples’ Democratic
Party which saw to the emergence of Prof. Osunbor
as the Governor of Edo State. Adams Oshiomole
challenged the action in court and it was held that
cancelled votes had no role to play in the election
and should not have been counted for Prof. Osunbor
or any party whatsoever. The court then deducted
the votes and Adams Oshimole was declared the
winner.
When the cancelled votes in Osun are deducted
from the total number of valid votes cast, Adeleke
has, by operation of law, emerged the winner of the
election in issue.
What INEC Should Do in the Circumstance
INEC should rescind its decision on the rerun and
declare Adeleke the winner of the Osun State
Election in view of the fact that the reason given by
the Commission is not in sync with the provisions of
the Constitution. INEC should pay attention to the
language of the Constitution which provides that a
candidate for an election to the office of Governor of
a State shall be deemed to have been duly elected
…. By this phrase, a legal event has already
occurred; the Constitution has already deemed
Adeleke winner of the election. INEC has no further
say on this than to do the needful and call off the
proposed rerun.
Ekemini Udim is a lawyer and public affairs analyst.
ekeminiudimforjustice@gmail.com

Am not a lawyer and I strongly believe all what you said are right. But this is not the first time this same issue of inconclusive and rerun is happening. I strongly believe if Adeleke should go on and fulfil the rerun election by approaching a court he will fail. This not the first time we are having inconclusive in governorship elections. He should come out and do his grassroots movement and forget at the issue of technicalities because it won't favour him.

Olril18:
lol.. pdp won more than 25 percent in about 20 lgs and this one is still giving himself hope. lol.. interpreting the law to suit his iragbiji agenda....
but what happened in ilesa broda...pele oo, that must have been brutal for you..
you need handkerchief?

Try to understand, if the number of canceled votes is more than the margin, the election is inconclusive pending when inec fix a different date and election is conducted in the areas where they are canceled. For those who understand how it works, they already know this

DPC is different from an over site concrete.